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Low-Cost Carriers: The Pilots of the Aviation Industry in the Globalized World 低成本航空公司:全球化世界中航空业的领航员
Pub Date : 2019-10-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3679266
Vistasp Irani
In the current cut-throat prices sensitive and hyper-competitive civil aviation market, this paper goes on to analyze and understand the role played by Low-Cost Carriers. It analyses the rise of the Low-Cost Carrier model in the United States and further the adoption of this model across continents and why this no-frills approach has been a huge success and has evolved the aviation market making it a cut-throat price-sensitive market and by doing so furthering the process of globalization by creating an economic closeness between space and causing a collapse in time and space.
在当前激烈的价格敏感和竞争激烈的民航市场上,本文继续分析和了解低成本航空公司所扮演的角色。它分析了低成本航空公司模式在美国的兴起,以及这种模式在各大洲的进一步采用,以及为什么这种无附加服务的方法取得了巨大的成功,并发展了航空市场,使其成为一个竞争激烈的价格敏感市场,通过这样做,通过在空间之间创造经济联系,从而进一步推动了全球化进程,并造成了时间和空间的崩溃。
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引用次数: 0
Discrete Choice Models for Commuting Interactions 通勤相互作用的离散选择模型
Pub Date : 2017-07-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3021777
J. Rouwendal, O. Levkovich, I. Mulalic
An emerging quantitative spatial economics literature models commuting interactions by a gravity equation that is mathematically equivalent to a multinomial logit model. This model is widely viewed as restrictive because of the independence of irrelevant alternatives (IIA) property that links substitution behavior in response to changes in the attractiveness of choice alternatives to choice probabilities in a mechanistic way. This is relevant for counterfactual analysis. In this paper we examine the appropriateness of the commuting model from a theoretical as well as an empirical point of view. We show that conventional specification tests of the multinomial logit model are of limited use when alternative specific constants are used, as is common in the recent literature, and offer no information with respect to the validity of IIA. In particular, we show that maximum likelihood estimation of relevant nested logit model is impossible because the crucial parameters are not identified. We discuss cross-nested and mixed logit as alternatives. We argue that a comparison between predicted and actual changes in commuting flows in response to a change in the attractiveness of choice alternatives provides a more informative test for the validity of the multinomial logit model for commuting interaction and report the results of such a test – as well as others – for data referring to Copenhagen.
一个新兴的定量空间经济学文献通过一个重力方程来模拟通勤相互作用,这个方程在数学上相当于一个多项逻辑模型。这个模型被广泛认为是限制性的,因为不相关选择(IIA)属性的独立性,以一种机械的方式将替代行为与选择选项的吸引力变化联系起来。这与反事实分析有关。本文从理论和实证两方面考察了通勤模型的适宜性。我们表明,当使用替代的特定常数时,多项logit模型的常规规格检验是有限的,这在最近的文献中很常见,并且没有提供关于IIA有效性的信息。特别是,由于没有识别关键参数,我们证明了相关嵌套logit模型的最大似然估计是不可能的。我们讨论交叉嵌套和混合逻辑作为替代方案。我们认为,通勤流量随选择吸引力变化的预测变化和实际变化之间的比较,为通勤互动的多项logit模型的有效性提供了更有信息的检验,并报告了这种检验的结果——以及其他检验的结果——参考哥本哈根的数据。
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引用次数: 0
Robust Dual Sourcing Inventory Management: Optimality of Capped Dual Index Policies and Smoothing 稳健的双源库存管理:上限双指标政策的最优性和平滑
Pub Date : 2017-06-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2991250
Jiankun Sun, J. V. Mieghem
Problem definition: How to dynamically replenish inventory from two supply sources or shipping modes with general lead times. The fast source is more expensive than the slow source. Academic/practi...
问题定义:如何从两种供应来源或运输模式动态补充库存与一般的交货时间。快源比慢源更昂贵。学术/ practi……
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引用次数: 42
We are on the Way: Analysis of On-Demand Ride-Hailing Systems 我们在路上:按需叫车系统分析
Pub Date : 2017-02-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2960991
Guiyun Feng, Guangwen Kong, Zizhuo Wang
Problem definition: Recently, there has been a rapid rise of on-demand ride-hailing platforms, such as Uber and Didi, which allow passengers with smartphones to submit trip requests and match them to drivers based on their locations and drivers’ availability. This increased demand has raised questions about how such a new matching mechanism will affect the efficiency of the transportation system—in particular, whether it will help reduce passengers’ average waiting time compared with traditional street-hailing systems. Academic/practical relevance: The on-demand ride-hailing problem has gained much academic interest recently. The results we find in the ride-hailing system have a significant deviation from classic queueing theory where en route time does not play a role. Methodology: In this paper, we shed light on this question by building a stylized model of a circular road and comparing the average waiting times of passengers under various matching mechanisms. Results: We discover the inefficiency in the on-demand ride-hailing system when the en route time is long, which may result in nonmonotonicity of passengers’ average waiting time as the passenger arrival rate increases. After identifying key trade-offs between different mechanisms, we find that the on-demand matching mechanism could result in lower efficiency than the traditional street-hailing mechanism when the system utilization level is medium and the road length is long. Managerial implications: To overcome the disadvantage of both systems, we further propose adding response caps to the on-demand ride-hailing mechanism and develop a heuristic method to calculate a near-optimal cap. We also examine the impact of passenger abandonments, idle time strategies of taxis, and traffic congestion on the performance of the ride-hailing systems. The results of this research would be instrumental for understanding the trade-offs of the new service paradigm and thus enable policy makers to make more informed decisions when enacting regulations for this emerging service paradigm.
问题定义:最近,优步(Uber)和滴滴(Didi)等按需叫车平台迅速崛起,这些平台允许乘客用智能手机提交出行请求,并根据他们的位置和司机的可用性将其匹配给司机。这种不断增长的需求引发了这样一个问题:这种新的匹配机制将如何影响交通系统的效率——特别是,与传统的叫车系统相比,它是否有助于减少乘客的平均等待时间。学术/实践相关性:网约车问题最近引起了学术界的极大兴趣。我们发现,网约车系统的结果与经典排队理论有很大的偏差,其中路线时间不起作用。方法:本文通过建立一个程式化的环形道路模型,比较不同匹配机制下乘客的平均等待时间,来阐明这一问题。结果:我们发现在路途时间较长的情况下,网约车系统的效率低下,这可能导致乘客平均等待时间随着乘客到达率的增加而呈现非单调性。在确定了不同机制之间的关键权衡后,我们发现,当系统利用水平中等且道路长度较长时,按需匹配机制的效率可能低于传统的叫车机制。管理意义:为了克服这两个系统的缺点,我们进一步建议在按需叫车机制中添加响应上限,并开发了一种启发式方法来计算接近最优的上限。我们还研究了乘客遗弃、出租车空闲时间策略和交通拥堵对叫车系统性能的影响。这项研究的结果将有助于理解新服务范式的权衡,从而使政策制定者在为这种新兴服务范式制定法规时能够做出更明智的决策。
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引用次数: 102
Are Consumers Willing to Pay to Let Cars Drive for Them? Analyzing Response to Autonomous Vehicles 消费者愿意花钱让汽车为他们驾驶吗?分析对自动驾驶汽车的反应
Pub Date : 2017-02-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2851943
Ricardo A. Daziano, Mauricio Sarrias, Benjamin Leard
Abstract Autonomous vehicles use sensing and communication technologies to navigate safely and efficiently with little or no input from the driver. These driverless technologies will create an unprecedented revolution in how people move, and policymakers will need appropriate tools to plan for and analyze the large impacts of novel navigation systems. In this paper we derive semiparametric estimates of the willingness to pay for automation. We use data from a nationwide online panel of 1260 individuals who answered a vehicle-purchase discrete choice experiment focused on energy efficiency and autonomous features. Several models were estimated with the choice microdata, including a conditional logit with deterministic consumer heterogeneity, a parametric random parameter logit, and a semiparametric random parameter logit. We draw three key results from our analysis. First, we find that the average household is willing to pay a significant amount for automation: about $3500 for partial automation and $4900 for full automation. Second, we estimate substantial heterogeneity in preferences for automation, where a significant share of the sample is willing to pay above $10,000 for full automation technology while many are not willing to pay any positive amount for the technology. Third, our semiparametric random parameter logit estimates suggest that the demand for automation is split approximately evenly between high, modest and no demand, highlighting the importance of modeling flexible preferences for emerging vehicle technology.
自动驾驶汽车使用传感和通信技术,在很少或根本没有驾驶员输入的情况下安全有效地导航。这些无人驾驶技术将为人们的出行方式带来一场前所未有的革命,政策制定者将需要适当的工具来规划和分析新型导航系统的巨大影响。本文导出了自动化支付意愿的半参数估计。我们使用的数据来自全国1260人的在线小组,他们回答了一个汽车购买的离散选择实验,重点是能源效率和自动驾驶功能。使用选择的微数据估计了几种模型,包括具有确定性消费者异质性的条件logit、参数随机参数logit和半参数随机参数logit。我们从分析中得出三个关键结论。首先,我们发现普通家庭愿意为自动化支付大量费用:部分自动化约为3500美元,完全自动化约为4900美元。其次,我们估计了自动化偏好的实质性异质性,其中很大一部分样本愿意为完全自动化技术支付10,000美元以上,而许多人不愿意为该技术支付任何积极的金额。第三,我们的半参数随机参数logit估计表明,对自动化的需求大致均匀地分为高需求、中等需求和无需求,这突出了对新兴汽车技术灵活偏好建模的重要性。
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引用次数: 266
Does Improving Public Transport Decrease Car Ownership? Evidence from the Copenhagen Metropolitan Area 改善公共交通会减少汽车保有量吗?证据来自哥本哈根都市圈
Pub Date : 2016-01-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2710547
I. Mulalic, Ninette Pilegaard, J. Rouwendal
Car ownership is lower in urban areas, which is probably related to the availability of better public transport. Better public transport thus may offer the possibility to relieve the many problems (congestion, health, and parking) associated with the presence of cars in urban areas. To investigate this issue, we develop and estimate a model for the simultaneous choice of a residential area and car ownership. The model is estimated on Danish register data for single-earner and dual-earners households in the greater Copenhagen metropolitan area. We pay special attention to accessibility of the metro network which offers particularly high quality public transport. Simulations based on the estimated model show that for the greater Copenhagen area a planned extension of the metro network decreases car ownership by 2-3%. Our results suggest also a substantial increase in t he interest for living in areas close to the metro network, that affects the demographic composition of neighbourhoods.
城市地区的汽车保有量较低,这可能与更好的公共交通有关。因此,更好的公共交通可能会缓解与城市地区汽车存在有关的许多问题(拥堵、健康和停车)。为了研究这个问题,我们开发并估计了一个同时选择住宅面积和汽车所有权的模型。该模型是根据丹麦大哥本哈根市区单收入者和双收入者家庭的登记数据估计的。我们特别关注地铁网络的可达性,它提供了特别高质量的公共交通。基于估计模型的模拟表明,对于大哥本哈根地区,地铁网络的计划扩展将减少2-3%的汽车保有量。我们的研究结果还表明,人们对居住在靠近地铁网络的地区的兴趣大幅增加,这影响了社区的人口构成。
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引用次数: 15
Competition in Multi-Modal Transport Networks: A Dynamic Approach 多式联运网络中的竞争:一种动态方法
Pub Date : 2012-10-31 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2169964
A. H. van der Weijde, E. Verhoef, Vincent A.C. van den Berg
We analyze the behavior of market participants in a multi-modal commuter network, where roads are not priced, but public transport has a usage fee, which is set while taking the effects on the roads into account. In particular, we analyze the difference between markets with a monopolistic public transport operator, which operates all public transport links, and markets in which separate operators own each public transport link. To do so, we consider a simple dynamic transport network consisting of two serial segments and two parallel congestible modes of transport. We obtain a reduced form of the public transport operator’s optimal fare setting problem and show that, even if the total travel demand is inelastic, serial Bertrand–Nash competition on the public transport links leads to different fares than a serial monopoly; a result not observed in a static model. This results from the fact that trip timing decisions, and therefore the generalized prices of all commuters, are influenced by all fares in the network. We then use numerical simulations to show that, contrary to the results obtained in classic studies on vertical competition, monopolistic fares are not always lower than duopolistic fares; the opposite can also occur. We also explore how different parameters influence the price differential, and how this affects welfare.
我们分析了多模式通勤网络中市场参与者的行为,其中道路不定价,但公共交通有使用费,在考虑对道路的影响的同时设定。特别地,我们分析了垄断公共交通运营商运营所有公共交通线路的市场与独立运营商拥有每个公共交通线路的市场之间的区别。为了做到这一点,我们考虑一个简单的动态运输网络由两个串行段和两个平行的拥挤运输方式组成。我们得到了公共交通运营商的最优票价设置问题的简化形式,并证明了即使总出行需求是非弹性的,公共交通环节上的连续Bertrand-Nash竞争与连续垄断导致的票价不同;在静态模型中观察不到的结果。这是因为出行时间的决定,以及所有通勤者的总体价格,都受到网络中所有票价的影响。然后,我们使用数值模拟表明,与纵向竞争的经典研究结果相反,垄断票价并不总是低于双寡头票价;相反的情况也可能发生。我们还探讨了不同的参数如何影响价格差异,以及这如何影响福利。
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引用次数: 17
Autonomous Vehicles for Personal Transport: A Technology Assessment 用于个人交通的自动驾驶汽车:技术评估
Pub Date : 2011-06-02 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1865047
M. Moore, B. Lu
Whether it was flying cars or jetpacks, we were all promised a compelling vision of the future at some point in our childhoods. And, although it may seem like science fiction, autonomous vehicles — cars that drive themselves — are more than just a promise; they are a growing reality. The widespread coverage in October 2010 of Google’s fleet of Toyota Prii that continue to navigate the highways of California was a clear message to the world that this technology is fact, not fiction. Questions remain, however, as to whether or not the world and the marketplace are ready for this technology.To explore this topic, we conducted an assessment of the current status of autonomous vehicle technologies in the U.S to the best of our own extent. We focused mainly on those technologies that are applicable to modern cars driven on existing, unmodified public roads. Our geographical focus was mainly on the west coast of the United States where a hotbed of activity regarding this technology is located.
无论是飞行汽车还是喷气背包,在我们童年的某个时候,我们都被承诺过一个令人信服的未来愿景。而且,尽管这看起来像科幻小说,但自动驾驶汽车——自动驾驶汽车——不仅仅是一个承诺;这是一个日益严重的现实。2010年10月,谷歌(Google)的丰田Prii车队继续在加州的高速公路上行驶,这一广泛报道向世界发出了一个明确的信息:这项技术是事实,而不是虚构的。然而,世界和市场是否为这项技术做好了准备,问题仍然存在。为了探讨这个话题,我们在力所能及的范围内对美国自动驾驶汽车技术的现状进行了评估。我们主要关注那些适用于在现有的、未经改造的公共道路上行驶的现代汽车的技术。我们的地理重点主要放在美国西海岸,那里是这项技术活动的温床所在。
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引用次数: 24
Industry Structure, Organizational Forms, and Labor Dynamics in the Intermodal Logistics Supply Chain 多式联运物流供应链中的产业结构、组织形式与劳动力动态
Pub Date : 2010-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1617347
David Jaffee
The logistics intermodal supply chain represents a unique case of interorganizational relations, sequential interdependence, spatial dispersion, and multiple technologies. This sector of the economy has not received the attention it deserves in the organizational and labor studies literature given its centrality to global commodity chains and production networks. However, this variegated chain of organizations and labor processes reveal some interesting dynamics relevant to organization theory, logistics, supply chain management, labor organization, and social class relations. This paper integrates these various literatures in examining the intermodal supply chain that runs inland from the ocean container vessel to final points of distribution and the interplay between industry structure, organizational forms, and labor conditions. An additional consideration is how existing and changing industrial and organizational forms might either facilitate or impede the organization of labor and the strategies used by employers to reduce costs and increase flexibility. The paper includes a brief case study of the interface and interaction between workers in the port drayage and port terminal sectors of the supply chain.
物流多式联运供应链代表了组织间关系、顺序相互依赖、空间分散和多种技术的独特案例。鉴于这一经济部门在全球商品链和生产网络中的中心地位,它在组织和劳动研究文献中没有得到应有的关注。然而,这种组织和劳动过程的多样化链揭示了一些与组织理论、物流、供应链管理、劳动组织和社会阶级关系相关的有趣动态。本文整合了这些不同的文献,研究了从海运集装箱船到最终配送点的内陆多式联运供应链,以及产业结构、组织形式和劳动条件之间的相互作用。另一个需要考虑的问题是,现有的和正在变化的工业和组织形式如何促进或阻碍劳动的组织以及雇主为降低成本和增加灵活性所采用的战略。本文包括一个简单的案例研究的接口和交互之间的工人在港口拖运和港口码头部门的供应链。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
TransportRN: Transportation Modes
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