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Past and possible future influence of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation on the climate responsible for concentration of geopolitical power and wealth in the North Atlantic region 大西洋经向翻转环流对北大西洋地区地缘政治力量和财富集中的气候的过去和可能的未来影响
Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.1177/2516019219878561
L. B. Railsback
Previous research has shown that nations that controlled global-scale empires over the most recent centuries and presently possess great per-capita wealth are in Earth’s two largest regions of regular moderate rainfall. That rainfall regime is the pattern of atmospheric precipitation most supportive of agriculture and water-wheel-powered industry, both of which presumably contributed to those nations’ advancement. Those regions of regular moderate rainfall ring the North Atlantic, and this article reviews the evidence that the Gulf Stream delivers warm vapor-releasing water in the upper limb of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, generating the distinctive climate of western Europe and eastern North America. Ocean circulation’s control on continental climate has thus contributed significantly to the Euro-American concentration of wealth and geopolitical power that has dominated the last few centuries of human history. However, comparison of the present apparent weakening or failure of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation with both the early Holocene 8.2 ka event and modeling of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation’s diminished generation of water vapor suggests that Europe and eastern North America may lose their beneficent climate pattern as rainfall there lessens.
先前的研究表明,在最近几个世纪里控制着全球规模帝国的国家,目前拥有巨大的人均财富,都位于地球上两个最大的常规中等降雨地区。这种降雨模式是最支持农业和水轮驱动工业的大气降水模式,这两种工业可能都对这些国家的进步做出了贡献。那些有规律的中等降雨的地区环绕着北大西洋,这篇文章回顾了墨西哥湾流在大西洋经向翻转环流上端输送温暖的蒸汽释放水的证据,产生了西欧和北美东部独特的气候。因此,海洋环流对大陆气候的控制在很大程度上促成了欧美财富和地缘政治力量的集中,这种集中主宰了人类历史的最后几个世纪。然而,将目前大西洋经向翻转环流的明显减弱或失败与全新世早期8.2 ka事件和大西洋经向翻转环流减少水汽生成的模拟进行比较,表明欧洲和北美东部可能会随着降雨量的减少而失去其有利的气候模式。
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引用次数: 1
WAM and WAVEWATCH-III intercomparison studies in the North Indian Ocean using Oceansat-2 Scatterometer winds 利用oceanansat -2散射计风在北印度洋进行的WAM和WAVEWATCH-III相互比较研究
Pub Date : 2019-08-01 DOI: 10.1177/2516019219866569
J. Swain, P. Umesh, AN Balchand
This paper presents the intercomparison of wave hindcasts using the third-generation models WAM and WAVEWATCH-III for the North Indian Ocean over 1° × 1° (latitude × longitude) grid resolutions, which reveals the first assessment of their relative performance through intercomparison of the model results. Hindcast wave parameters such as significant wave height, mean wave period, and swell wave height obtained from the simulations using Oceansat-2 scatterometer winds are analyzed to understand the quality and variability associated with the individual model outputs in the Indian Ocean. WAM and WAVEWATCH-III intercomparison studies are carried out for four different cases (January and June 2010, and January and June 2011). A comparative study of the relative performances of these two models is evaluated through extensive and robust statistical error analysis. Based on both qualitative and quantitative assessment of the model results, this study clearly indicates that both WAM and WAVEWATCH-III performed well in the common model domain using Oceansat-2 scatterometer winds, and they can be confidently used for long-term hindcasting in the North Indian Ocean, which will be very useful for most of the user community dealing with various coastal/offshore activities. The study also suggests that it would be preferable to consider available long-term wave measurements both in deep and coastal waters of the North Indian Ocean to validate and intercompare WAM and WAVEWATCH-III further.
本文介绍了在1°× 1°(纬度×经度)网格分辨率下,使用第三代模式WAM和WAVEWATCH-III进行的北印度洋波浪预报的相互比较,通过模式结果的相互比较,首次对它们的相对性能进行了评价。本文分析了利用Oceansat-2散射计风模拟得到的后投波参数,如有效波高、平均波周期和膨胀波高,以了解与印度洋单个模式输出相关的质量和变率。对四个不同病例(2010年1月和6月,以及2011年1月和6月)进行了WAM和WAVEWATCH-III相互比较研究。通过广泛而稳健的统计误差分析,对这两种模型的相对性能进行了比较研究。基于对模式结果的定性和定量评估,本研究清楚地表明,WAM和WAVEWATCH-III在使用Oceansat-2散射计风的共同模式域中表现良好,它们可以自信地用于北印度洋的长期后投,这将对处理各种沿海/近海活动的大多数用户社区非常有用。该研究还建议,最好考虑在北印度洋的深海和沿海水域进行现有的长期波浪测量,以进一步验证和比较WAM和WAVEWATCH-III。
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引用次数: 10
Experimental validation of lift and drag forces on an asymmetrical hydrofoil for seafloor anchoring applications 非对称水翼在海底锚固中的升力和阻力实验验证
Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/1759313118811979
G. Byrne, T. Persoons, W. Kingston
Tidal power can be described as harnessing the kinetic energy of the in and out flows known as tides created by the changing gravitational pull of the moon and the sun on the oceans of the world. As the relative positions of the sun and moon can be accurately predicted, so can the resultant tidal movements, making tidal energy such a valuable resource and an attractive option for renewable power generation. However, the high costs and difficulties associated with the deployment of underwater turbines, which includes anchoring, are prohibitive factors in the widespread utilisation of tidal power technology. Existing turbine fixation methods are primarily based on the use of large gravity anchors or monopole structures to secure the turbine to the seabed. In an effort to reduce size, environmental impact on the seafloor and installation cost, a hydrofoil-based anchor could be considered. The objective of this study is to experimentally test the lift and drag force behaviour of a finite-span hydrofoil with endplates, whose profile was selected based on simplified two-dimensional (2D) numerical simulations using the vortex panel method. A customised lift and drag force measurement system for this prototype hydrofoil was designed, fabricated and calibrated, and subsequently installed and tested in the Dutch Tidal Testing Centre (TTC) in Den Oever, the Netherlands. A series of tests with force and flow velocity measurements are described for different angles-of-attack under realistic tidal flow conditions. Results for the lift and drag coefficients as a function of angle-of-attack are compared to numerical simulation data and revealed that the real-world lift force is predicted well, whereas the drag force is underpredicted by the numerical predictions. These findings provide useful information for the design of anchoring systems based of hydrofoil profiles.
潮汐能可以被描述为利用由月球和太阳在世界海洋上不断变化的引力所产生的潮汐的动能。由于太阳和月亮的相对位置可以准确预测,因此潮汐运动也可以准确预测,这使得潮汐能成为一种宝贵的资源,也是可再生能源发电的一个有吸引力的选择。然而,与水下涡轮机部署相关的高成本和困难,包括锚定,是潮汐能技术广泛应用的阻碍因素。现有的涡轮机固定方法主要是基于使用大型重力锚或单极结构将涡轮机固定在海底。为了减小锚的尺寸,减少对海底环境的影响,降低安装成本,可以考虑采用水翼型锚。本研究的目的是通过实验测试带端板的有限跨度水翼的升力和阻力行为,并采用涡盘法进行简化二维数值模拟。为该原型水翼设计、制造和校准了定制的升力和阻力测量系统,随后在荷兰Den Oever的荷兰潮汐测试中心(TTC)进行了安装和测试。描述了在实际潮汐条件下,对不同迎角进行的一系列力和流速测量试验。将升力系数和阻力系数随迎角的变化结果与数值模拟数据进行了比较,发现实际升力的预测效果较好,而阻力的预测效果较差。这些研究结果为设计基于水翼型的锚固系统提供了有用的信息。
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引用次数: 1
Spatial and seasonal variations in atmospheric aerosols over Nigeria: Assessment of influence of intertropical discontinuity movement 尼日利亚上空大气气溶胶的空间和季节变化:热带不连续运动影响的评估
Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/1759313118820306
A. Ayanlade, Godwin Atai, Margaret O. Jegede
This study examines the influence of intertropical discontinuity movement on seasonality and distribution of atmospheric aerosols over Nigeria, using remote sensing approach. The Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Terra aerosol optical depth, wind speed and precipitation/intertropical discontinuity (ITD) dataset were used. Geospatial interpolation model was used to analyse the aerosol seasonal distribution. Correlations analysis was used to evaluate the degree of influence of wind and ITD on the monthly distribution of aerosol. The results show significant variations in monthly mean distributions of aerosol, but the variation is much more extraordinary during Harmattan season than Wet and Dry seasons, with 0.29 ⩽ aerosol optical depth ⩾ 0.46. In other ecological zones, the highest mean aerosol optical depth values were observed in the months of December, January and February with 0.30 ⩽ aerosol optical depth ⩾ 0.60, with highest value in Sahel ecological zone. Generally, the results further show a strong relationship between aerosol optical depth distribution and migration of ITD with correlation r2 ⩾ 0.60 @ p = 0.05 mostly during Dry and Harmattan seasons but relatively low correlation r2 ⩽ 0.40 @ p = 0.05 during Wet season. The major findings of this study are that seasonal shifts in the location of the ITD considerably affect not only rainfall distribution, resulting in the Wet and Dry seasons in the study area, but also have significant impacts on atmospheric aerosol distributions. Although not all aerosols presented in this study are dust originated from Sahara desert, since biomass-burning activities frequently occur in the study area, the study concludes that satellite-based aerosol optical depth datasets continue to be advantageous to understand atmospheric aerosols distribution in a region where there is fewer ground aerosols data.
本研究利用遥感方法考察了热带不连续运动对尼日利亚上空大气气溶胶季节性和分布的影响。利用MODIS Terra气溶胶光学深度、风速和降水/热带不连续(ITD)数据集。利用地理空间插值模型分析了气溶胶的季节分布。利用相关分析评价了风和过渡段对气溶胶月分布的影响程度。结果显示气溶胶的月平均分布有显著变化,但是在Harmattan季节的变化比湿季和干季的变化要不寻常得多,其中0.29≥气溶胶光学深度大于或等于0.46。在其他生态区,在12月、1月和2月观测到最高的平均气溶胶光学深度值,为0.30±气溶胶光学深度大于或等于0.60,在萨赫勒生态区观测到最高值。一般来说,结果进一步表明气溶胶光学深度分布与过渡段迁移之间存在很强的关系,相关性r2≥0.60 @ p = 0.05主要在Dry和Harmattan季节,但在Wet季节相对较低的相关性r2≥0.40 @ p = 0.05。本研究的主要发现是过渡段位置的季节变化不仅显著影响降雨分布,导致研究区出现干湿季节,而且对大气气溶胶分布也有显著影响。尽管并非本研究中呈现的所有气溶胶都是来自撒哈拉沙漠的尘埃,因为研究区域经常发生生物质燃烧活动,但该研究得出结论,在地面气溶胶数据较少的地区,基于卫星的气溶胶光学深度数据集仍然有利于了解大气气溶胶分布。
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引用次数: 5
Long-range persistence in sea surface temperature off the coast of central California 加利福尼亚中部海岸外海面温度的长期持续
Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/1759313118791113
L. Breaker
We estimate long-range persistence in ocean surface temperature off the coast of central California, a region where similar observations have not been made. The database consists of 20-year records of daily sea surface temperature from three locations: Pacific Grove and Granite Canyon along the coast, and Southeast Farallon Island located 40 km off the coast and slightly further north. Long-range persistence is important for a number of reasons: on the negative side, it can have serious detrimental effects for statistical inference and on the positive side, it provides access to the ocean’s memory which can lead to a greater understanding of the processes involved and thus to better prediction. Long-range persistence also provides important insights into the relationship between the scaling that is obtained and the time scales employed. The first step in the analysis was to remove the annual cycle from the data at each location because of its detrimental effect on estimating long-range persistence. Then detrended fluctuation analysis was used to calculate long-range persistence where a single scaling exponent is obtained that relates the magnitudes of the fluctuations in the data to the time scales involved. Similar scaling exponents were obtained for Granite Canyon and Pacific Grove with values of 1.04 and 1.05, respectively. At Southeast Farallon Island, a value of 1.16 was obtained. The increase in the scaling exponent at Southeast Farallon Island is consistent with observations made elsewhere and model results, which indicate that as coastal influence decreases further offshore, the scaling exponents for sea surface temperature tend to increase. Because Southeast Farallon Island is exposed to subarctic waters offshore, whereas Pacific Grove and Granite Canyon are exposed to warmer waters from the California Undercurrent along the coast, these exposures to different water masses may contribute to the observed change in scaling behavior.
我们估计加州中部海岸外的海洋表面温度长期持续存在,而这一地区还没有进行过类似的观测。该数据库由三个地点20年的每日海面温度记录组成:太平洋格罗夫和花岗岩峡谷沿岸,以及距离海岸40公里的东南法拉隆岛,稍微往北一点。长期持续性之所以重要,有以下几个原因:从消极的方面来看,它可能对统计推断产生严重的不利影响;从积极的方面来看,它提供了访问海洋记忆的途径,可以更好地了解所涉及的过程,从而更好地进行预测。长期持久性还提供了对所获得的尺度和所采用的时间尺度之间关系的重要见解。分析的第一步是从每个地点的数据中去除年周期,因为它对估计长期持久性有不利影响。然后,采用去趋势波动分析方法计算长期持续时间,得到一个单一的标度指数,该指数将数据的波动幅度与所涉及的时间尺度联系起来。花岗岩峡谷(Granite Canyon)和太平洋丛林(Pacific Grove)的尺度指数相似,分别为1.04和1.05。在法拉隆岛东南部,这一数值为1.16。法拉隆岛东南部尺度指数的增加与其他地方的观测和模式结果一致,表明随着沿海影响的进一步减弱,海面温度的尺度指数有增加的趋势。由于法拉隆岛东南部暴露在近海的亚北极水域,而太平洋格拉夫和花岗岩峡谷暴露在沿海加利福尼亚暗流的温暖水域,这些暴露于不同的水团可能有助于观察到的结垢行为变化。
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引用次数: 3
Selection of sustainable technologies for reducing emission of volatile organic compounds and greenhouse gases 选择减少挥发性有机化合物和温室气体排放的可持续技术
Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/2516019219852603
Zarook Shareefdeen
Selection of sustainable and environmental friendly technologies is very important in meeting strict environmental regulations on industrial emissions of volatile organic compounds and greenhouse gases. Many of the industrial volatile organic compounds are toxic and carcinogenic, and they are regulated under Clean Air Act for hazardous air pollutants. Similarly, global environmental agreements such as European Union’s 2015 Paris Agreement and Kyoto Protocol restrict carbon emission, which is responsible for global warming, sea-level rise, flooding, and ecological imbalance. It is essential that industries choose suitable technologies that reduce not only toxic volatile organic compounds in the air but also greenhouse gas emissions. In this communication, biotechnological methods are discussed and compared with conventional processes, which are used for control of volatile organic compounds. The readers may find this article useful in the selection of an appropriate technology for their application while minimizing the greenhouse gas emissions.
选择可持续和环境友好的技术对于满足对挥发性有机化合物和温室气体工业排放的严格环境法规非常重要。许多工业挥发性有机化合物是有毒的和致癌的,它们在《清洁空气法》中受到有害空气污染物的管制。同样,全球环境协议,如欧盟2015年的《巴黎协定》和《京都议定书》,限制了碳排放,而碳排放是造成全球变暖、海平面上升、洪水和生态失衡的原因。工业选择合适的技术,不仅要减少空气中的有毒挥发性有机化合物,还要减少温室气体的排放,这一点至关重要。在本通讯中,讨论了生物技术方法,并将其与用于控制挥发性有机化合物的传统方法进行了比较。读者可能会发现这篇文章在选择合适的技术为他们的应用,同时尽量减少温室气体排放有用。
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引用次数: 1
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Journal of Ocean and Climate: Science, Technology and Impacts
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