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Urban-rural migration: uncertainty and the effect of a change in the minimum wage. 城乡人口迁移:不确定性和最低工资变化的影响。
Pub Date : 1989-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/BF01934672
C A Ingene, E S Yu

"This paper extends the neoclassical, Harris-Todaro model of urban-rural migration to the case of production uncertainty in the agricultural sector. A unique feature of the Harris-Todaro model is an exogenously determined minimum wage in the urban sector that exceeds the rural wage. Migration occurs until the rural wage equals the expected urban wage ('expected' due to employment uncertainty). The effects of a change in the minimum wage upon regional outputs, resource allocation, factor rewards, expected profits, and expected national income are explored, and the influence of production uncertainty upon the obtained results are delineated." The geographical focus is on developing countries.

本文将新古典的城乡迁移的哈里斯-托达罗模型扩展到农业部门生产不确定性的情况下。哈里斯-托达罗模型的一个独特特征是,城市部门的最低工资由外生因素决定,高于农村工资。直到农村工资等于预期城市工资(“预期”是由于就业的不确定性),人口才会迁移。本文探讨了最低工资变化对地区产出、资源配置、要素奖励、预期利润和国民收入的影响,并描述了生产不确定性对所得结果的影响。地理上的重点是发展中国家。
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引用次数: 1
Poisson regression models of Canadian census division migration flows. 加拿大人口普查区划移民流动的泊松回归模型。
Pub Date : 1989-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/BF01934669
R Flowerdew, C Amrhein

"This paper examines the amount, spatial pattern, and correlates of migration in Canada at the census division scale. The effects of distance, economic prosperity, social and cultural conditions, community size, and the housing market are investigated.... Poisson regression techniques were used to avoid the estimation problems frequently encountered in log-normal regression."

“这篇论文在人口普查划分的尺度上研究了加拿大移民的数量、空间格局和相关关系。距离,经济繁荣,社会和文化条件,社区规模和住房市场的影响进行了调查....泊松回归技术避免了对数正态回归中经常遇到的估计问题。
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引用次数: 14
Migration behaviour among the unemployed and the role of unemployment benefits. 失业人口的迁移行为和失业救济金的作用。
Pub Date : 1989-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/BF01954302
A Harkman

"In this paper the migration behaviour of young unemployed people in Sweden is analysed. The migration stream is divided into labour market migration and migration motivated by other reasons. The results show that a larger part of total migration is motivated by reasons other than pure labour market considerations. Explanatory factors have different effects on the two streams. Labour market motivated migration is sensitive to local labour market conditions while migration motivated by other reasons is not. Those who are receiving unemployment benefits are less willing to migrate than those who are not receiving such benefits."

本文分析了瑞典失业青年的移民行为。移民流分为劳动力市场移民和出于其他原因的移民。结果表明,总的移民中有很大一部分是由单纯的劳动力市场考虑以外的原因驱动的。解释因素对两种流的影响是不同的。劳动力市场动机的移徙对当地劳动力市场情况敏感,而其他原因的移徙则不敏感。那些领取失业救济金的人比那些没有领取失业救济金的人更不愿意移民。”
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引用次数: 4
Regional adjustment and migration flows in Canada, 1971 to 1981. 1971至1981年加拿大的区域调整和移民流动。
Pub Date : 1989-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/BF01934670
J Vanderkamp

"The primary purpose of this paper is to consider and test for various interlinkages between migration flows, and also between migration and employment change. Three types of migration flows are distinguished: domestic in-migration and out-migration, and net international migration. The three migration equations are embedded in a model of regional adjustment that also includes regional employment and wage changes as endogenous variables. The data base utilizes Canadian census statistics for 1971 and 1981 in a cross-section analysis with 183 regions represented by counties, or their equivalents. The empirical performance of the various interlinkages is broadly in line with expectations, but the results raise some important questions about interpretation."

“本文的主要目的是考虑和检验移民流动之间以及移民和就业变化之间的各种相互联系。移徙流动有三种类型:国内的内移徙和外移徙,以及净国际移徙。这三个迁移方程被嵌入到一个区域调整模型中,该模型还包括作为内生变量的区域就业和工资变化。该数据库利用加拿大1971年和1981年的人口普查统计数据,对183个县代表的地区进行了横断面分析。各种相互联系的实证表现大致符合预期,但结果提出了一些关于解释的重要问题。”
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引用次数: 3
Migration behaviour among the unemployed and the role of unemployment benefits. 失业人口的迁移行为和失业救济金的作用。
Pub Date : 1989-01-01 DOI: 10.1111/j.1435-5597.1989.tb01177.x
A. Harkman
"In this paper the migration behaviour of young unemployed people in Sweden is analysed. The migration stream is divided into labour market migration and migration motivated by other reasons. The results show that a larger part of total migration is motivated by reasons other than pure labour market considerations. Explanatory factors have different effects on the two streams. Labour market motivated migration is sensitive to local labour market conditions while migration motivated by other reasons is not. Those who are receiving unemployment benefits are less willing to migrate than those who are not receiving such benefits."
本文分析了瑞典失业青年的移民行为。移民流分为劳动力市场移民和出于其他原因的移民。结果表明,总的移民中有很大一部分是由单纯的劳动力市场考虑以外的原因驱动的。解释因素对两种流的影响是不同的。劳动力市场动机的移徙对当地劳动力市场情况敏感,而其他原因的移徙则不敏感。那些领取失业救济金的人比那些没有领取失业救济金的人更不愿意移民。”
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引用次数: 14
Poisson regression models of Canadian census division migration flows. 加拿大人口普查区划移民流动的泊松回归模型。
Pub Date : 1989-01-01 DOI: 10.1111/j.1435-5597.1989.tb01184.x
R. Flowerdew, C. Amrhein
"This paper examines the amount, spatial pattern, and correlates of migration in Canada at the census division scale. The effects of distance, economic prosperity, social and cultural conditions, community size, and the housing market are investigated.... Poisson regression techniques were used to avoid the estimation problems frequently encountered in log-normal regression."
“这篇论文在人口普查划分的尺度上研究了加拿大移民的数量、空间格局和相关关系。距离,经济繁荣,社会和文化条件,社区规模和住房市场的影响进行了调查....泊松回归技术避免了对数正态回归中经常遇到的估计问题。
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引用次数: 9
Urban-rural migration: uncertainty and the effect of a change in the minimum wage. 城乡人口迁移:不确定性和最低工资变化的影响。
Pub Date : 1989-01-01 DOI: 10.1111/j.1435-5597.1989.tb01187.x
C. Ingene, E. Yu
"This paper extends the neoclassical, Harris-Todaro model of urban-rural migration to the case of production uncertainty in the agricultural sector. A unique feature of the Harris-Todaro model is an exogenously determined minimum wage in the urban sector that exceeds the rural wage. Migration occurs until the rural wage equals the expected urban wage ('expected' due to employment uncertainty). The effects of a change in the minimum wage upon regional outputs, resource allocation, factor rewards, expected profits, and expected national income are explored, and the influence of production uncertainty upon the obtained results are delineated." The geographical focus is on developing countries.
本文将新古典的城乡迁移的哈里斯-托达罗模型扩展到农业部门生产不确定性的情况下。哈里斯-托达罗模型的一个独特特征是,城市部门的最低工资由外生因素决定,高于农村工资。直到农村工资等于预期城市工资(“预期”是由于就业的不确定性),人口才会迁移。本文探讨了最低工资变化对地区产出、资源配置、要素奖励、预期利润和国民收入的影响,并描述了生产不确定性对所得结果的影响。地理上的重点是发展中国家。
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引用次数: 3
Regional adjustment and migration flows in Canada, 1971 to 1981. 1971至1981年加拿大的区域调整和移民流动。
Pub Date : 1989-01-01 DOI: 10.1111/j.1435-5597.1989.tb01185.x
J. Vanderkamp
"The primary purpose of this paper is to consider and test for various interlinkages between migration flows, and also between migration and employment change. Three types of migration flows are distinguished: domestic in-migration and out-migration, and net international migration. The three migration equations are embedded in a model of regional adjustment that also includes regional employment and wage changes as endogenous variables. The data base utilizes Canadian census statistics for 1971 and 1981 in a cross-section analysis with 183 regions represented by counties, or their equivalents. The empirical performance of the various interlinkages is broadly in line with expectations, but the results raise some important questions about interpretation."
“本文的主要目的是考虑和检验移民流动之间以及移民和就业变化之间的各种相互联系。移徙流动有三种类型:国内的内移徙和外移徙,以及净国际移徙。这三个迁移方程被嵌入到一个区域调整模型中,该模型还包括作为内生变量的区域就业和工资变化。该数据库利用加拿大1971年和1981年的人口普查统计数据,对183个县代表的地区进行了横断面分析。各种相互联系的实证表现大致符合预期,但结果提出了一些关于解释的重要问题。”
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引用次数: 4
Internal migration in contemporary Nepal: models which internalize development policies. 当代尼泊尔的内部移民:发展政策内部化的模式。
Pub Date : 1983-01-01 DOI: 10.1111/j.1435-5597.1983.tb00802.x
P. Thapa, D. Conway
"A set of models is developed to assess at the interdistrict level the relative importance of economic, demographic, social and government policy determinants of internal migration in Nepal. The first 'proximate' model and the second 'structural' model estimates are generated using ordinary least squares regression and specification error is investigated by spatial autocorrelation tests of the residuals of each model in its reduced form....Finally, to formalize and evaluate empirically the linkages between the 'proximate' and 'structural' determinants, a simultaneous equation model is developed using three stage generalized least squares regression."
“制定了一套模型,以便在地区间一级评估尼泊尔国内移徙的经济、人口、社会和政府政策决定因素的相对重要性。第一个“近似”模型和第二个“结构”模型估计是使用普通最小二乘回归生成的,规格误差是通过对每个模型的简化形式的残差进行空间自相关检验....来研究的最后,为了形式化和评估“近似”和“结构”决定因素之间的联系,我们使用三阶段广义最小二乘回归建立了一个联立方程模型。
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引用次数: 3
Internal migration in contemporary Nepal: models which internalize development policies. 当代尼泊尔的内部移民:发展政策内部化的模式。
Pub Date : 1983-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/BF01939917
P Thapa, D Conway

"A set of models is developed to assess at the interdistrict level the relative importance of economic, demographic, social and government policy determinants of internal migration in Nepal. The first 'proximate' model and the second 'structural' model estimates are generated using ordinary least squares regression and specification error is investigated by spatial autocorrelation tests of the residuals of each model in its reduced form....Finally, to formalize and evaluate empirically the linkages between the 'proximate' and 'structural' determinants, a simultaneous equation model is developed using three stage generalized least squares regression."

“制定了一套模型,以便在地区间一级评估尼泊尔国内移徙的经济、人口、社会和政府政策决定因素的相对重要性。第一个“近似”模型和第二个“结构”模型估计是使用普通最小二乘回归生成的,规格误差是通过对每个模型的简化形式的残差进行空间自相关检验....来研究的最后,为了形式化和评估“近似”和“结构”决定因素之间的联系,我们使用三阶段广义最小二乘回归建立了一个联立方程模型。
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引用次数: 5
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