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Influencing Profits: The Differential Impact of Lobbying on Corporate Stock Returns 影响利润:游说对公司股票收益的差异影响
Pub Date : 2016-04-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2779697
Michelle Hutchens, S. Rego, Amy Sheneman
Prior research provides mixed evidence on whether corporate lobbying activities increase or decrease shareholder value. In this study we use detailed data on corporate lobbying expenditures to investigate which factors influence the returns to corporate lobbying activities. Specifically, we examine whether the returns vary by lobbying issue (e.g., tax-, defense-, or healthcare-related), by the severity of agency problems, by the lobbying approach employed, and by the potential benefits to be gained lobbying. Our results suggest that although the association between abnormal stock returns and total lobbying expenditures is generally positive and significant, the returns to lobbying vary substantially depending on the issue being lobbied. While investors expect lobbying on tax-, defense-, trade-, and federal budget-related issues to generate significant economic benefits for firms, they expect the returns to environment-related lobbying to actually decrease shareholder value. We also provide evidence that the returns to lobbying are more positive for firms with low free cash flows, for firms that adopt a relational approach to lobbying, and for firms with the largest potential benefits to be gained from lobbying. Overall, our research suggests that corporate lobbying activities represent strategic political investments that generate future economic benefits, not agency problems as asserted by some prior studies.
先前的研究提供了关于公司游说活动是增加还是减少股东价值的混合证据。在本研究中,我们使用企业游说支出的详细数据来调查哪些因素影响企业游说活动的回报。具体而言,我们考察了回报是否因游说问题(例如,与税收、国防或医疗保健相关)、代理问题的严重程度、所采用的游说方法以及游说所获得的潜在利益而变化。我们的研究结果表明,尽管异常股票收益与游说总支出之间的关联通常是显著的正相关,但游说收益因所游说的议题而有很大差异。虽然投资者期望在税收、国防、贸易和联邦预算相关问题上的游说能为公司带来显著的经济利益,但他们期望与环境相关的游说的回报实际上会降低股东价值。我们还提供了证据表明,对于自由现金流较低的公司,对于采用关系方法进行游说的公司,以及对于从游说中获得最大潜在利益的公司,游说的回报更为积极。总体而言,我们的研究表明,企业游说活动代表了产生未来经济利益的战略政治投资,而不是先前一些研究所断言的代理问题。
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引用次数: 5
Do Property Taxes Affect Real Operating Decisions and Market Prices for Crude Oil? 财产税会影响原油的实际经营决策和市场价格吗?
Pub Date : 2013-10-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2097935
Kristian D. Allee, Dan Lynch, K. Petroni, Joseph H. Schroeder
This study investigates the effect of property taxes on real business decisions. Consistent with tax avoidance, we posit that personal property tax rates are associated with decreases (increases) in inventory prior to (following) assessment dates. We empirically test this prediction using both United States and Canadian monthly crude oil inventory data. We find that in locations where raw materials inventory is subject to taxation, total and refinery-level crude oil inventories are reduced prior to assessment dates and increased in the following period, when compared to locations with no (or lower) tax rates. The results provide empirical evidence that property taxes play a role in the operating decisions of firms. We also examine the pricing implications of these tax driven changes in crude oil inventory and find that the market seemingly adjusts crude oil prices around assessment dates demonstrating that the market acts as if it understands these changes in crude oil inventory are not simply due to supply/demand effects.
本研究探讨财产税对实际商业决策的影响。与避税一致,我们假设个人财产税率与评估日期之前(之后)库存的减少(增加)有关。我们使用美国和加拿大月度原油库存数据对这一预测进行了实证检验。我们发现,与没有(或更低)税率的地区相比,在对原材料库存征税的地区,总库存和炼油级原油库存在评估日期之前减少,并在随后期间增加。研究结果为财产税对企业经营决策的影响提供了实证证据。我们还研究了这些税收驱动的原油库存变化对定价的影响,发现市场似乎在评估日期前后调整原油价格,这表明市场似乎理解原油库存的这些变化不仅仅是由于供需影响。
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引用次数: 7
Audit Committee Member Contextual Experiences and Financial Reporting Outcomes 审计委员会成员背景经验和财务报告结果
Pub Date : 2013-02-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2221366
Marcy L. Shepardson
Audit committee independence rules reduce potential firm-specific information for audit committees and self-interest may bias manager-provided information. Given these considerable limitations, it is important to understand how audit committee members (ACMs) obtain information for their monitoring activities. I investigate how a firm’s (focal firm) financial reporting monitoring outcomes are affected by its ACMs’ contextual experiences, either as managers or monitors, with other firms (interlocks). Specifically, I estimate whether contextual experiences with goodwill impairment decisions, measured as interlocks with firms that likely performed extensive impairment analyses in the prior year, affect the likelihood of focal firm goodwill write-off, other things equal. Overall results suggest that ACM contextual experiences increase the likelihood of goodwill write-off and are most influential when contextual experience is obtained as a manager, rather than a monitor. However, for large firms, contextual experience does not affect reporting when managerial equity-based incentives are strong.
审计委员会独立性规则减少了审计委员会可能获得的公司特定信息,而自身利益可能会影响经理提供的信息。鉴于这些相当大的限制,了解审计委员会成员如何为其监测活动获取信息是很重要的。我调查了一个公司(焦点公司)的财务报告监测结果是如何受到其ACMs的背景经验的影响的,无论是作为管理者还是监督者,与其他公司(联锁)。具体来说,我估计了商誉减值决策的背景经验(以可能在前一年进行了大量减值分析的公司的连锁关系来衡量)是否会影响重点公司商誉冲销的可能性,其他条件相同。总体结果表明,ACM背景经验增加商誉冲销的可能性,并且当作为管理者而不是作为监督者获得背景经验时,其影响最大。然而,对于大公司来说,当管理层基于股权的激励很强时,背景经验不会影响报告。
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引用次数: 7
Market Reaction to Events Surrounding the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 and Earnings Management 市场对2002年《萨班斯-奥克斯利法案》和盈余管理的反应
Pub Date : 2006-09-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.475163
Haidan Li, Morton Pincus, S. Rego
Abstract The Sarbanes‐Oxley Act (SOX) of 2002 is the most important legislation affecting corporate financial reporting enacted in the United States since the 1930s. Its purpose is to improve the accuracy and reliability of accounting information that is reported to investors. We examine stock price reactions to legislative events surrounding SOX and focus on whether such stock price effects are related cross‐sectionally to the extent firms had managed their earnings. Our univariate results suggest that significantly positive abnormal stock returns are associated with SOX events, and our primary analyses reveal considerable evidence of a positive relationship between SOX event stock returns and the extent of earnings management. These results are consistent with investors anticipating that the more extensively firms had managed their earnings, the more SOX would constrain earnings management and enhance the quality of financial statement information.
2002年的萨班斯-奥克斯利法案(SOX)是自20世纪30年代以来美国颁布的影响公司财务报告的最重要的立法。其目的是提高向投资者报告的会计信息的准确性和可靠性。我们研究了股票价格对围绕SOX的立法事件的反应,并关注这种股票价格影响是否与公司管理其收益的程度相关。我们的单变量结果表明,显著正的异常股票收益与SOX事件相关,我们的初步分析揭示了SOX事件股票收益与盈余管理程度之间正相关的大量证据。这些结果与投资者的预期一致,即公司越广泛地管理其盈余,SOX就越能约束盈余管理并提高财务报表信息的质量。
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引用次数: 386
Risk-Relevance of Fair Value Income Measures for Commercial Banks 商业银行公允价值收益计量的风险相关性
Pub Date : 2006-03-01 DOI: 10.2308/ACCR.2006.81.2.337
Leslie D. Hodder, P. Hopkins, James M. Wahlen
We investigate the risk relevance of the standard deviation of three performance measures: net income, comprehensive income, and a constructed measure of full‐fair‐value income for a sample of 202 U.S. commercial banks from 1996 to 2004. We find that, for the average sample bank, the volatility of full‐fair‐value income is more than three times that of comprehensive income and more than five times that of net income. We find that the incremental volatility in full‐fair‐value income (beyond the volatility of net income and comprehensive income) is positively related to marketmodel beta, the standard deviation in stock returns, and long‐term interest‐rate beta. Further, we predict and find that the incremental volatility in full‐fair‐value income (1) negatively moderates the relation between abnormal earnings and banks' share prices and (2) positively affects the expected return implicit in bank share prices. Our findings suggest full‐fair‐value income volatility reflects elements of risk that are not captu...
我们以1996年至2004年的202家美国商业银行为样本,研究了三个绩效指标:净收入、综合收入和完全公允价值收入的构建指标的标准差与风险的相关性。我们发现,对于平均样本银行,完全公允价值收入的波动性是综合收入的三倍多,是净收入的五倍多。我们发现,完全公允价值收入的增量波动率(超过净收入和综合收入的波动率)与市场模型beta、股票回报的标准差和长期利率beta呈正相关。进一步,我们预测并发现,完全公允价值收入的增量波动性(1)负向调节了异常收益与银行股价之间的关系,(2)正向影响了银行股价隐含的预期收益。我们的研究结果表明,完全公允价值收入波动反映了非资本风险因素。
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引用次数: 253
Publicly-Traded Versus Privately-Held: Implications for Bank Profitability, Growth, Risk, and Accounting Conservatism* 上市与私有:对银行盈利能力、增长、风险和会计稳健性的影响*
Pub Date : 2005-02-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.591663
Craig Nichols, James M. Wahlen, Matthew M. Wieland
Public and private banks differ along dimensions of control structure and capital market access. We develop and test predictions about the effects that these differences have on banks' profitability, growth, risk, and financial reporting. Our empirical results are generally consistent with our predictions. We predict and find that public banks have lower profitability but faster growth in assets and equity than private banks, after controlling for size. We find no reliable differences in accounting-based risk metrics across public and private banks. We predict and find results that suggest that stakeholders in public banks demand greater degrees of accounting conservatism relative to private banks. For example, we find that public banks recognize more timely earnings declines but less timely earnings increases than private banks. We also find that public banks exhibit more conservative accounting for loan losses. Loan loss provisions are larger and more timely, relative to exogenous indicators of probable credit losses, for public banks than for private banks. Our results inform accounting and finance academics, as well as bank managers, auditors, and regulators, about the effects of ownership structure on bank profitability, growth, risk, and accounting conservatism. The results highlight the implications of public and private banks' tradeoffs of potential agency costs associated with greater separation of ownership and control against the benefits of capital market access.
公私银行在控制结构和资本市场准入方面存在差异。我们开发并测试了这些差异对银行盈利能力、增长、风险和财务报告的影响的预测。我们的实证结果大体上与我们的预测一致。我们预测并发现,在控制规模后,上市银行的盈利能力低于私人银行,但资产和股本的增长速度更快。我们发现,在公共银行和私人银行之间,基于会计的风险指标没有可靠的差异。我们预测并发现结果表明,相对于私人银行,公共银行的利益相关者要求更大程度的会计稳健性。例如,我们发现,与私人银行相比,上市银行更及时地认识到收益下降,但更不及时地认识到收益增长。我们还发现,公共银行对贷款损失的核算更为保守。相对于可能的信贷损失的外生指标,公共银行的贷款损失准备金比私人银行更大,也更及时。我们的研究结果为会计和金融学者、银行经理、审计师和监管者提供了有关股权结构对银行盈利能力、增长、风险和会计稳健性的影响的信息。研究结果突出了公共银行和私人银行在所有权和控制权进一步分离带来的潜在代理成本与资本市场准入的好处之间权衡的影响。
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引用次数: 34
The Role of Auditing in Investor Protection 审计在投资者保护中的作用
Pub Date : 2003-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.421660
P. Newman, Evelyn R. Patterson, Reed Smith
Protection of outside investors depends on the detection and punishment of resource diversion by corporate insiders, including managers and controlling shareholders. We focus on the role played in investor protection by self‐interested auditors operating in a competitive audit market. In our setting, auditors represent the mechanism whereby detection of diversion occurs. We show that markets with relatively greater auditor penalties for audit failures and greater insider penalties for detected resource diversion have larger total investment levels, a higher proportion of the firm held by outsiders, higher audit resource investment, higher audit fees, and higher expected investment returns.
对外部投资者的保护取决于对企业内部人员(包括管理者和控股股东)资源转移行为的发现和惩罚。我们关注在竞争激烈的审计市场中,自利审计师在保护投资者方面所发挥的作用。在我们的设置中,审计员代表了发现转移发生的机制。我们的研究表明,审计师对审计失败的处罚相对较大,内部人对发现的资源转移的处罚相对较大的市场,其总投资水平较大,外部人员持有的公司比例较高,审计资源投资较高,审计费用较高,预期投资回报较高。
{"title":"The Role of Auditing in Investor Protection","authors":"P. Newman, Evelyn R. Patterson, Reed Smith","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.421660","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.421660","url":null,"abstract":"Protection of outside investors depends on the detection and punishment of resource diversion by corporate insiders, including managers and controlling shareholders. We focus on the role played in investor protection by self‐interested auditors operating in a competitive audit market. In our setting, auditors represent the mechanism whereby detection of diversion occurs. We show that markets with relatively greater auditor penalties for audit failures and greater insider penalties for detected resource diversion have larger total investment levels, a higher proportion of the firm held by outsiders, higher audit resource investment, higher audit fees, and higher expected investment returns.","PeriodicalId":409231,"journal":{"name":"Kelley: Accounting (Topic)","volume":"9 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2003-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115783393","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 167
The Effect of 10k Restatements on Firm Value, Information Asymmetries, and Investors' Reliance on Earnings 1万份会计重述对公司价值、信息不对称和投资者对盈余依赖的影响
Pub Date : 2002-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.332380
Kirsten L. Anderson, T. Yohn
Restating 10-Ks has become an increasingly common phenomenon in financial reporting. Restatements clearly signal that the firm's prior financial statements were not credible and were of relatively lower "quality". In this study, we examine the effect of restatements on investors' and dealers' perceptions of the firm. First, we examine the market returns and the bid-ask spread effects at the announcement of the accounting problem that leads to restatement. We find negative market returns for accounting problem announcements, and we find that the negative reaction is most pronounced for firms with revenue recognition issues. We also find an increase in spreads surrounding the announcement of revenue recognition problems. Second we examine returns and spreads from the announcement of the restatement to the filing of the restated financial statements. We find a significant negative market reaction and a larger negative reaction for firms with revenue recognition problems. We find no change in spreads from before the announcement of the accounting problem to after the restatement is filed. Finally, we examine the effect of the restatement on earnings response coefficients, and find that the market reacts less to earnings after a restatement than to earnings prior to a restatement. In general, these results indicate that investors and dealers react negatively to restatements and are more concerned with revenue recognition problems than with other financial reporting errors.
在财务报告中,重述10- k报表已经成为越来越普遍的现象。重述清楚地表明,该公司以前的财务报表不可信,“质量”相对较低。在这项研究中,我们考察了重述对投资者和交易商对公司的看法的影响。首先,我们考察了导致重述的会计问题公布时的市场收益和买卖价差效应。我们发现会计问题公告的市场回报为负,并且我们发现对于存在收入确认问题的公司,负面反应最为明显。我们还发现,围绕收入确认问题的公告,价差有所增加。其次,我们检查从重述公告到提交重述财务报表的回报和价差。我们发现一个显著的负面市场反应和更大的负面反应的公司收入确认问题。我们发现从会计问题公布之前到重述提交之后,价差没有变化。最后,我们研究了重述对盈余反应系数的影响,发现市场对重述后的盈余的反应小于重述前的盈余。总的来说,这些结果表明,投资者和交易商对重述的反应是消极的,与其他财务报告错误相比,他们更关心收入确认问题。
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引用次数: 239
Whisper Forecasts of Quarterly Earnings Per Share 低声预测季度每股收益
Pub Date : 1999-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.74369
M. Bagnoli, M. Beneish, Susan G. Watts
In this paper, we compare First Call analyst forecasts to unofficial forecasts of quarterly earnings per share commonly referred to as whisper forecasts. Our analysis yields the following results. First, we find that whispers are, on average, more accurate than First Call forecasts and are better proxies for market expectations of earnings than are First Call forecasts, consistent with the claim in the professional press that whispers are increasingly becoming the true market expectation of earnings. Second, we show that trading strategies based on the relationship between whisper and First Call forecasts earn abnormal returns. Our results, when considered collectively, suggest that whispers contain information not contained in First Call analyst forecasts and that they appear to be widely enough disseminated so that at least part of this information is incorporated in stock prices prior to the earnings release. Formally titled "Whispers and Shouts: Forecasts of Quarterly Earnings Per Share"
在本文中,我们将First Call分析师的预测与非正式的季度每股收益预测(通常称为耳语预测)进行了比较。我们的分析得出以下结果。首先,我们发现,平均而言,低语比First Call预测更准确,比First Call预测更能代表市场对收益的预期,这与专业媒体的说法一致,即低语正日益成为真正的市场对收益的预期。其次,我们证明了基于whisper和First Call预测之间关系的交易策略可以获得异常回报。综合考虑,我们的结果表明,小道消息包含了First Call分析师预测中没有包含的信息,而且它们似乎传播得足够广泛,因此至少有一部分信息在收益发布之前被纳入了股价。正式名称为《低语与呼喊:季度每股收益预测》
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引用次数: 160
期刊
Kelley: Accounting (Topic)
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