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Perceptions of Climate Change, Sea Level Rise, and Possible Consequences Relate Mainly to Self-Valuation of Science Knowledge. 对气候变化、海平面上升及其可能后果的认识主要与科学知识的自我评价有关。
Pub Date : 2016-05-01 Epub Date: 2016-05-11 DOI: 10.4236/epe.2016.85024
Joanna Burger, Michael Gochfeld, Taryn Pittfield, Christian Jeitner

This study examines perceptions of climate change and sea level rise in New Jersey residents in 2012 and 2014. Different surveys have shown declines in interest and concern about climate change and sea level rise. Climate change and increasing temperatures have an anthropogenic cause, which relates to energy use, making it important to examine whether people believe that it is occurring. In late 2012 New Jersey experienced Super storm Sandy, one of the worst hurricanes in its history, followed by public discussion and media coverage of stronger more frequent storms due to climate change. Using structured interviews, we tested the null hypotheses that there were no differences in perceptions of 1260 interviewees as a function of year of the survey, age, gender, years of education, and self-evaluation of science knowledge (on a scale of 1 to 5). In 2012 460 of 639 (72%) rated "global warming occurring" as "certain" (#4) or "very certain" (#5) compared with 453 of 621 (73%) in 2014. For "due to human activities" the numbers of "certain" or "very certain" were 71% in 2012, and 67% in 2014 and for sea level rise the numbers were 64% and 70%. There were some inconsistent between-year differences with higher ratings in 2012 for 3 outcomes and higher ratings in 2014 for 5 outcomes. However, for 25 questions relative to climate change, sea level rise, and the personal and ecological effects of sea level rise, self-evaluation of science knowledge, independent of years of education, was the factor that entered 23 of the models, accounting for the most variability in ratings. People who believed they had a "high knowledge" (#4) or "very high knowledge" (#5) of science rated all issues as more important than did those people who rated their own scientific knowledge as average or below average.

这项研究调查了2012年和2014年新泽西州居民对气候变化和海平面上升的看法。不同的调查显示,人们对气候变化和海平面上升的兴趣和担忧有所下降。气候变化和气温升高有一个与能源使用有关的人为原因,因此检查人们是否相信它正在发生是很重要的。2012年底,新泽西州经历了历史上最严重的飓风之一——超级风暴桑迪(Sandy),随之而来的是公众讨论和媒体报道,称气候变化导致了更强、更频繁的风暴。使用结构化访谈,我们测试了零假设,即1260名受访者的看法没有差异,因为调查年份,年龄,性别,受教育年数和科学知识的自我评估(1到5的规模)。2012年,639人中有460人(72%)将“全球变暖发生”评为“确定”(#4)或“非常确定”(#5),而2014年621人中有453人(73%)。对于“由于人类活动”,2012年“肯定”或“非常肯定”的比例为71%,2014年为67%,而对于海平面上升,这一比例为64%和70%。2012年有3个结果评分较高,2014年有5个结果评分较高,年份差异不一致。然而,在与气候变化、海平面上升以及海平面上升对个人和生态的影响有关的25个问题中,独立于受教育年限的科学知识的自我评价是进入23个模型的因素,这是评分变化最大的原因。那些认为自己对科学有“高知识”(#4)或“非常高知识”(#5)的人认为所有问题都比那些认为自己的科学知识一般或低于平均水平的人更重要。
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引用次数: 11
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能源与动力工程(英文)
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