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Effectiveness of Drought Risk Reduction Policies: Case Study of Hay Production in Kajiado County, Kenya 减少干旱风险政策的有效性——以肯尼亚竺可昌县干草生产为例
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.4236/ajcc.2021.104026
J. Kimaru, H. Mutembei, J. Muthee
Kenya has integrated several international, continental, and regional strategies and policies into its national and county programs to address climate-related disasters in livestock systems in pastoralism. This study reviews how these policy instruments have been integrated into local laws and the viability of hay production, a drought risk reduction strategy. The methodology used was a desktop review of policies, a KAP survey using a quantitative and qualitative questionnaire on 354 pastoralists and key informants selected using stratified random sampling, and a cost-benefit analysis of 23 hay farms in Kajiado-Central sub-county. The findings established that Kenya had adopted adequate legal instruments to support disasters in general and droughts specifically. Howev-er, the strategies are not elaborated into practical guidance resulting in poor implementation. For instance, the flagship hay production project in Kajiado focuses on building infrastructure on the government farms, with little support going to the actual hay farmers. In addition, staffing levels of technical officers are too low to adequately translate the strategies into activities that address the hay farmer’s pain points, namely the lack of a stable hay market, expensive capital assets and machinery, lack of quality forage seeds, and extension education. This paper recommends reviewing the implementation of the ongoing hay flagship projects to address the hay enterprise’s profitability and elaborating the strategies down to guidance that can be easily rolled out cognizant of the low staffing levels. Public-private partnerships can also address some challenges by stabilizing the hay markets, providing storage, and maintaining good-quality
肯尼亚已将若干国际、大陆和区域战略和政策纳入其国家和县方案,以应对畜牧业中牲畜系统中与气候有关的灾害。本研究回顾了这些政策工具是如何纳入当地法律的,以及干草生产的可行性,这是一种减少干旱风险的战略。本研究采用桌面政策回顾法、分层随机抽样法对354名牧民和关键线人进行定量和定性问卷调查的KAP调查,以及对中央副县23个干草农场的成本效益分析。调查结果表明,肯尼亚已经通过了充分的法律文书来支持一般灾害和具体的干旱。但是,这些战略没有形成实际的指导,导致执行不力。比如,在北京,主打的干草生产项目侧重于政府农场的基础设施建设,对实际的干草农民的支持很少。此外,技术人员的配备水平太低,无法将战略充分转化为解决干草农民痛点的活动,即缺乏稳定的干草市场、昂贵的资本资产和机械、缺乏优质的饲料种子和推广教育。本文建议审查正在进行的干草旗舰项目的实施情况,以解决干草企业的盈利能力,并将战略细化到可以轻松推出的指导方针,认识到低人员配备水平。公私伙伴关系还可以通过稳定干草市场、提供储存和保持高质量来解决一些挑战
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引用次数: 0
Effects of Climate Variabilityon Cocoa Production in Ondo State, Nigeria 气候变化对尼日利亚翁多州可可生产的影响
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.4236/ajcc.2021.104020
Omosuyi Oluwayemisi Bukola, A. Oluwadunsin, Funmilayo Olukemi Abimbola
There is an increasing awareness that the climate is changing and its changing impact has been significant on agricultural produce. This change is posing a major threat to agricultural development in Nigeria. Cocoa cultivation is one of the major cash crops in Ondo state and also a major agricultural produce which contributes significantly to employment generation and foreign exchange in the country. It has been observed that the production of cocoa over the years has been marked with fluctuations which could be attributed to the change in climate over the years. The objectives of this study include: ex-amining the variation in the trend of cocoa production; and assessing the effects of climate variability on cocoa production for the year under review. This study made use of secondary data which included data on climatic variables (mean annual temperature, mean annual rainfall and mean annual humidity) and cocoa output from 1976-2020. This study employed mainly inferential statistics for data analysis—trend analysis, correlation and regression. Trend analysis was used to examine climatic variables and cocoa production. The correlation analysis was used to show the relationship between the climatic variables and the cocoa yield. Also, regression analysis was used to evaluate the effect of the climatic variables on cocoa production. Trend analysis reveals fluctuations in climatic variables and cocoa output over the years of study. Correlation analysis shows an inverse relationship between rainfall and cocoa output while regression analysis shows that humidity and temperature are expected to increase cocoa output. For a sustainable cocoa production, it is recommended that both governmental and non-governmental organizations should employ more extension agents to guide and enlighten cocoa farmers on climate change, its effects and the appropriate coping strategies.
人们越来越意识到气候正在变化,气候变化对农产品产生了重大影响。这一变化对尼日利亚的农业发展构成了重大威胁。可可种植是翁多州的主要经济作物之一,也是为该国创造就业和外汇作出重大贡献的主要农产品。据观察,多年来可可的产量有波动,这可归因于多年来气候的变化。本研究的目的包括:探讨可可生产趋势的变化;评估气候变化对本年度可可产量的影响。这项研究利用了1976-2020年期间气候变量(年平均温度、年平均降雨量和年平均湿度)和可可产量的二手数据。本研究主要采用推论统计方法进行数据分析——趋势分析、相关分析和回归分析。趋势分析用于检验气候变量和可可产量。通过相关分析,揭示了气候变量与可可产量之间的关系。同时,采用回归分析方法评价了气候变量对可可产量的影响。趋势分析揭示了气候变量和可可产量在研究期间的波动。相关分析表明,降雨量与可可产量呈反比关系,而回归分析表明,湿度和温度有望提高可可产量。为了实现可可的可持续生产,建议政府和非政府组织都应雇用更多的推广人员,指导和启发可可种植者了解气候变化及其影响和适当的应对策略。
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引用次数: 1
Analysis and Predictability of Dry Spell Lengths Observed in Synoptic Stations of Benin Republic (West Africa) 西非贝宁共和国天气站观测的干旱期长度分析及可预测性
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.4236/ajcc.2021.104030
M. Agbazo, J. Adéchinan, G. K. N'Gobi, Joseph Bessou
The complex behavior and predictability of the Dry Spell Lengths (DSL) series obtained in Benin synoptic stations, from 1951 to 2010 are analyzed in this paper using a fractal approach. The synoptic stations are located in Cotonou, Bohicon, Save (subequatorial climate), and Parakou, Natitingou, Kandi (Sudanian climate). The DSLs are computed by considering four thresholds level, R0 = {1.0, 1.5, 2.0 and 5.0} mm/day. The fractal trace is estimated for dry spell density by the mean of the “Dry Spell Spell” (DSS) n-index. The rescaled range method is used to determine the predictability of DSL. By ana-lyzing the DSS, results show that low DSS n-index values (n-index < 0.4) are more favored in the northern part of Benin than in the southern region,
本文利用分形方法分析了1951 - 2010年贝宁天气站观测到的干旱期长度(DSL)序列的复杂行为和可预测性。天气观测站位于Cotonou, Bohicon, Save(亚赤道气候)和Parakou, Natitingou, Kandi(苏丹气候)。考虑四个阈值水平,R0 ={1.0, 1.5, 2.0和5.0}mm/day,计算dsl。通过“干旱指数”(DSS) n指数的均值估计了干旱密度的分形轨迹。采用重标量程法确定DSL的可预测性。通过对DSS的分析,结果表明,低DSS n指数值(n指数< 0.4)在贝宁北部比南部更受青睐;
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引用次数: 2
Spatial and Temporal Distribution of Rainfall Breaks in Senegal 塞内加尔降雨断裂的时空分布
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.4236/ajcc.2021.104027
Bara Ndiaye, Mahamat Moussa, M. Wade, A. Sy, A. Diop, A. Diop, B. Diop, A. Diakhaby
This study analyzes the spatio-temporal distribution of daily rainfall data from 13 stations in the country of Senegal located in the North-West of Africa. These data, covering the period 1950-2010, are extracted from the database of the Regional Study Center for the Improvement of Drought Adaptation (CERAAS). They allow to calculate, in each station, dry episodes and their sequences and the results reveal a latitudinal variability of class 1 breaks (1 - 3 days) with the highest values recorded in the south. Unlike the class 2 episodes (greater or equal than 15 days), the latitudinal gradient is less pronounced but they are more frequent in the north. For most of the regions studied, a break in the trend towards an increase in dry sequences can be noted, most often at the beginning of the 1970s, which coincides with the start of the great drought of the 1970s decade. For all sites, the frequency of dry episodes of class 1 (1 - 3 days) exceeds 70%. The frequency of class 2 of dry episodes (greater or equal than 15 days) decreased from 30% in 1951-1970 to 18% in 1991-2010 in the region of Thiès; from 25% in 1951-1970 to 20% in 1991-2010 in Louga; from 22% in 1951-1970 to 18% in 1991-2010 in Tamba; 23% in 1951-1970 to 15% in 1991-2010 in Ziguinchor; 25%
本研究分析了位于非洲西北部的塞内加尔13个站点日降水资料的时空分布特征。这些数据摘自中国干旱适应改进区域研究中心(CERAAS)数据库,涵盖1950-2010年。他们允许在每个站点计算干旱事件及其序列,结果显示1类中断(1 - 3天)的纬度变化,南方记录的最大值最高。与第2类(大于或等于15天)不同,纬度梯度不太明显,但在北方更为频繁。对于所研究的大多数区域,可以注意到干旱序列增加趋势的中断,最经常是在1970年代初,这与1970年代十年大干旱的开始相吻合。在所有站点中,1级(1 - 3天)干燥发作的频率超过70%。thi地区2类干旱事件(大于或等于15天)的发生频率从1951-1970年的30%下降到1991-2010年的18%;从1951-1970年的25%上升到1991-2010年的20%;坦巴从1951-1970年的22%上升到1991-2010年的18%;1951-1970年为23%,1991-2010年为15%;25%
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引用次数: 3
Development of Environment Friendly Paddy Ecosystem for Sustainable Rice Farming through Soil Amendments with Biochar and Alternate Wetting-Drying Irrigations 生物炭土壤改良剂和干湿交替灌溉技术在水稻可持续生产中的应用
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.4236/ajcc.2021.104029
M. Ali, Md. Rajib Hassan, Zubair Al Islam, S. Barman, Badiuzzaman Khan, R. Khatun, Hafsa Jahan Hiya, Md. Touhidul Islam
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引用次数: 1
A Nationwide Approach on Measuring Households’ Resilience by Constructing Climate Resilient Livelihoods Index (CRLI) in Rural Bangladesh 通过构建气候适应型生计指数(CRLI)在孟加拉国农村衡量家庭抵御能力的全国性方法
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.4236/ajcc.2021.104031
Sifat E. Rabbi, Reza E. Rabbi, S. Karmakar, J. Kropp
This study developed households’ Climate Resilient Livelihoods Index (CRLI) in Bangladesh. CRLI indicators were selected based on the Adequacy of Human livelihood conditions for Well-being and Development (AHEAD) framework and FAO resilience tools. The study was designed on cross-sectional data through a country-wide primary survey of 26,925 rural households. At first, we performed logistic regression to gauge the significance and intensity of different livelihood indicators on any specific livelihood indicator. Se-condly, we scored each household with the set criteria of different livelihoods accessibility, if any households fulfill the set criteria was “scored 1” and if not “scored 0”. After scoring the households, eight different scores for each household were summed up to construct a composite score of “CRLI”. If any household scored 0 - 2 was considered as low resilient, if any household scored 3 - 5 was considered as moderate resilient and if any household scored 6 - 8 was considered as highly resilient. Additionally, we used ArcMap to visualize the percentage of households in districts with different resilience categories. Findings revealed that nationally 1.7% of households were low resilient, 60% of households were moderate resilient and only 11.48% of households were high resilient. More specifically, only 1.7% of households failed to secure climate-resilient 0.06% of of that food secured In security, less financial ability, higher dependency ratio, lower education, and income sources. Among 64 counties, Cox’s Bazar, Bandarban, Chuadanga, Barguna, Bhola, Patuakhali, Narail, Kurigram, Sunamganj, Jamalpur, and Netrokona were the most vulnerable in terms of low CRLI. On the other hand, more than 25% of high resilient households were located in Dhaka, Gazipur, and Munshiganj counties. These findings would propel the government to devise appropriate steps in terms of more investment in area-specific local communities for enhancing regional resilience.
本研究编制了孟加拉国家庭气候适应生计指数(CRLI)。CRLI指标是根据人类生计条件适足性促进福祉和发展(AHEAD)框架和粮农组织抵御力工具选择的。该研究是根据对全国26,925个农村家庭进行的初步调查的横截面数据设计的。首先,我们使用逻辑回归来衡量不同生计指标对任何特定生计指标的显著性和强度。其次,我们用不同的生计可及性标准对每个家庭进行评分,如果有家庭满足设定的标准,则为“1分”,否则为“0分”。在对家庭进行评分后,对每个家庭的8个不同得分进行汇总,构建“CRLI”综合得分。如果任何家庭得分为0 - 2被认为是低弹性,如果任何家庭得分为3 - 5被认为是中等弹性,如果任何家庭得分为6 - 8被认为是高弹性。此外,我们使用ArcMap可视化不同复原力类别地区的家庭百分比。调查结果显示,全国1.7%的家庭具有低弹性,60%的家庭具有中等弹性,只有11.48%的家庭具有高弹性。更具体地说,只有1.7%的家庭无法获得具有气候适应性的粮食保障,占所获得粮食保障的0.06%。在安全、经济能力较差、抚养比较高、受教育程度较低和收入来源方面。在64个县中,考克斯巴扎尔、班达尔班、Chuadanga、Barguna、Bhola、Patuakhali、Narail、Kurigram、Sunamganj、Jamalpur和Netrokona在CRLI较低方面最为脆弱。另一方面,25%以上的高抗灾能力家庭位于达卡、加济普尔和蒙希甘吉县。这些发现将推动政府制定适当的措施,增加对特定地区当地社区的投资,以增强地区的复原力。
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引用次数: 1
Extreme Temperature Trends in the Beninese Niger River Basin (Benin) 贝宁-尼日尔河流域(贝宁)极端气温趋势
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.4236/ajcc.2021.104018
Yarou Halissou, A. Eric, Obada Ezéchiel, Biao Ibukun Eliézer
In the context of climate change, the study of the variability of the climatic extremes in several regions of the world is of capital importance. This study has as main objective to analyze the variability of extreme temperature events in the Beninese basin of the Niger River for the recent and the near future. To achieve this objective, seven (07) extreme temperature indices based on historical daily temperature observations (1976 to 2019) and REMO RCM simulation outputs of RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios (2021-2050) were calculated. The obtained results were represented by calculating the means for each index and analyzing the trends and their significance by the Mann-Kendall method. The results show that the indices of extreme temperature intensity (TNn, TXx, and DTR), and those related to the frequency of warm sequences (WSDI, TN90p and TX90p) have experienced a significant increase in the past. This increase will continue until 2050. In contrast, the cold sequence frequency index (CSDI) decrease over the historical period as well as over the future period. These indices show much more change with the RCP8.5 scenario than with the RCP4.5 of the REMO climate model. Only the TXx and CSDI indices show statistically significant changes at all stations.
在气候变化的背景下,研究世界若干地区极端气候的变率是非常重要的。本研究的主要目的是分析尼日尔河贝宁盆地最近和近期极端温度事件的变化。为了实现这一目标,基于历史日温度观测(1976 - 2019)和RCP4.5和RCP8.5情景(2021-2050)的REMO RCM模拟输出,计算了7(07)个极端温度指数。通过计算各指标的均值,用Mann-Kendall方法分析各指标的变化趋势及其显著性来表示所得结果。结果表明:极端温度强度指数(TNn、TXx、DTR)以及与暖序列频率相关的指数(WSDI、TN90p、TX90p)在过去有显著的增加;这种增长将持续到2050年。相比之下,冷序列频率指数(CSDI)在历史时期和未来时期均呈下降趋势。这些指数在RCP8.5情景下的变化要比在REMO气候模式RCP4.5情景下的变化大得多。各站只有TXx和CSDI指数有显著的统计学变化。
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引用次数: 1
Urban Microclimate and Outdoor Thermal Comfort of Public Spaces in Warm-Humid Cities: A Comparative Bibliometric Mapping of the Literature 温湿城市城市小气候与公共空间室外热舒适:文献计量学比较制图
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.4236/ajcc.2021.104023
Clarence Dissanyake, U. Weerasinghe
Intensified human population encourages urbanization changing the morphology and metabolism of urban environments, thus altering the local climate and outdoor thermal comfort (OTC) in public spaces. OTC is an increasingly urgent area of research for tropical climates. This study explores the literature from the Scopus database on urban microclimate and OTC in public spaces and contrasts the studies in warm-humid cities through a bibliometric mapping of literature. The adapted methodology includes; Bibliometric Search, Scientometric Analysis, and Content analysis using VOSviewer software to identify the evolution paths, gaps, and the most recent movement of OTC assessments in urban public spaces. Results reveal five evolution paths related to all climatic regions; 1) materials and cooling strategies, 2) simulation modeling and urban planning, 3) design parameters affecting thermal perception, 4) cooling effects of green infrastructure, and 5) thermal adaptation in urban design. Although urban morphology and vegetation have been received the highest attention respectively, only a few for blue infrastructure related to warm-humid cities. This review identified five research gaps; the impact of blue infrastructure on OTC, strategies to overcome the effect of reflective materials, vegetation configurations in street canyons with wind flow, OTC improvements in asymmetrical street canyons, and how local climate zone (LCZ) classification approach could be used for OTC assessments. Past empirical studies have revealed that urban vegetation, using micro-meteorological simulation modelling to examine the impact of urban design interventions. Finally, comprehensive content analysis, bibliographic coupling based on documents, co-occurrence of all-keywords, are suggested for future bibliometric reviews. Finally, further research on recommended areas would assist decision-makers in planning and design to en-hance livability by improving microclimate and OTC in urban spaces.
密集的人口促进了城市化,改变了城市环境的形态和新陈代谢,从而改变了当地的气候和公共空间的室外热舒适(OTC)。OTC是热带气候研究的一个日益紧迫的领域。本研究对Scopus数据库中关于城市小气候和公共空间OTC的文献进行了研究,并通过文献计量制图对温暖湿润城市的研究进行了对比。调整后的方法包括:利用VOSviewer软件进行文献计量检索、科学计量分析和内容分析,以确定城市公共空间OTC评估的演变路径、差距和最新动态。结果揭示了与所有气候区相关的5条进化路径;1)材料和冷却策略,2)模拟建模和城市规划,3)影响热感知的设计参数,4)绿色基础设施的冷却效果,5)城市设计中的热适应。尽管城市形态和植被分别受到了最高的关注,但与暖湿城市相关的蓝色基础设施却很少受到关注。本综述确定了五个研究空白;蓝色基础设施对OTC的影响,克服反射材料影响的策略,有风的街道峡谷的植被配置,不对称街道峡谷的OTC改善,以及如何使用当地气候带(LCZ)分类方法进行OTC评估。过去的实证研究表明,利用微气象模拟模型来考察城市植被对城市设计干预的影响。最后,提出了全面的内容分析、基于文献的书目耦合、全关键词共现等建议。最后,对建议区域的进一步研究将有助于决策者在规划和设计中通过改善城市空间的小气候和OTC来提高宜居性。
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引用次数: 4
Assessment of Climate Variability in Kisii Kenya and Its Implications on Food Security 肯尼亚基西气候变率评估及其对粮食安全的影响
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.4236/ajcc.2021.104019
M. P. Samwel, R. Abila, S. Mabwoga
Climate change and variability have been singled out as one of the modern challenges that affect economies of several countries leading to food scarcity and food insecurity in various parts of the world and represent a fundamental contemporary environmental shock. Kenya is no exception. This research was conducted in Kisii County, a perceived Kenyan national bread basket and investigated the trend in climate variability between the years 1983-2013. The objective of the study was to examine the precipitation and temperature trend in Kisii County. The research question was to find out whether there was any significant trend and pattern of rainfall and temperature as indicators of climate variability. The study examined climate variability for thirty one years (1983 to 2013). Data was obtained from Kenya Meteorological Department and their annual means were computed. Mann Kendall statistic test was applied to establish whether the observed trend of precipitation and temperature was significant. From the analysis, rainfall did not show any significant trend in Kisii County whilst temperature revealed a significantly upward trend over the years, at 95% confidence level. The study recommends a need to in-corporate weather prediction and early warning systems by the Ministry of Agriculture in Kisii County and also promote afforestation programmes to protect water catchments. To build resilient systems to climate shocks, introduction of high temperature tolerant food crops as well as adoption of climate smart agriculture (CSA) should also be explored.
气候变化和多变性已被列为影响若干国家经济的现代挑战之一,导致世界各地粮食短缺和粮食不安全,并代表着当代根本性的环境冲击。肯尼亚也不例外。这项研究是在肯尼亚国家面包篮Kisii县进行的,并调查了1983-2013年间气候变化的趋势。本研究的目的是研究基思县的降水和温度趋势。研究的问题是寻找作为气候变率指标的降雨和温度是否有显著的趋势和模式。该研究考察了31年(1983年至2013年)的气候变率。数据来自肯尼亚气象部门,计算其年平均值。采用Mann - Kendall统计检验确定降水和温度的变化趋势是否显著。在95%的置信水平上,基溪县的降雨量没有明显的上升趋势,而气温则呈现出明显的上升趋势。该研究建议,有必要在Kisii县建立农业部门的天气预报和早期预警系统,并促进造林项目以保护集水区。为了建立抵御气候冲击的弹性系统,还应探索引进耐高温粮食作物以及采用气候智能型农业(CSA)。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Variegated Temperature, CO2 and Relative Humidity on Survival and Development of Beet Armyworm Spodoptera exigua (Hubner) under Controlled Growth Chamber 温度、CO2和相对湿度变化对受控生长箱下甜菜夜蛾生存发育的影响
Pub Date : 2020-11-23 DOI: 10.4236/ajcc.2020.94022
J. Jaba, S. P. Mishra, N. Arora, R. Munghate
Climate change will have a noteworthy bearing on survival, development, and population dynamics of insect pests. Therefore, we contemplated the survival and development of beet army worm, Spodoptera exigua under different temperatures, (15°C, 25°C, 35°C, and 45°C), CO2 (350, 550, 750 ppm) and relative humidity (55%, 65%, 75% and 85%) regimes. Maximum larval and pupal weights were recorded in insects reared at 25°C. The growth of S. exigua was faster at 35°C (larval period 7.4 days and pupal period 4.5 days) than at lower temperatures. At 15°C, the larval period was extended for 61.4 days and there was no adult emergence from the pupae till 90 days. The S. exigua hatchling was absent at 45°C. The larval survival ranged from 31.6% - 57.2%, maximum survival was recorded at 25°C, and minimum at 45°C. The maximum (84.27%) and minimum adult emergence were recorded in insects reared at 25°C and 35°C respectively. Maximum fecundity (384.3 eggs/female) and egg viability (51.97%) were recorded in insects reared at 25°C. Larval and pupal periods increased with an increase in CO2 concentration. The highest pupal weights (128.6 mg/larva) were recorded at 550 ppm. The highest larval survival (73.50%) was recorded at 550 ppm and minimum (37.00%) at 750 ppm CO2. Fecundity was the highest in insects reared at 550 ppm CO2 (657.4 eggs/female), and the lowest at 750 ppm. Maximum larval and pupal weights were recorded in insects reared at 75% relative humidity (RH). The growth rate of S. exigua was faster at 85% RH than at lower RH. The larval survival ranged between 40.0% - 58.5%. Maximum adult emergence (88.91%) was recorded in insects reared at 75% RH and minimum at 85% RH. Maximum fecundity (447.6 eggs/female) and the highest egg viability (72.95%) were recorded in insects reared at 75% and 65% RH respectively. Elevated temperatures and relative moistness will diminish the life cycle, while hoisted CO2 will drag the life expectancy. Therefore, there is a need for thorough assessment of the impact of climatic factors on the population dynamics of insect pests, crop losses, and sustainability of crop production.
气候变化将对害虫的生存、发展和种群动态产生显著影响。因此,我们考虑了甜菜军虫、甜菜夜蛾在不同温度(15°C、25°C、35°C和45°C)、二氧化碳(350550750ppm)和相对湿度(55%、65%、75%和85%)条件下的生存和发育。记录了在25°C下饲养的昆虫的最大幼虫和蛹重量。在35°C(幼虫期7.4天,蛹期4.5天)下,甜菜夜蛾的生长速度比在较低温度下更快。在15°C下,幼虫期延长61.4天,直到90天才从蛹中羽化。在45°C的温度下,没有孵化出的甜菜夜蛾。幼虫存活率在31.6%-57.2%之间,最高存活率在25°C,最低存活率在45°C。在25°C和35°C饲养的昆虫中,成虫羽化率最高(84.27%),最小。在25°C下饲养的昆虫记录了最大繁殖力(384.3个卵/雌)和卵活力(51.97%)。幼虫和蛹期随着CO2浓度的增加而增加。最高蛹重(128.6mg/幼虫)记录在550ppm。在550ppm二氧化碳浓度下幼虫存活率最高(73.50%),在750ppm二氧化碳浓度时幼虫存活率最低(37.00%)。在550ppm二氧化碳浓度下饲养的昆虫的受精率最高(657.4个卵/雌),在750ppm时最低。记录了在75%相对湿度(RH)下饲养的昆虫的最大幼虫和蛹重量。在85%的相对湿度条件下,甜菜的生长速度快于较低的相对湿度。幼虫存活率在40.0%-58.5%之间。在75%相对湿度下饲养的昆虫成虫羽化率最高(88.91%),在85%相对湿度下最低。在75%和65%相对湿度下饲养的昆虫的最高繁殖力(447.6个卵/雌)和最高卵活力(72.95%)分别记录在案。升高的温度和相对湿度会缩短寿命,而悬浮的二氧化碳会延长预期寿命。因此,需要彻底评估气候因素对害虫种群动态、作物损失和作物生产可持续性的影响。
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引用次数: 4
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美国气候变化期刊(英文)
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