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Antarctica Sea-Ice Oscillation and Its Possible Impact on Monsoon of South Sea and China Summer Rainfall 南极海冰振荡及其对南海季风和中国夏季降水的可能影响
Pub Date : 2010-06-30 DOI: 10.3724/SP.J.1085.2010.00011
Lin Xue-chun
Antarctic sea-ice oscillation index with a seesaw pattern is defined Using NCEP/NCAR reanalysis girds data of monthly Antarctica sea-ice concentration from 1973 to 2002.The Relationships between the index of winter and the summer precipitations in China as well as the onset date of the summer East Asia monsoon are presented.The study result shows that the grids of correlation coefficients passed 5 % confidence level between Antarctic sea-ice oscillation index and Antarctic sea-ice concentration are more than 1/3 of all grids of Antarctica sea-ice,that means the index can represent 1/3 sea-ice area.The winter index has a significant correlation with abnormal summer(June-August) precipitation in China.The area of positive correlation lies in the Yangtze River basin and its south,and that of negative correlation lies mainly in the north of Yangtze River basin.While the winter index is positive(negative),the onset date of South China Sea monsoon is earlier(later),with a probability of 79 %(80 %).Consequently,a conceptual model is given in term of discussing the possible process between the winter Antarctic sea ice and the monsoon precipitation in China.
利用NCEP/NCAR再分析1973 ~ 2002年南极海冰浓度月数据,定义了具有跷跷板型的南极海冰振荡指数。给出了冬季指数与中国夏季降水以及夏季东亚风开始日期的关系。研究结果表明,南极海冰振荡指数与南极海冰浓度相关系数超过5%置信水平的格点占南极海冰所有格点的1/3以上,即该指数可以代表1/3的海冰面积。冬季指数与中国夏季(6 ~ 8月)降水异常有显著相关。正相关区域主要集中在长江流域及其南部,负相关区域主要集中在长江流域北部。冬季指数为正(负)时,南海季风发生日期早(晚),概率为79%(80%)。在此基础上,提出了南极冬季海冰与中国季风降水之间可能过程的概念模型。
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引用次数: 3
Stochastic Prediction for Frost Heave Effect of a Subway Tunnel 地铁隧道冻胀效应的随机预测
Pub Date : 2009-01-01 DOI: 10.1115/1.802922.paper149
Zhou Taiquan, Hua Yuan, Z. Zhiguo
Horizontal freezing induces ground frost heave and ground displacement.Excessive uneven displacement or deformation may damage the surrounding building.The stratum that a Nanjing subway tunnel will traverse through is of soft and silt clay.The artificial freezing construction method is proposed to help the tunnel to traverse through the worse stratum.To control the ground building deformation and displacement due to the ground frost heave,the frost heave effect for the artificial freezing construction should be predicted before the construction process.The stochastic medium theory is proposed to predict the frost heave effect due to the artificial freezing construction in this paper.The basic analysis procedure for analyzing frost heave effect is introduced,and ground deformations such as ground vertical displacement,ground curvature are analyzed.The analysis result shows that the ground deformation due to the frost heave is within the permissible limit of ground displacement.
水平冻结引起地面冻胀和地面位移。过大的不均匀位移或变形可能会损坏周围的建筑物。南京地铁隧道所穿越的地层为软粉质粘土。提出了人工冻结施工方法,以帮助隧道穿越恶劣地层。为控制地面冻胀引起的地面建筑变形和位移,应在施工前对冻胀对人工冻结施工的影响进行预测。本文提出用随机介质理论来预测人工冻结施工引起的冻胀效应。介绍了分析冻胀效应的基本分析方法,分析了地面垂直位移、地面曲率等地面变形。分析结果表明,冻胀引起的地面变形在允许的地面位移范围内。
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引用次数: 0
Study on the Fractionation Mechanism of Stable Isotope in Evaporating Water Body 蒸发水体中稳定同位素分馏机理研究
Pub Date : 2005-07-01 DOI: 10.1360/GS050312
Zhang Xinping
The interaction between evaporating water body and atmosphere and the influence of different factors on evaporation are analyzed by probing into the fractionation mechanism of stable isotope as water body is vaporized under kinetic non-equilibrium and by comparison of the kinetic fractionation model with the Rayleigh equilibrium model.;A simple description of stable isotopic fractionation in the process of evaporation is Rayleigh Model. Under Rayleigh equilibrium, the following results are obtained: a) stable isotopic ratio in residual water increases with the decrease of the residual water proportion %f% exponentially; b) the fractionation rate of stable isotopes is inversely proportional to temperature; c) the simulated Rayleigh distillation line changes with temperature. The higher the temperature, the less the slope and the constant of the distillation line. The simulated distillation line is near global Meteoric Water Line as the temperature is about 20 ℃.;Besides temperature, the relative humidity %h% and the stable isotopic ratio in atmosphere %δ% a also influence the variation of stable isotopic ratio in residual water in the process of kinetic evaporation. The simulations show that, the less the %h%, the quicker the variation rate, with %f%, of stable isotopic ratio in residual water. For great %h%, the ratio δ in residual water will not change with %f% after the evaporation running for a long time, namely isotopic composition in residual water reaches a stable state. The rate of isotope reaching stable state is dependent on the relative humidity in atmosphere mainly.;Compared with the simulated results by Rayleigh Model, the enrichment degree of stable isotopes in residual water is distinctly higher, and the fractionation rate of stable isotopes is directly proportional to temperature under kinetic evaporation, as taking the relative humidity equals to 50%. The higher the temperature, the quicker the fractionation rate, which is exactly reverse to the result simulated by Rayleigh Model. Using the kinetic model, the calculated variation rates, with %f%, of the {δ 18O} in residual water are {-28.27} for %T%=30℃, {-30.40} for% T%=20 ℃and {-32.70} for %T%=10 ℃, respectively, as taking %h%=40%. These values are comparative with the evaporation experiments carried out in Nagqu of the middle Tibetan Plateau.;Under the non-equilibrium condition, the gradient and constant values of the simulated distillation line are directly proportional to temperature and relative humidity. An observation in the Qinghai Lake demonstrates that the initial stable isotopic ratios δD={-60.6}‰and δ 18O={-10.86}‰ in the water of the Qinghai Lake, the annual mean temperature %T%=0^65 ℃ and the relative humidity %h%=55%. Inputting above data into the kinetic fractionation model and taking %β%=1^006, a good agreements between the simulated distillation line (δD=5^56 δ 18O{-1.51}) and the observed line(δD=5^55δ 18O{-0.30}) was obtained.
通过对蒸发水体在动力学非平衡状态下汽化过程中稳定同位素分馏机理的探讨,以及与瑞利平衡模型的比较,分析了蒸发水体与大气的相互作用以及不同因素对蒸发的影响。在瑞利平衡下,得到以下结果:a)残余水稳定同位素比随着残余水比例%f%的减小呈指数增长;B)稳定同位素分馏速率与温度成反比;c)模拟瑞利蒸馏线随温度的变化。温度越高,精馏线的斜率和常数越小。温度约为20℃时,模拟蒸馏线接近全球大气水线,除温度外,相对湿度%h%和大气稳定同位素%δ% a也影响动力学蒸发过程中残余水稳定同位素比值的变化。模拟结果表明,%h%越小,残余水中稳定同位素比随%f%的变化率越快。当%h%较大时,蒸发运行较长时间后,剩余水的δ比值不随%f%变化,即剩余水的同位素组成达到稳定状态。与Rayleigh模型的模拟结果相比,当相对湿度为50%时,残余水中稳定同位素的富集程度明显较高,在动力蒸发条件下,稳定同位素的分馏率与温度成正比。温度越高,分馏速度越快,这与瑞利模型模拟的结果正好相反。采用动力学模型,取%h%=40%时,计算得到残余水中{δ 18O}在%T%=30℃时的变化率为{-28.27},在%T%= 20℃时的变化率为{-30.40},在%T%=10℃时的变化率为{-32.70}。在非平衡条件下,模拟蒸馏线的梯度和常数值与温度和相对湿度成正比。青海湖实测表明,青海湖水体初始稳定同位素比值δ d ={-60.6}‰,δ 18O={-10.86}‰,年平均气温%T%=0^65℃,相对湿度%h%=55%。将上述数据输入动力学分馏模型,取%β%=1^006,模拟精馏线(δ d =5^56 δ 18O{-1.51})与实测线(δ d =5^55δ 18O{-0.30})吻合较好。
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引用次数: 14
Critical Load between Sea Ice and Sea Structure 海冰与海洋结构之间的临界载荷
Pub Date : 2003-01-01 DOI: 10.4028/0-87849-989-x.715
Song Wei-dong
The following assumptions are made in this paper: sea ice is a semi-infinite plate, buoyancy of seawater is an elastic foundation and the interaction between sea ice and pole is concentrated force. The rupture of sea ice is treated as buckling of the plate. The buckling equation of a sea sheet under concentrated force was derived, and the expression of the critical load was obtained by adopting the numerical simulation.
本文假设海冰为半无限板,海水浮力为弹性基础,海冰与极的相互作用为集中力。海冰的破裂被看作是板块的屈曲。推导了集中力作用下海板的屈曲方程,并通过数值模拟得到了临界载荷的表达式。
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引用次数: 0
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