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The “power of weakness”? The Western Balkans and Europe’s global neighbourhood “软弱的力量”?西巴尔干和欧洲的全球邻居
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.2298/medjp2303459b
Bence Balazs
Putin?s war in Ukraine might result in a shift from the worn-out refrain of ?Europeanization? towards a more realist approach to EU enlargement and its geostrategic stakes. Russia has turned into a significant threat due to its weakness rather than its power. The author considers the ?power of weakness? a crucial concept in the ongoing aggression and its geostrategic consequences. Paradoxically, weakness might be an actual source of power in these uncertain times of global transformation. is that an opportunity for the Western Balkans (WB)? Analyzing the troublesome Western Balkans? EU integration based on their economic, demographic, and other (limited) features while relying on the decolonization approach, the author finds that their integration constitutes an emergency precisely due to their weak points. Russia and China seek for weakening states across the globe, minor players where anti-Western feelings are easy to instrumentalize. The WB candidates deserve to be better integrated into the list of European priorities. A lack of EU strategy in the WB might indicate the absence of sound perspectives for the Union?s broader international role. The paper explores Bertrand Badie?s decolonization approach, applying it to the Western Balkans, Hungary?s practice regarding the ?power of the weak?, and Turkey, aiming to illustrate that weakness should not be perceived solely as the opposite of power, but as a suspicious international element since the Cold War onwards.
普京?美国在乌克兰的战争可能会导致“欧洲化”这一陈词滥调的转变。对欧盟东扩及其地缘战略利益采取更为现实的态度。俄罗斯之所以成为重大威胁,是因为它的软弱而不是强大。作者思考了“软弱的力量”。这是正在进行的侵略及其地缘战略后果中的一个关键概念。矛盾的是,在这个全球转型的不确定时期,软弱实际上可能是力量的源泉。这对西巴尔干地区(WB)来说是个机会吗?分析棘手的西巴尔干?基于其经济、人口和其他(有限)特征的欧盟一体化,同时依靠非殖民化方法,作者发现,正是由于它们的弱点,它们的一体化构成了紧急情况。俄罗斯和中国在全球范围内寻找衰弱的国家,这些国家的反西方情绪很容易被利用。世界银行的候选人应该被更好地纳入欧洲的优先事项清单。世界银行缺乏欧盟战略,可能表明欧盟缺乏健全的前景。美国更广泛的国际角色。这篇论文探讨了贝特朗·巴迪?美国的非殖民化方法,将其应用于西巴尔干,匈牙利?美国关于“弱者的力量”的实践?美国和土耳其,旨在说明软弱不应仅仅被视为力量的对立面,而是自冷战以来被视为可疑的国际因素。
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引用次数: 0
Western Balkans-EU relations between the USA, Russia and Turkey 美国,俄罗斯和土耳其之间的西巴尔干-欧盟关系
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.2298/medjp2303485y
Yağmur Yetimoğlu, Gokhan Akşemsettinoğlu
Driven by stability and security concerns stemming from the recent past, the European Union (EU) has decided to include the Western Balkans (WB) in its enlargement process. in the meantime, the United States of America (USA), Russia, and Turkey have become engaged in promoting the need for balance of power in the region, although their interests have been mutually conflicting. in fact, the USA has supported the policies of the EU towards the WB to consolidate Euro-Atlantic integration and to maintain its authority as a superpower on the eastern side of the Atlantic. Another major power, Russia, has sought to counterbalance both the EU and the USA in the region by leveraging its close relations with Serbia. On the other hand, a neighboring country in the region, Turkey, has adopted the policy of soft power and good neighborly policy towards the WB to strengthen relations with old partners, based on perception of shared culture, heritage and history. This article analyzes the diverging national interests of the USA, Russia, and Turkey in the context of the Normative Power Europe approach pertaining to the WB.
欧洲联盟(欧盟)考虑到最近产生的稳定和安全问题,决定将西巴尔干国家纳入其扩大进程。与此同时,尽管美国、俄罗斯和土耳其的利益相互冲突,但它们已经开始致力于促进该地区力量平衡的需要。事实上,美国一直支持欧盟对世界银行的政策,以巩固欧洲-大西洋一体化,维护其作为大西洋东岸超级大国的权威。另一个大国俄罗斯则试图利用其与塞尔维亚的密切关系,在该地区制衡欧盟和美国。另一方面,该地区的邻国土耳其基于共同的文化、遗产和历史观念,对世界银行采取软实力政策和睦邻政策,加强与老伙伴的关系。本文分析了美国、俄罗斯和土耳其在与世界银行相关的规范力量欧洲方法背景下的国家利益分歧。
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引用次数: 0
Geopolitical challenges and the Macedonian path to EU accession 地缘政治挑战和马其顿加入欧盟之路
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.2298/medjp2303435d
Zhidas Daskalovski
While formally founded on a variety of values and rules, the enlargement of the European Union (EU) has also been consistently influenced by geopolitical considerations, including within the Western Balkans (WB). The author particularly focuses on the Macedonian case in this regard, observing it in the context of the enlargement policy?s diminished credibility, the lack of progress towards fulfilling membership criteria, and more recently, the complications caused by Russia?s invasion of Ukraine. Apart from the veto imposed by Greece due to the naming dispute (which began in 2005), Skopje?s progress towards EU accession was further hindered by additional challenges related to democratic regression, state capture, and corruption. However, even the change of government and the subsequent conclusion of the Prespa Agreement with Athens in 2018 failed to result in the initiation of EU accession negotiations, which were initially blocked by France and later by Bulgaria. Meanwhile, concerns regarding the high degree of corruption persisted, while Bulgarian bilateral demands became integrated into the broader EU expectations from Skopje. The author concludes that the Macedonian case is characterized by a significant degree of bilateral and geopolitical considerations, further undermining the legitimacy and objectives of the enlargement policy.
欧洲联盟(欧盟)的扩大虽然正式建立在各种价值观和规则的基础上,但也一直受到地缘政治因素的影响,包括在西巴尔干地区。作者在这方面特别着重于马其顿的情况,在扩大政策的背景下观察它。欧盟的信誉下降,在实现成员国标准方面缺乏进展,以及最近俄罗斯引发的复杂局面。美国入侵乌克兰。除了希腊因命名争议(始于2005年)而投下的否决票外,斯科普里?中国加入欧盟的进程进一步受到与民主倒退、国家控制和腐败有关的额外挑战的阻碍。然而,即使是政府更迭以及随后在2018年与雅典达成的《普雷斯帕协定》(Prespa Agreement),也未能启动加入欧盟的谈判,这一谈判最初受到法国和保加利亚的阻挠。与此同时,对高度腐败的担忧持续存在,而保加利亚的双边要求已融入欧盟对斯科普里的更广泛期望。发件人的结论是,马其顿问题的特点是有很大程度的双边和地缘政治考虑,这进一步破坏了扩大政策的合法性和目标。
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引用次数: 0
Good neighbourhood as an EU accession criterion for Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia? 睦邻友好作为乌克兰、摩尔多瓦和格鲁吉亚加入欧盟的标准?
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.2298/medjp2303409g
Christina Griessler
For the new and future EU candidate countries of Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia, the path to EU membership is based on the same ?established criteria and conditions?? as for the long-term candidates of the Western Balkans (WB). However, the WB?s EU accession process brought with it additional conditions, such as regional cooperation, reconciliation and good neighbourly relations. The EU?s objective at the time was to encourage the countries in the region to improve relations with their neighbours and to deal with the war legacies through regional cooperation initiatives. This raises the question of how, and to what extent, these additional criteria could become part of the EU integration process of Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia - all countries in conflict with neighbouring Russia. The theoretical background of the analysis is the EU?s actorness and its policy of external governance, expanding its normative sphere of influence to non-EU members. The paper discusses the additional WB conditions and identifies similar preconditions in the relevant EU agreements and documents for Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia since 2014. it shows that some of the WB preconditions are used in Eastern European Partner (EaP) countries but are, for now, seemingly less of a priority.
对于乌克兰、摩尔多瓦和格鲁吉亚这些新的和未来的欧盟候选国来说,加入欧盟的道路是基于同样的既定标准和条件。以及西巴尔干的长期候选国。然而,世界银行?中国加入欧盟的过程带来了额外的条件,如区域合作、和解和睦邻关系。欧盟?美国当时的目标是鼓励该区域各国改善与邻国的关系,并通过区域合作倡议处理战争遗留问题。这就提出了一个问题:这些额外的标准如何以及在多大程度上成为乌克兰、摩尔多瓦和格鲁吉亚——所有与邻国俄罗斯存在冲突的国家——融入欧盟进程的一部分。分析的理论背景是欧盟?欧盟的角色和对外治理政策,将其规范的影响范围扩大到非欧盟成员国。本文讨论了世行的附加条件,并确定了自2014年以来乌克兰、摩尔多瓦和格鲁吉亚的相关欧盟协议和文件中类似的先决条件。报告显示,世界银行的一些先决条件在东欧伙伴国得到了应用,但目前似乎不太受重视。
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引用次数: 0
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Međunarodni problemi
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