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How Much Neoprotectionism is There in Contemporary World Trade? 当代世界贸易中有多少新保护主义?
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/ceej-2024-0003
Karolina Pawlak
Negative effects of globalisation and liberalisation of trade are countered using protectionist measures. Contemporary protectionism, typically termed neoprotectionism, is put into practice using a wide variety of non-tariff instruments, with a considerably lesser degree of transparency compared to tariffs, which are more difficult to identify and measure. The aim of this paper is to determine the dynamics of protection, as well as the category and geographical structure for the use of trade policy instruments in the world goods trade in the years 2010–2022. The study was based on source materials from the Global Trade Alert (GTA) and the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD). The conducted analyses showed that interventions taken in the world goods trade in the years 2010–2022 were primarily trade restrictions executed using non-tariff measures. In terms of its geographical distribution the relatively greatest scope of protectionism observed was for the trade policy of China and the USA. In terms of the product category, the sale of agricultural produce was protected the most. The realised model of protectionism differed depending on the group of products being traded, the standard of economic development of the country implementing trade policy measures, its export specialisation and the degree of self-sufficiency. The protectionist character of the trade policy was also enhanced during economic crises.
全球化和贸易自由化的负面影响被保护主义措施所抵消。当代的保护主义通常被称为新保护主义,在实践中使用了各种各样的非关税手段,与关税相比,其透明度要低得多,因为关税更难识别和衡量。本文旨在确定 2010-2022 年世界货物贸易中保护的动态以及使用贸易政策工具的类别和地域结构。研究以《全球贸易预警》(GTA)和联合国贸易和发展会议(UNCTAD)的原始资料为基础。分析表明,2010-2022 年对世界货物贸易采取的干预措施主要是利用非关税措施实施贸易限制。从地域分布来看,中国和美国的贸易政策保护主义范围相对最大。就产品类别而言,农产品销售受到的保护最多。贸易保护主义的实现模式因贸易产品类别、实施贸易政策措施的国家的经济发展水平、出口专业化程度和自给自足程度而异。在经济危机期间,贸易政策的保护主义特征也会增强。
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引用次数: 1
Will the EU‘s Fourth Freedom Be Further Challenged by Present Members of the Single Market? 欧盟的第四自由是否会受到单一市场现有成员的进一步挑战?
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/ceej-2024-0005
Alfred Tovias
The creation of a single market in Europe, conceived as the application of the so-called four freedoms (goods, services, capital and manpower) of movement was in vogue in the 1990s. What has happened to this dream? At the time not only business communities but also consumer associations, and even labour unions were all in favour of opening their national economies to the winds of continental competition. Three decades after, some national communities seem to have turned their backs on the free movement of people. The case of Eastern European immigrants settling for work in the UK after 2004 comes to mind, something which arguably was one of the main reasons for the Brexit vote in 2016. The issue could again become the focus of populist governments or parties (e.g., in Italy, France, Sweden, Austria, Hungary or The Netherlands), should the danger of an EU-wide recession or an idiosyncratic crisis in one of the poorest member states (MSs) materialize. Actually, a new intensification of intra-EU migration flows could be one of the outcomes of the unravelling of supply chains as a result of the COVID epidemic and geopolitical considerations, such as the EU’s wish to diminish trade dependence from China and Russia. The ground is slowly eroding under the feet of those adamant to cling to the free movement of people as part of the acquis. The EU Commission should give thought, before it is too late, about the fourth freedom particularly in view of future EU enlargements.
建立欧洲单一市场的构想在 20 世纪 90 年代曾风靡一时,即实行所谓的四大流动自由(货物、服务、资本和人力)。这个梦想现在怎么样了?当时,不仅企业界,而且消费者协会,甚至工会都支持本国经济向大陆竞争之风开放。三十年后的今天,一些国家似乎已经背弃了人员的自由流动。我想到了 2004 年后东欧移民在英国定居工作的案例,这可以说是 2016 年英国脱欧投票的主要原因之一。如果欧盟范围内的经济衰退或某个最贫穷成员国(MSs)的特殊危机的危险成为现实,那么这个问题可能会再次成为民粹主义政府或政党(如在意大利、法国、瑞典、奥地利、匈牙利或荷兰)的焦点。实际上,欧盟内部移民潮的加剧可能是 COVID 疫情和地缘政治因素(如欧盟希望减少对中国和俄罗斯的贸易依赖)导致供应链解体的结果之一。对于那些坚持将人员自由流动作为欧盟法律一部分的人来说,他们脚下的土地正在慢慢被侵蚀。欧盟委员会应趁早考虑第四项自由,特别是考虑到欧盟未来的扩大。
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引用次数: 1
Firm Heterogeneity and International Trade Liberalisation: A Generalized Cournot Oligopoly Approach 企业异质性与国际贸易自由化:广义库诺寡头垄断方法
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/ceej-2024-0007
A. Cieślik
The main goal of this article is to contribute to the theoretical analysis of international trade under imperfect competition using the Cournot oligopoly model with heterogeneous firms. In particular, our objective is to provide some insights into the role of cost asymmetry in studying the effects of trade liberalisation in the Cournot oligopoly framework. In order to introduce firm heterogeneity into the oligopoly model we use the generalised Cournot framework with asymmetric firms that differ in terms of their productivity, levels of output and market shares. We show that trade liberalisation leads to the elimination of less productive firms and results in lower equilibrium prices, higher sales per firm and lower markups in the industry.
本文的主要目的是利用具有异质性企业的库诺寡头垄断模型,为不完全竞争条件下的国际贸易理论分析做出贡献。特别是,我们的目标是就成本不对称在库诺寡头垄断框架下研究贸易自由化影响时的作用提供一些见解。为了在寡头垄断模型中引入企业异质性,我们使用了广义库诺框架,其中的非对称企业在生产率、产出水平和市场份额方面存在差异。我们的研究表明,贸易自由化会导致生产率较低的企业被淘汰,并导致行业内均衡价格降低、单个企业销售额增加和加价率降低。
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引用次数: 1
Impact of TBTs on Trade in ICT Goods: Differentiating by Regulatory Objectives 技术性贸易壁垒对信息和通信技术产品贸易的影响:按监管目标区分
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/ceej-2024-0009
Mahdi Ghodsi
This paper analyses how different types of technical barriers to trade (TBTs) imposed on imports of information and communications technology (ICT) goods globally affected the value and volume of imported goods during the period of 1996–2018. Key words cited in the TBTs give an indication of the aims behind the imposition of TBTs. The results indicate that TBTs have a strong positive impact on the value of imports. While many key words cited in TBTs notified to the World Trade Organization (WTO) affect the value and volume of imports in a positive way, certain other TBTs function as trade barriers.
本文分析了1996-2018年期间全球范围内对信息和通信技术(ICT)产品进口实施的不同类型的技术性贸易壁垒(TBTs)是如何影响进口产品的价值和数量的。技术性贸易壁垒中引用的关键词表明了实施技术性贸易壁垒背后的目的。结果表明,技术性贸易壁垒对进口额有很大的积极影响。虽然向世界贸易组织(WTO)通报的技术性贸易壁垒中引用的许多关键词会对进口额和进口量产生积极影响,但某些其他技术性贸易壁垒却起到了贸易壁垒的作用。
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引用次数: 1
Thoughts on the Political Economy of International Trade 关于国际贸易政治经济学的思考
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/ceej-2024-0004
Jacek Lewkowicz
International trade appears to be strongly dependent on the political environment and institutional arrangements. In this context, the commented strand of economics is expected to follow the relationships that can be turbulent. The paper reviews the available literature on international trade, with a particular focus on aspects of the political economy. These threads are described in the context of the past and present literature, as well as prospects for future research. Over the decades, the focus of the debate has shifted strongly. The analysed issues reflect not only current events affecting the shape of international trade, but also the availability of data or the growing range of quantitative tools. The observed progress and evolution of the political economy of international trade has brought numerous conclusions of scientific and practical importance.
国际贸易似乎在很大程度上取决于政治环境和制度安排。在这种情况下,经济学的评论部分预计会关注可能动荡的关系。本文回顾了现有的国际贸易文献,尤其侧重于政治经济学的各个方面。本文结合过去和现在的文献对这些线索进行了描述,并展望了未来的研究前景。几十年来,辩论的重点发生了很大变化。所分析的问题不仅反映了影响国际贸易形态的时事,也反映了数据的可用性或定量工具范围的不断扩大。国际贸易政治经济学的进步和演变带来了许多具有科学和实践意义的结论。
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引用次数: 1
Food Safety: A Developing Country Perspective 食品安全:发展中国家的视角
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/ceej-2024-0006
S. Togan
Developing countries, trying to achieve an acceptable level of food safety at the least possible cost (efficiency objective) and facilitation of market access to the large and lucrative developed country food markets (market access objective), could follow the multilateral, regional, unilateral or the independent approach. The paper studying the pros and cons of these approaches aims to determine the most appropriate food safety reform package. It shows that the best approach is the unilateral. Under this approach the achievement of efficiency objective requires the adoption and implementation of the multilateral approach. The achievement of market access objective requires the adoption and implementation of the regulatory regime of the developed country whose markets the developing country is intending to penetrate. Instead, the paper proposes that the developing country adopts and implements the developed countries‘ regulatory regime only in agricultural sub-sectors with highest comparative advantage scores, and that in all other agricultural sub-sectors the country should adopt and implement the regulatory regime as developed by multilateral approach. Since the tasks associated with designing and implementing the food safety policy reform are challenging, the paper advocates that this task should be left to a new institution, the ‘Food Safety Council‘, which needs to be formed as an autonomous public institution with sufficient financial and technical resources.
发展中国家要想以尽可能少的成本(效率目标)达到可接受的食品安全水平,并促进进入庞大而有利可图的发达国家食品市场(市场准入目标),可以采取多边、区域、单边或独立的方法。本文研究了这些方法的利弊,旨在确定最合适的一揽子食品安全改革方案。结果表明,最好的方法是单边方法。在这种方法下,要实现效率目标,就必须采用和实施多边方法。要实现市场准入目标,就必须采用和执行发达国家的监管制度,而发展中国家正打算进入发达国家的市场。本文建议发展中国家只在比较优势得分最高的农业分部门采用和实施发达国家的监管制度,而在所有其他农业分部门采用和实施多边方法制定的监管制度。由于与设计和实施食品安全政策改革相关的任务具有挑战性,本文主张将这一任务留给一个新的机构,即 "食品安全委员会",该委员会需要作为一个自主的公共机构成立,并拥有充足的财政和技术资源。
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引用次数: 1
Single Market Enlargement and Technical Barriers to Trade: Revisiting the Evidence 单一市场的扩大与技术性贸易壁垒:重新审视证据
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/ceej-2024-0008
J. Hagemejer, Łukasz Matuszczak
EU enlargements have given new EU member states access to the European Single Market. While tariff liberalisation was already completed at the time of enlargement, technical regulations were subject to different sectoral approaches, including harmonisation and mutual recognition. We employ a structural gravity model estimated using sectoral trade data from 1987 to 2020 to assess the trade effects of these measures. We find that trade expansion, particularly exports of the NMS to the incumbent EU members, has been stronger in the sectors covered either by the Old Approach (full harmonisation) or the New Approach (essential requirements) than in sectors covered by mutual recognition. The New Approach has been more effective when coupled with mutual recognition at the sector level than with either approach alone. Our results imply that the TBT harmonisation has had a heterogenous impact on different sectors (the most important for low-tech industries was the Old Approach, while for high-tech, it was the New Approach).
欧盟的扩大为欧盟新成员国提供了进入欧洲单一市场的机会。虽然关税自由化在欧盟扩大时已经完成,但技术法规则采用了不同的部门方法,包括协调和相互承认。我们采用结构重力模型,利用 1987 年至 2020 年的部门贸易数据进行估算,以评估这些措施的贸易效应。我们发现,在 "旧办法"(全面协调)或 "新办法"(基本要求)所涵盖的部门,贸易扩张,特别是新成员国对欧盟现任成员国的出口,比相互承认所涵盖的部门更为强劲。新方法在部门层面与相互承认相结合时比单独使用其中一种方法更为有效。我们的研究结果表明,技术性贸易壁垒的协调对不同部门产生了不同的影响(对低技术产业最重要的是 "旧方法",而对高科技产业最重要的是 "新方法")。
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引用次数: 1
Editorial: Special Edition of the Central European Economic Journal to Mark the 70th Birthday of Prof. Jan Jakub Michałek 社论:中欧经济杂志》纪念扬-雅各布-米哈伊克教授七十华诞特刊
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/ceej-2024-0002
J. Hagemejer
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引用次数: 0
Boundaries of management performance measures (MPMs) disclosed in primary financial statements prepared in accordance with new standard planned to supersede IAS 1 根据计划取代《国际会计准则第 1 号》的新准则编制的主要财务报表中披露的管理业绩计量(MPM)的界限
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/ceej-2024-0001
E. Maruszewska, M. Tuszkiewicz
Abstract We outline the management performance measures (MPMs)' boundaries based on the upcoming introduction of MPM's definition to International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). The literature investigates business performance measures concentrating on managers' needs, while IFRS aims to provide financial information to external users who provide resources to the entity. This indicates a gap between how performance metrics have been investigated so far and how IFRS will adopt them. We used analysis of the exposure draft of the planned standard together with working materials developed in the consultation process. Further, a case study is presented. Results show that the scope of MPM to be introduced to IFRS is limited compared to the broad spectrum of performance measures presented in the literature. We contribute by showing the avenues for future performance measures research using signalling and agency theory and by indicating the limited scope of MPMs and thus bound prospects for using them for a full assessment of the entity‘s performance.
摘要 我们根据即将引入《国际财务报告准则》(IFRS)的管理业绩计量(MPM)定义,概述了管理业绩计量(MPM)的边界。文献对企业绩效衡量标准的研究集中于管理者的需求,而《国际财务报告准则》旨在为向实体提供资源的外部用户提供财务信息。这表明迄今为止对绩效指标的研究与《国际财务报告准则》将如何采用绩效指标之间存在差距。我们分析了计划中的准则征求意见稿以及咨询过程中编制的工作材料。此外,还介绍了一个案例研究。结果表明,与文献中介绍的各种绩效衡量标准相比,《国际财务报告准则》中将引入的 MPM 范围有限。我们利用信号和代理理论,指出了未来绩效衡量研究的途径,并指出了 MPM 的有限范围,从而确定了使用 MPM 全面评估实体绩效的前景。
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引用次数: 0
Beyond the Initial Export Boost: The Erosion of Trade Agreement Benefits 超越最初的出口促进:贸易协定利益的侵蚀
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/ceej-2024-0010
Eyal Ronen
Preferential trade agreements (PTAs) are widely acclaimed for their potential to mitigate market imperfections and expand export opportunities. However, in changing economic circumstances, these beneficial effects may only endure for a while and often gradually fade, affecting industries unevenly. This study delves into this overlooked phenomenon by exploring Poland‘s export performance in the Western Balkan (WB) region, where the implementation of Stabilization and Association Agreements (SAAs) has evidently generated export growth, primarily driven by tariff reductions, though these gains were manifested disproportionally across sectors. Employing survival analysis, the study validates the positive influence of SAAs on Polish export competitiveness within the WBs while uncovering its temporal erosion and sectoral discrepancies. On average, a 51% and 84% decline in Polish export competitiveness to WBs is observed after 5 and 10 years, respectively. Moreover, a unique dataset on non-tariff measures (NTMs) is employed to identify specific sectors encountering significant NTMs contributing to the reported diverse export patterns. These insights highlight the need for policies that acknowledge the diminishing benefits of trade agreements and mitigate the trade imbalances caused by NTMs.
优惠贸易协定(PTAs)因其缓解市场缺陷和扩大出口机会的潜力而广受赞誉。然而,在不断变化的经济环境中,这些有利影响可能只会持续一段时间,而且往往会逐渐消失,对各行业的影响也不均衡。本研究通过探讨波兰在西巴尔干(WB)地区的出口表现,对这一被忽视的现象进行了深入研究。在该地区,《稳定与结盟协定》(SAA)的实施明显促进了出口增长,这主要是由关税削减所推动的,尽管这些收益在各行业的表现并不相称。研究采用生存分析法,验证了《稳定与结盟协定》对波兰在世行内部出口竞争力的积极影响,同时揭示了其时间侵蚀和部门差异。平均而言,波兰对世行的出口竞争力在 5 年和 10 年后分别下降了 51% 和 84%。此外,还采用了独特的非关税措施(NTMs)数据集,以确定遇到重大非关税措施的特定行业,这些非关税措施导致了报告中的不同出口模式。这些见解突出表明,有必要制定政策,承认贸易协定的益处正在减少,并缓解非关税措施造成的贸易失衡。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Central European Economic Journal
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