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2009 Pension Reform最新文献

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Public Pensions and the Labour Market in New Zealand 新西兰的公共养老金和劳动力市场
Pub Date : 2009-03-26 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1991173
P. Rodway
From 1977, New Zealand has had one of the simplest public pension systems in the world, a basic, universal pension – concentrating on the prevention of poverty in old age, with some success. The present set-up implies that without means tests, recipients can continue working, receiving a practically universal payment from their 65th birthday, and with only limited options for taking the pension before age 65. This paper samples work done at the New Zealand Treasury about the drivers of the decision to cease being active in the labour market. Hurnard (2005) analysed how changes in the eligibility age for New Zealand Superannuation (NZS) twice in the past 30 or so years have influenced older people’s decisions to participate actively in the labour market. Enright and Scobie (2009) have recently used survey data to quantify the separate effects of NZS, other income, health status, education, marital status, wealth, and so on, on the decision to participate for older workers, or to reduce the hours of working.While labour participation of older workers has risen since the gradual lift in the eligibility age from 60 to 65 between 1992 and 2001, there still is a 50% fall-off in participation between people aged 60-64 and 65-69 year olds. So New Zealand Superannuation, despite having no explicit financial disincentives, is still for many older than 65 a barrier to continued participation in the labour market. The coming acceleration of population ageing means that demand for older workers is likely to grow and that any barriers, real or imagined, should be removed.
从1977年起,新西兰拥有世界上最简单的公共养恤金制度之一,即基本的、普遍的养恤金,其重点是防止老年贫困,并取得了一些成功。目前的制度意味着,没有经济状况调查,领取者可以继续工作,从65岁生日起领取几乎普遍的养老金,在65岁之前领取养老金的选择有限。本文以新西兰财政部(New Zealand Treasury)所做的工作为样本,研究停止活跃于劳动力市场的决定的驱动因素。Hurnard(2005)分析了过去30年左右两次新西兰养老金(NZS)资格年龄的变化是如何影响老年人积极参与劳动力市场的决定的。Enright和Scobie(2009)最近使用调查数据量化了NZS、其他收入、健康状况、教育、婚姻状况、财富等因素对老年工人参加工作或减少工作时间的影响。自1992年至2001年间,资格年龄从60岁逐步提高到65岁以来,老年工人的劳动参与率有所上升,但60-64岁和65-69岁人群的劳动参与率仍下降了50%。因此,尽管新西兰没有明确的财政限制,但对于许多65岁以上的老人来说,养老金仍然是继续参与劳动力市场的障碍。即将到来的人口老龄化加速意味着对老年工人的需求可能会增长,任何障碍,无论是真实的还是想象的,都应该被消除。
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引用次数: 4
Distributive Effects of Israel’s Pension System 以色列养老金制度的分配效应
Pub Date : 2009-03-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1992453
Adi Brender
This paper examines several aspects of Israel's restructured retirement benefits system, focusing on distributive effects. We characterize 10 stylized representative prototypes of Israeli households, reflecting common demographic, wage and employment profiles. These prototypes are used to examine the joint effects of tax benefits for pensions and the public Old Age Allowances program's contributions and disbursements on the lifetime income distribution, net replacement rates at retirement and lifetime consumption smoothing. We find that the system is neutral in terms of its effect on lifetime income distribution, except for the top income decile which gains somewhat less than the others. We also find that pension savings result in a net loss for many low-income households, unsmooth their consumption and lead to "too high" post-retirement net replacement rates. Furthermore, evidence from a unique dataset point to rational and active behavior of most households with respect to these incentives. These findings suggest that the parameters of the retirement-age benefits system should be adjusted following the introduction of mandatory pensions.
本文考察了以色列重组后的退休福利制度的几个方面,重点是分配效应。我们描述了10个以色列家庭的风格化代表性原型,反映了共同的人口、工资和就业概况。这些模型被用来检验养老金的税收优惠和公共老年津贴计划的贡献和支出对终身收入分配、退休时的净替代率和终身消费平滑的共同影响。我们发现,就其对终生收入分配的影响而言,该制度是中性的,除了收入最高的十分之一,其收益略低于其他人。我们还发现,养老金储蓄导致许多低收入家庭的净损失,使他们的消费不顺畅,并导致退休后净替代率“过高”。此外,来自一个独特数据集的证据指向大多数家庭在这些激励方面的理性和积极行为。这些结果表明,在实行强制性养恤金之后,应调整退休年龄福利制度的参数。
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引用次数: 8
Pension Privatization and Country Risk 养老金私有化与国家风险
Pub Date : 2008-08-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1992445
A. Cuevas, María González, D. Lombardo, A. López-Marmolejo
This paper explores how privatizing a pension system can affect sovereign credit risk. For this purpose, it analyzes the importance that rating agencies give to implicit pension debt (IPD) in their assessments of sovereign creditworthiness. We find that rating agencies generally do not seem to give much weight to IPD, focusing instead on explicit public debt. However, by channeling pension contributions away from the government and creating a deficit of resources to cover the current pension liabilities during the reform's transition period, a pension privatization reform may transform IPD into explicit public debt, adversely affecting a sovereign's perceived creditworthiness, thus increasing its risk premium. In this light, accompanying pension reform with efforts to offset its transition costs through fiscal adjustment would help preserve a country's credit rating.
本文探讨了养老金制度私有化如何影响主权信用风险。为此,本文分析了评级机构在评估主权信用时给予隐性养老金债务(IPD)的重要性。我们发现,评级机构通常似乎不太重视IPD,而是关注显性公共债务。然而,通过将养老金缴款从政府转移出去,并在改革过渡期间造成资源赤字以覆盖当前的养老金负债,养老金私有化改革可能将IPD转变为显性公共债务,对主权国家的信誉产生不利影响,从而增加其风险溢价。从这个角度来看,在养老金改革的同时,通过财政调整抵消转型成本的努力,将有助于维护一个国家的信用评级。
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引用次数: 14
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2009 Pension Reform
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