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Journal of Finance and Banking Review Vol. 4 (1) Jan-Mar 2019最新文献

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Effect of Stock Price Information on Timing of Share Repurchases 股票价格信息对股票回购时机的影响
Pub Date : 2019-03-19 DOI: 10.35609/jfbr.2019.4.1(5)
C. Chee, N. H. A. Razak
Objective - This study investigates whether private information newly incorporated into stock price enhances performance in timing share repurchases.Methodology/Technique - Cost saving gained in share repurchases is used a proxy for performance of market-timing in share repurchases and firm-specific stock return variation is used to gauge stock price informativeness. A sample of 334 U.S. repurchasing firms are tested using panel data regression.Findings - The paper concludes that managers possess better market timing skill by obtaining more cost saving from their share repurchases when private information is reflected in stock price. Stock price informativeness may be the tool for managers to improve their market timing skill to take advantage of the stock market. Furthermore, firms with smaller size and a higher market-to-book ratios, and firms with higher cash-to-assets ratios are found to achieve more cost saving in buying back their shares indicating that these firms are able to time the market in share repurchasing.Novelty – Despite numerous previous studies focusing solely on using share repurchases announcement for computing cumulative abnormal returns in testing managerial market timing, this study contributes to the literature in several ways: (i) providing evidence relating stock price informativeness and performance of market-timing in share repurchases; (ii) developing a better timing measure constructed using actual repurchasing data; (iii) adopting a cost saving measure as the timing measure instead of cumulative abnormal return.Type of Paper - Empirical.Keywords: Managerial Learning Hypothesis; Market Timing; Stock Repurchase; Stock Price Informativeness; Firm-specific Stock Return Variation.JEL Classification: G12, G13, G14.DOI: https://doi.org/10.35609/jfbr.2019.4.1(5)
目的:本研究探讨新纳入股价的私人信息是否能提高股票回购的绩效。方法/技术-在股票回购中获得的成本节约被用作股票回购中市场时机表现的代理,公司特定的股票回报变化被用来衡量股票价格的信息。本文以美国334家回购公司为样本,采用面板数据回归法进行了检验。研究发现:当私人信息反映在股票价格中时,管理者通过股票回购获得更多的成本节约,从而具有更好的市场时机技巧。股票价格信息性可能是管理者提高市场择时技巧以利用股票市场的工具。此外,研究发现,规模较小、市净率较高的公司和现金资产比率较高的公司在回购股票时节省的成本更多,这表明这些公司能够在股票回购中把握市场时机。新颖性-尽管许多先前的研究只关注使用股票回购公告来计算累积异常收益,以测试管理层市场时机,但本研究在几个方面对文献做出了贡献:(i)提供了有关股票回购中股价信息和市场时机表现的证据;(ii)利用实际回购数据构建更好的时机度量;(三)采用成本节约措施代替累积异常收益作为时序措施。论文类型-经验性。关键词:管理学习假说;市场时机;股票回购;股价信息性;公司特有的股票收益变异。JEL分类:G12、G13、G14。DOI: https://doi.org/10.35609/jfbr.2019.4.1 (5)
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引用次数: 1
Bankruptcy Prediction Model of Banks in Indonesia Based on Capital Adequacy Ratio 基于资本充足率的印尼银行破产预测模型
Pub Date : 2019-03-19 DOI: 10.35609/jfbr.2019.4.1(2)
Lis Sintha
Objective - The purpose of this study is to examine the influence of capital on bankruptcy banks. The hypothesis of this research is that capital has an effect on the bankruptcy of a bank.Methodology/Technique - This research examines financial reports between 2005-2014. An econometric model with a logistical regression analysis technique is used. In this study, capital is measured by CAR, taking into account credit risk; CAR by taking into account market risk; Ratio of Obligation to Provide Minimum Capital for Credit Risk and Operational Risk; Ratio of Minimum Capital Adequacy Ratio for Credit Risk, Operational Risk and Market Risk; Capital Adequacy Requirements (CAR).Findings - The results show that the capital adequacy ratio for market ratio and capital adequacy ratio for credit ratio and operational ratio support the research hypothesis and can form a logit model. The test results of CAR by taking into account credit risk, Minimum Capital Requirement Ratio for Credit Risk, Operational Risk and Market Risk and Minimum Capital Provision Obligations do not support the research hypothesis.Novelty – This paper contribute to bank bankruptcy prediction models based on time dimension and bank groups using financial ratios which are expected can influence bank in bankrupt condition.Type of Paper - Empirical.Keywords: Banking crisis, Cost of bankruptcy, Adequacy Ratio, Financial ratios, Prediction modelsJEL Classification: G32, G33, G39.DOI: https://doi.org/10.35609/jfbr.2019.4.1(2)
目的-本研究的目的是检验资本对破产银行的影响。本研究的假设是资本对银行破产有影响。方法/技术-本研究考察了2005-2014年间的财务报告。采用计量经济模型和逻辑回归分析技术。在本研究中,考虑到信用风险,资本是用CAR来衡量的;考虑到市场风险;信用风险和操作风险最低资本金义务比信用风险、操作风险和市场风险的最低资本充足率资本充足要求(CAR)。结果表明:市场资本充足率、信贷资本充足率和经营资本充足率的资本充足率支持研究假设,可以形成logit模型。考虑信用风险、信用风险最低资本充足率、操作风险和市场风险以及最低资本拨备义务的CAR检验结果不支持研究假设。新颖性:本文建立了基于时间维度的银行破产预测模型,并利用财务比率对银行破产状况的影响进行了预测。论文类型-经验性。关键词:银行危机,破产成本,充足率,财务比率,预测模型sgel分类:G32, G33, G39DOI: https://doi.org/10.35609/jfbr.2019.4.1 (2)
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引用次数: 2
Firm Value, Firm Size and Income Smoothing 企业价值、企业规模与收益平滑
Pub Date : 2019-03-16 DOI: 10.35609/jfbr.2019.4.1(1)
Yulius Kurnia Susanto
Objective - Income smoothing is a form of earnings manipulation to show that the company's performance is good. Income smoothing can be detrimental to investors, because investors do not know the real financial position and fluctuations of the company. Management of the company engage in income smoothing because investors tend to focus only on the amount of profit reported without regard to the process of generating profits. The purpose of this research is to obtain empirical evidence about the effect of firm value and size on income smoothing.Methodology/Technique - The sample of the research includes manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange from 2014-2016. The samples were determined using a purposive sampling method and there are 51 companies that meet the criteria used. This research uses a logistic regression method for data analysis.Findings - The results of the research show that the effect of firm value on income smoothing is positive and significant. Meanwhile, the effect of firm size on income smoothing is negative and significant. Companies that create value in the eyes of investors will try to retain their investors by engaging in income smoothing. Income smoothing will convince investors to invest in the company. Meanwhile, large companies that are convinced that investors will continue to invest do not typically engage in income smoothing.Novelty – This study proves that, in the context of agency theory, the principal's desires are not often aligned with the wishes of management which can give rise to agency costs, one of which occurs as a result of income smoothing. Further, firm size can minimize opportunist income smoothing actions.Type of Paper - Empirical.Keywords: Income Smoothing; Firm Value; Firm Size; Agency Theory.JEL Classification: G32, M41, M49.DOI: https://doi.org/10.35609/jfbr.2019.4.1(1)
目标-收益平滑是一种盈余操纵的形式,以显示公司的业绩良好。收益平滑可能对投资者不利,因为投资者不知道公司的真实财务状况和波动。公司的管理层从事收入平滑,因为投资者往往只关注报告的利润数量,而不考虑产生利润的过程。本研究的目的是获得企业价值和规模对收入平滑影响的实证证据。方法/技术-研究样本包括2014-2016年在印尼证券交易所上市的制造业公司。样本是用有目的的抽样方法确定的,有51家公司符合使用的标准。本研究采用逻辑回归方法进行数据分析。研究结果表明,企业价值对收入平滑的影响是显著的。同时,企业规模对收入平滑的影响是显著负向的。在投资者眼中创造价值的公司会试图通过收入平滑来留住投资者。收益平滑会说服投资者投资公司。与此同时,那些相信投资者会继续投资的大公司通常不会进行收入平滑。新颖性-本研究证明,在代理理论的背景下,委托人的愿望往往与管理层的愿望不一致,这可能导致代理成本的产生,其中之一是收入平滑的结果。此外,企业规模可以最小化机会主义者的收入平滑行为。论文类型-经验性。关键词:收入平滑;公司价值;公司大小;代理理论。JEL分类:G32, M41, M49。DOI: https://doi.org/10.35609/jfbr.2019.4.1 (1)
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引用次数: 15
期刊
Journal of Finance and Banking Review Vol. 4 (1) Jan-Mar 2019
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