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Judging Heuristics 判断启发式
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2001-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.262725
Hillary A. Sale
This Article tells a story about judges and the development of doctrine (or, arguably, lack thereof), and what happens when Congress both legislatively and rhetorically gives overworked federal courts the permission and the power to exercise docket control by eliminating cases at the motion-to-dismiss stage. It is also a story about the long-run implications of a focus on procedure and form over substance in the realm of securities law. The moral of the story is that when form over substance is the input, form over substance is the output. The story focuses on federal district court judges who are trial management specialists, faced with lengthy dockets. It is drawn from the courts' moves and language, followed, largely, by exploring cases in which courts have deployed judge-made heuristics to securities-fraud claims. In the end, it is a story about the limits of the rule of law. The larger story has its roots in the many years of cases decided since the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 were passed. But, the focus of this story is more recent, unfolding primarily since December of 1995, when Congress passed the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act (the "PSLRA"), and statutorily created pleading standards for securities-fraud claims. Although the story could be a novel, with chapters encompassing all types of claims and reforms included in the PSLRA, the securities-law portion of this Article is only part of the tale - a backdrop for the story about judging and judges and the heuristics they use and the impression those heuristics create. Section One of the Article discusses district court judges, their workloads, and motives. Then, in Section Two, I explore the heuristics, or shortcuts that are evolving out of those, largely, district court opinions, through the ways in which they have developed and applied one pre-PSLRA standard, called the Motive and Opportunity Test, to the scienter element of claims brought pursuant to the Securities Exchange Act. The district courts have eagerly and overwhelmingly accepted the "opportunity" Congress offered them by creating and using heuristics to eliminate cases on motions to dismiss that are arguably better preserved for summary judgment. In Section Three, I review those courts' rhetoric; how they exercise their discretion and the comments and powers they invoke in doing so, arguing that the courts' commentaries create the appearance of disdain for these cases and, sometimes, contempt for the plaintiffs' lawyers involved. Using that language and rhetoric, in combination with the heuristics discussed in Section Two, I then focus on the impressions created by the heuristics and rhetoric, arguing that the district courts are creating the impression that their own desires to clear their dockets have the potential to overwhelm the merits of the cases before them. Lastly, in Section Four, I explore the potential implications of these opinions and the heuristics for the legitimac
本文讲述了一个关于法官和原则发展(或者可以说,缺乏原则)的故事,以及当国会在立法和修辞上给予劳累过度的联邦法院许可和权力,通过在动议驳回阶段取消案件来行使摘要控制时会发生什么。这也是一个关于在证券法领域注重程序和形式而不是实质的长期影响的故事。这个故事的寓意是,当形式大于实质是输入时,形式大于实质就是输出。这个故事的重点是联邦地区法院的法官,他们是审判管理专家,面临着冗长的诉讼程序。它是从法院的行动和语言中得出的,其次,主要是通过探索法院在证券欺诈索赔中使用法官启发式的案例。最后,这是一个关于法治局限性的故事。从1933年《证券法》(Securities Act of 1933)和1934年《证券交易法》(Securities Exchange Act of 1934)通过以来的许多年里,案件的裁决都有其根源。但是,这个故事的焦点是最近的,主要是从1995年12月开始展开的,当时国会通过了《私人证券诉讼改革法案》(PSLRA),并在法律上为证券欺诈索赔制定了辩护标准。虽然这个故事可以是一部小说,章节中包含了PSLRA中所有类型的索赔和改革,但本文的证券法部分只是故事的一部分-关于审判和法官以及他们使用的启发式以及这些启发式产生的印象的故事的背景。该条第一节讨论了地区法院法官、他们的工作量和动机。然后,在第二部分中,我探索了启发式或捷径,主要是从地方法院的意见中发展出来的,通过他们开发和应用pslra之前的一个标准的方式,称为动机和机会测试,根据《证券交易法》提出的索赔的科学要素。地方法院急切地、压倒性地接受了国会提供给他们的“机会”,通过创造和使用启发式法来排除动议驳回的案件,这些案件可能更好地保留在即决判决中。在第三部分,我回顾了这些法院的修辞;他们如何行使自己的自由裁量权,以及他们在这样做时援引的评论和权力,他们认为法院的评论造成了对这些案件的蔑视,有时甚至是对原告律师的蔑视。使用这种语言和修辞,结合第二节中讨论的启发式,然后我将重点放在启发式和修辞所产生的印象上,认为地方法院正在创造一种印象,即他们自己清理案卷的愿望有可能压倒他们面前案件的是非曲直。最后,在第四节中,我探讨了这些意见的潜在含义以及对证券市场和法院合法性的启发。
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引用次数: 15
The False Promise of the 'New' Nondelegation Doctrine “新”非授权主义的虚假承诺
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2000-03-22 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.214508
M. Seidenfeld, Jim Rossi
This essay responds to claims that the "new" nondelegation doctrine, applied by D.C. Circuit Judge Stephen Williams in American Trucking Association, Inc. v. EPA, 175 F.3d 1027 (D.C. Cir. 1999), advances the rule of law. The Supreme Court has generally favored ex post over ex ante mechanisms for control of administrative action. Currently, for instance, courts apply arbitrary and capricious review, as a way to control agency decision making ex post. But the rule of law benefits of the "new" nondelegation doctrine are no greater than those delivered by the current means of ex post controls. The rule of law serves three primary functions: it reduces uncertainty; it minimizes the likelihood of government tyranny; and it helps to assure political accountability. Judicially enforced ex ante constraints, however, are not necessary to perform any of these functions, and may even undermine some of them. In addition, the rule of law is not the be-all and end-all of regulatory systems. There are countervailing benefits to a system that allows for regulatory flexibility. Although there may be some role for ex ante constraints in controlling agency discretion, the factors that determine the means of limiting agency discretion are political rather than legal in nature. Thus, imposition of ex ante limitations is best left to the political process--not to courts.
这篇文章回应了dc巡回法官Stephen Williams在美国卡车运输协会诉EPA案(175 F.3d 1027 (dc Cir. 1999))中应用的“新”非授权原则促进了法治的主张。最高法院一般倾向于事后机制而不是事前机制来控制行政行为。例如,目前法院采用武断和反复无常的审查,作为事后控制机构决策的一种方式。但是,“新的”非授权原则对法治的好处并不比现行事后管制手段带来的好处大。法治有三个主要功能:减少不确定性;它将政府暴政的可能性降至最低;它还有助于确保政治问责制。然而,司法强制的事前限制并不是履行任何这些职能所必需的,甚至可能破坏其中一些职能。此外,法治并不是监管体系的全部和最终目的。一个允许监管灵活性的体系有一些抵消性的好处。虽然事前约束在控制机构自由裁量权方面可能有一定作用,但决定限制机构自由裁量权的手段的因素是政治性的,而不是法律性质的。因此,实施事前限制最好留给政治程序,而不是法院。
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引用次数: 5
Is Silence Golden? Confidentiality and Correlated Culpability 沉默是金吗?保密与相关罪责
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 1999-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.149778
A. Daughety, Jennifer F. Reinganum
We consider the formation and legal protection of secret agreements by analyzing a negotiated settlement between a harmed plaintiff and a culpable defendant that seeks to disenfranchise a second harmed plaintiff by keeping the existence (and details) of the instant settlement secret. This is done so as to reduce the likelihood of the second plaintiff suing the defendant for damages or, failing that, to reduce the losses incurred by the defendant in the second suit. Such agreements happen every day and are generally legal, but are they socially optimal? Formally, we consider a sequence of incomplete information bargaining games wherein uninformed plaintiffs make demands of the informed defendant, with the defendant and the first plaintiff recognizing that their actions in the first case may convey information about the defendant's culpability to the second plaintiff. We then use the results of the analysis to provide insight as to when the law should prohibit or permit confidential agreements. We find that, even though early plaintiffs prefer permitting confidentiality and later plaintiffs prefer prohibiting it, the average plaintiff prefers prohibition. We also show that defendants always prefer that confidentiality be permitted. When role-interim decisions (that is, decisions made when agents know whether they are likely to be plaintiffs or defendants) have no (or small) adverse welfare consequences, society would (ex ante) prefer permitting confidential settlements. However, if agents know their roles, then this conflict of preferences can mean reduced consumer demand due to perceived incentives for firms to reduce care and due to the expectation of undercompensation for harms suffered. This can lead to further reduced care and provide reduced incentives to innovate. Furthermore, confidentiality potentially biases perceived reputations of firms, potentially leading consumers to avoid trade due to concern for adverse selection and moral hazard. We also show how this analysis can systematically inform the exercise of judicial discretion with regard to such agreements.
我们通过分析一个受损害的原告和一个有罪的被告之间的谈判和解来考虑秘密协议的形成和法律保护,该被告试图通过对即时和解的存在(和细节)保密来剥夺另一个受损害的原告的权利。这样做是为了减少第二个原告起诉被告要求损害赔偿的可能性,或者,如果没有,减少被告在第二次诉讼中遭受的损失。这样的协议每天都在发生,而且通常是合法的,但它们在社会上是最优的吗?在形式上,我们考虑一系列不完全信息讨价还价博弈,其中不知情的原告向知情的被告提出要求,被告和第一个原告认识到,他们在第一个案件中的行为可能会向第二个原告传达有关被告有罪的信息。然后,我们使用分析的结果来提供关于法律何时应该禁止或允许保密协议的见解。我们发现,尽管早期原告倾向于允许保密,而后期原告倾向于禁止保密,但一般原告倾向于禁止保密。我们还表明,被告总是希望保密被允许。当角色过渡决策(即在代理人知道自己可能是原告还是被告的情况下做出的决策)没有(或很小)不利的福利后果时,社会将(事前)倾向于允许保密和解。然而,如果代理人知道他们的角色,那么这种偏好冲突可能意味着消费者需求的减少,这是由于企业减少护理的感知激励,以及对所遭受伤害的补偿不足的预期。这可能导致进一步减少护理,减少创新的动力。此外,保密可能会影响企业的感知声誉,可能导致消费者由于担心逆向选择和道德风险而避免交易。我们还展示了这种分析如何能够系统地为就此类协议行使司法自由裁量权提供信息。
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引用次数: 1
A Note on Presumptions with Sequential Litigation 论序贯诉讼中的推定
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 1999-06-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.167568
Antonio E. Bernardo, E. Talley
This note extends the Bernardo, Talley & Welch (1999) model of legal presumptions to study situations where litigation efforts are spent sequentially rather than simultaneously. The equilibria of the litigation stage are presented as functions of the underlying presumption. The equilibria and comparative statics are shown to be qualitatively similar to those of the simultaneous version. However, sequentiality allows the principal to pre commit to a litigation strategy, and thus possibly preempt any litigation effort whatsoever by the agent.
本文扩展了Bernardo, Talley和Welch(1999)的法律假设模型,以研究诉讼努力按顺序而不是同时进行的情况。诉讼阶段的均衡表现为基础推定的函数。平衡态和比较静力态在质量上与同步态相似。然而,顺序性允许委托人预先承诺诉讼策略,从而可能抢占代理的任何诉讼努力。
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引用次数: 11
Young Children's Competency to Take the Oath 幼儿的宣誓能力
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 1999-05-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.161190
T. Lyon
Despite liberalization of the rules of evidence, children must still understand the difference between truth and falsehood, appreciate the obligation to tell the truth, and take some form of the oath before they are allowed to testify. The legal requirements raise three questions: (a) How should children's understanding be assessed? (b) What form of the oath should be used? and (c) Does understanding and/or oath-taking correlate with honesty? I review the research on these issues and present data from a series of studies involving maltreated and non-maltreated children. The research demonstrates that conventional methods of assessing children's understanding are prone to serious error and that young children may have difficulty understanding even simplified versions of the oath. I recommend more sensitive measures for qualifying children and a child-friendly version of the oath. I also review research testing the relation among oath-taking competence, oath-taking, and honesty, and present data from two studies demonstrating that the oath can affect children's honesty.
尽管证据规则放宽了,但孩子们仍然必须理解真假的区别,认识到讲真话的义务,并在被允许作证之前进行某种形式的宣誓。法律要求提出了三个问题:(a)如何评估儿童的理解能力?(b)应采用什么形式宣誓?(c)理解和/或宣誓是否与诚实相关?我回顾了关于这些问题的研究,并提出了一系列涉及受虐待和未受虐待儿童的研究数据。研究表明,评估儿童理解能力的传统方法容易出现严重错误,幼儿甚至可能难以理解简化版本的誓言。我建议对符合条件的儿童采取更敏感的措施,并制定适合儿童的誓言。我还回顾了检验宣誓能力、宣誓和诚实之间关系的研究,并提出了两项研究的数据,证明宣誓可以影响儿童的诚实。
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引用次数: 5
Should Tobacco Companies Pay the Present Value of Damages? 烟草公司应该支付损害的现值吗?
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 1999-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.185532
M. Coller, G. Harrison
The concept of present value is a standard and uncontroversial staple of business economists. While there may be some legitimate debate over the choice of interest rate to be used in any application, the idea of present value is not seriously in debate. It may come as a surprise, therefore, to learn that the use of present value calculations in legal settings is not routinely accepted. We examine this difference of opinion in the context of a major case study in which huge amounts of money hinged on the willingness of the courts to allow present value calculations. This case is the calculation of damages in the lawsuits brought by state attorney generals against tobacco companies. From the perspective of damages experts retained by the plaintiffs in many of these cases, we found ourselves convincing lawyers and judges of the need to use present value calculations. Given the long time horizon over which damages occurred, for example back to 1957 in the Oklahoma case, the use of present value could be expected to make a significant difference to the overall damages amounts. Indeed, we show that it does. For the state of Oklahoma, un-discounted excess medical expenditures due to smoking are $1.395 billion during the forty-year period since 1957. When an appropriate risk-adjusted rate is applied, the present value of those damages nearly triples to $4.011 billion. This is a significant difference in damages, by virtually any metric.
对于商业经济学家来说,现值的概念是一个标准的、没有争议的基本概念。虽然在任何应用程序中使用利率的选择可能会有一些合理的辩论,但现值的概念并没有受到认真的辩论。因此,当得知在法律环境中使用现值计算并不被常规接受时,人们可能会感到惊讶。我们在一个主要案例研究的背景下研究这种意见分歧,在这个案例研究中,巨额资金取决于法院是否愿意允许现值计算。这个案例是州检察长对烟草公司提起的诉讼中损害赔偿的计算。从许多此类案件中原告聘请的损害赔偿专家的角度来看,我们发现自己说服了律师和法官使用现值计算的必要性。鉴于损害发生的时间跨度较长,例如追溯到1957年的俄克拉何马州案,使用现值可以预期对总体损害金额产生重大影响。事实上,我们证明了这一点。在俄克拉何马州,自1957年以来的40年间,因吸烟而产生的未贴现的额外医疗支出为13.95亿美元。如果采用适当的风险调整率,这些损失的现值几乎是原来的三倍,达到40.11亿美元。无论以何种标准衡量,这都是损失的显著差异。
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引用次数: 2
The Breast Implant Fiasco 隆胸手术的惨败
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 1999-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.107588
D. Bernstein
This article, a review essay of Marcia Angell's Science on Trial, begins by discussing the history of breast implant litigation. The implant litigation was not driven by scientific evidence, but by political posturing by self-proclaimed consumer activist Sidney Wolfe, FDA Commissioner David Kessler, and others, sensationalistic media coverage, public opinion inflamed by revelations that implant manufacturers had not followed up on concerns about the potential health effects of silicone, and a contingency fee system that encourages speculative litigation. Once plaintiffs' attorneys won a few big, early victories through superior lawyering, reliance on junk science, and emotional appeals to juries, this attracted investment by other attorneys and created an irrepressible flood of litigation. Next, this article discusses reforms of the American tort system that would reduce attorneys' financial incentives to bring scientifically-dubious claims. First, courts should establish and enforce strict standards for the admissibility of scientific evidence. Second, the contingency fee system should be replaced with the British conditional fee system. Finally, trial procedures should be reformed to increase the probability that fact-finders will arrive at scientifically-correct judgments. Finally, this article considers and rejects recent proposals to allow plaintiffs in toxic tort cases to recover damages for their illnesses without proof of causation if there is proof of defendant's negligence. Instead, the article proposes a legislative solution, akin to whistle-blower statutes and qui tam provisions, that would permit individuals to bring an action in a federal tribunal against a company that is negligently putting the health of the public at risk.
这篇文章是对Marcia Angell的《审判科学》的一篇评论文章,首先讨论了乳房植入物诉讼的历史。植入物诉讼不是由科学证据驱动的,而是由自称为消费者活动家的Sidney Wolfe、FDA专员David Kessler等人的政治姿态、耸人听闻的媒体报道、植入物制造商没有跟进对硅胶潜在健康影响的担忧而引发的公众舆论以及鼓励投机性诉讼的意外费用制度所驱动的。一旦原告律师通过优秀的律师、对垃圾科学的依赖和对陪审团的情感诉求赢得了一些重大的早期胜利,这就吸引了其他律师的投资,并产生了不可抑制的诉讼洪流。接下来,本文讨论了美国侵权制度的改革,这将减少律师提出科学上可疑的索赔的经济动机。首先,法院应该为科学证据的可采性建立并执行严格的标准。其次,应以英国的有条件收费制度取代应急收费制度。最后,审判程序应该改革,以增加事实发现者做出科学正确判断的可能性。最后,本文考虑并拒绝了最近的建议,即如果有证据证明被告的疏忽,允许有毒侵权案件中的原告在没有因果关系证明的情况下为他们的疾病获得损害赔偿。相反,这篇文章提出了一种立法解决方案,类似于举报人法规和小组条款,允许个人向联邦法庭提起诉讼,起诉疏忽大意、危及公众健康的公司。
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引用次数: 12
Default Rules from Mandatory Rules: Privatizing Law Through Arbitration 强制性规则中的默认规则:通过仲裁实现法律私有化
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 1999-01-04 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.140738
S. Ware
This Article considers the extent to which the creation of law has been privatized through arbitration. It suggests that, under Supreme Court cases and other current legal doctrine, vast areas of law are privatizable and that this degree of privatization is possible only through arbitration. The implications of this point are separated along the familiar line between mandatory rules of law and default rules. The first implication is that arbitration jeopardizes mandatory rules of law. To preserve the mandatory effect of these rules, the Supreme Court must make a choice. The Court must either reverse its decisions that claims arising under otherwise mandatory rules are arbitrable, or require de novo judicial review of arbitrators' legal rulings on such claims. The second implication is that claims arising under default rules should be arbitrable and completely free from judicial review for errors of law. The arbitration of claims arising under default rules presents an opportunity to privatize the creation of vast areas of law. It is an opportunity to create private legal systems of unwritten norms, written rules, and the precedents of private courts.
本文考察了通过仲裁使法律的创造私有化的程度。它表明,根据最高法院的案件和其他现行法律原则,法律的广大领域是可以私有化的,而这种程度的私有化只有通过仲裁才能实现。这一点的含义沿着强制性法律规则和默认规则之间熟悉的界限分开。第一个含义是,仲裁损害了强制性法律规则。为了保持这些规则的强制效力,最高法院必须做出选择。法院要么撤销其关于根据其他强制性规则产生的索赔可仲裁的决定,要么要求对仲裁员对此类索赔的法律裁决重新进行司法审查。第二个含义是,在默认规则下产生的索赔应该是可仲裁的,并且完全不受法律错误的司法审查。对违约规则下产生的索赔进行仲裁,提供了将大量法律领域的创造私有化的机会。这是一个创造不成文规范、成文规则和私人法院先例的私人法律体系的机会。
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引用次数: 34
The Tobacco Deal 烟草交易
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 1998-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.158328
P. Klemperer, Jeremy I. Bulow
We analyse the major economic issues raised by the 1997 Tobacco Resolution and the ensuing proposed legislation that were intended to settle tobacco litigation in the United States. By settling litigation largely in return for tax increases, the Resolution was a superb example of a "win-win" deal. The taxes would cost the companies about $1 billion per year, but yield the government about $13 billion per year, and allow the lawyers to claim fees based on hundreds of billions in "damages". Only consumers, in whose name many of the lawsuits were filed, lost out. Though the strategy seems brilliant for the parties involved, the execution was less intelligent. We show that alternative taxes would be considerably superior to those proposed, and explain problems with the damage payments required from the firms, and the legal protections offered to them. We argue that the legislation was not particularly focused on youth smoking, despite the rhetoric. However, contrary to conventional wisdom, youth smokers are not especially valuable to the companies, so marketing restrictions are a sensible part of any deal. The individual state settlements set very dangerous examples which could open up unprecedented opportunities for collusion throughout the economy, and the multistate settlement of November 1998 is equally flawed. The fees proposed for the lawyers (around $15 billion) and the equally remarkable proposed payoff for Liggett (perhaps $400 million annually, for a company with a prior market value of about $100 million) also set terrible examples. We conclude with some views about how public policy might do better.
我们分析了1997年烟草决议和随后提出的旨在解决美国烟草诉讼的立法提出的主要经济问题。通过解决诉讼,主要以增加税收作为回报,该决议是一个“双赢”协议的极好例子。这些税收将使公司每年损失约10亿美元,但每年给政府带来约130亿美元的收益,并允许律师根据数千亿美元的“损害赔偿金”收取费用。只有消费者蒙受了损失,因为许多诉讼都是以消费者的名义提起的。虽然这一战略对相关各方来说似乎很明智,但执行起来却不那么明智。我们表明,替代税收将大大优于那些提议的税收,并解释了要求公司支付损害赔偿金的问题,以及向他们提供的法律保护。我们认为,尽管措辞华丽,但立法并没有特别关注青少年吸烟问题。然而,与传统观点相反,年轻吸烟者对烟草公司来说并不是特别有价值,因此营销限制是任何交易中明智的一部分。个别州的解决方案树立了非常危险的榜样,可能为整个经济中的勾结提供前所未有的机会,1998年11月的多州解决方案同样存在缺陷。向律师收取的费用(约150亿美元)和向利格特提出的同样可观的报酬(对一家市值约为1亿美元的公司来说,每年可能达到4亿美元)也树立了可怕的榜样。最后,我们对公共政策如何做得更好提出了一些看法。
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引用次数: 59
期刊
Journal of Environmental Law and Litigation
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