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Improving Prediction of Severity of Sepsis in Children: A Single Center trial 改善儿童败血症严重程度的预测:单中心试验
Pub Date : 2024-06-08 DOI: 10.21608/cupsj.2024.271106.1118
Ilham Youssry, Heba Zarea, Hanaa Rady, Dina K Khedr
: Background: Early diagnosis of sepsis and its severity is essential for timely management to improve patient survival. Aim of the work: define prognostic indicators of mortality in children presenting with sepsis. Materials and Methods: A prospective observational cohort study included 45 children with sepsis admitted to the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU), Children Hospital, Cairo university. Studied predictors included clinical assessment, modified Sequential Organ Failure assessment m (SOFA) score calculation, age-adjusted quick Sequential Organ Failure assessment (qSOFA), Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM) score and lab investigations, including reticulocyte distribution width (RDW). Results: The age of enrolled children with sepsis ranged between 0.16 - 5 years (median= 1 year), 27 (60 %) of them were males. Of them, 14 (31%) patients died. The mortality among them was predicted by the mSOFA above the cutoff point of 12 had 92% sensitivity, 96% specificity, 92% positive predictive value (PPV), and 96% negative predictive value (NPV) with area under the curve (AUC): 0.97, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 0.93 to 1, the PRISM III score above the cutoff point of 15 had 92% sensitivity, 90 %specificity, 81 % PPV, and 96% NPV with AUC: 0.96, 95 % CI 0.9 to 1, and the RDW above the cutoff point of 21 had 92% sensitivity, 66% specificity, 56% PPV, and 95% NPV with AUC: 0.86, 95 % CI 0.754 to 0.973. The age-adjusted qSOFA failed to predict mortality. Combining the RDW with these scores improved the mortality prediction as the combined RDW to the mSOFA above the cutoff point of 34 showed 100% sensitivity, 90 %specificity, 82 % PPV, and 100% NPV with AUC: 0.97, 95 % CI 0.93 to 1 and the combined RDW to the PRISM III score above the cutoff point of 41 had 92% sensitivity, 96 % specificity, 92 %, PPV, and 96% NPV with AUC: 0.98, 95 % CI 0.96 to 1. Conclusion: RDW combined with mSOFA score above the cutoff point of 34 and PRISM III score above the cutoff point of 41 were sensitive and specific predictors of mortality among children with sepsis. They may be used as indicators for timely referral of children with sepsis from the emergency ward to the PICU.
:背景:早期诊断败血症及其严重程度对于及时处理以提高患者存活率至关重要。研究目的:确定脓毒症患儿死亡率的预后指标。材料和方法:一项前瞻性观察性队列研究纳入了开罗大学儿童医院儿科重症监护室(PICU)收治的 45 名败血症患儿。研究的预测因素包括临床评估、改良的序贯器官衰竭评估 m (SOFA) 评分计算、年龄调整后的快速序贯器官衰竭评估 (qSOFA)、儿科死亡风险 (PRISM) 评分和实验室检查,包括网织红细胞分布宽度 (RDW)。结果入选的败血症患儿年龄在 0.16-5 岁之间(中位数= 1 岁),其中 27 名(60%)为男性。其中 14 名(31%)患者死亡。mSOFA 预测死亡率的灵敏度为 92%,特异性为 96%,阳性预测值(PPV)为 92%,阴性预测值(NPV)为 96%,曲线下面积(AUC)为 0.97,置信区间为 95%:PRISM III 评分超过 15 分的敏感性为 92%,特异性为 90%,PPV 为 81%,NPV 为 96%,曲线下面积(AUC)为 0.96,95% 置信区间(CI)为 0.93 至 1;PRISM III 评分超过 15 分的敏感性为 92%,特异性为 90%,PPV 为 81%,NPV 为 96%:RDW 高于 21 分界点的敏感性为 92%,特异性为 66%,PPV 为 56%,NPV 为 95%,AUC 为 0.86,95% CI 为 0.9 至 1:0.86,95 % CI 0.754 至 0.973。年龄调整后的 qSOFA 无法预测死亡率。将 RDW 与这些评分相结合可改善死亡率预测,因为将 RDW 与高于 34 分界点的 mSOFA 相结合可显示出 100% 的灵敏度、90 % 的特异性、82 % 的 PPV 和 100% 的 NPV(AUC:0.97,95 % CI:0.754 至 0.973):PRISM III 评分高于 41 分界点的 RDW 组合灵敏度为 92%,特异度为 96%,PPV 为 92%,NPV 为 96%,AUC 为 0.98,95% CI 为 0.93 至 1:0.98, 95 % CI 0.96 to 1。结论RDW结合高于34分界点的mSOFA评分和高于41分界点的PRISM III评分是预测败血症患儿死亡率的敏感和特异指标。它们可作为将脓毒症患儿从急诊病房及时转诊到 PICU 的指标。
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引用次数: 0
Timely Detection of Subclinical Heart Failure Among Children with D-Transposition of Great Arteries after Senning Operation: A Single Center Experience 森宁手术后及时发现大动脉 D 型横位儿童亚临床心力衰竭:单中心经验
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.21608/cupsj.2024.254621.1111
A. AbdelMassih, Fatma Al Zahraa Mostafa, Reem Ismail, Mohamed Abd El Raouf, Mohammed Mohammed Abd El Raouf, Ayman Badr, Noha Ali
: Background : Atrial switch operation, was introduced by Ake Senning in 1958 for patients with D-transposition of great arteries (D-TGA). The major disadvantage of the atrial switch procedure is right ventricle (RV) failure in up to 7% to 10% of patients per 10 years. Aims of the work: To detect subclinical RV failure in children with D-TGA after atrial switch repair using conventional and nonconventional echocardiography. Subjects and Methods: We studied 25 children with D-TGA who underwent atrial switch operation following in the Postoperative Cardiology Clinic at Cairo University Specialized Pediatric Hospital. They did not have symptoms of heart failure. They underwent conventional echocardiography, tissue Doppler and speckle tracking imaging including RV global longitudinal strain (RV GLS) to detect subclinical heart failure according to New York Heart Association (NYHA) classification. The results were compared to a matched control group. Results: Mean age ± standard deviation of the studied group was 6.8 ± 4.3 years while mean age at time of operation ranged 14.2 ± 12.7 months (p=0.001). Mean RV global longitudinal strain (GLS) of cases (-14.5± 1.5%) was significantly impaired compared to RV GLS of controls (-20.2 ± 1.4%) (p <0.001). Tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) of cases (12.7 ± 3.1 mm) was lower than TAPSE of controls (15.5 ± 2.3 mm) (p= 0.001). While RV myocardial performance index (MPI) of cases (0.47 ± 0.10) was higher than RV MPI of controls (0.34 ± 0.03) (p <0.001). There was a negative correlation between age at the time of surgery and RV GLS (r = -0.435) (p = 0.030). Non-conventional echocardiographic parameters RV MPI and RV GLS detected subclinical heart failure among all studied cases post-atrial switch. Conclusions: Non-conventional echocardiographic parameters RV MPI and RV GLS had higher sensitivity for detection of RV dysfunction and timely diagnosis of subclinical heart failure in patients of D-TGA after Senning atrial switch operation that was not detected by conventional echocardiography. Level of Evidence of
:背景:阿克-森宁(Ake Senning)于1958年提出了心房转换手术,用于治疗大动脉D型横位(D-TGA)患者。心房转换手术的主要缺点是每10年有7%至10%的患者会出现右心室(RV)功能衰竭。工作目标使用常规和非常规超声心动图检测心房转换修复术后 D-TGA 儿童的亚临床 RV 功能衰竭。研究对象和方法:我们研究了在开罗大学儿科专科医院术后心脏病学门诊接受心房转换手术的 25 名 D-TGA 患儿。他们没有心衰症状。他们接受了常规超声心动图、组织多普勒和斑点追踪成像(包括 RV 整体纵向应变(RV GLS))检查,以根据纽约心脏病协会(NYHA)的分类检测亚临床心衰。结果与匹配对照组进行了比较。结果研究组的平均年龄(标准差)为 6.8 ± 4.3 岁,手术时的平均年龄为 14.2 ± 12.7 个月(P=0.001)。与对照组的 RV GLS(-20.2 ± 1.4%)相比,病例的平均 RV 整体纵向应变(GLS)(-14.5± 1.5%)明显受损(P <0.001)。病例的三尖瓣环平面收缩期偏移(TAPSE)(12.7±3.1 mm)低于对照组的TAPSE(15.5±2.3 mm)(P= 0.001)。病例的 RV 心肌性能指数(MPI)(0.47 ± 0.10)高于对照组的 RV MPI(0.34 ± 0.03)(P<0.001)。手术时的年龄与 RV GLS 呈负相关(r = -0.435)(p = 0.030)。非常规超声心动图参数 RV MPI 和 RV GLS 可在所有研究病例中检测到房室转换后的亚临床心衰。结论非常规超声心动图参数 RV MPI 和 RV GLS 对检测森宁换房术后 D-TGA 患者的 RV 功能障碍和及时诊断亚临床心力衰竭具有更高的灵敏度,而常规超声心动图检查则无法检测到这些功能障碍。证据等级
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引用次数: 0
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Pediatric Sciences Journal
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