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ECONOMY AND SOCIOLOGY 2020 NO. 1最新文献

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PREDICTORS OF UNDER–FIVE CHILD MORTALITY IN ZIMBABWE 津巴布韦五岁以下儿童死亡率预测指标
Pub Date : 2020-07-15 DOI: 10.36004/nier.es.2020.1-08
The study examines the role of socio-economic and maternal factors on under–five child mortality in Zimbabwe. The research is based on the analysis of the 2012 population census data. A logistic regression model was employed to determine factors that significantly affect under-five child mortality. The results revealed that maternal educational level, age at first birth, marital status, sanitation and provincial locationwere significant determinants of under–five child mortality. Public health interventions should focus on mothers; single, formerly married, had early childbearing, uneducated, use unsafe drinking water and toilets.
该研究审查了社会经济和孕产妇因素对津巴布韦五岁以下儿童死亡率的影响。该研究基于对2012年人口普查数据的分析。采用logistic回归模型确定显著影响五岁以下儿童死亡率的因素。结果显示,母亲的教育水平、第一胎年龄、婚姻状况、卫生条件和所在省份是5岁以下儿童死亡率的重要决定因素。公共卫生干预措施应侧重于母亲;单身,未婚,早育,未受过教育,使用不安全的饮用水和厕所。
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引用次数: 0
METHODOLOGICAL APPROACH TO THE ELABORATION OF INDICATORS FOR QUANTIFYING THE COMPETITIVENESS OF GOODS 制定量化商品竞争力指标的方法学方法
Pub Date : 2020-07-15 DOI: 10.36004/nier.es.2020.1-07
T. Gutium
The period of temporary economic isolation caused by the Covid-19 pandemic has affected the economies of all countries in the world. After quarantine and the gradual restoration of the activity of all economic sectors, competition in the world market will intensify. Countries will promote strategies for economic growth, improving economic security, increasing exports, and protecting domestic producers. Given the fact that resources are limited and exhaustible, it is necessary to correctly identify priority sectors when developing strategies. For this purpose, the competitiveness index can be used, since competitiveness is one of the main characteristics that allows anyone to determine its position on the market, and increasing competitiveness ensures victory in the competition. The novelty and purpose of the study is to develop two new integral indices, and to improve one symmetric index of comparative advantage developed earlier. Some of empirical and theoretical methods were used in this research: abstraction, the method of ascending from the abstract to the concrete, comparison, measurement, analysis and synthesis, economic and mathematical modelling. To identify priority sectors, the author used the developed indices to assess the competitiveness of goods, not only on the foreign market, but also on the domestic market. This study can serve economists as a tool for assessing the competitivenessof goods, identifying the strengths and weaknesses of the goods offered, in the context of developing measures to increase competitiveness, which will increase the profitability of entrepreneurship.
新冠肺炎大流行造成的暂时经济隔离期,对世界各国经济都产生了影响。在隔离和所有经济部门的活动逐渐恢复之后,世界市场上的竞争将会加剧。各国将促进经济增长、改善经济安全、增加出口和保护国内生产者的战略。鉴于资源是有限和可耗尽的,在制定战略时必须正确地确定优先部门。为此,可以使用竞争力指数,因为竞争力是任何人决定其在市场上地位的主要特征之一,提高竞争力可以确保在竞争中获胜。本研究的新颖性和目的在于开发两个新的积分指标,并对先前开发的一个对称比较优势指标进行改进。本研究采用了一些实证和理论方法:抽象、从抽象到具体的上升方法、比较、测量、分析和综合、经济和数学建模。为了确定优先部门,作者使用开发的指数来评估商品在国外市场和国内市场上的竞争力。这项研究可以作为经济学家评估商品竞争力的工具,在制定提高竞争力的措施的背景下,确定所提供商品的优势和劣势,这将增加创业的盈利能力。
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引用次数: 2
RISK-BASED APPROACH IN THE EUROPEAN UNION LEGISLATION TO PREVENT MONEY LAUNDERING AND FINANCING OF TERRORISM 欧洲联盟防止洗钱和资助恐怖主义的立法中基于风险的方法
Pub Date : 2020-07-15 DOI: 10.36004/nier.es.2020.1-04
Money laundering and terrorism financing are serious and internationally emerging issues that must be approached and confronted at European Union level. The latest terrorist attacks and periodic banking scandals highlight the necessity for additional attention in this particular direction. In regard to the internal EU market, financial flows are integrated and trans-border by nature, thus funds can circulate rapidly, from one country to another, offering the possibility to perpetrators and terrorists to transfer money across Member State avoiding detection by authorities. This specific situation generates the necessity to identify and understand the particular ML/TF risks generated by services and products offered within the EU economic and financial ecosystem. In order to ensure an efficient mechanism for identifying the ML/TF risks associated with the products and services provided on the territory of European Union, the 4AMLD provides the obligation of the EU Commission to perform once in two years the so-called European Union Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing Supranational RiskAssessment. Since 2017 two supra-national risk assessments were carried out and the final results are used by Member States to monitor the evolution of risks at Union level and to implement the necessary recommendation for ensuring a proper minimization of threats and vulnerabilities at the national level. This paper aims to analyze, understand and compare the main outcomes of the two assessments, namely the identified risks and their links with vulnerable sectors, as well as the evolution or devolution of certain risks as a result of mitigation measures applied by EU Member States. Another task of this article is to provide additional recommendations in terms of mitigating measures and efforts, which must be taken into account by Member States
洗钱和资助恐怖主义是国际上正在出现的严重问题,必须在欧洲联盟一级加以处理和应对。最近的恐怖袭击和周期性的银行业丑闻凸显了对这一特定方向给予更多关注的必要性。就欧盟内部市场而言,资金流动本质上是一体化和跨境的,因此资金可以从一个国家迅速流动到另一个国家,为犯罪者和恐怖分子在成员国之间转移资金提供了可能,从而避免被当局发现。这种特殊情况产生了识别和理解欧盟经济和金融生态系统中提供的服务和产品产生的特定ML/TF风险的必要性。为了确保有效的机制来识别与欧盟境内提供的产品和服务相关的ML/TF风险,4AMLD规定欧盟委员会有义务每两年进行一次所谓的欧盟洗钱和恐怖主义融资超国家风险评估。自2017年以来,开展了两次超国家风险评估,会员国利用最终结果监测联盟层面的风险演变,并实施必要的建议,以确保在国家层面适当减少威胁和脆弱性。本文旨在分析、理解和比较两项评估的主要结果,即已确定的风险及其与脆弱部门的联系,以及欧盟成员国采取缓解措施后某些风险的演变或转移。本条的另一项任务是在减轻措施和努力方面提出更多建议,会员国必须考虑到这一点
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引用次数: 1
EFFICIENCY OF SUBSIDIES ALLOCATION TO AGRICULTURAL ENTERPRISES IN THE REPUBLIC OF MOLDOVA 摩尔多瓦共和国农业企业补贴分配效率
Pub Date : 2020-07-15 DOI: 10.36004/nier.es.2020.1-05
As the Republic of Moldova has limited opportunities to provide generous financial support to farmers, it is extremely important to efficiently use subsidy means, so as to contribute to the development and modernization of agriculture and rural areas. The development of agriculture in a dynamic way can be achieved on the basis of an efficient subsidy system, administered, monitored and evaluated. The aim of the research is to analyse and evaluate the efficiency and impact of subsidization on the development of the agricultural sector and to ensure a stable increase in agricultural production, emphasizing main support measures in this direction. To carry out this study, various research methods were used, such as: observation method, table method, analysis and synthesis method, comparison method, monographic method, statistical data collection. This article presents an analysis of the evolution of the subsidy fund for agricultural producers, which has increased 2.25 times in the last 7 years. There has also been analysed the structure of beneficiaries of subsidies according to the legal organizational form, who received subsidies during the reference period. It has been found that households are in the top of beneficiaries of subsidies who had a share of 62.03% in 2018. The distribution of subsidies by development regions and per one hectare of agricultural land in the profile of development regions has been studied and it has been found that the predominant share is held by agricultural enterprises in the Centre region, about 38.9% of the means of thesubsidy fund. The results of the research show an increase in the subsidy level, through support measures. In this context, we can mention that the support measures must ensure an efficient use of the subsidies
由于摩尔多瓦共和国向农民提供慷慨财政支持的机会有限,因此有效利用补贴手段,为农业和农村地区的发展和现代化作出贡献是极其重要的。农业的动态发展可以在有效的补贴制度、管理、监测和评价的基础上实现。研究的目的是分析和评价补贴对农业部门发展的效率和影响,确保农业生产的稳定增长,并强调这方面的主要支持措施。为开展本研究,采用了多种研究方法,如:观察法、表法、分析综合法、比较法、专著法、统计资料收集等。本文分析了农业生产者补贴资金在过去7年中增长了2.25倍的演变过程。还根据法定组织形式分析了在本报告所述期间获得补贴的补贴受益者的结构。据调查,2018年家庭的补贴比例为62.03%,位居补贴受益者之首。研究了各发展区域和每公顷农业用地补贴在发展区域剖面中的分布情况,发现中部地区的农业企业占主导地位,约占补贴资金的38.9%。研究结果表明,通过扶持措施,补贴水平有所提高。在这方面,我们可以提到,支助措施必须确保有效地利用补贴
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引用次数: 0
PERFORMANCE DETERMINANTS OF THE INSURANCE COMPANY’S ACTIVITY 保险公司经营活动的绩效决定因素
Pub Date : 2020-07-15 DOI: 10.36004/nier.es.2020.1-02
Considering the growing role of the insurance protection function in a dynamic business environment, the issue of efficient management and solvency of insurance companies is becoming a priority. The purpose of this study is to identify the performance determinants of the insurance business. To achieve this goal, the authorsresearched methodological aspects of assessing the financial performance of the insurance company in terms of absolute and relative indicators of financial results. The authors consider that profit and profitability indicators are important to give a quantitative and qualitative assessment to the financial management ofcompanies. The monographic method and the causal explanation were applied to concretize the model for forming the overall financial result of the insurance company. The methodological approach in order to test the hypothesis was made by adapting the factorial model for analysing the profitability of sales revenues to the specifics of the insurance company's activity. Profit and profitability indicators play an important role in the process of qualitative and quantitative evaluation of the company's financial management. The analyses performed by the authors based on the public financial statements of the insurance company "Acord Grup" SA, the reports of the National Financial Market Commission (NCFM) and the reports of the Romanian FinancialSupervisory Authority (FSA) highlighted the decreasing trend of profitability indicators of insurance companies.In order to react as quickly as possible and manage the given situation, the authors recommend to the managers of the insurance companies to apply the factorial analysis models, in order to capture the determinants of the profitability indicators of the insurance activity, which require an increased attention.
考虑到保险保障职能在动态商业环境中的作用越来越大,保险公司的有效管理和偿付能力问题正成为一个优先事项。本研究的目的是确定保险业务的绩效决定因素。为了实现这一目标,作者从财务结果的绝对和相对指标方面研究了评估保险公司财务绩效的方法方面。笔者认为,利润和盈利能力指标是对企业财务管理进行定量和定性评价的重要指标。运用专著法和因果解释,将形成保险公司整体财务结果的模型具体化。为了检验假设的方法方法是通过调整析因模型来分析销售收入的盈利能力,以适应保险公司活动的具体情况。在对公司财务管理进行定性和定量评价的过程中,利润和盈利能力指标起着重要的作用。根据保险公司“accord group”SA的公开财务报表、国家金融市场委员会(NCFM)的报告和罗马尼亚金融监管局(FSA)的报告,作者进行了分析,突出了保险公司盈利指标的下降趋势。为了尽可能快地做出反应并管理给定的情况,作者建议保险公司的管理人员应用析因分析模型,以便捕捉保险活动盈利指标的决定因素,这需要更多的关注。
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引用次数: 0
A FEMINIST REFLECTIVE ANALYSIS OF GENDER MAINSTREAMING IN YOUTH POLICY AND PRACTICE IN THE REPUBLIC OF MOLDOVA 摩尔多瓦共和国青年政策和实践中性别主流化的女权主义反思分析
Pub Date : 2020-07-15 DOI: 10.36004/nier.es.2020.1-09
This year, 2020, marks the 25th anniversary of the 1995 United Nations Fourth World Conference on Women in Beijing where gender mainstreaming was introduced. Since then, gender mainstreaming has come to be recognized as the inter-governmentally agreed strategy to achieve gender equality and female empowerment and involves integrating a gender perspective into all aspects of governmental policy, regulation, and budgeting, with an eye towards promoting equality between women and men, social inclusion, and eliminating discrimination in all its forms. Despite notable achievements, an important body of feminist scholarship reveals that gender mainstreaming faces many challenges. In this paper, I contribute to this body of knowledge by using a feminist reflective practice approach to analyze the gender mainstreaming process I undertook as part of the 2020 Comprehensive Youth Sector Analysis in the Republic of Moldova. Through this analysis, I identify a number of challenges that can be understood as part of the larger social construction of gender inequality and conclude that gender mainstreaming processes embody the same gender inequality and patriarchy that we encounter in our larger social structures. This, in turn, acts as one of the greatest threats to gender mainstreaming as an effective strategy to achieve gender equality.
2020年是1995年在北京召开的联合国第四次世界妇女大会25周年,会上提出了性别主流化。从那时起,性别主流化已被公认为实现性别平等和赋予女性权力的政府间商定战略,涉及将性别观点纳入政府政策、法规和预算的各个方面,以促进男女平等、社会包容和消除一切形式的歧视。尽管取得了显著的成就,但一个重要的女权主义研究机构表明,性别主流化面临着许多挑战。在本文中,我通过使用女权主义反思实践方法来分析性别主流化进程,为这一知识体系做出贡献,这是我在摩尔多瓦共和国2020年全面青年部门分析中的一部分。通过这一分析,我确定了一些挑战,这些挑战可以被理解为性别不平等的更大社会结构的一部分,并得出结论,性别主流化进程体现了我们在更大的社会结构中遇到的性别不平等和父权制。这反过来又成为性别平等主流化作为实现性别平等的有效战略的最大威胁之一。
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引用次数: 0
DIGITAL MARKETING IN THE PRACTICE OF SMALL AND MEDIUM ENTERPRISES IN THE REPUBLIC OF MOLDOVA 数字营销在摩尔多瓦共和国中小企业的实践
Pub Date : 2020-07-15 DOI: 10.36004/nier.es.2020.1-06
The use of modern marketing strategies for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) is an important factor that can contribute to strengthening entrepreneurial activity, qualitative structural changes to SMEs, and ensuring business sustainability and stability. The digital revolution and technologies open up new opportunities for the business sector, improving the quality of communication with customers, while digital marketing (DM) is an important tool that can ensure the competitiveness and effectiveness of actions taken to promote products and services. This article presents the results of a qualitative study of the perception and practice of SMEs in the field of DM conducted by the author in 2019. Twenty entrepreneurs – SME owners in Chisinau were interviewed. The analysis also includes a case study of the BRAVO-MOTORS company practice. The theoretical and conceptual framework of the study is comprised of modern marketing theory, ResourceBased View approach (Wernerelt B.) and Theory of dynamic capabilities (Teece et al.). The results of the study showed that SMEs do not pay due attention to digitalization of business processes, data collection and analysis, optimization of work processes and monitoring of key indicators. The role and importance of developing a marketing strategy is in many cases underestimated, and marketing activities are limited to the use of individual marketing elements only. There is a low level of competence of entrepreneurs in the field of marketing, especially regarding modern marketing tactics and strategies, as well as the lack of an integrated approach to the strategy of promotion and development of the company.
为中小型企业(SMEs)使用现代营销战略是一个重要因素,可以有助于加强企业活动,对中小型企业进行定性结构变革,并确保业务的可持续性和稳定性。数字革命和技术为商业部门开辟了新的机会,提高了与客户沟通的质量,而数字营销(DM)是一个重要的工具,可以确保所采取的行动,以促进产品和服务的竞争力和有效性。本文介绍了作者在2019年对中小企业在DM领域的认知和实践进行的定性研究的结果。基希讷乌的20位企业家和中小企业主接受了采访。分析还包括对BRAVO-MOTORS公司实践的案例研究。本研究的理论和概念框架由现代营销理论、资源基础观方法(Wernerelt B.)和动态能力理论(Teece et al.)组成。研究结果表明,中小企业对业务流程的数字化、数据的收集和分析、工作流程的优化和关键指标的监控重视不够。在许多情况下,制定营销战略的作用和重要性被低估了,营销活动仅限于单个营销要素的使用。企业家在市场营销领域的能力水平较低,特别是在现代营销策略和战略方面,以及缺乏一个综合的方法来促进公司的战略和发展。
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引用次数: 0
DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION AT THE REGIONAL LEVEL IN CZECH LANDS 捷克土地区域一级的人口转型
Pub Date : 2020-07-15 DOI: 10.36004/nier.es.2020.1-10
This study presents the results of the development of demographic transition at the regional level in the Czech Lands. The analysis uses data from censuses and vital statistics. The period for analysis is 1869-1935, and the data was recalculated for the 2011 administrative division. In the study, we used the classical approach of analysis of the demographic processes. This article aims, first, to show the evolution of mortality and fertility levels at the regional level during the demographic transition, and second, to show that the demographic transition in the Czech lands follows the patterns of other European countries, but with some particularities at the regional level.
本研究报告介绍了捷克土地区域一级人口转型发展的结果。该分析使用了人口普查和人口动态统计数据。分析时间为1869-1935年,2011年行政区划数据重新计算。在研究中,我们使用了人口统计过程的经典分析方法。本文的目的是,首先,显示死亡率和生育率水平在人口转型期间在区域一级的演变,其次,显示捷克土地上的人口转型遵循其他欧洲国家的模式,但在区域一级有一些特殊性。
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引用次数: 0
EXCHANGE MARKET PRESSURE INDEX AS A MACROECONOMIC RISK MEASURING INSTRUMENT 外汇市场压力指数作为宏观经济风险的衡量工具
Pub Date : 2020-07-15 DOI: 10.36004/nier.es.2020.1-01
The financial sector of the Republic of Moldova belongs to the developing ones and is characterized by a higher level of risk and, therefore, a higher likelihood of a systemic crisis. Globalization and development of advanced information technologies not only create great opportunities for rapid economic development, but also pose serious security threats to the economic development of states, especially in a developing economy. In these conditions, the issue of ensuring the financial stability of the state is becoming increasingly relevant. The state of the financial and foreign exchange market represents one of the most important aspects of the financial security of the state. This study has been developed as part of the scientific project 15.817.06.02A "Development of tools for measuring the financial stability of the state". The study analyzes various macrofinancial risk management tools. The purpose of this study was to calculate the pressure index on the foreign exchange market of both the Republic of Moldova and the main partner countries in terms of international trade. The results of related studies conducted by the authors of this work, which revealed that stability indicators in the foreign exchange market are associated with foreign trade risks served as an argument for the authors of the work to calculate the pressure index on the currency market of Romania and the Russian Federation for comparison with the indicators of the Republic of Moldova. Methods used in research include theoretical and comparative approaches, descriptive statistics and econometric models. The results of the research showed that international trade and the foreign exchange market are interdependent. The first can be considered a channel for transmitting the currency crisis, since demand increases with increasing imports, and this leads to increased pressure on the foreign exchange market. Increased exports reduce pressure on the foreign exchange market. But the greatest impact on the foreign exchange market in the Republic of Moldova is made by remittances from abroad, which are directly correlated with the dynamics of laborexports. At the same time, it was concluded that at present, due to macroprudential regulation, there are no linear dependencies in financial markets and, therefore, there are no correlations, but only the interdependence of variables.
摩尔多瓦共和国的金融部门属于发展中国家,其特点是风险较高,因此发生系统性危机的可能性也较高。全球化和先进信息技术的发展,既为经济快速发展创造了巨大机遇,也给各国特别是发展中经济体的经济发展带来了严重的安全威胁。在这种情况下,确保国家金融稳定的问题变得越来越重要。金融和外汇市场的状况是国家金融安全最重要的方面之一。这项研究是作为科学项目15.817.06.02A“发展衡量国家金融稳定的工具”的一部分而开展的。本研究分析了各种宏观金融风险管理工具。这项研究的目的是计算摩尔多瓦共和国和主要伙伴国在国际贸易方面对外汇市场的压力指数。这项工作的作者进行的相关研究结果表明,外汇市场的稳定指标与外贸风险相关,这是该工作的作者计算罗马尼亚和俄罗斯联邦货币市场压力指数与摩尔多瓦共和国指标进行比较的论据。研究中使用的方法包括理论和比较方法、描述性统计和计量经济模型。研究结果表明,国际贸易与外汇市场是相互依存的。第一个可以被认为是传递货币危机的渠道,因为需求随着进口的增加而增加,这导致外汇市场的压力增加。出口增加减轻了外汇市场的压力。但是,对摩尔多瓦共和国外汇市场影响最大的是来自国外的汇款,这与劳动力出口的动态直接相关。同时得出结论,目前,由于宏观审慎监管,金融市场不存在线性依赖关系,因此,不存在相关性,而只有变量之间的相互依存关系。
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引用次数: 1
SPECIAL NEEDS OF ENTREPRENEURS WITH DISABILITIES IN THE CONDITION OF THE REPUBLIC OF MOLDOVA 摩尔多瓦共和国条件下残疾企业家的特殊需要
Pub Date : 2020-07-15 DOI: 10.36004/nier.es.2020.1-03
People with disabilities experience significant difficulties in the process of finding a job, which is caused not only by their health status, difficulty in getting education, but also by the reluctance of entrepreneurs to hire disabled people. In this situation, people with disabilities, who can provide selfemployment or create their own business, get an additional chance to have a constant source of income, develop themselves and, in general, integrate more successfully into social life. The aim of the research was to identify the basic needs of support of entrepreneurs with disabilities; for this purpose, in 2017, a survey of 75 individuals was conducted. The results of the survey implemented within the project of the National Institute for Economic Research (NIER) showed that for people with disabilities (unlike other groups of small entrepreneurs) is not enough to create a favorable business environment. No less important is the improvement of general living conditions of persons with disabilities, especially the improvement of their access to social infrastructure, education and the labor market. The main directions of the state support of people with disabilities aimed at the business development and selfemployment, are proposed to be following: improvement of legislation on supporting social entrepreneurship to increase the ability of persons with disabilities to be employed; improvement of access to education for people with disabilities through building and modernization of social infrastructure objects; use of direct economic and financial forms of support for this group of people, including through state target programs; support for the establishment of business associations unitingentrepreneurs with disabilities, etc
残疾人在找工作的过程中遇到了很大的困难,这不仅是因为他们的健康状况、难以接受教育,而且还因为企业家不愿雇用残疾人。在这种情况下,能够自主创业或自己创业的残疾人获得了额外的机会,获得了稳定的收入来源,发展了自己,总体上更成功地融入了社会生活。这项研究的目的是查明支助残疾企业家的基本需要;为此,2017年对75人进行了一项调查。根据国立经济研究院(NIER)项目实施的调查结果显示,残疾人(与其他小企业家群体不同)不足以创造良好的创业环境。同样重要的是改善残疾人的一般生活条件,特别是改善他们进入社会基础设施、接受教育和进入劳动力市场的机会。建议国家支持残疾人创业和自主创业的主要方向是:完善支持社会创业的立法,提高残疾人就业能力;通过社会基础设施的建设和现代化,改善残疾人受教育的机会;为这一群体提供直接的经济和财政支持,包括通过国家目标项目;支持成立联合残疾人企业家的商会等
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引用次数: 1
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