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Kansai Daigaku keizai ronshu最新文献

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[Cohort fertility and the Cigno model]. [队列生育率和Cigno模型]。
Pub Date : 1993-01-01
K Otani
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引用次数: 0
[[A hazard analysis of birth timing in Japan since the 1960s]]. 20世纪60年代以来日本生育时间的危害分析。
Pub Date : 1991-01-01
K Otani

"This paper carried out a multivariate hazard analysis of the first, second and third birth timings by applying [a] log-logistic model. The results are as follows: (1) When wives are employed, the first, second and third birth hazards are all smaller than others....(2) Coresiding with couple's parents is likely to raise the first, second and third birth hazards irrespective of wife's employment status; (3) Wives with tertiary level education are accompanied by a smaller first birth hazard compared with others, while wife's educational attainment does not show any effect on the second and third birth hazards; (4) White-collar husbands are associated with a smaller first birth hazard when their wife is employed; (5) Even after controlling for several background variables, the first, second and third birth timings were accelerated in the cohorts of the late 1960s. This result suggests that the birth timing change in the late 1960s was caused by some heterogeneity which is not considered in this study." An English summary is available from the author.

“本文采用logistic模型对第一、第二和第三次分娩时间进行了多变量风险分析。结果表明:(1)当妻子有工作时,第一、二、三胎生育风险均小于其他生育风险....(2)无论妻子是否有工作,与父母同住都有可能提高第一、二、三胎生育风险;(3)受教育程度较高的妻子第一胎风险较小,而受教育程度对第二胎和第三胎风险没有影响;(4)当妻子有工作时,白领丈夫的第一胎风险较小;(5)即使在控制了几个背景变量之后,在20世纪60年代末的队列中,第一、第二和第三次生育时间都加快了。这一结果表明,20世纪60年代末出生时间的变化是由一些异质性引起的,而这项研究没有考虑到这一点。”英文摘要可从作者处获得。
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引用次数: 0
[[The tempo and quantum components in trends in period fertility measures in present-day Japan: a Butz-Ward-type model and its application]]. [当代日本时期生育率测量趋势的速度和量子分量:一个butz - ward型模型及其应用]。
Pub Date : 1991-01-01
K Otani

"This paper examined the validity of a Butz-Ward-type model by applying it to trends in Japan's fertility rates from 1968 to 1986. Most of the existing studies on the Butz-Ward model used total fertility rates as the dependent variable. As the Butz-Ward model is concerned with couples' fertility behaviors, [the author uses]...total marital fertility rates. We first calculated total marital fertility rates (TMFR) from 1968 to 1986 by using data of Japan's National Fertility Surveys.... As a result of the auto-regression analysis of TMFR, we found a statistically significant negative effect of a rise in employed wife's wage rate as was expected. As for the timing indices, the third birth timing index was significantly positively affected by an increase in husband's income when his wife was employed, while the third birth was likely to be delayed by a rise in employed wife's wage rate." An English summary is available from the author.

这篇论文通过应用于1968年至1986年日本的生育率趋势,检验了布兹沃德型模型的有效性。现有的大多数关于Butz-Ward模型的研究都使用总生育率作为因变量。由于Butz-Ward模型关注的是夫妇的生育行为,[作者使用]…总婚姻生育率。我们首先利用日本国家生育调查....的数据计算了1968 - 1986年的总婚姻生育率(TMFR)通过TMFR的自回归分析,我们发现,正如预期的那样,在职妻子工资率的上升具有统计学上显著的负向影响。在时间指标方面,第三次生育时间指标受到妻子就业时丈夫收入增加的显著正影响,而第三次生育可能受到职业妻子工资率上升的推迟。”英文摘要可从作者处获得。
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引用次数: 0
[[Trends in period fertility rates since the 1960s and Hino-e-uma in Japan]]. [[20世纪60年代以来的时期生育率趋势和日本的日月间]]。
Pub Date : 1991-01-01
K Otani
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引用次数: 0
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Kansai Daigaku keizai ronshu
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