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COVID-19, Political Orientation and Residential Real Estate Prices 新冠肺炎疫情、政治取向与住宅房地产价格
Pub Date : 2020-09-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3702589
Zinat S. Alam, M. Hossain
This paper investigates whether political orientation influences residential real estate prices and returns during COVID-19 pandemic. Using county level housing data from January to June 2020, we document that Democratic counties, politically aligned counties, counties with higher prosocial scores and greater liberal news viewership experience a significant decline in house prices and returns in response to COVID-19 cases and deaths. Overall, our findings suggest that political orientation is an important dimension that affect asset prices.
本文研究了新冠肺炎疫情期间,政治取向是否会影响住宅房地产价格和收益。利用2020年1月至6月的县级住房数据,我们发现,民主党县、政治联盟县、亲社会得分较高和自由派新闻收视率较高的县,在应对COVID-19病例和死亡时,房价和回报率都出现了显著下降。总体而言,我们的研究结果表明,政治取向是影响资产价格的一个重要维度。
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引用次数: 0
Psychological Characteristics of a Tourist as Predictors of Expenditures: An Analytical Review and Proposal of the Predictive Model 游客心理特征作为消费预测因素:预测模型的分析回顾与建议
Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.5709/ce.1897-9254.407
R. Štefko, J. Džuka, Eva Litavcová, Darina Ňakatová, M. Lačný
Tourism plays an important role in the economies of countries, which is evidenced by macroeconomic studies. However, analyses highlighted the need to do research on tourist expenditure and to identify factors at the microeconomic level. The article presents an overview of the extensively investigated and validated predictors of tourist expenditure and microeconomic modeling procedures used in their analysis. While two large sets of factors, i.e. economic and sociodemographic variables, have often been the subject of microeconomic modeling of tourist expenditures, variables which are related to the subject of expenditure have been taken into account insufficiently. The overview reveals the incompleteness of the tested models and in the literature the repeated recommendations to take into account the psychological variables which are missing in the models. The study describes the current state of defining and measuring psychological variables in tourism. Terms „psychographic variables“ and „psychological characteristics of a tourist“ are used for psychological variables in tourism research however, these were generally understood as respondents' current views on travel aspects, subjective evaluation of travel satisfaction, or as reasons for travel. As psychological variables in this study were considered the complex and relatively stable psychological characteristics of the person – personal values, personality and motivational system of the person as defined and measured in psychological science. Based on this, a conceptual model is developed which integrates economic, sociodemographic and psychological variables of expenditure and recommends procedures of its testing.
宏观经济研究证明,旅游业在各国经济中发挥着重要作用。但是,分析强调需要对旅游支出进行研究,并查明微观经济一级的因素。本文概述了广泛调查和验证的旅游支出预测因素以及在其分析中使用的微观经济建模程序。虽然两大类因素,即经济和社会人口变数,经常是旅游支出微观经济模型的主题,但与支出主题有关的变数却没有得到充分考虑。概述揭示了测试模型的不完整性,并在文献中反复建议考虑模型中缺失的心理变量。本研究描述了旅游心理变量定义和测量的现状。术语“心理变量”和“游客的心理特征”用于旅游研究中的心理变量,然而,这些通常被理解为受访者目前对旅游方面的看法,对旅行满意度的主观评价,或作为旅行的原因。由于本研究的心理变量被认为是人的复杂和相对稳定的心理特征——人的个人价值观、人格和动机系统,这些都是心理科学定义和测量的。在此基础上,开发了一个概念模型,其中综合了支出的经济、社会人口和心理变量,并建议了测试程序。
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引用次数: 5
COVID-19 Pandemic and Socio-Economic and Elections Implications in the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) 2019冠状病毒病大流行以及对西非国家经济共同体(西非经共体)社会经济和选举的影响
Pub Date : 2020-08-31 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3683816
Mouhamed Bayane Bouraima, Ifred Zonon
Stringent restrictions were adopted in the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) following the 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19). In this article, we summarize the socio-economic and elections impacts following stringent restrictions. Pub Med and Google Scholar were used for the literature review. Additionally, existent instructions in conjunction with those of Ministries of health of the West African states, and papers and reports for various non-academic sources (e.g. Website and news) were obtained. Whilst stringent restrictions have to lead to a turmoil repercussions on all aspects of the economy, affecting all segments of the population, and disturbing electoral calendar, the consequence of health and food sectors could likely submerge the existing extremely and weak vulnerable health system and create an acute food security crisis. Besides a comprehensive socio-economic master plan in all sectors, strong and resilient supervision is required in expanded society, trade, healthcare, and government. Also, instantaneous programs should be enforced and adapted for vulnerable groups. Rejuvenate and equilibrate the economy after this pandemic is required through mid-and long term programs.
2019年新型冠状病毒病(COVID-19)发生后,西非国家经济共同体(西非经共体)采取了严格的限制措施。在本文中,我们总结了严格限制后对社会经济和选举的影响。文献综述使用Pub Med和Google Scholar。此外,还获得了西非国家卫生部的现有指示,以及各种非学术来源(如网站和新闻)的论文和报告。虽然严格的限制必然会对经济的各个方面造成动荡影响,影响到人口的所有阶层,并扰乱选举日程,但卫生和粮食部门的后果可能会淹没现有的极其脆弱的卫生系统,并造成严重的粮食安全危机。除了在所有部门制定全面的社会经济总体规划外,还需要在扩大的社会、贸易、医疗保健和政府中进行强有力和有弹性的监督。此外,应执行并适应弱势群体的即时方案。需要通过中期和长期规划在这次大流行之后恢复和平衡经济。
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引用次数: 1
Private Precaution and Public Restrictions: What Drives Social Distancing and Industry Foot Traffic in the Covid-19 Era? 私人预防和公共限制:是什么推动了Covid-19时代的社会距离和行业人流量?
Pub Date : 2020-07-01 DOI: 10.3386/w27531
Christopher J. Cronin, W. Evans
We examine the role of state and local policies to encourage social distancing, including stay at home orders, public school closures, and restrictions on restaurants, entertainment, and large social gatherings. Outcomes come from cell phone records and include foot traffic in six industries (essential and nonessential retail, entertainment, hotel, restaurant, and business services) plus the fraction of cell phones that are home all day. Structural break models show mobility series at the national and state levels start to change dramatically in a short window from March 8-14, well before state or local restrictions of note are in place. In difference-in-difference models, declarations of state of emergency reduce foot traffic and increase social distancing. Stay at home restrictions explain a modest fraction of the change in behavior across outcomes. Industry-specific restrictions have large impacts. For example, restrictions on dining in restaurants reduce traffic in restaurants, hotels, and nonessential retail. Private, self-regulating behavior explains more than three-quarters of the decline in foot traffic in most industries. Restrictive regulation explains half the decline in foot traffic in essential retail and 75 percent of the increase in the fraction home all day. In this latter result, public school closings have a substantial effect.
我们研究了州和地方政策在鼓励保持社会距离方面的作用,包括呆在家里的命令、公立学校停课、限制餐馆、娱乐和大型社交聚会。结果来自手机记录,包括六个行业(必要和非必要的零售、娱乐、酒店、餐馆和商业服务)的客流量,以及整天在家使用手机的比例。结构断裂模型显示,在3月8日至14日的短时间内,国家和州一级的流动性序列开始发生巨大变化,这远远早于州或地方限制措施的实施。在不同的模型中,宣布紧急状态会减少人流量并增加社交距离。在所有结果中,居家限制只解释了行为变化的一小部分。特定行业的限制有很大的影响。例如,在餐馆就餐的限制减少了餐馆、酒店和非必要零售的客流量。在大多数行业,私人的、自我调节的行为可以解释客流量下降的四分之三以上。限制性的规章制度解释了基本零售业客流量下降的一半原因,以及全天在家的人数增加的75%原因。在后一种结果中,公立学校的关闭产生了实质性的影响。
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引用次数: 70
Dynamics of Social Mobility During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Canada 新冠肺炎大流行期间加拿大社会流动动态
Pub Date : 2020-06-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3631586
Mutlu Yuksel, Yigit Aydede, Francisko Begolli
As the number of cases increases globally, governments and authorities have continued to use mobility restrictions that were, and still are, the only effective tool to control for the viral transmission. Yet, the relationship between public orders and behavioral parameters of social distancing observed in the community is a complex process and an important policy question. The evidence shows that adherence to public orders about the social distancing is not stable and fluctuates with degree of spatial differences in information and the level of risk aversion. This study aims to uncover the behavioural parameters of change in mobility dynamics in major Canadian cities and questions the role of people's beliefs about how contagious the disease is on the level of compliancy to public orders. Our findings reveal that the degree of social distancing under strict restrictions is bound by choice, which is affected by the departure of people's beliefs from the public order about how severe the effects of disease are. Understanding the dynamics of social distancing thus helps reduce the growth rate of the number of infections, compared to that predicted by epidemiological models.
随着全球病例数量的增加,各国政府和当局继续使用流动限制措施,这些措施过去是,现在仍然是控制病毒传播的唯一有效工具。然而,在社区中观察到的公共秩序与社会距离行为参数之间的关系是一个复杂的过程,也是一个重要的政策问题。研究结果表明,社会保持距离对公共秩序的遵守不稳定,并随着信息空间差异程度和风险厌恶程度的变化而波动。这项研究旨在揭示加拿大主要城市流动动态变化的行为参数,并质疑人们对这种疾病在遵守公共秩序方面的传染性的信念所起的作用。我们的研究结果表明,在严格限制下的社会距离程度受到选择的约束,这受到人们对疾病影响程度的公共秩序的信念偏离的影响。因此,与流行病学模型预测的情况相比,了解社交距离的动态有助于降低感染人数的增长率。
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引用次数: 6
Global Impact of E-learning during COVID 19 COVID - 19期间电子学习的全球影响
Pub Date : 2020-06-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3630073
V. Soni
The present study emphasizes the global impact of the e-learning process during COVID 19. The implementation of lockdown and social distancing has been enforced as one of the preventive measures to spread the coronavirus infection which has resulted in complete paralysis of global activities. Especially the education system which is completely shut and to proceed with the academic curriculum, there is a shift from the regular learning process to electronic learning. This can be cited with an increased number of online classes, conferences, meetings, etc. It can be noted that the world is completely dependent on information technologies during this crisis. Hence, the present study provides an insight into the process of electronic learning and its advantages along with the updated version of its usage. To best of our knowledge, there have been scanty scientific reports on this particular situation of the impact of e-learning during COVID 19. The present study is a compilation of the components of e-learning tools along with the future perspective on education using information science.
本研究强调了COVID - 19期间电子学习过程的全球影响。作为防止新冠肺炎扩散的措施之一,封锁和保持社交距离的措施已经实施,导致全球活动完全瘫痪。特别是教育系统完全封闭,以学术课程为主,从常规学习过程转向电子学习。这可以从越来越多的在线课程、会议、会议等中得到印证。值得注意的是,在这场危机中,世界完全依赖于信息技术。因此,本研究提供了一个深入了解电子学习的过程及其优势,以及其使用的更新版本。据我们所知,关于2019冠状病毒病期间电子学习影响这一特殊情况的科学报告很少。本研究汇编了电子学习工具的组成部分,并展望了未来利用信息科学进行教育的前景。
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引用次数: 107
Heterogeneous Actions, Beliefs, Constraints and Risk Tolerance During the Covid-19 Pandemic Covid-19大流行期间的异质行动、信念、约束和风险容忍
Pub Date : 2020-05-01 DOI: 10.3386/w27211
During a pandemic, an individual's choices can determine outcomes not only for the individual but also for the entire community. Beliefs, constraints and preferences may shape behavior. This paper documents demographic differences in behaviors, beliefs, constraints and risk preferences across gender, income and political affiliation lines during the new coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. Our main analyses are based on data from an original nationally representative survey covering 5,500 adult respondents in the U.S. We find substantial gaps in behaviors and beliefs across gender, income and partisanship lines; in constraints across income levels; and in risk tolerance among men and women. Based on location data from a large sample of smartphones, we also document significant differences in mobility across demographics, which are consistent with our findings based on the survey data.
在大流行期间,个人的选择不仅可以决定个人的结果,也可以决定整个社区的结果。信念、约束和偏好可能会塑造行为。本文记录了在新型冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行期间,不同性别、收入和政治派别在行为、信仰、约束和风险偏好方面的人口差异。我们的主要分析基于一项覆盖美国5500名成年受访者的具有全国代表性的原始调查数据。我们发现,不同性别、收入和党派的人在行为和信仰上存在巨大差异;不同收入水平的约束;以及男性和女性的风险承受能力。基于大量智能手机样本的位置数据,我们还记录了人口统计学中移动性的显著差异,这与我们基于调查数据的发现是一致的。
{"title":"Heterogeneous Actions, Beliefs, Constraints and Risk Tolerance During the Covid-19 Pandemic","authors":"","doi":"10.3386/w27211","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3386/w27211","url":null,"abstract":"During a pandemic, an individual's choices can determine outcomes not only for the individual but also for the entire community. Beliefs, constraints and preferences may shape behavior. This paper documents demographic differences in behaviors, beliefs, constraints and risk preferences across gender, income and political affiliation lines during the new coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. Our main analyses are based on data from an original nationally representative survey covering 5,500 adult respondents in the U.S. We find substantial gaps in behaviors and beliefs across gender, income and partisanship lines; in constraints across income levels; and in risk tolerance among men and women. Based on location data from a large sample of smartphones, we also document significant differences in mobility across demographics, which are consistent with our findings based on the survey data.","PeriodicalId":391479,"journal":{"name":"Climate & Environmental Psychology eJournal","volume":"5 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130839115","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 74
Рождаемость среди иностранных трудовых мигрантов в России и влияющие на нее факторы (анализ данных опроса) (The Birth Rate among Foreign Migrants in Russia and the Factors Affacting It (Analysis of Survey Date))
Pub Date : 2019-12-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3502768
K. Kazenin, V. Kozlov, Ekaterina Mitrofanova, E. Varshaver, A. Rocheva
Russian Abstract: В статье исследуются факторы, влияющие на рождаемость среди трудовых мигрантов в РФ из двух стран Средней Азии – Киргизии и Таджикистана. Исследование основано на онлайн-опросе женщин – трудовых мигрантов или членов семей трудовых мигрантов из этих двух стран, проведенном в 2018 г. Показано, что различия в режиме пребывания в РФ для граждан Киргизии и Таджикистана, введенные после вступления Киргизии в Евразийский экономический союз, пока, вопреки ожиданиям, не привели к значимым различиям по рождаемости между трудовыми мигрантами из двух стран. Авторы предлагают возможные объяснения этого результата. Одновременно полученные данные о рождаемости среди трудовых мигрантов и о влияющих на нее факторах обсуждаются в свете существующих гипотез о влиянии миграции на рождаемость.

English Abstract: The paper deals with birth rate among labor migrants from two countries, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, in Russia. The study is based on an online survey of women migrants from those countries, held in 2018. It is argued that differences in regulation of stay of labor migrants from the two countries in Russia which emerged after Kyrgyzstan had joined the Eurasian Economic Union in 2015, didn’t have a significant effect upon birth rate so far, contrary to expectations. Possible explanation of this is suggested. The results of analysis also are considered against the background of key hypotheses about migration-to-birth-rate relation, currently present in demography.
俄罗斯Abstract:这篇文章探讨了来自中亚两个国家吉尔吉斯斯坦和塔吉克斯坦的劳动力移民生育率的因素。研究基于在线调查女性农民工或这两个国家劳工移民的家庭成员,开展2018年表明,差异在吉尔吉斯斯坦和塔吉克斯坦公民rf模式引入后,吉尔吉斯斯坦加入欧亚经济联盟,直到,出乎意料的是,重要的差异导致两国根据劳工移民的生育率之间。作者提供了可能的解释。与此同时,根据移民对生育率的影响的假设,正在讨论劳动力移民生育率的生育率。英语Abstract:来自俄罗斯的kyrgyzan和Tajikistan的两国报纸《第一天的交易》。这是2018年由这些人组成的数字移民网络的基础。这是俄罗斯境内两国移民名单上的一个重要数字,2015年俄罗斯经济联盟后,didn 't have a signifect upon生物体如此遥远,控制着探索。这是suggested。《解剖学家》中的“解剖学家”是《解剖学家》中的“解剖学家”。
{"title":"Рождаемость среди иностранных трудовых мигрантов в России и влияющие на нее факторы (анализ данных опроса) (The Birth Rate among Foreign Migrants in Russia and the Factors Affacting It (Analysis of Survey Date))","authors":"K. Kazenin, V. Kozlov, Ekaterina Mitrofanova, E. Varshaver, A. Rocheva","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3502768","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3502768","url":null,"abstract":"<b>Russian Abstract:</b> В статье исследуются факторы, влияющие на рождаемость среди трудовых мигрантов в РФ из двух стран Средней Азии – Киргизии и Таджикистана. Исследование основано на онлайн-опросе женщин – трудовых мигрантов или членов семей трудовых мигрантов из этих двух стран, проведенном в 2018 г. Показано, что различия в режиме пребывания в РФ для граждан Киргизии и Таджикистана, введенные после вступления Киргизии в Евразийский экономический союз, пока, вопреки ожиданиям, не привели к значимым различиям по рождаемости между трудовыми мигрантами из двух стран. Авторы предлагают возможные объяснения этого результата. Одновременно полученные данные о рождаемости среди трудовых мигрантов и о влияющих на нее факторах обсуждаются в свете существующих гипотез о влиянии миграции на рождаемость.<br><br><b>English Abstract:</b> The paper deals with birth rate among labor migrants from two countries, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, in Russia. The study is based on an online survey of women migrants from those countries, held in 2018. It is argued that differences in regulation of stay of labor migrants from the two countries in Russia which emerged after Kyrgyzstan had joined the Eurasian Economic Union in 2015, didn’t have a significant effect upon birth rate so far, contrary to expectations. Possible explanation of this is suggested. The results of analysis also are considered against the background of key hypotheses about migration-to-birth-rate relation, currently present in demography.","PeriodicalId":391479,"journal":{"name":"Climate & Environmental Psychology eJournal","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-12-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122371734","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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Climate & Environmental Psychology eJournal
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