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Scared, Resentful, Destitute Hillbillies? 害怕、怨恨、贫穷的乡巴佬?
Pub Date : 2020-09-17 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190096489.003.0002
John R. Hibbing
This chapter reviews and critiques the conventional wisdom that fervent Trump supporters are distinguished by their demographic, personality, and emotional profiles. The standard narrative, drawn in part from 2016 exit polls, asserts that Trump supporters are old, male, white, uneducated, poor, rural, religious, neurotic, bitter, angry, resentful, adrift, and fearful, but this chapter suggests that although several of the demographic claims have some truth, many Trump supporters are in fact female, college educated, suburban, and well to do. With regard to personality and emotions, Trump supporters are not as neurotic as liberals and actually rank lower than those with other political orientations on most negative emotions, including bitterness, anger, resentment, and fear. Compared to those who do not like Trump, many fervid Trump supporters appear to be less threatened by most aspects of life with the possible exception of outsiders.
这一章回顾和批评了传统观点,即特朗普的狂热支持者是由他们的人口、个性和情感特征来区分的。部分来自2016年出口民调的标准叙述断言,特朗普的支持者是老年人、男性、白人、未受教育的、贫穷的、农村的、宗教的、神经质的、痛苦的、愤怒的、怨恨的、漂泊的和恐惧的,但本章表明,尽管一些人口统计学的说法有一定的道理,但许多特朗普的支持者实际上是女性、受过大学教育的、住在郊区的、富裕的人。在性格和情绪方面,特朗普的支持者不像自由派那样神经质,在大多数负面情绪上的排名实际上低于其他政治倾向的人,包括痛苦、愤怒、怨恨和恐惧。与那些不喜欢特朗普的人相比,许多特朗普的狂热支持者似乎更少受到生活中大多数方面的威胁,可能除了局外人。
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引用次数: 0
The Phorgotten Phenotype 遗忘型
Pub Date : 2020-09-17 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190096489.003.0004
John R. Hibbing
This chapter provides a detailed description of the concept of securitarianism. Research on non-human animals including the Russian silver fox and American oldfield mouse as well as human research using eyetrackers suggests that protective threat responses are often based on something other than fear. Many securitarians do not trust others to take care of them and are attracted to isolationism and survivalist strategies not because they are fearful but because they believe being vigilant and working to provide security are ennobling duties. Thus, securitarians, including many intense Trump supporters, can advocate gun rights, tough crime laws, defense spending, and border walls even though they are not particularly neurotic and scared. Securitarians are not eager to fight and they are not eager to submit but they are eager to be vigilant and prepared. This chapter concludes by comparing securitarianism to other concepts such as libertarianism and communitarianism.
本章详细介绍了安全主义的概念。对包括俄罗斯银狐和美国老田鼠在内的非人类动物的研究以及使用眼动仪的人类研究表明,保护性威胁反应通常是基于恐惧以外的东西。许多安全主义者不相信别人会照顾他们,他们被孤立主义和生存主义策略所吸引,不是因为他们害怕,而是因为他们相信保持警惕和努力提供安全是高尚的职责。因此,安全主义者,包括许多特朗普的坚定支持者,可以提倡持枪权、严厉的刑法、国防开支和边境墙,即使他们不是特别神经质和害怕。安全主义者不急于战斗,也不急于屈服,但他们渴望保持警惕,做好准备。本章最后将安全主义与自由主义和社群主义等其他概念进行比较。
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引用次数: 0
Politics and Life after Trump 特朗普之后的政治和生活
Pub Date : 2020-09-17 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190096489.003.0008
John R. Hibbing
In this chapter, consideration is given to American politics in the post-Trump era. In light of the importance of securitarian orientations to Trump’s political rise, the chapter looks at the distribution of securitarians across the life cycle and across racial groups. Generational replacement is likely to lower the number of securitarians but the relatively large number of black securitarians could increase it. Other wings of the Republican Party tend to share securitarians’ general policy preferences, and this fact could keep the Republican coalition together, though strains will result from some people’s intense attachment to Trump himself. The biggest challenges facing the country will revolve around democratic values and political civility, both of which have been set back significantly. The struggle between securitarians and unitarians is the most fundamental of conflicts and needs to be understood if democracy is to be preserved in the post-Trump era.
本章主要考察后特朗普时代的美国政治。鉴于安全主义取向对特朗普政治崛起的重要性,本章考察了安全主义者在整个生命周期和不同种族群体中的分布。代际更替可能会降低保安人员的数量,但相对较多的黑人保安人员可能会增加。共和党的其他派别倾向于分享安全主义者的总体政策偏好,这一事实可能会使共和党联盟保持团结,尽管一些人对特朗普本人的强烈依恋会导致紧张。该国面临的最大挑战将围绕民主价值观和政治文明展开,这两者都已严重倒退。安保派和一神派之间的斗争是最根本的冲突,如果要在后特朗普时代维护民主,就必须理解这一点。
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引用次数: 0
The Many Faces of Trump Veneration 崇拜特朗普的众多面孔
Pub Date : 2020-09-17 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190096489.003.0007
John R. Hibbing
This chapter analyzes the four major types of vigorous Trump supporters. The great majority (60%) are securitarians but many support Trump for other reasons. Some can be called “social warriors” because issues such as abortion and gay marriage are the most important to them. Some can be called tea partiers because they prioritize tax cuts, deregulation, and small government. Some are economically concerned and worry about health care, income inequality, and trade. The findings indicate that compared to other Trump venerators, social warriors are more submissive, more dogmatic, and less concerned about personal and national strength. Tea partiers are more likely to engage in risky behaviors and to be willing to take aggressive political acts. The economically concerned are more likely to be bitter, angry, resentful, and unfulfilled. And securitarians are more likely to have high incomes, high political knowledge and interest, and to score low on submissiveness.
本章分析了特朗普有力支持者的四种主要类型。绝大多数人(60%)是安全主义者,但许多人支持特朗普是出于其他原因。有些人可以被称为“社会战士”,因为堕胎和同性恋婚姻等问题对他们来说是最重要的。有些人可以被称为茶党,因为他们优先考虑减税、放松管制和小政府。一些人关注经济问题,担心医疗保健、收入不平等和贸易。研究结果表明,与其他特朗普崇拜者相比,社会战士更顺从,更教条,更不关心个人和国家的力量。茶党更有可能从事冒险行为,并愿意采取激进的政治行动。关心经济的人更有可能痛苦、愤怒、怨恨和不满足。安全主义者更可能有高收入,高政治知识和兴趣,并且在服从方面得分较低。
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引用次数: 0
Better Secure than Submissive 安全总比顺从好
Pub Date : 2020-09-17 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190096489.003.0006
John R. Hibbing
In this chapter, the securitarian hypothesis is tested against the standard authoritarian hypothesis. At the personality level, the results show that Trump venerators actually are less likely to have the key authoritarian personality trait of submissiveness and are no more likely to value conventionalism and aggression. They are, however, more likely to display securitarian personality traits (e.g., to believe that “being prepared” is the best life motto). Parallel patterns appear on the issues believed to be “most important” where Trump venerators are more likely than non-Trump-venerating conservatives to mention a security issue such as gun rights, immigration reduction, or defense spending. Finally, at the societal level, Trump venerators are not more likely than non-Trump-venerating conservatives to value authoritarian leaders and conventionalism but they are significantly more likely to say that the worst thing possible for a country is to be perceived as weak.
在本章中,安全主义假设与标准的威权主义假设进行了检验。在人格层面上,研究结果显示,特朗普崇拜者实际上不太可能拥有顺从这一关键的威权主义人格特征,也不太可能看重传统主义和侵略。然而,他们更有可能表现出安全主义的人格特征(例如,相信“做好准备”是最好的人生座右铭)。在被认为是“最重要”的问题上也出现了类似的模式,特朗普的崇拜者比不崇拜特朗普的保守派更有可能提到枪支权利、减少移民或国防开支等安全问题。最后,在社会层面上,特朗普的崇拜者并不比不崇拜特朗普的保守派更有可能珍视威权领导人和传统主义,但他们更有可能说,对一个国家来说,最糟糕的事情就是被视为软弱。
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引用次数: 0
Authoritarians Who Dislike Authority? 不喜欢权威的威权主义者?
Pub Date : 2020-09-17 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190096489.003.0003
John R. Hibbing
This chapter reviews and critiques one of the most frequently invoked descriptions of intense Trump supporters—that they have authoritarian personalities. This phrase is taken from the title of a landmark book published in 1950 by Theodor Adorno and colleagues, a work that is described in some detail in this chapter. Subsequent efforts to measure similar concepts have focused on right-wing authoritarianism and preferences for child-rearing. These scholarly efforts attempt to explain anti-Semitism, ethnocentrism, and prejudice based on authoritarian attitudes that include submissiveness, conventionalism, and aggression. The argument made in this chapter is that the application of these concepts to Trump’s base does not capture the real difference between those who are and those who are not avid Trump supporters because the actual central distinction has more to do with attitudes toward security than authority and because they mix personality traits with worldview.
本章回顾并批评了对特朗普的强烈支持者最常被引用的描述之一——他们具有专制性格。这句话摘自西奥多·阿多诺(Theodor Adorno)及其同事1950年出版的一本具有里程碑意义的书的书名,本章将详细描述这本书。随后测量类似概念的努力集中在右翼威权主义和对抚养孩子的偏好上。这些学术努力试图解释反犹主义、种族中心主义和基于专制态度的偏见,包括顺从、传统主义和侵略。本章提出的论点是,将这些概念应用于特朗普的基础并没有捕捉到特朗普支持者和非特朗普支持者之间的真正区别,因为实际的核心区别更多地与对安全的态度有关,而不是权威,因为他们将个性特征与世界观混合在一起。
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引用次数: 0
The Trump Venerator Next Door 隔壁的特朗普崇拜者
Pub Date : 2020-09-17 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190096489.003.0005
John R. Hibbing
In this chapter, data from the 2019 survey of American adults are used to test for the accuracy of previous explanations for avid Trump supporters, especially the demographic, personality, and emotional concepts discussed in Chapter 2. The findings show that, compared to those with other political ideologies such as liberals, moderates, and non-Trump-venerating conservatives, Trump venerators are older, less educated, less neurotic, less introverted, less bitter, less resentful, and less angry. Special attention is given to the differences between Trump venerators and conservatives who do not venerate Trump because this comparison should help to identify what is unique about Trump venerators. For example, on the vital matters of racial and sex attitudes, Trump venerators are found to be less favorable than non-Trump-venerating conservatives toward blacks but not significantly less favorable when it comes to attitudes toward women.
在本章中,我们使用2019年美国成年人调查的数据来检验之前对特朗普狂热支持者的解释的准确性,尤其是第2章中讨论的人口、个性和情感概念。研究结果显示,与自由派、温和派和不崇拜特朗普的保守派等其他政治意识形态的人相比,特朗普的崇拜者年龄更大,受教育程度更低,不那么神经质,不那么内向,不那么痛苦,不那么怨恨,也不那么愤怒。特别关注特朗普崇拜者和不崇拜特朗普的保守派之间的差异,因为这种比较应该有助于确定特朗普崇拜者的独特之处。例如,在种族和性别态度等重要问题上,特朗普崇拜者对黑人的好感程度低于不崇拜特朗普的保守派,但对女性的好感程度并没有明显下降。
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引用次数: 0
Barefoot over Burning Coals 赤脚走过燃烧的煤堆
Pub Date : 2020-09-17 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190096489.003.0001
John R. Hibbing
This chapter describes the organization and methodology of the book. It also introduces its central theme. Ardent Trump supporters are “securitarians,” meaning they want protection from lawbreakers, security in the face of immigrants, and defense against the power of foreign countries whereas those who view outsiders not as a source of threat but rather as people who require and deserve assistance are referred to as “unitarians.” The chapter points out that the group analyzed is not the 63 million people who voted for Trump in 2016 but rather a smaller group composed only of his most intense supporters. It explains that the central evidence in the book comes from a 2019 survey of a large representative sample of American adults and that evolutionary logic makes it possible to understand the centrality of the divide between securitarians and unitarians and the reason this divide makes politics so polarized and explosive.
本章描述本书的组织和方法。它还介绍了它的中心主题。特朗普的忠实支持者是“安全主义者”,意思是他们希望免受不法分子的侵害,面对移民的安全,防御外国的力量,而那些不把外人视为威胁来源,而是认为他们需要并应该得到帮助的人被称为“一神论者”。该章指出,分析的群体不是2016年投票给特朗普的6300万人,而是一个由他最坚定的支持者组成的更小的群体。它解释说,书中的核心证据来自2019年对美国成年人的大量代表性样本的调查,进化逻辑使人们有可能理解安全主义者和一神论者之间分歧的核心,以及这种分歧使政治如此两极化和爆炸性的原因。
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The Securitarian Personality
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