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Mapping and Understanding Changes in Tree Cover in Nepal: 1992 to 2016 1992 - 2016年尼泊尔树木覆盖变化的制图与理解
Pub Date : 2023-11-06 DOI: 10.3126/jfl.v18i1.59607
Jefferson Fox, Sumeet Saksena, Kaspar Hurni, Jamon Van Den Hoek, Alexander Cuthbert Smith, Ram Chhetri, Pitamber Sharma
Since the 1980s, Nepal, one of the poorest countries in the world, has gained worldwide recognition for its successful community forestry program. Researchers, however, have not previously documented the spatially explicit impacts of this forest transition because of the topographic effects, e.g., shading, clouds, snow, and ice, hindered remote-sensing imagery analysis. This multi-disciplinary research project used United States Geological Survey (USGS) Landsat 5, 7, and 8 surface reflected-correct imagery from 1988 to 2016 that were available in Google Earth Engine to map forest cover change across the country. We then used a RandomForest (machine learning method) and multilevel regression analyses to assess associations between changes in forest cover and physiographic and socio-economic variables. We found that between 1992 and 2016, forest cover in Nepal almost doubled. Among other variables, being a member of a community-forestry user group, and receiving remittance income from children who had migrated elsewhere to work had a positive impact on forest cover.
自20世纪80年代以来,尼泊尔这个世界上最贫穷的国家之一,因其成功的社区林业项目而获得了全世界的认可。然而,由于地形的影响,例如遮阳、云、雪和冰,阻碍了遥感图像的分析,研究人员以前没有记录这种森林转变的空间明确影响。这个多学科研究项目使用了美国地质调查局(USGS)的Landsat 5、7和8从1988年到2016年的表面反射正确图像,这些图像可以在谷歌地球引擎中获得,以绘制全国森林覆盖变化。然后,我们使用随机森林(机器学习方法)和多水平回归分析来评估森林覆盖变化与地理和社会经济变量之间的关系。我们发现,从1992年到2016年,尼泊尔的森林覆盖率几乎翻了一番。除其他变量外,作为社区林业用户组的成员和从移徙到其他地方工作的儿童那里获得汇款收入对森林覆盖率有积极影响。
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引用次数: 0
Forest Gardening on Abandoned Agricultural Land Contribute to Ground Cover Change and Food Security 撂荒农用地上的森林园艺有助于土地覆被变化和粮食安全
Pub Date : 2023-11-06 DOI: 10.3126/jfl.v18i1.59620
Bishnu Hari Pandit
Various forest products such as nuts, mangoes, bananas, lime, silk from mulberry leaves,essential oil, timber, animal food, perfume from tree blossoms, mulch and biochar, possess high potential to increase rural income. However, farming families in Nepal can hardly afford the investment to create such productive ecosystems. Connecting to the global market through Carbon dioxide (CO2)– certificates could serve to finance the creation of forest gardens. To test and demonstrate such approach, a project on ‘building village economies through climate farming and forest gardening (BeChange)’ has been implemented by 276 farming families in fourdistricts (Tanhun, Lamjung, Gorkha and Kaski) of Nepal. Using Global Positioning System (GPS) point survey, household surveys, focus group discussions (FGDs), a triad group system, field observation and reports, the success of establishing privately owned forest gardens was assessed. A total of 42,205 mixed tree species such as Michelia, Elaeocarpus, and Cinnamomum tamala were planted on abandoned agriculture land of 276 families. The set-up and maintenance of the forest gardens was financed with advanced payments for the carbon sink services of the planted trees. Farmers who succeeded with tree survival rates above 70 per cent received anadditional yearly carbon sink fee. This activity was linked to other income generating activities such as cultural eco-tourism, cinnamon leaf essential oil distillation, and intercropping of high value shade loving crops such as ginger, turmeric, and lentils. The outcomes of the project show significant improvements of the livelihood and food security in the project villages.
各种林产品,如坚果、芒果、香蕉、酸橙、桑叶丝、精油、木材、动物性食品、树花香水、地膜和生物炭,都具有增加农村收入的巨大潜力。然而,尼泊尔的农民家庭很难负担得起投资来创造这样富有成效的生态系统。通过二氧化碳(CO2)证书与全球市场连接,可以为森林花园的创建提供资金。为了测试和示范这种方法,尼泊尔四个地区(Tanhun、Lamjung、廓尔喀和Kaski)的276个农户实施了“通过气候农业和森林园艺建设乡村经济(BeChange)”项目。采用全球定位系统(GPS)定点调查、入户调查、焦点小组讨论(fgd)、三位一体小组系统、实地观察和报告等方法,对建立私人森林花园的成功进行了评估。在276户废弃农用地上共种植含笑、榆木、柽柳等混交树42205种。森林花园的建立和维护是通过预先支付种植树木的碳汇服务来提供资金的。成功地使树木成活率超过70%的农民每年可获得额外的碳汇费。这项活动与其他创收活动有关,如文化生态旅游、肉桂叶精油蒸馏和高价值遮荫作物(如姜、姜黄和扁豆)的间作。该项目的成果表明,项目村庄的生计和粮食安全得到了显著改善。
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引用次数: 1
Remote Sensing Based Deforestation Monitoring at the Change Hotspot Area in Hindu Kush Himalayan Region 兴都库什-喜马拉雅变化热点地区毁林遥感监测
Pub Date : 2023-11-06 DOI: 10.3126/jfl.v18i1.59618
Kabir Uddin
Forests play an essential role in providing sustainable ecosystem services and livelihood options for a growing population. In the Hindu Kush Himalayan (HKH) region, forests have been continuously reduced due to increasing demand for timber, fuelwood, and agriculture. Identification of deforestation hotspots and monitoring changes in those hotspots will be highly useful for forest managers to prevent illegal deforestation. In this paper, we identified forest cover change hotspots and areas for annual monitoring in those hotspots. For that factors like land cover from 1990 and 2010, shuttle radar topography mission (SRTM) digitalelevation model (DEM), slope, curvature, and distance from the settlement and roads for all four countries which could influence loss in forest area and overplayed to determine forest hotspots, were considered. Land cover maps of 1990 and 2010 and other GIS layers were used for identification of hotspots using the model builder ArcGIS software. For monitoring of deforestation in the hotspot areas, Landsat 8 images (2013, 2014 and 2015) and geographic object-based image analysis (GEOBIA) technique was used. The method was validated in four study sites in Bangladesh, Nepal, Bhutan and Pakistan. The study revealed that the sites in Bangladesh have higher deforestation during 2013-2014 and 2014-2015 with forest loss of 1121.58 and 1773.18 ha respectively. The web-based forest monitoring system provides information on deforestation useful for forest managers to enforce annual management plans.
森林在为不断增长的人口提供可持续生态系统服务和生计选择方面发挥着至关重要的作用。在兴都库什-喜马拉雅(HKH)地区,由于对木材、薪材和农业的需求不断增加,森林不断减少。确定毁林热点并监测这些热点的变化将对森林管理者防止非法毁林非常有用。本文确定了森林覆盖变化热点地区,并对这些热点地区进行了年度监测。为此,考虑了1990年和2010年的土地覆盖、穿梭雷达地形任务(SRTM)数字高程模型(DEM)、坡度、曲率以及与居民点和道路的距离等因素,这些因素可能会影响森林面积的损失,并在确定森林热点时被夸大。利用ArcGIS模型构建器软件,利用1990年和2010年的土地覆盖图和其他GIS层进行热点识别。利用2013年、2014年和2015年的Landsat 8影像和基于地理目标的影像分析(geoobia)技术对热点地区的森林砍伐进行监测。该方法在孟加拉国、尼泊尔、不丹和巴基斯坦的四个研究地点得到了验证。研究表明,2013-2014年和2014-2015年,孟加拉国的森林砍伐率较高,森林损失分别为1121.58公顷和1773.18公顷。基于网络的森林监测系统提供有关森林砍伐的信息,有助于森林管理者执行年度管理计划。
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引用次数: 0
Inventory Results of 101 Natural Forests in the Middle Hills of Nepal over Two Decades 尼泊尔中部山区101个天然林20年清查结果
Pub Date : 2023-11-06 DOI: 10.3126/jfl.v18i1.59608
Towa Tachibana
Repeated forest-resource inventories provide indispensable information to evaluate, for example, the mean growth rate of stands and changes in tree-species composition in an area.This paper presents a summary of such longitudinal forest inventory data in the Middle Hills of Nepal, where deforestation has been an issue. Our first inventory was implemented between 1997 and 1999 and measured 3839 plots of 100 square meters (m 2 ). Our second inventory was conducted between 2014 and 2016 and measured 3765 plots of 100 m 2 . We found that over these two decades, the number of trees per hectare (ha -1) significantly improved. The number of stands ha -1 with diameter at breast height (DBH) of 10 centimeters (cm) and above went from 361.2 in the first inventory to 466.2 in the second inventory. We also found that not only the number of stands but also the quality of stands significantly improved. The number of stands with DBH of 30 cm and above ha-1 increased from 72.9 to 99.6. The mean alpha diversity, the number of trees species in a plot, rose to 2.1 from 1.6 in the initial inventory. In sum,“green has made a bold comeback in the Middle Hills”. Our indices evaluating the intensities of human activities on the plots suggest that these improvements in forest-resource conditions may be due to the decreased use of forests in the Middle Hills over these two decades.
反复进行的森林资源清查为评价诸如一个地区林分的平均生长率和树种组成的变化等提供了必不可少的资料。本文提出了尼泊尔中部山区这种纵向森林清查数据的总结,那里的森林砍伐一直是一个问题。我们在1997年至1999年期间实施了第一次调查,测量了3839块100平方米的地块。我们在2014年至2016年期间进行了第二次调查,测量了3765个100平方米的地块。我们发现,在这二十年中,每公顷树木的数量(ha -1)显著提高。胸径≥10 cm的林分ha -1由第一次调查时的361.2个增加到第二次调查时的466.2个。我们还发现,不仅林分数量显著提高,林分质量也显著提高。胸径30 cm及ha-1以上的林分数由72.9增加到99.6;样地平均α多样性(树种数)由初始调查时的1.6增加到2.1。总而言之,“绿色在中山大胆回归”。我们的人类活动强度评价指数表明,这些森林资源状况的改善可能是由于近20年来中山森林利用的减少。
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引用次数: 0
Mapping and Modelling of Land Use Change in Nepal 尼泊尔土地利用变化的制图和建模
Pub Date : 2023-11-06 DOI: 10.3126/jfl.v18i1.59621
Him Lal Shrestha, Naya Sharma Poudel, Roshan M. Bajracharya, Bishal K. Sitaula
Land use changes are a common occurrence resulting from different factors in Nepal. There is a need for better understanding of the temporal and spatial change dynamics of land uses as well as their future projections. This paper assesses the land use change and its impact on carbon stocks and provides future scenarios of land use changes and their impacts on carbon stocks. The methods involved classification of medium resolution satellite image using Object Based Image Analysis (OBIA) techniques, analysis of the change across three time frames,modelling the future land use, and assessment of the impacts on carbon stocks. OBIA was used for the image segmentation and image classification for the assessment of land uses present in two different periods i.e. 2010 and 1990. The classification of the images was carried out using the spectral characteristics of the Landsat images. Image indices, i.e., Vegetation Index were used for land use classification. The land use changes over time and space was analysed using Geographical Information System (GIS) overlaying techniques. A future scenario model was prepared using Land Change Modeler of IDRISI software. The study has focused on the land use changes and their future projection based on the potential transition of the land uses. The comparison of land use maps from 1990 to 2010 shows that the different pattern of annual land use changes in different districts such as forest areas are increasing at annual rate of 0.3 per cent in Rasuwa, 2.3 percent in Gorkha and 0.6 per cent in Chitwan. Similarly, the agricultural land is decreasing at the annual rate of 0.2 per cent in Rasuwa, 2.4 per cent in Gorkha and 0.8 per cent in Chitwan. Likewise, the future projection of land uses in all the three sites was made using the previous land use pattern and driving forces. There was a 0.1 per cent change annually in forest coveragein both Gorkha and Rasuwa whereas Chitwan showed higher rate of forest cover change of 0.2 per cent annually.
在尼泊尔,土地利用变化是由不同因素造成的常见现象。有必要更好地了解土地利用的时空变化动态及其未来预测。本文评估了土地利用变化及其对碳储量的影响,并提供了土地利用变化的未来情景及其对碳储量的影响。方法包括使用基于目标的图像分析(OBIA)技术对中分辨率卫星图像进行分类,分析三个时间框架的变化,建立未来土地利用模型,以及评估对碳储量的影响。利用OBIA对2010年和1990年两个不同时期的土地利用现状进行图像分割和分类。利用陆地卫星图像的光谱特征对图像进行分类。利用影像指数,即植被指数进行土地利用分类。 利用地理信息系统(GIS)叠加技术分析了土地利用随时间和空间的变化。利用IDRISI软件中的Land Change Modeler建立未来情景模型。研究的重点是土地利用的变化及其基于土地利用潜在转型的未来预测。1990年至2010年土地利用地图的比较表明,不同地区(如森林地区)的年土地利用变化模式不同,Rasuwa的年增长率为0.3%,廓尔喀为2.3%,Chitwan为0.6%。同样,拉苏瓦的农业用地每年减少0.2%,廓尔喀减少2.4%,奇旺减少0.8%。同样,所有三个地点的未来土地用途预测都是根据以前的土地使用模式和驱动力进行的。廓尔喀和拉苏瓦的森林覆盖率每年变化0.1%,而奇旺的森林覆盖率变化率更高,每年变化0.2%。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Forest and Livelihood
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