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Fine-Tuning Out of Control 微调失控
Pub Date : 2022-02-28 DOI: 10.1017/9781108975414.004
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引用次数: 0
The Great Depression and Its Legacy 大萧条及其遗产
Pub Date : 2022-02-28 DOI: 10.1017/9781108975414.003
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引用次数: 0
Monetary Policy in Troubled Times 困难时期的货币政策
Pub Date : 2022-02-28 DOI: 10.1017/9781108975414.010
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引用次数: 0
The New Art of Central Banking 中央银行的新艺术
Pub Date : 2022-02-28 DOI: 10.1007/978-1-349-11626-3
M. Burstein
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引用次数: 1
Where the Great Experiment Went Wrong 伟大的实验哪里出错了
Pub Date : 2022-02-28 DOI: 10.1017/9781108975414.006
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引用次数: 0
A Final Word 最后的话
Pub Date : 2022-02-28 DOI: 10.1017/9781108975414.011
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引用次数: 0
Epilogues 后记
Pub Date : 2022-02-28 DOI: 10.2307/j.ctt1d9nr37.14
Samuel Johnson
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引用次数: 0
A Science of Monetary Policy 货币政策科学
Pub Date : 2003-02-16 DOI: 10.1017/9781108975414.005
M. Rao
This paper exposits the monetary policy design problem within the limits of an empirical framework for the Indian economy. Four main issues are examined. The paper first looks at a few of the theories that have been advanced to explain the stylised facts of economic fluctuations and then examines the main features of business cycles in the Indian economy over the past 50 years. In the process, it presents forecasts of aggregate economic activity for 2002-03 and 2003-04 besides obtaining quantitative estimates of the impact of the business cycle on the fiscal deficit. Second, it empirically measures the threshold rate of inflation within the framework of growth-inflation trade-offs and derives the optimal rate of monetary expansion needed to smooth out fluctuations and stabilise the inflation rate at its threshold level. Third, it specifies a theoretical model (linking growth, inflation, interest rates and money supply) capable of deriving an optimal fiscal deficit which maximises the real growth rate; and applies it within the Indian context to measure the desired amount of fiscal consolidation. Finally, it provides estimates of a comprehensive macroeconomic conditions index which can very effectively be incorporated into a simple Taylor-type interest rate rule (reaction function) for monetary policy.
本文在印度经济的经验框架范围内阐述了货币政策设计问题。研究了四个主要问题。本文首先考察了一些用来解释经济波动的风格化事实的理论,然后考察了过去50年来印度经济商业周期的主要特征。在此过程中,除了获得商业周期对财政赤字影响的定量估计外,它还对2002-03年和2003-04年的总体经济活动进行了预测。其次,在增长-通胀权衡的框架内,实证地测量通胀率的阈值,并得出平滑波动和将通胀率稳定在阈值水平所需的最优货币扩张率。第三,它指定了一个理论模型(将增长、通胀、利率和货币供应联系起来),能够推导出使实际增长率最大化的最优财政赤字;并将其应用于印度的背景下,以衡量财政整顿的预期规模。最后,它提供了一个综合宏观经济条件指数的估计,该指数可以非常有效地纳入货币政策的简单泰勒型利率规则(反应函数)。
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引用次数: 19
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The Money Minders
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