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A STOCK PREDICTION SYSTEM USING TEKNIKAL INDICATORS WITH THE LSTM METHOD 基于LSTM方法的teknikal指标库存预测系统
Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.21108/ijoict.v9i1.713
Revelin Angger Saputra
The capital market industry in Indonesia is developing in a better direction so that the growth of new investors is also increasing. Until the end of February 2021, operational data from the Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX) and data from the Indonesian Central Securities Depository (KSEI) recorded that the number of new capital market investors had increased by 16.35% or 634,350 investors, from the previous 3,880,753 investors. to 4,515,103 investors. The development of the capital market industry in Indonesia, which has increased investor interest in investing, is expected to mobilize public funds to support national economic development. Some companies that are familiar to the community are BCA, BNI, BRI and MANDIRI. This study attempts to forecast banking stock prices on the LQ45 index, using the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) method. LSTM is one of the Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) which has good accuracy in predictions. The identified fields are Close, Open, RSI, MACD and MA. The evaluation method used in this prediction system is MAPE in the form of percent output.
印尼的资本市场行业正在朝着更好的方向发展,因此新投资者的增长也在增加。截至2021年2月底,印尼证券交易所(IDX)和印尼中央证券存管局(KSEI)的运营数据显示,新的资本市场投资者数量比之前的3,880,753名投资者增加了16.35%,即634,350名投资者。4,515,103名投资者。印尼资本市场行业的发展提高了投资者的投资兴趣,有望调动公共资金支持国家经济发展。社区熟悉的公司有BCA、BNI、BRI和MANDIRI。本研究尝试运用长短期记忆(LSTM)方法对LQ45指数上的银行股价格进行预测。LSTM是递归神经网络(RNN)的一种,具有较好的预测精度。确定的字段是Close, Open, RSI, MACD和MA。在该预测系统中使用的评价方法是MAPE的百分比输出形式。
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引用次数: 1
Portfolio Optimization Based on Return Prediction and Semi Absolute Deviation (SAD) 基于收益预测和半绝对偏差的投资组合优化
Pub Date : 2023-06-18 DOI: 10.21108/ijoict.v9i1.698
Gharyni Nurkhair Mulyono, Deni Saepudin, Aniq Atiqi Rohmawati
A portfolio is a collection of investment financial assets managed by financial institutions or individuals. In investment activities, investors expect minimal loss risk and optimal stock portfolio weight to get maximum profit. Investors can monitor changes in stock index values to compare portfolio performance. This research has discussed how to build a portfolio based on stock datasets with the LQ45 index using return predictions from the artificial neural network (ANN) method with semi-absolute deviation (SAD). Furthermore, the portfolio is optimized by looking for weights that match it. After that, a comparison of portfolio performance was carried out using the Sharpe ratio (SR) method between the semi-absolute deviation (SAD) portfolio and the portfolio resulting from the formation of the equal weight (EW) portfolio. Portfolio performance with ANN prediction and SAD is better than equal-weight portfolios in terms of mean return, standard deviation, and sharpe ratio for portfolios with few stocks, namely 2 and 3 stocks. In addition, a portfolio with a higher number of stocks can make the portfolio value from the ANN close prediction algorithm process and the selection of weights based on SAD is better than portfolios with equal weight for each list of stocks in the portfolio.
投资组合是由金融机构或个人管理的投资金融资产的集合。在投资活动中,投资者期望最小的损失风险和最优的股票组合权重以获得最大的利润。投资者可以监测股票指数的变化来比较投资组合的表现。本文讨论了基于LQ45指数的股票数据集,利用半绝对偏差人工神经网络(ANN)方法预测收益的方法来构建投资组合。此外,通过寻找与之匹配的权重来优化投资组合。然后,利用夏普比率(SR)方法对半绝对偏差(SAD)投资组合与等权重(EW)投资组合进行组合绩效比较。对于股票较少的组合,即2只股票和3只股票,采用人工神经网络预测和SAD的组合在平均收益、标准差和夏普比率方面都优于等权组合。此外,股票数量较多的投资组合可以从人工神经网络的密切预测算法过程中获得投资组合的价值,并且基于SAD的权重选择比投资组合中每个股票列表的权重相等的投资组合要好。
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引用次数: 0
Static Code Analysis on The Effect of Virtual Secure Mode on Memory Acquisition with IDA 虚拟安全模式对IDA内存获取影响的静态代码分析
Pub Date : 2023-06-09 DOI: 10.21108/ijoict.v9i1.688
Nadja Adryana, Niken Cahyani, Erwid Jadied
Memory acquisition process is one of digital forensics act. There are several tools that support memory acquisition process. At this time, there is a feature named secure mode that can caused crash or error in memory acquisition tools system and caused the tools to be unusable, also the loss of the computer memory. This research is focusing on analyzing the acquisition tools that has error or crash when the device that is being used for memory acquisition is in secure mode. The analysis is being carried out using static code analysis method, which is one of the techniques of reverse engineering, using IDA. This study aims to find the cause of the crash or error in memory acquisition tools. The purpose of this study is to be useful for digital forensic tester in understanding the potential risk of the secure mode impact in acquisition process. The results of this study indicate that different operating system and different kernel which runs in the device are the reasons that memory acquisition tools cannot run properly on VSM environment being turned on.
记忆获取过程是数字取证行为之一。有几个工具支持记忆获取过程。此时,有一种称为安全模式的特性会导致内存获取工具系统崩溃或出错,导致工具无法使用,也会导致计算机内存的丢失。本研究的重点是分析当用于内存采集的设备处于安全模式时出现错误或崩溃的采集工具。使用静态代码分析方法进行分析,这是使用IDA进行逆向工程的技术之一。本研究旨在找出记忆体撷取工具崩溃或出错的原因。本研究的目的是帮助数字取证测试人员了解安全模式影响在采集过程中的潜在风险。本研究结果表明,不同的操作系统和设备运行的不同内核是导致内存采集工具在打开VSM环境下无法正常运行的原因。
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引用次数: 0
Comparison of Term Weighting Methods in Sentiment Analysis of the New State Capital of Indonesia with the SVM Method 印尼新国有资本情感分析中的期限加权方法与支持向量机方法的比较
Pub Date : 2023-01-03 DOI: 10.21108/ijoict.v8i2.681
None Muhammad Kiko Aulia Reiki, Yuliant Sibaroni, Erwin Budi Setiawan
The relocation of the State Capital to “Nusantara”, which was inaugurated with the enactment of UU No. 3 of 2022, is a significant project that has sparked polemics among Indonesian citizens. Many people expressed their opinions and thoughts regarding the relocation of the State Capital on Twitter. This tendency of public opinion needs to be identified with sentiment analysis. In sentiment analysis, term weighting is an essential component to obtain optimal accuracy. Various people are trying to modify the existing term weighting to increase the performance and accuracy of the model. One of them is icf-based or tf-bin.icf, which combines inverse category frequency (ICF) and relevance frequency (RF). This study compares the tf-idf, tf-rf, and tf-bin.icf term weighting with the SVM classification method on the new State Capital of Indonesia topic. The tf-idf weighting results are still the best compared to the tf-bin.icf and tf-rf term weights, with an accuracy score of 88.0% a 1,3% difference with tf-bin.icf term weighting.
随着2022年第3号法令的颁布,国家首都迁至 - œNusantaraâ -”是一个重大项目,在印度尼西亚公民中引发了争议。许多人在推特上表达了他们对迁都的看法和想法。这种民意倾向需要通过情感分析来识别。在情感分析中,术语加权是获得最佳准确度的重要组成部分。很多人都在尝试修改现有的术语权重,以提高模型的性能和准确性。其中之一是基于icf或tf-bin。icf,结合了逆类别频率(icf)和相关频率(RF)。本研究比较了tf-idf、tf-rf和tf-bin。用支持向量机分类方法对印度尼西亚新国家首都主题进行icf项加权。与tf-bin相比,tf-idf加权结果仍然是最好的。Icf和tf-rf项权重,准确度得分为88.0%,与tf-bin差1.3个百分点。f项加权。
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引用次数: 1
Hoax COVID-19 News Detection Based on Sentiment Analysis in Indonesian using Support Vector Machine (SVM) Method 基于支持向量机(SVM)方法的印度尼西亚语情感分析的骗局COVID-19新闻检测
Pub Date : 2023-01-03 DOI: 10.21108/ijoict.v8i2.682
Alifia Shafira
The increasing use of technology makes it easier for information media such as news to be disseminated and does not demand possibilities, there is a lot of hoax news spreading. Twitter is one of the media most frequently used by the public to access and disseminate information. This research will focus on detecting Indonesian language COVID-19 news taken from Twitter. Detection of hoax news can be assisted by using sentiment analysis, one of the uses of classification text. Support Vector Machine (SVM) can be used to perform sentiment analysis tasks. After getting the sentiment analysis results, the hoax detection process will use the Bag of Words. Bag of Words is a collection of word dictionaries for weighting words to determine specific labels. The built SVM model succeeded in classifying tweet repliessentiment with an average accuracy of 83.17% with a threshold of 35%. At the same time, the hoax detection process gets the best accuracy of 62.5% with a threshold of -5 or -6.
科技的日益普及使得信息媒体如新闻的传播变得更加容易,在不要求可能性的情况下,出现了大量的假新闻传播。Twitter是公众获取和传播信息最常用的媒体之一。这项研究将侧重于检测从Twitter上获取的印尼语COVID-19新闻。使用情感分析(分类文本的用途之一)可以辅助检测恶作剧新闻。支持向量机(SVM)可以用来执行情感分析任务。在获得情感分析结果后,恶作剧检测过程将使用词袋。Bag of Words是一个单词字典集合,用于对单词进行加权以确定特定的标签。所建立的SVM模型对tweet回复信息进行分类,平均准确率为83.17%,阈值为35%。同时,在阈值为-5或-6时,恶作剧检测过程的准确率达到62.5%。
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引用次数: 0
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International journal on information and communication technology
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