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The Bid-Ask Bounce Effect and the Pricing of Cross-Sectional Idiosyncratic Volatility: An Australian Study 买卖反弹效应与横断面特质波动率的定价:一项澳洲研究
Pub Date : 2015-02-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2563610
B. Liu, M. Dempsey, M. Tan
Han and Lesmond (2011) find that stock liquidity, namely bid-ask bounce, affects the pricing of idiosyncratic volatility. Following Ang et al. (2009) and Han and Lesmond (2011), we investigate the pricing of idiosyncratic volatility and liquidity-adjusted idiosyncratic volatility over the period January 2004 to December 2013 using a comprehensive Australian dataset. Our results indicate that (1) both lagged idiosyncratic volatility and lagged liquidity-adjusted idiosyncratic volatility are strongly and positively related to stock returns over the sample period; (2) consistent with Han and Lesmond (2011), the pricing of idiosyncratic volatility is largely captured by stock liquidity; (3) our liquidity adjusted idiosyncratic volatility estimates work well in explaining the variations of the stocks of small firms but do not explain much variations in stocks of large firms when size and BE/ME are controlled; (4) high idiosyncratic volatility stocks tend to be of small, volatile and illiquid.
Han和Lesmond(2011)发现股票流动性,即买卖反弹,会影响特质波动的定价。继Ang et al.(2009)和Han and Lesmond(2011)之后,我们使用综合的澳大利亚数据集研究了2004年1月至2013年12月期间的特殊波动率和流动性调整的特殊波动率的定价。研究结果表明:(1)滞后特质波动率和滞后流动性调整特质波动率与股票收益呈显著正相关;(2)与Han and Lesmond(2011)一致,股票流动性在很大程度上反映了特质波动率的定价;(3)流动性调整后的特质波动率估计可以很好地解释小公司股票的变化,但在控制规模和BE/ME时,不能解释大公司股票的变化;(4)高特质波动率股票往往规模小、波动大、流动性差。
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引用次数: 0
Are European Environmental Regulations Excessive? 欧洲环境法规是否过度?
Pub Date : 2015-02-04 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2560357
V. Ramiah, Huy Nguyen Anh Pham, I. Moosa
This paper investigates the impact of announcements of European environmental regulations on the French equity market. Using event study methodology and asset pricing models, we assess whether announcements of stringent and lax policies affect returns of environmentally-friendly businesses and polluters. Additionally, we estimate the change in systematic risk following the new regulations and develop a test to check if these effects are excessive. According to the results, the French capital market is particularly sensitive to announcements made by the European Union Emission Trading System and furthermore environmental regulations are excessive in a relatively small proportion of firms.
本文研究了欧洲环境法规公告对法国股票市场的影响。利用事件研究方法和资产定价模型,我们评估了严格和宽松政策的宣布是否会影响环境友好型企业和污染者的回报。此外,我们估计了新法规后系统风险的变化,并开发了一个测试来检查这些影响是否过度。结果表明,法国资本市场对欧盟排放交易系统的公告特别敏感,并且在相对较小比例的公司中环境法规过度。
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引用次数: 4
Modelling the Relationships between Duration and Volatility in Asset Prices 资产价格的持续时间与波动之间的关系建模
Pub Date : 2015-02-03 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2559726
F. Chan, J. Petchey
This paper proposes a new model that captures the interaction between duration and magnitude of changes in asset prices, and thus provides a convenient framework to test statistically the existence of such relationship. The model is flexible and contains various well known models as special cases, including, the Exponential Generalised Autoregressive Heteroskedasticity (EGARCH) model of Nelson (1991) and the Logarithmic Conditional Duration (Log-ACD) model of Bauwens and Giot (2000). Despite having the EGARCH model as a special case, the objective of the model is not trying to model conditional duration and conditional volatility jointly. As shown in Ghysels and Jasiak (1998), modelling conditional duration and volatility jointly is technically challenging. This is due to the fact that volatility is defined over a regular sampling frequency but duration is defined over irregular time intervals. Given GARCH model is not generally closed under temporal aggregation, this creates a challenging modelling problem. The aim of this paper is to avoid this challenge by not modelling the conditional volatility, but instead, model the dynamics in the magnitudes of price change. The paper argues that since volatility is a function of the magnitudes of price change, testing the relationship between duration and the magnitude of price change provides an indirect test on the relationship between duration and volatility. The paper also obtains theoretical results for the Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimator (QMLE) for the proposed model. Specifically, sufficient conditions for consistency and asymptotic normality are derived under mild assumptions. Monte Carlo experiments also provide further support of the theoretical results and demonstrate that the QMLE has reasonably good finite sample performance. The paper then applies the model to nine different assets from three different asset classes, namely two exchange rate, two commodities and five stocks. The two currencies are Australia/US and British Pound/US exchange rates; the two commodities are Gold and Silver and the five stocks are BHP, Rio Tinto, CBS, ANZ and Apple. The sample spans from 4 January 2010 to 30 December 2011 with an average of 100,000 observations.
本文提出了一个新的模型,该模型捕捉了资产价格变化的持续时间和幅度之间的相互作用,从而提供了一个方便的框架来检验这种关系的存在。该模型是灵活的,包含各种众所周知的模型作为特殊情况,包括Nelson(1991)的指数广义自回归异方差(EGARCH)模型和Bauwens和Giot(2000)的对数条件持续时间(Log-ACD)模型。尽管EGARCH模型是一个特例,但该模型的目标并不是试图将条件持续时间和条件波动率联合建模。正如Ghysels和Jasiak(1998)所示,将条件持续时间和波动性联合建模在技术上具有挑战性。这是由于波动性是在一个规则的采样频率上定义的,而持续时间是在不规则的时间间隔上定义的。鉴于GARCH模型在时间聚合下通常不是封闭的,这就产生了一个具有挑战性的建模问题。本文的目的是通过不模拟条件波动来避免这一挑战,而是模拟价格变化幅度的动态。本文认为,由于波动率是价格变化幅度的函数,检验持续时间与价格变化幅度之间的关系提供了对持续时间与波动率之间关系的间接检验。本文还得到了该模型的拟极大似然估计的理论结果。具体地说,在温和的假设下,得到了一致性和渐近正态性的充分条件。蒙特卡罗实验也为理论结果提供了进一步的支持,并证明了QMLE具有相当好的有限样本性能。然后,本文将该模型应用于来自三种不同资产类别的九种不同资产,即两种汇率,两种商品和五种股票。这两种货币分别是澳元兑美元汇率和英镑兑美元汇率;这两种商品是黄金和白银,这五只股票是必和必拓、力拓、哥伦比亚广播公司、澳新银行和苹果。样本时间跨度为2010年1月4日至2011年12月30日,平均有10万个观测值。
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引用次数: 0
Firm and Industry Specific Determinants of Capital Structure: Evidence from Australian Market Paper 企业和行业资本结构的具体决定因素:来自澳大利亚市场论文的证据
Pub Date : 2015-01-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2557861
Lary Li, S. Islam
We demonstrate the importance of firm-specific and industry-specific factors in the leverage decision of Australian firms. Empirical findings show that some firm-specific factors vary across industry, while prior literature assumes equal impact of these factors. In addition, we find that industry-specific factors have direct and indirect impact on the formation of capital structure of Australian firms.
我们证明了公司特定因素和行业特定因素在澳大利亚公司杠杆决策中的重要性。实证结果表明,一些企业特定因素在不同行业中有所不同,而先前的文献假设这些因素的影响是相等的。此外,我们发现行业特定因素对澳大利亚公司资本结构的形成有直接和间接的影响。
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引用次数: 4
Modeling International Diversification between the Chinese Stock Market and Others 中国股市与其他国家的国际多元化模型
Pub Date : 2015-01-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2556623
S. Hussain, Steven Li
China’s stock market has grown rapidly since its introduction in 1991 and it has become one of the world’s leading stock markets. This study is concerned with the dependence structures that exist between the Chinese stock market and other major stock markets including those in the US, UK, Japan, Hong Kong and Taiwan. In this research, we use time-varying copula to model dependence due to its ability to capture the non-normality distribution compared to linear correlation. Furthermore, this study uses Extreme Value Theory (EVT) to model the tails for the marginal distributions. Our results reveal a strong dependence between Chinese and Hong Kong stock markets for the upper tail dependence. Lower tail dependence exists between Taiwan markets. This indicates the boom in the Chinese stock market could affect the Hong Kong one and a crash in Taiwan could potentially damage the latter. The outcomes of this cannot be explained using linear correlation. Findings also show that the Hong Kong stock market has stronger upper dependence compared to its lower tail and this serves as an alternative diversification strategy during a downturn. These findings provide better information and suggestions for risk management, specifically in portfolio diversification and international asset allocation benefits. Chinese stock market investors could use this information to devise risk management strategies.
自1991年推出以来,中国股市发展迅速,已成为世界领先的股票市场之一。本研究关注中国股票市场与美国、英国、日本、香港和台湾等主要股票市场之间存在的依赖结构。在本研究中,由于与线性相关相比,时变copula能够捕获非正态分布,因此我们使用时变copula来建模依赖性。此外,本研究使用极值理论(EVT)对边际分布的尾部进行建模。我们的研究结果表明,中国股市和香港股市之间存在很强的上尾依赖性。台湾市场之间存在低尾依赖关系。这表明,中国股市的繁荣可能会影响香港股市,而台湾股市的崩盘可能会损害后者。这种结果不能用线性相关来解释。研究结果还表明,香港股市相对于其下尾具有更强的上尾依赖性,这可以作为经济低迷时期的另一种多元化策略。这些发现为风险管理提供了更好的信息和建议,特别是在投资组合多样化和国际资产配置效益方面。中国股市投资者可以利用这些信息制定风险管理策略。
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引用次数: 1
Board Independence, Stock Liquidity, and Price Efficiency 董事会独立性、股票流动性和价格效率
Pub Date : 2014-12-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1922608
Angelo Aspris, A. Frino
Many recent governance reforms require that a majority of directors on corporate boards should be independent, and that only independent directors should serve on firm sub-committees. We examine the efficacy of these reforms by examining how board independence affects market liquidity and price efficiency. We focus on a comprehensive sample of 239 listed firms from 2004 to 2009 and find that firms with greater board independence have narrower spreads and greater speed of adjustment to new information. Additionally, improvements in board independence over time are positively associated with improvements in firm liquidity and efficiency. The results suggest that greater board independence can lower the probability of informed trading resulting in greater liquidity provision and smaller price delay.
最近的许多治理改革都要求,公司董事会的多数董事应该是独立董事,而且只有独立董事才能在公司下属委员会任职。我们通过检验董事会独立性如何影响市场流动性和价格效率来检验这些改革的有效性。我们对2004年至2009年239家上市公司的综合样本进行了研究,发现董事会独立性越强的公司对新信息的调整速度越快,价差越小。此外,随着时间的推移,董事会独立性的改善与公司流动性和效率的改善呈正相关。结果表明,董事会独立性越高,知情交易的可能性越低,从而导致流动性供应增加,价格延迟减小。
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引用次数: 3
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2015 Financial Markets & Corporate Governance Conference (Archive)
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