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Russia’s Economy in July 2013: Preliminary Data and Principal Trends 2013年7月俄罗斯经济:初步数据和主要趋势
Pub Date : 2013-09-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2330877
K. Rogov
Escalation of socio-political tensions in July 2013 was caused by upcoming elections in various regions on September 8, 2013. The tension, in its turn, reflects general uptrend in political activity, which has been of cellular nature so far, of both common citizens and elite groups. Main collisions in July have been developing around the upcoming mayoral elections in Moscow and St. Petersburg, as well as municipal elections in Yaroslavl.
2013年7月社会政治紧张局势的升级是由于2013年9月8日各地区即将举行的选举造成的。这种紧张反过来反映了政治活动的普遍上升趋势,到目前为止,无论是普通公民还是精英群体,政治活动都是细胞性质的。7月的主要冲突是围绕即将到来的莫斯科和圣彼得堡市长选举,以及雅罗斯拉夫尔的市政选举而发展起来的。
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引用次数: 0
Party Systems and Democratic Divergence in Contemporary Latin America 当代拉丁美洲的政党制度与民主分歧
Pub Date : 2013-08-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2315792
Kenneth M. Roberts
The study of democracy in Latin America’s third wave is necessarily a study in contrasts, given the forking paths of democratic development in the region. Explanations of these forking paths are naturally drawn to an analysis of the diverse ways in which political parties and social movements have constructed alternative democratic orders. Party systems that were programmatically aligned from left to right by democratic transitions and market liberalization have been more stable than those that were de-aligned by the dual transitions of the 1980s and 1990s. They also moderated social mobilization by channeling dissent from market orthodoxy into institutionalized outlets of partisan representation and electoral competition. In the process, programmatically-aligned partisan competition contributed to the construction of democracy as a form of institutionalized pluralism, rather than a plebiscitary expression of popular sovereignty. The latter was more likely to emerge where de-aligned party systems failed to provide institutional outlets for societal opposition to the neoliberal model, thus channeling dissent toward anti-systemic forms of social and electoral protest. Where this occured, new popular majorities could be mobilized that not only swept away traditional party systems, but also transformed or refounded democratic institutions by plebiscitary means.
考虑到该地区民主发展的分叉路径,对拉丁美洲第三波民主的研究必然是一种对比研究。对这些分叉路径的解释自然会被吸引到对政党和社会运动构建替代民主秩序的不同方式的分析。在民主转型和市场自由化的进程中从左到右结盟的政党制度比那些在20世纪80年代和90年代的双重转型中结盟的政党制度更加稳定。他们还通过将市场正统的异议引导到党派代表和选举竞争的制度化渠道中,从而缓和了社会动员。在这一过程中,与纲领一致的党派竞争促进了民主的建设,使之成为一种制度化的多元化形式,而不是人民主权的公民投票表达。后者更有可能出现在不一致的政党制度未能为社会反对新自由主义模式提供制度出口的地方,从而将异议引导到反体制的社会和选举抗议形式。在这种情况下,新的大众多数可以被动员起来,不仅扫除传统的政党制度,而且通过公民投票的方式改造或重建民主制度。
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引用次数: 1
Political and Economic Results in July 2013 2013年7月的政治和经济结果
Pub Date : 2013-07-31 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2330894
S. Zhavoronkov
In June 2013, the ruble was slightly devaluated with a view to increasing ruble budget revenues amid slow-down in economic growth. A.Ulyukayev was appointed a new Minister of Economic Development, replacing A. Belousov, which most probably means an attempt to observe moderation in government spending. President Putin admitted the need to limit growth in monopolized tariffs within inflation rate and carry over a part of military expenditures for better times. A new privatization program approved by the Russian Government was actual announcement to refuse to privatize large property (except for Rostelecom, Vnukovo and Sheremetyevo international airports, ROSNANO, Aeroflot) to the extent that privatization means gaining control over such property by a private owner. However, the previous program failed to be implemented, being just an attempt of political promotion, therefore no serious deterioration in a new reality can be observed. The arrest of Makhachkala mayor S. Amirov in Daghestan was an evidence of that the state is seriously determined to combat civil servants and ethnic tribes who have relations with terrorist underworld.
2013年6月,为了在经济增长放缓的情况下增加卢布预算收入,卢布被小幅贬值。乌柳卡耶夫(a . ulyukayev)被任命为新的经济发展部部长,取代了别洛乌索夫(a . Belousov),这很可能意味着试图保持政府支出的适度。普京总统承认,有必要在通货膨胀率范围内限制垄断关税的增长,并将部分军费用于经济好转时期。俄罗斯政府批准的一项新的私有化方案实际上是宣布拒绝将大型财产(除了Rostelecom、伏努科沃和谢列梅捷沃国际机场、ROSNANO、Aeroflot)私有化,因为私有化意味着由私人所有者获得对这些财产的控制。但是,之前的方案没有得到实施,只是一种政治宣传的尝试,因此在新的现实中没有出现严重的恶化。马哈奇卡拉市长s·阿米罗夫(S. Amirov)在吉尔吉斯斯坦被捕,表明该国决心打击与恐怖主义黑社会有关系的公务员和少数民族部落。
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引用次数: 0
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AARN: Political Organization: States & Nations (Sub-Topic)
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