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Involvement of 'Outsiders' in the Arctic Region 北极地区“外来者”的参与
Pub Date : 2021-12-28 DOI: 10.51330/gar.0020222
Aliyeva Incha
Since ancient times people have had access to the Arctic Circle, however, the last few decades have seen recent technological advancements that have allowed the area to be explored more comprehensively. This has created a significantly more complex picture than before as it has been called the new “Great Game.” With the rising interests of eight nations and other non-Arctic countries in the region, overlapping territorial claims have the potential to create new challenges. It is anticipated that increased interest will lead to an increase in the number of vessels transiting the region, despite harsh climate conditions. Meanwhile, the Arctic is experiencing environmental change that is inescapably leading to a new geopolitical reality. Authors, such as Jason Dittmer, have claimed that “The Arctic is evolving from a regional frozen backwater into a global hot issue.” This article discusses the colliding interests and current state of affairs of the three Arctic Council Asian observer countries, China, Japan, and South Korea, as well as those of two observer organizations, the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and the European Union (EU). Sustainability is one of the major priorities of these countries, which has been reflected in their Arctic policies. The reason for examining China, Japan, and South Korea is that they are growing superpowers and industrialized countries with varying interests in regards to the Arctic region.
自古以来,人们就可以进入北极圈,然而,最近几十年的科技进步使得人们可以更全面地探索该地区。这创造了一个比以前更加复杂的画面,因为它被称为新的“大博弈”。随着八个国家和其他非北极国家在该地区的利益不断上升,重叠的领土主张有可能带来新的挑战。尽管气候条件恶劣,但预计兴趣的增加将导致过境该地区的船只数量增加。与此同时,北极正在经历环境变化,不可避免地导致新的地缘政治现实。贾森·迪特默(Jason Dittmer)等作家声称,“北极正在从一个地区性的冰冻死水演变成一个全球性的热点问题。”本文讨论了北极理事会亚洲三个观察员国——中国、日本和韩国,以及两个观察员组织——联合国环境规划署(UNEP)和欧盟(EU)的利益冲突和现状。可持续发展是这些国家的主要优先事项之一,这反映在它们的北极政策中。研究中国、日本和韩国的原因是,它们都是正在成长的超级大国和工业化国家,在北极地区有着不同的利益。
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引用次数: 0
Arctic: A Rreimagined Strategic Resource Base for Russia 北极:俄罗斯重新构想的战略资源基地
Pub Date : 2021-12-28 DOI: 10.51330/gar.0020225
Shaheer Ahmad, M. A. Zafar
Russia’s Arctic ambitions are gaining attention as global warming provides Russia with an opportunity to access the untapped energy reservoirs lying in the seabed of the Arctic. Russia’s new Arctic strategy aims to utilize the Arctic as a ‘strategic resource base’ to fulfill its socio-economic needs. Moreover, the interrelated projects of Yamal LNG and the opening of the Northern Sea Route as a global shipping route show the Russian interplay of geo-economics and geopolitics. Similarly, the Russian strategies of the Northern Fleet’s revival, Sino-Russian cooperation, regional diplomacy, informational campaigns, and international law show Russia’s efforts to highlight its ambitions in the region. This paper argues that the melting ice in the Arctic coupled with evolving regional dynamics will enhance the Kremlin’s position in the region.
随着全球变暖为俄罗斯提供了一个开发北极海底未开发的能源储备的机会,俄罗斯的北极野心正受到关注。俄罗斯新的北极战略旨在利用北极作为“战略资源基地”来满足其社会经济需求。此外,亚马尔液化天然气的相关项目和北海航线作为全球航线的开放显示了俄罗斯地缘经济和地缘政治的相互作用。同样,俄罗斯的北方舰队复兴、中俄合作、区域外交、信息运动和国际法战略表明,俄罗斯努力突出其在该地区的野心。本文认为,北极冰的融化加上不断变化的区域动态将增强克里姆林宫在该地区的地位。
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引用次数: 0
Re-navigating the Geopolitical Pivot: China in the Arctic-Heartland 重新定位地缘政治轴心:中国在北极中心地带
Pub Date : 2021-12-28 DOI: 10.51330/gar.0020223
Aneesa Aslam, Ayesha Shaikh
Halford J. Mackinder cautioned the world that if a great industrial power manages to rule over the Heartland, it will govern the world. The 21st century is marked by the resurgence of his classical geopolitical thought. Global warming has rendered the Arctic navigable, altering the dynamics of the Heartland and world organisms at large, but now the caution comes from the Arctic. Mackinder's assertion that China, as a great industrial power, has developed its Arctic strategy for a Polar Silk Road to pursue its determined interests in the Arctic-Heartland. To further strengthen its position in the region, it has forged a cooperative alliance with Russia, one of the biggest Arctic states. Chinese interest in the region and the Strategic Russo-Chinese Alliance to develop the Polar Silk Road along the Northern Sea Route is a matter of grave concern for the world at large: for whoever rules over the Heartland, governs the world.
Halford J. Mackinder告诫世界,如果一个工业大国能够统治心脏地带,它将统治世界。21世纪是他古典地缘政治思想复兴的标志。全球变暖使北极变得可以航行,改变了心脏地带和世界生物的动态,但现在警告来自北极。麦金德断言,作为一个工业大国,中国已经制定了极地丝绸之路战略,以追求其在北极中心地带的既定利益。为了进一步加强其在该地区的地位,它与北极最大的国家之一俄罗斯结成了合作联盟。中国对该地区的兴趣,以及中俄战略联盟沿着北海航线发展冰上丝绸之路,对整个世界来说都是一个严重关切的问题:因为谁统治了心脏地带,谁就统治了世界。
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引用次数: 0
Fuzzy Signals to Potential Observer States in the Arctic Council 向北极理事会潜在观察员国发出模糊信号
Pub Date : 2021-12-28 DOI: 10.51330/gar.0020221
Alexandra Middleton
The attention to the Arctic is fuelled by the prospect of economic development, emerging shipping routes, and changing geopolitics. Since 1996 the Arctic Council, an intergovernmental forum for Arctic cooperation, has served to foster environmental protection and sustainable development in the region. The Arctic Council is composed of the eight Arctic states with territory north of the Arctic Circle and six Permanent Participants representing Arctic Indigenous People. Since its inception, the Arctic Council has admitted 13 non-Arctic Observer states. However, in 2021 three new candidates (Ireland, Czech Republic, and Estonia) were not successful with their applications despite proven records of Arctic research and influence in the region. This article will elaborate on the dynamics of Observer states admittance to the Arctic Council. Signalling theory is applied in this paper as a theoretical lens. More precisely, this paper will concentrate on fuzzy signalling, because such signals do not fall into binary classification and require a lot of contextual geopolitical information for interpretation. The data consists of research articles, publicly available statements, and media articles. The findings demonstrate that the admittance of Observer states to the Arctic Council can be viewed as fuzzy signalling. This paper will argue that fuzzy signalling is intrinsic to a multi-actor governance forum like the Arctic Council, where decisions are made on a consensus basis.
经济发展的前景、新兴的航运路线和不断变化的地缘政治推动了人们对北极的关注。自1996年以来,北极理事会作为北极合作的政府间论坛,为促进北极地区的环境保护和可持续发展发挥了重要作用。北极理事会由八个在北极圈以北拥有领土的北极国家和六个代表北极土著人民的常任理事国组成。北极理事会成立以来,已有13个非北极观察员国加入。然而,在2021年,三个新的候选国(爱尔兰、捷克共和国和爱沙尼亚)的申请没有成功,尽管它们在北极研究和对该地区的影响方面有可靠的记录。本文将详细阐述观察员国加入北极理事会的动态。本文采用信号理论作为理论透镜。更准确地说,本文将集中研究模糊信号,因为这种信号不属于二元分类,需要大量的上下文地缘政治信息来解释。这些数据包括研究文章、公开声明和媒体文章。研究结果表明,观察员国加入北极理事会可以被视为一种模糊信号。本文将论证,模糊信号是像北极理事会这样的多参与者治理论坛的内在特征,在这个论坛上,决策是在共识的基础上做出的。
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引用次数: 0
An Overview of National and International Environmental Laws pertaining to Arctic States and Their Work with the Arctic Council 有关北极国家的国家和国际环境法概述及其与北极理事会的合作
Pub Date : 2021-12-28 DOI: 10.51330/gar.0020224
Hayley-Bo Dorrian-Bak
The latest International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report published in August 2021 demonstrated that the Arctic region drastically feels the impacts of climate change. Several laws and policies contribute to the governance of the reduction of emissions which impact the Arctic polar region. This work will analyse the inclusion of language relating to the Arctic region in several key Arctic countries’ climate policies and in their Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) submitted in requirement of being parties to the Paris Agreement. Arctic policies of these same countries will then be analysed to determine the degree to which they stipulate action relating to the Arctic environment. Finally, the several research projects and initiatives conducted by the Arctic Council’s two working groups, the Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme (AMAP) and the Arctic Contaminants Action Programme (ACAP), will be overviewed to demonstrate their contributions to the best available science and practice in the region. This paper will look into how, and to what extent, the research of the Arctic Council working groups can be considered a mechanism of soft law in Arctic environmental governance. Consideration will also be given to how this relates to soft law governance stemming from the Law of the Sea (LOSC).
国际气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)于2021年8月发布的最新报告表明,北极地区受到气候变化的严重影响。一些法律和政策有助于治理减少影响北极极地地区的排放。这项工作将分析几个关键的北极国家的气候政策以及它们作为《巴黎协定》缔约方提交的国家自主贡献(NDCs)中包含的与北极地区有关的语言。然后将对这些国家的北极政策进行分析,以确定它们在多大程度上规定了与北极环境有关的行动。最后,将概述北极理事会的两个工作组,北极监测和评估计划(AMAP)和北极污染物行动计划(ACAP)进行的几个研究项目和倡议,以展示它们对该地区最佳可用科学和实践的贡献。本文将探讨北极理事会工作组的研究如何以及在多大程度上可以被视为北极环境治理中的软法机制。还将考虑这与《海洋法》(LOSC)所产生的软法律治理的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Building the Humanitarian-Development-Peace Nexus: The relevance of cooperation between UN agencies and Islamic actors 建立人道主义-发展-和平联系:联合国机构与伊斯兰行为体之间合作的相关性
Pub Date : 2020-12-15 DOI: 10.51330/gar.0020113
Altea Pericoli
This paper aims to highlight the relevance of cooperation between United Nations agencies and Islamic actors in building the humanitarian-development-peace nexus. The current approach is not able to deal with protracted crises. The improvement of this triple nexus requires the inclusion of regional and local organizations in a two-way effort: from one side, the UN agencies should rethink the political Agenda and the field approach in Islamic countries. On the other side, Islamic actors should include in their interventions key elements for implementing and financing it. In this sense, Islamic financial tools and blended finance can contribute to fill the resources allocation gap and improve dialogue among different stakeholders.
本文旨在强调联合国各机构与伊斯兰行为体之间的合作在建立人道主义-发展-和平关系方面的相关性。目前的做法无法应对旷日持久的危机。这种三重联系的改善需要区域和地方组织参与双向努力:一方面,联合国机构应重新考虑伊斯兰国家的政治议程和实地方法。另一方面,伊斯兰行为体应在其干预措施中包括实施和资助该计划的关键要素。从这个意义上讲,伊斯兰金融工具和混合金融有助于填补资源分配缺口,促进不同利益相关者之间的对话。
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引用次数: 0
HOW THE WEST WON: Post-Cold War negotiations on NATO enlargement in the 1990-2000s 西方是如何获胜的:冷战后的北约东扩谈判在1990-2000年代
Pub Date : 2020-12-15 DOI: 10.51330/gar.0020114
B. Kyrychenko
With the disappearance of the Soviet Union, in 1991, the American-led North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) became the triumphant military alliance in Europe. Following prolonged deliberations, NATO eventually conducted a systematic enlargement of the alliance into Central and Eastern Europe. This expansion of the alliance was fiercely contested, and according to many critics was based upon a ‘broken promise’ of no-NATO expansion east of a newly-reunified Germany, an assurance given during the negotiations on German reunification by the leaders of the Western alliance. This paper will explore the enlargement of NATO in the 1990s, whether or not it was indeed based on a broken promise of non-expansionism, how this enlargement was accomplished, and how it has affected the subsequent geopolitics of Europe. In doing so, this paper shall argue that a multitude of false assurances on NATO expansion were given to Soviet officials during the negotiations on German reunification.
1991年,随着苏联的解体,美国领导的北大西洋公约组织(NATO)成为欧洲胜利的军事联盟。经过长时间的审议,北约最终将联盟有系统地扩大到中欧和东欧。北约的扩张受到了激烈的争议,根据许多批评者的说法,这是基于一个“破碎的承诺”,即在新统一的德国以东扩张非北约国家,这是西方联盟领导人在德国统一谈判期间做出的保证。本文将探讨20世纪90年代北约的东扩,它是否真的是基于一个违背非扩张主义的承诺,这一东扩是如何完成的,以及它如何影响了随后的欧洲地缘政治。在此过程中,本文将论证,在德国统一谈判期间,苏联官员对北约扩张做出了大量虚假保证。
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引用次数: 0
The International Development and Environment Nexus: Greening Humanitarian Interventions 国际发展与环境关系:绿色人道主义干预
Pub Date : 2020-12-15 DOI: 10.51330/gar.0020118
Oreoluwa Joda
Mainstreaming the environment in humanitarian interventions has become crucial today, resulting from the direct and indirect impacts of climate change across the globe. Conflicts, emergencies, and disasters affect the environment in ways that influence the health, livelihoods, and long-term vulnerability of people and regions. This paper will explore the intersectionality between international development and the environment. It will highlight the various ways in which the environment can be mainstreamed in humanitarian interventions. This work will also discuss the benefits and limitations of greening humanitarian operations and will identify some tools and resources that can be employed in greening international development efforts.
由于全球气候变化的直接和间接影响,将环境问题纳入人道主义干预的主流已变得至关重要。冲突、紧急情况和灾害对环境的影响影响到人民和区域的健康、生计和长期脆弱性。本文将探讨国际发展与环境之间的交叉性。它将强调将环境问题纳入人道主义干预主流的各种方式。这项工作还将讨论绿化人道主义行动的好处和局限性,并将确定可用于绿化国际发展努力的一些工具和资源。
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引用次数: 0
Waging War against Non-State Actors:The Contemporary Debate on the Prohibition of Force 对非国家行为体发动战争:关于禁止使用武力的当代辩论
Pub Date : 2020-12-15 DOI: 10.51330/gar.0020117
Iman Ahmed
Recent events have triggered scholarship arguing that international law should embrace the widespread state practice of using force against violent non-state actors such as terrorists. The evolution of state practice since 9/11 suggests an alternate interpretation of Article 2(4) and Article 51 of the UN charter, per treaty mechanisms. Specifically, academics and government officials have argued that the threat posed by terrorism necessitates lowering the state responsibility threshold. Doing so would make states hosting terrorists liable for violence undertaken from within their territory, giving aggrieved nations a license to intervene militarily. This essay argues that the traditional legal understanding of Article 2(4) and 51, which prohibit the use of force except in self-defence and then only against state actors, should be upheld, as war is not an effective means of eliminating non-state actor violence. Rather, nations need to address non-state actor violence by focusing on economic and social measures which foster development in failing States, as addressing civilian grievances is the most effective way to combat and deter terrorism.
最近的事件引发了学者们的争论,他们认为国际法应该包括对恐怖分子等暴力非国家行为者使用武力的普遍国家做法。自9/11以来国家实践的演变表明,根据条约机制,对联合国宪章第2(4)条和第51条有另一种解释。具体而言,学者和政府官员认为,恐怖主义构成的威胁有必要降低国家责任的门槛。这样做会让恐怖分子所在的国家对在其领土内实施的暴力行为负责,让受害的国家有权进行军事干预。本文认为,对第2条第(4)款和第51条的传统法律理解应该得到支持,因为战争不是消除非国家行为者暴力的有效手段,它们禁止使用武力,除非是为了自卫,然后只能针对国家行为者。相反,各国需要把重点放在促进失败国家发展的经济和社会措施上,以解决非国家行为者的暴力问题,因为解决平民不满是打击和遏制恐怖主义的最有效途径。
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引用次数: 0
Political Empowerment and Women in the Middle East 中东地区的政治赋权与妇女
Pub Date : 2020-12-15 DOI: 10.51330/gar.0020115
Caterina Uboldi
Despite the negative impact that gender inequality has on human and sustainable development, women’s participation in political life today remains extremely low. Only in a few countries do ​women occupy positions of great power and responsibility​. This is a problem that applies to the Middle East as well, however, there is an underlying dynamism which cannot be ignored and is seldom connected to the positive developments of this region. In order to make progress in gender issues, the United Nations has inserted gender equality into ​its ​2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. The UN Women agency has been active in ​several​ Arab countries with a considerable number of initiatives. Such programmes aim at developing​ a conversation ​about​ women’s empowerment, improving governmental policies, involving​ civil society in shaping new laws and agreements ​in favour of​ gender equality. ​This paper will examine the importance of gender equality during crises and throughout the subsequent recovery process. This paper will focus on the progress being made in gender equality, specifically in the MENA region, and how this is being enhanced by the work of the United Nations.
尽管性别不平等对人类发展和可持续发展产生了负面影响,但今天妇女参与政治生活的程度仍然极低。只有在少数几个国家,妇女占据了权力和责任重大的职位。这是一个同样适用于中东的问题,然而,有一种不可忽视的潜在动力,很少与该地区的积极事态发展联系起来。为了在性别问题上取得进展,联合国将性别平等纳入2030年可持续发展议程。联合国妇女署在若干阿拉伯国家积极开展活动,提出了相当多的倡议。这些方案的目的是开展关于赋予妇女权力的对话,改进政府政策,使民间社会参与制定有利于两性平等的新法律和协定。本文将探讨在危机期间和随后的整个恢复过程中性别平等的重要性。本文将重点讨论在性别平等方面取得的进展,特别是在中东和北非地区取得的进展,以及联合国的工作如何促进这一进展。
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引用次数: 1
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Global Affairs Review
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