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Impact of COVID-19 on poverty and living standards in Ghana: A micro perspective 2019冠状病毒病对加纳贫困和生活水平的影响:微观视角
Pub Date : 2020-07-01 DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-37910/v1
Chei Bukari, G. Essilfie, M. A. Aning-Agyei, I. Otoo, Christian Kyeremeh, A. Owusu, Kofi Fosu Amuquandoh, Ibrahim Kpanja Bukari
The novel Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), which has become a global epidemic, hit Ghana on 12th March 2020 and, in less than a week, increased by over 300 percent with two deaths. As of 11th June 2020, Ghana had recorded over 11,000 cases with 48 deaths. This study seeks to provide a micro-level evidence on how COVID-19 is posing a threat to some of the Sustainable Development Goals, particularly poverty and hunger in Ghana. Specifically, the study examined the effect of COVID-19 on poverty and living standards of Ghanaian households. It also analyzed which class of persons within the income distributions is mostly hit by the pandemic. Data on 3,905 households were obtained via concurrent online survey and telephone interviews. Multiple analytical approaches were employed: Ordinary least squares, probit model and simultaneous quantile regressions. The results showed that COVID-19 had significantly increased the poverty levels of households, while deteriorating living standards. The study also showed that gender and locational heterogeneities exist regarding the impact of COVID-19 with females and rural dwellers mostly disadvantaged. However, the simultaneous quantile regression showed that in terms of overall household consumption, those in the middle and upper classes were heavily affected compared to those in the lowest class. A key policy implication from this study is that Ghana needs to broaden its social protection programmes to assist both the new poor and existing poor.
2019年新型冠状病毒病(COVID-19)已成为全球流行病,于2020年3月12日袭击加纳,在不到一周的时间里,病例增加了300%以上,造成2人死亡。截至2020年6月11日,加纳已记录了1.1万多例病例,其中48例死亡。本研究旨在提供微观层面的证据,说明COVID-19如何对一些可持续发展目标,特别是加纳的贫困和饥饿构成威胁。具体而言,该研究考察了COVID-19对加纳家庭贫困和生活水平的影响。报告还分析了收入分配中哪一类人受疫情影响最大。通过在线调查和电话访谈同时进行,获得了3905户家庭的数据。采用了多种分析方法:普通最小二乘法、概率模型和同时分位数回归。结果显示,新冠肺炎疫情显著增加了家庭的贫困程度,同时使生活水平下降。该研究还表明,COVID-19的影响存在性别和地域异质性,女性和农村居民处于弱势地位。然而,同步分位数回归显示,就整体家庭消费而言,中上层阶级受到的影响比对底层阶级的影响更大。这项研究的一个关键政策含义是,加纳需要扩大其社会保护方案,以帮助新贫困人口和现有贫困人口。
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Cogent Economics and Finance
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