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Journal of Systems Thinking最新文献

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A Mathematical Theory of Organization 组织的数学理论
Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.54120/jost.00000100
Derek Cabrera
Understanding and aligning our thoughts with reality is a challenge we all face. This paper introduces DSRP (Distinctions, Systems, Relationships, Perspectives) as a simple yet powerful framework to help bridge the gap between how we think and how the world really works. By using DSRP, we can better organize and make sense of information, improving our ability to solve problems and make decisions. This approach isn't just for scientists—it's a tool anyone can use to enhance their thinking. The paper shows how DSRP works in both our minds and in nature, providing practical examples and evidence of its effectiveness. Whether you're tackling everyday challenges or complex issues, understanding DSRP can help you see the world more clearly and think more effectively.
理解我们的想法并使之与现实保持一致,是我们每个人都面临的挑战。本文介绍的 DSRP(区别、系统、关系、视角)是一个简单而强大的框架,有助于弥合我们的思维方式与世界真实运作方式之间的差距。通过使用 DSRP,我们可以更好地组织和理解信息,从而提高我们解决问题和做出决策的能力。这种方法不仅适用于科学家,任何人都可以利用它来提高思维能力。这篇论文展示了 DSRP 如何在我们的大脑和大自然中发挥作用,并提供了实际例子和证据来证明它的有效性。无论您是在应对日常挑战还是复杂问题,了解 DSRP 都能帮助您更清晰地看待世界,更有效地思考问题。
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引用次数: 0
Wicked Solutions for Wicked Problems 邪恶问题的邪恶解决方案
Pub Date : 2024-01-26 DOI: 10.54120/jost.000053
Natasha Steinhall, Rebecca McPettit, James Bond, Michelle Parks, Mahwish Khan, Daniel Sharfarz, Laura Cabrera, Derek Cabrera
“Wicked problems” are often thought of as a situation that should not exist or an inescapable consequence of complex systems. This paper argues for a paradigm shift in instead understanding wicked problems as feedback from the system (i.e., the real world), resulting from a misalignment between our mental model of the system and the system itself, rather than inevitable outcomes of complex systems. Through a systems literature review (SLR) on effective policy and two surveys sampling the US population in order to understand how people are thinking about today’s biggest crises, this paper explores the prevalence of this traditional approach to problem solving. Essentially, wicked problems are the real-world system informing us that our mental model is flawed. When confronted with wicked problems involving webs of causality (as all wicked problems do), people often fail to recognize the needed solutions as a corollary web of actions, instead emphasizing linear causal relationships, or “root causes.” This problem-solving approach has significant consequences, as it overlooks the symmetry between the web of causality generating the problems and the web of solutions that would remedy them. This oversight leads to the implementation of partial solutions divorced from the dynamacy of interaction effects, which in turn leads policy and decision makers to conclude that critical parts of a web of solutions have been ineffective, and thus excluding them from future interventions. This is especially relevant for influential policy makers, planners, and decision makers. However, changing this mindset is in itself a wicked problem. The traditional approach to problems and systems is ineffective, necessitating a more systemic approach to policy. Our statistically significant findings confirm the prevalence of the traditional approach, prompting the recommendation for a more holistic education in critical analysis and systems thinking to address the web of causes that produce “wicked problems.” This is particularly critical for individuals being trained for careers in policy and planning.
人们通常认为 "邪恶问题 "是不应该存在的情况,或者是复杂系统不可避免的后果。本文认为,应该转变范式,将恶性问题理解为来自系统(即现实世界)的反馈,是由于我们对系统的心智模型与系统本身之间的错位造成的,而不是复杂系统的必然结果。本文通过对有效政策的系统文献综述(SLR)和两项美国人口抽样调查,以了解人们是如何思考当今最大的危机的,从而探讨了这种传统的问题解决方法的普遍性。从本质上讲,邪恶问题是现实世界的系统告诉我们,我们的心智模式存在缺陷。在面对涉及因果关系网的邪恶问题时(所有邪恶问题都是如此),人们往往无法将所需的解决方案视为必然的行动网,而是强调线性因果关系或 "根本原因"。这种解决问题的方法会产生严重后果,因为它忽视了产生问题的因果关系网与能够解决问题的解决方案网之间的对称性。这种疏忽导致实施的部分解决方案脱离了互动效应的动态性,进而导致政策和决策者得出结论,认为解决方案之网的关键部分无效,从而将其排除在未来的干预措施之外。这一点对于有影响力的政策制定者、规划者和决策者尤为重要。然而,改变这种思维模式本身就是一个棘手的问题。处理问题和系统的传统方法是无效的,因此有必要采取更加系统的政策方法。我们具有统计学意义的研究结果证实了传统方法的普遍性,从而建议开展更全面的批判性分析和系统思考教育,以解决产生 "邪恶问题 "的各种原因。这对于接受政策和规划职业培训的人员尤为重要。
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引用次数: 0
What is the first documented use of the term, "Systems Thinking"? “系统思考”这个术语的第一个文档用法是什么?
Pub Date : 2021-10-01 DOI: 10.54120/jost.v1i1.1383
D. Cabrera
Although new historical discoveries can be made, as of this writing, the answer is 1938 in a book entitled, "Interpretations and Misinterpretations of Modern Physics" by Philipp Frank. There are many misconceptions and an abundance of misinformation on Google search of when the term "Systems Thinking" (or "System Thinking") was first used. This publication identifies the first documented use of the term. Note that the first use of the term is not the same as the first discussion of systems, systems, sciences, thinking about systems, complexity, etc. In this article, we are simply looking for the first documented use of the specific term.
虽然新的历史发现可以被发现,但在撰写本文时,答案是1938年菲利普·弗兰克(Philipp Frank)写的一本名为《现代物理学的解释和误解》(interpretation and misinterpretation of Modern Physics)的书。关于“系统思维”(或“系统思维”)一词何时被首次使用,谷歌搜索中存在许多误解和大量错误信息。本出版物确定了该术语的第一个文档使用。请注意,第一次使用这个术语与第一次讨论系统、系统、科学、对系统的思考、复杂性等不同。在本文中,我们只是寻找特定术语的第一个文档用法。
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引用次数: 2
Human-Centric Functional Modeling and the Unification of Systems Thinking Approaches 以人为中心的功能建模与系统思维方法的统一
Pub Date : 2021-08-21 DOI: 10.54120/jost.v1i1.1369
Andy E. Williams
Where systems thinking approachesare often different and sometimes irreconcilable because they are based on the reasoning of one individual or another, Human-Centric Functional Modeling aims to become universal through looking inwards to the way all human beings perceive. HCFM provide a methodology that enables first person observations within each of the senses of the body or within the emotions, mind, or consciousness as functional systems to be represented as forming mathematical spaces that in turn enable all possible systems thinking approaches to be represented.This creates the possibility of comparing all systems thinking approaches to determine which is most “fit” in each context in which it is used, and it radically reduces the barriers to reusing the best components of each approach.
系统思维方法往往是不同的,有时是不可调和的,因为它们是基于一个人或另一个人的推理,以人为中心的功能建模旨在通过向内观察所有人类感知的方式而变得普遍。HCFM提供了一种方法,使第一人称观察身体的每一种感官或情感、思想或意识作为功能系统被表示为形成数学空间,反过来使所有可能的系统思维方法被表示。这创造了比较所有系统思考方法的可能性,以确定哪种方法最“适合”它所使用的每个上下文中,并且它从根本上减少了重用每种方法的最佳组件的障碍。
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引用次数: 6
Systems Thinking for Sustainability 可持续发展的系统思考
Pub Date : 2021-08-21 DOI: 10.54120/jost.v1i1.1251
Bryan Robert Jenkins
A sustainability framework based on nested adaptive socio-ecological systems is used to analyse historical examples of soil erosion and its implications for food production and security for a growing population. While there are examples of innovation in agriculture to address food availability, there are also cases of inadequate social responses leading to famine. The analysis highlights the value of considering these issues in a framework of linked biophysical and socio-economic systems. The socio-economic system generates management interventions to resolve biophysical limitations such as soil depletion on food production. The socio-economic system is also responsible when there are inadequate social responses. Currently, the biophysical system produces enough food to feed the world population. However, food distribution through the socio-economic system results in increasing numbers of undernourished people. Biophysical system modelling indicates that unless major changes are made to the current world system, overshoot because of resource depletion will lead to system collapse within the 21st century. To develop sustainability strategies, we need to analyse the socio-economic response to this biophysical vulnerability. A socio-ecological analysis also indicates that perspectives based on power relations that govern real-world decision making rather than sustainability interventions to address food security, need to be incorporated.
基于嵌套适应性社会生态系统的可持续性框架用于分析土壤侵蚀的历史实例及其对粮食生产和人口增长安全的影响。虽然有农业创新解决粮食供应问题的例子,但也有社会反应不足导致饥荒的例子。分析强调了在相互联系的生物物理和社会经济系统框架内考虑这些问题的价值。社会经济系统产生管理干预措施,以解决诸如粮食生产的土壤枯竭等生物物理限制。当社会反应不足时,社会经济制度也负有责任。目前,生物物理系统生产的粮食足以养活世界人口。然而,通过社会经济系统进行的粮食分配导致营养不良的人数不断增加。生物物理系统模型表明,除非对当前的世界系统做出重大改变,否则由于资源枯竭而导致的过度反应将导致系统在21世纪内崩溃。为了制定可持续发展战略,我们需要分析对这种生物物理脆弱性的社会经济反应。社会生态分析还表明,需要纳入基于权力关系的观点,这些观点支配着现实世界的决策,而不是解决粮食安全问题的可持续性干预措施。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Systems Thinking
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