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The impact of behavioral biases on investment decisions: a serial mediation analysis 行为偏差对投资决策的影响:序列中介分析
Pub Date : 2024-07-11 DOI: 10.1108/jefas-08-2023-0243
V. Shunmugasundaram, Aashna Sinha
PurposeThe purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of behavioral biases on investment decisions through a serial mediation of overconfidence and disposition effects.Design/methodology/approachThe authors assess the behavioral biases affecting the investment decisions of life insurance policyholders through the serial mediation of overconfidence and disposition effects using a structured questionnaire. The study included 501 life insurance policyholders who were selected using a snowball sampling technique.FindingsThe results of this study revealed that behavioral biases influence the investment decisions of life insurance policyholders. The results also support the serial mediation model, where behavioral biases influence the investment decisions of life insurance policyholders via overconfidence and disposition effects.Research limitations/implicationsThis study makes a theoretical contribution to the field of behavioral finance by exploring the influences of behavioral biases on investment decisions. It also introduces overconfidence and disposition effects as serial mediators between behavioral biases and investment decisions. The study will be helpful for researchers, academicians and policymakers in the development of a more comprehensive model in the area of behavioral finance and in raising awareness regarding those biases among policyholders in order to improve their investment strategy.Originality/valueThis study has extended the ongoing simple mediation model by integrating overconfidence and disposition effects in a serial mediation model between behavioral biases and investment decisions. The study will contribute to the area of behavioral finance, as it is the first time this particular study has been conducted according to the authors’ knowledge.
本研究旨在通过过度自信和处置效应的序列中介,调查行为偏差对投资决策的影响。作者使用结构化问卷,通过过度自信和处置效应的序列中介,评估了影响人寿保险投保人投资决策的行为偏差。研究结果研究结果表明,行为偏差会影响人寿保险投保人的投资决策。研究局限/意义本研究通过探讨行为偏差对投资决策的影响,为行为金融学领域做出了理论贡献。它还引入了过度自信和处置效应作为行为偏差与投资决策之间的序列中介。该研究将有助于研究人员、学者和政策制定者在行为金融学领域开发一个更全面的模型,并提高投保人对这些偏差的认识,从而改进他们的投资策略。原创性/价值该研究通过将过度自信和处置效应纳入行为偏差与投资决策之间的序列中介模型,扩展了当前的简单中介模型。据作者所知,这是首次开展此类研究,因此本研究将对行为金融学领域做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the importance of the perceived value of port users: evidence from the public port system in Ecuador 探索港口用户感知价值的重要性:厄瓜多尔公共港口系统提供的证据
Pub Date : 2023-12-26 DOI: 10.1108/jefas-09-2022-0214
J. A. Pedraza-Rodríguez, Martha Yadira García-Briones, César Mora-Márquez
PurposeThis article aims to explore the concept of chain value of the public port system in Ecuador from the perspective of importing/exporting companies, analyzing how perceived value in the use of port services affects customer satisfaction and the intermediate links of the influence of trust and commitment on customer loyalty.Design/methodology/approachRelying on a survey of 634 Ecuadorian companies with experience in international trade as port users and a theoretical framework well-established in the literature on consumer behavior, the empirical study found evidence of a positive and significant relationship with the knowledge of chain effects.FindingsThe findings confirm the chain effect and reveal ways to maintain an ongoing satisfactory, trust and committed relationship with users, thereby ultimately gaining and maintaining their loyalty. The conclusions suggest how this postulate can help to close the gap referred to the effective management of port services, and point out that port managers should be concerned with a continuous in-depth understanding of the perceived value and its chain effects.Originality/valueThe authors add evidence of the use of the postulate of the chain of effects on these dimensions, whose applicability is very well established, tested and consensual for the doctrine in industrial marketing. In contrast, it is scarcely present in the port relationship with its users.
目的 本文旨在从进出口公司的角度探讨厄瓜多尔公共港口系统的连锁价值概念,分析在使用港口服务过程中感知到的价值如何影响客户满意度,以及信任和承诺对客户忠诚度影响的中间环节。研究结果研究结果证实了连锁效应,并揭示了与用户保持持续满意、信任和承诺关系的方法,从而最终获得并保持用户的忠诚度。结论提出了这一假设如何有助于缩小港口服务有效管理方面的差距,并指出港口管理者应关注对感知价值及其连锁效应的持续深入了解。与此相反,在港口与用户的关系中却很少使用。
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引用次数: 0
Foreign direct investment and local interpretable model-agnostic explanations: a rational framework for FDI decision making 外国直接投资与当地可解释模式的解释:外国直接投资决策的合理框架
Pub Date : 2023-11-20 DOI: 10.1108/jefas-05-2021-0069
Devesh Singh
PurposeThis study aims to examine foreign direct investment (FDI) factors and develops a rational framework for FDI inflow in Western European countries such as France, Germany, the Netherlands, Switzerland, Belgium and Austria.Design/methodology/approachData for this study were collected from the World development indicators (WDI) database from 1995 to 2018. Factors such as economic growth, pollution, trade, domestic capital investment, gross value-added and the financial stability of the country that influence FDI decisions were selected through empirical literature. A framework was developed using interpretable machine learning (IML), decision trees and three-stage least squares simultaneous equation methods for FDI inflow in Western Europe.FindingsThe findings of this study show that there is a difference between the most important and trusted factors for FDI inflow. Additionally, this study shows that machine learning (ML) models can perform better than conventional linear regression models.Research limitations/implicationsThis research has several limitations. Ideally, classification accuracies should be higher, and the current scope of this research is limited to examining the performance of FDI determinants within Western Europe.Practical implicationsThrough this framework, the national government can understand how investors make their capital allocation decisions in their country. The framework developed in this study can help policymakers better understand the rationality of FDI inflows.Originality/valueAn IML framework has not been developed in prior studies to analyze FDI inflows. Additionally, the author demonstrates the applicability of the IML framework for estimating FDI inflows in Western Europe.
目的 本研究旨在考察外国直接投资(FDI)因素,并为法国、德国、荷兰、瑞士、比利时和奥地利等西欧国家的FDI流入制定合理框架。 设计/方法/途径 本研究的数据收集自1995年至2018年的世界发展指标(WDI)数据库。通过实证文献选择了影响外国直接投资决策的因素,如经济增长、污染、贸易、国内资本投资、总附加值和国家的金融稳定性。使用可解释的机器学习(IML)、决策树和三阶段最小二乘法同时方程法,为西欧的外国直接投资流入建立了一个框架。研究结果本研究的结果表明,外国直接投资流入的最重要因素和可信因素之间存在差异。此外,本研究还表明,机器学习(ML)模型比传统的线性回归模型表现更好。理想情况下,分类准确率应该更高,而且目前的研究范围仅限于研究西欧的外国直接投资决定因素的表现。本研究建立的框架可以帮助政策制定者更好地理解外国直接投资流入的合理性。原创性/价值在之前的研究中,尚未建立 IML 框架来分析外国直接投资的流入。此外,作者还证明了 IML 框架适用于估算西欧的外国直接投资流入量。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of private and public initiatives on individuals' employment and income during the COVID-19 pandemic: evidence from Peru COVID-19 大流行期间私人和公共举措对个人就业和收入的影响:秘鲁的证据
Pub Date : 2023-11-20 DOI: 10.1108/jefas-08-2023-0230
S. Mongrut, Vivian Cruz, Daniela Pacussich
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to determine the impact of private and public initiatives (financial literacy, entrepreneurship, remote work and government aid) on individual job loss and decrease in income during the COVID-19 pandemic in Peru.Design/methodology/approach The authors used an unbalanced panel data analysis with the National Household Survey for 2019–2020. The hypotheses are tested with a probit panel data model since the dependent variables are binary.FindingsThe study findings indicate that financial preparedness reduced the probability of having a decrease in income, but only to informal workers in metropolitan Lima. Furthermore, entrepreneurship helped mainly female informal workers to reduce their probability of becoming unemployed in metropolitan Lima. Besides, the implementation of remote work as a substitute of face-to-face work was not enough to avoid the decrease in income in the case of informal workers and it was only effective to avoid unemployment in the case of formal workers in metropolitan Lima. Finally, public aid proved to be instrumental in mitigating the decrease in income, but only to informal workers in Metropolitan Lima.Research limitations/implications The study results only apply for the first year of the pandemic.Practical implicationsPolicymakers should focus on increasing the financial preparedness of informal workers, especially in provinces.Social implicationsPolicymakers must expand unemployment benefits, and design public aid programs targeting informal workers in provinces.Originality/valueThis is the first study that analyses the impact of private and public initiatives on the decrease in income and unemployment situation of Peruvian individuals during the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic.
本文旨在确定秘鲁 COVID-19 大流行期间私人和公共举措(金融扫盲、创业、远程工作和政府援助)对个人失业和收入减少的影响。由于因变量是二进制的,因此使用 probit 面板数据模型对假设进行了检验。研究结果研究结果表明,财务准备降低了收入减少的概率,但仅限于利马大都市的非正规工人。此外,在利马大都市,创业主要帮助女性非正规工人降低了失业概率。此外,在利马大都市,以远程工作替代面对面工作不足以避免非正规工人收入减少,而只能有效避免正规工人失业。最后,公共援助被证明有助于缓解收入的减少,但只适用于利马大都市的非正规工人。社会意义政策制定者必须扩大失业福利,并设计针对各省非正规工人的公共援助计划。原创性/价值这是第一项分析 COVID-19 大流行爆发期间私人和公共举措对秘鲁个人收入减少和失业状况影响的研究。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science
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