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The socioeconomic dimensions of BRICS: a comparative analysis over three decades 1990 to 2020 金砖国家的社会经济层面:1990 至 2020 年三十年间的比较分析
Pub Date : 2024-06-07 DOI: 10.58396/gsef010206
S. Rout, Hrushikesh Mallick
BRICS countries are not only striving to gain more political and economic clouts in the developing world but are also influencing global governance. However, each one is facing its own economic concerns and challenges. For instance, India has been witnessing a severe economic slowdown, while Brazil is maintaining a low growth rate along with persistent high inflation and unemployment problems. South Africa has been mired with low growth rate, rising youth unemployment, high debt and inequality. China has been suffering from a sluggish growth on account of the trade war with the US, and Russia has massively suffered from US and EU sanctions. Despite these problems, they are trying to lay a robust foundation of cooperation with the countries in the Global South amid their rising discontent over perceived Western dominance of the global institutions. With this background, our main focus here is to comprehend socioeconomic dimensions from a comparative assessment to develop an understanding and visualize their relative developmental positions over the last three decades (1990 to 2020). Analyzing the data, the study clearly observes visible diversities within them. While China’s socioeconomic dimensions have improved remarkably, followed by India, South Africa could achieve relatively only with minimal success. It demonstrates that certain BRICS countries while achieving significant strides in their socioeconomic development outcomes, others are encumbered and struggling with challenges over the last three decades (1990 to 2020) without witnessing similar success and yet to overcome those challenges. The uneven economic progress of economies needs to be addressed by individual economies by laying down efficient economic policies, which have been falling short of the average progress in any economic development parameters if their economic and social cooperation needs to be strengthened towards achieving higher economic progress by mutually benefitting from their stronger socioeconomic ties and simultaneously exert greater influence in the world stage.
金砖国家不仅努力在发展中世界获得更多的政治和经济影响力,而且还在影响全球治理。然而,每个国家都面临着各自的经济问题和挑战。例如,印度经济严重放缓,而巴西则保持低速增长,同时还面临持续的高通胀和失业问题。南非一直深陷低增长率、青年失业率上升、高债务和不平等的泥潭。中国因与美国的贸易战而增长乏力,俄罗斯则因美国和欧盟的制裁而深受其害。尽管存在这些问题,但它们正试图与全球南部国家奠定坚实的合作基础,因为它们对西方主导全球机构的不满情绪正在上升。在此背景下,我们在此的主要重点是从比较评估的角度来理解社会经济层面,以了解和直观地显示它们在过去三十年(1990 年至 2020 年)中的相对发展状况。通过对数据的分析,研究清楚地观察到了其中明显的多样性。中国在社会经济方面取得了显著进步,印度紧随其后,而南非相对来说只取得了微不足道的成就。这表明,某些金砖国家在社会经济发展成果方面取得了长足进步,而其他国家在过去三十年(1990 年至 2020 年)里却受困于各种挑战,没有取得类似的成功,也尚未克服这些挑战。各经济体的经济发展不平衡,需要各经济体通过制定有效的经济政策来解决,如果要加强经济和社会合作,从更紧密的社会经济联系中相互受益,实现更高的经济发展,同时在世界舞台上发挥更大的影响力,那么这些经济体在任何经济发展参数方面的进展都低于平均水平。
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引用次数: 0
Can dividend announcement predict abnormal returns? Tunisia evidence 股息公告能否预测异常回报?突尼斯的证据
Pub Date : 2024-05-17 DOI: 10.58396/gsef010205
Hadfi Bilel
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to observe whether the announcement of dividend distribution can affect the abnormal return on the Tunisian stock exchange. Design/methodology/approach – The sample includes 24 non-financial listed stocks in Tunisia Stock Exchange during the years 2004-2013. Company decides to announce its dividend payout policy to signal the market that the firm is now processing future prospects, which will result in changing its stock prices. Findings – The findings yield qualitatively consistent with the previous research. After controlling for the effect of the Politic Crisis in Tunisia during 2010-2013, the result shows that the stock prices move upward significantly after dividend announcements. Abnormal return (AR) and cumulative abnormal return (CAR) from the market model are statistically significantly revealed. Moreover, most event windows show that the stock return becomes lower when the investor sentiment for dividend is higher. Research limitations/implications – The result is limited to the absence of an important number of firms listed in TSE from this period. Practical implications – Investors in Tunisia show their preference for dividend to self-control, satisfaction and increase their profit. “This could be the catering incentive of the firm to decide to pay dividends”. Originality/value – This document provides evidence of Baker and Wurgler's (2002) proposed a new dividend theory; dividend catering theory, Bulan et al (2004) proposed the timing of dividend initiation, Thanwarat Suwanna (2012) document the impact of dividend announcement on stock returns. Even though the results indicate that Tunisian market react to the announcement of dividend by managers. Moreover, the timing of dividend initiation is affected by the investors’ sentiment, measured by the dividend premium. Tunisian investors react positively to the announcement to distribute dividend from firms especially in abnormal economic situation explained by the Tunisian politic crisis.
目的--本文旨在观察股利分配公告是否会影响突尼斯证券交易所的异常回报率。设计/方法/途径 - 样本包括 2004-2013 年期间在突尼斯证券交易所上市的 24 只非金融类股票。公司决定宣布其股利分配政策,以向市场发出公司目前正在处理未来前景的信号,这将导致其股票价格发生变化。研究结果--研究结果与之前的研究结果在性质上是一致的。在控制了 2010-2013 年期间突尼斯政治危机的影响后,结果显示股息公布后股票价格显著上扬。市场模型中的异常收益率(AR)和累计异常收益率(CAR)在统计上有明显的显示。此外,大多数事件窗口显示,当投资者对股息的情绪较高时,股票回报率会变低。研究局限性/启示 - 由于这一时期在突尼斯证券交易所上市的公司数量较少,研究结果存在局限性。实践意义 - 突尼斯投资者表现出对分红的偏好,以达到自我控制、满足和增加利润的目的。"这可能是公司决定支付股息的诱因。原创性/价值--本文为 Baker 和 Wurgler(2002 年)提出的新股息理论--股息迎合理论、Bulan 等人(2004 年)提出的股息启动时机、Thanwarat Suwanna(2012 年)提出的股息公告对股票回报的影响提供了证据。尽管研究结果表明,突尼斯市场对管理者宣布分红做出了反应。此外,股利启动的时机受投资者情绪的影响,投资者情绪由股利溢价衡量。突尼斯投资者对公司股利分配公告的反应是积极的,尤其是在突尼斯政治危机导致的不正常经济形势下。
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引用次数: 0
The principle for developing sustainable economy and stocks II 发展可持续经济和库存的原则 II
Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.58396/gsef010204
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引用次数: 0
The analysis of economics impact of artificial intelligence 人工智能的经济影响分析
Pub Date : 2023-05-11 DOI: 10.58396/gsef010101
Jiaxiu Sun
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引用次数: 0
Sector not named in the packaging: packaging protection products 未在包装中命名的部门:包装保护产品
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.58396/gsef010201
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引用次数: 0
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Global Studies on Economics and Finance
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