首页 > 最新文献

ACS ES&T Air最新文献

英文 中文
Evaluating a Land Use Regression Model for Estimating Metals in Fine Particulate Matter across the Denver Metro Area: The Healthy Start Study. 评估土地利用回归模型用于估算丹佛都市区细颗粒物中的金属:健康开始研究。
Pub Date : 2026-02-19 eCollection Date: 2026-03-13 DOI: 10.1021/acsestair.5c00325
Anne Mielnik, Sheena E Martenies, Christian L'Orange, Anne P Starling, William B Allshouse, John L Adgate, Grace Kuiper, Sherry WeMott, Dana Dabelea, Sheryl Magzamen

Few studies examine health effects of metals in ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5), as measurements of elemental composition are sparse. To facilitate intraurban studies in Denver, Colorado, we developed land use regression models for seven speciescopper (Cu), iron (Fe), titanium (Ti), zinc (Zn), potassium (K), calcium (Ca), and magnesium (Mg). As part of the Healthy Start Cohort study, we collected filter-based PM2.5 using personal air samplers at 67 locations across Denver. Sample collection occurred from May 2018 through March 2019, accounting for all meteorological seasons. Exposure models were informed by 83 geospatial covariates, with traffic-related predictors as the strongest and most consistent across models. Model performance was evaluated using 10-fold cross validation and overall, varied by sampling campaign and season, with R 2 values ranging from 0 to 0.63. At best, our model predicts Cu and Fe during fall (R 2 = 0.56 and 0.63, respectively); whereas it fails to capture species unrelated to traffic year-round (R 2 < 0.40). This highlights the influence of missing predictors (e.g., wildfire smoke, atmospheric transport and other meteorological factors) on PM2.5 concentrations and spatial gradients. Despite limitations, resulting models enable estimation of intraurban metal exposures and support future analyses of long-term health impacts in Denver.

很少有研究检查环境细颗粒物(PM2.5)中金属对健康的影响,因为对元素组成的测量很少。为了便于对科罗拉多州丹佛市的城市内部研究,我们开发了七个物种的土地利用回归模型铜(Cu)、铁(Fe)、钛(Ti)、锌(Zn)、钾(K)、钙(Ca)和镁(Mg)。作为健康起点队列研究的一部分,我们在丹佛的67个地点使用个人空气采样器收集了基于过滤器的PM2.5。样本采集时间为2018年5月至2019年3月,涵盖了所有气象季节。暴露模型由83个地理空间协变量提供信息,与交通相关的预测因子在各个模型中最强且最一致。使用10倍交叉验证评估模型性能,总体而言,随采样活动和季节而变化,r2值范围为0至0.63。在最好的情况下,我们的模型预测了秋季的Cu和Fe (r2分别= 0.56和0.63);而全年未能捕获与交通无关的物种(r2 < 0.40)。这突出了缺失的预测因子(如野火烟雾、大气输送和其他气象因子)对PM2.5浓度和空间梯度的影响。尽管存在局限性,但由此产生的模型能够估计城市内的金属暴露,并支持未来对丹佛市长期健康影响的分析。
{"title":"Evaluating a Land Use Regression Model for Estimating Metals in Fine Particulate Matter across the Denver Metro Area: The Healthy Start Study.","authors":"Anne Mielnik, Sheena E Martenies, Christian L'Orange, Anne P Starling, William B Allshouse, John L Adgate, Grace Kuiper, Sherry WeMott, Dana Dabelea, Sheryl Magzamen","doi":"10.1021/acsestair.5c00325","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1021/acsestair.5c00325","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Few studies examine health effects of metals in ambient fine particulate matter (PM<sub>2.5</sub>), as measurements of elemental composition are sparse. To facilitate intraurban studies in Denver, Colorado, we developed land use regression models for seven speciescopper (Cu), iron (Fe), titanium (Ti), zinc (Zn), potassium (K), calcium (Ca), and magnesium (Mg). As part of the Healthy Start Cohort study, we collected filter-based PM<sub>2.5</sub> using personal air samplers at 67 locations across Denver. Sample collection occurred from May 2018 through March 2019, accounting for all meteorological seasons. Exposure models were informed by 83 geospatial covariates, with traffic-related predictors as the strongest and most consistent across models. Model performance was evaluated using 10-fold cross validation and overall, varied by sampling campaign and season, with <i>R</i> <sup>2</sup> values ranging from 0 to 0.63. At best, our model predicts Cu and Fe during fall (<i>R</i> <sup>2</sup> = 0.56 and 0.63, respectively); whereas it fails to capture species unrelated to traffic year-round (<i>R</i> <sup>2</sup> < 0.40). This highlights the influence of missing predictors (e.g., wildfire smoke, atmospheric transport and other meteorological factors) on PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrations and spatial gradients. Despite limitations, resulting models enable estimation of intraurban metal exposures and support future analyses of long-term health impacts in Denver.</p>","PeriodicalId":100014,"journal":{"name":"ACS ES&T Air","volume":"3 3","pages":"670-680"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-02-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12993808/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147483067","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The complex effects of reduced mobile source emissions on submicron particulate matter concentrations in Los Angeles. 减少移动源排放对洛杉矶亚微米颗粒物浓度的复杂影响。
Pub Date : 2026-02-13 DOI: 10.1021/acsestair.5c00199
Benjamin C Schulze, Christopher M Kenseth, Ryan X Ward, Elyse A Pennington, Karl M Seltzer, Paul Van Rooy, Afsara Tasnia, Barbara Barletta, Simone Meinardi, Melissa A Ehrenfels, Andrew R Jensen, Yuanlong Huang, Harrison A Parker, Sina Hasheminassab, Douglas A Day, Pedro Campuzano-Jost, Joost de Gouw, Jose L Jimenez, Donald R Blake, Kelley C Barsanti, Havala O T Pye, John D Crounse, Paul O Wennberg, John H Seinfeld

Despite considerable reductions in mobile source emissions, annual average aerosol concentrations measured in Los Angeles using Federal Reference Methods (FRM) have not appreciably declined over the last decade. Here, we use submicron aerosol measurements and zero-dimensional modeling to quantify the impacts of these emissions reductions on aerosol formation in Pasadena, CA during the late spring and summer of 2022. Reductions in secondary organic aerosol (SOA) concentrations expected from reduced mobile source emissions appear to have been largely offset by increases in hydroxyl radical concentrations, an indirect effect of reduced nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions. As a result, while the predicted contribution of mobile sources to the SOA burden has declined from ~50% in 2010 to only ~25% in 2022, concentrations of locally-formed SOA have remained relatively constant. In contrast, reductions in mobile source NOx emissions have likely reduced overnight production of nitric acid and ammonium nitrate (AN) aerosol. We provide indirect evidence that FRM measurements may have failed to capture the reduction in AN since 2010 due to evaporation of semi-volatile species from FRM filter samples. Our results suggest that given the effectiveness of historical regulatory efforts aimed at mobile sources, and on-road sources in particular, additional reductions in submicron aerosol concentrations in Los Angeles will likely require increased focus on abating emissions from non-road and area sources.

尽管移动源排放有相当大的减少,但在过去十年中,使用联邦参考方法(FRM)在洛杉矶测量的年平均气溶胶浓度没有明显下降。在这里,我们使用亚微米气溶胶测量和零维建模来量化这些减排对2022年春末和夏季加州帕萨迪纳气溶胶形成的影响。预计由于减少移动源排放而导致的二次有机气溶胶(SOA)浓度的减少似乎在很大程度上被羟基自由基浓度的增加所抵消,羟基自由基是氮氧化物(NOx)排放减少的间接影响。因此,虽然移动源对SOA负担的预测贡献从2010年的50%下降到2022年的25%,但本地形成的SOA的集中度保持相对稳定。相比之下,移动源氮氧化物排放的减少可能会减少一夜之间硝酸和硝酸铵(AN)气溶胶的产量。我们提供的间接证据表明,FRM测量可能未能捕捉到自2010年以来AN的减少,这是由于FRM过滤器样品中半挥发性物质的蒸发。我们的研究结果表明,考虑到针对移动源,特别是道路源的历史监管努力的有效性,洛杉矶亚微米气溶胶浓度的进一步减少可能需要更多地关注减少非道路和区域源的排放。
{"title":"The complex effects of reduced mobile source emissions on submicron particulate matter concentrations in Los Angeles.","authors":"Benjamin C Schulze, Christopher M Kenseth, Ryan X Ward, Elyse A Pennington, Karl M Seltzer, Paul Van Rooy, Afsara Tasnia, Barbara Barletta, Simone Meinardi, Melissa A Ehrenfels, Andrew R Jensen, Yuanlong Huang, Harrison A Parker, Sina Hasheminassab, Douglas A Day, Pedro Campuzano-Jost, Joost de Gouw, Jose L Jimenez, Donald R Blake, Kelley C Barsanti, Havala O T Pye, John D Crounse, Paul O Wennberg, John H Seinfeld","doi":"10.1021/acsestair.5c00199","DOIUrl":"10.1021/acsestair.5c00199","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Despite considerable reductions in mobile source emissions, annual average aerosol concentrations measured in Los Angeles using Federal Reference Methods (FRM) have not appreciably declined over the last decade. Here, we use submicron aerosol measurements and zero-dimensional modeling to quantify the impacts of these emissions reductions on aerosol formation in Pasadena, CA during the late spring and summer of 2022. Reductions in secondary organic aerosol (SOA) concentrations expected from reduced mobile source emissions appear to have been largely offset by increases in hydroxyl radical concentrations, an indirect effect of reduced nitrogen oxide (NO<sub>x</sub>) emissions. As a result, while the predicted contribution of mobile sources to the SOA burden has declined from ~50% in 2010 to only ~25% in 2022, concentrations of locally-formed SOA have remained relatively constant. In contrast, reductions in mobile source NO<sub>x</sub> emissions have likely reduced overnight production of nitric acid and ammonium nitrate (AN) aerosol. We provide indirect evidence that FRM measurements may have failed to capture the reduction in AN since 2010 due to evaporation of semi-volatile species from FRM filter samples. Our results suggest that given the effectiveness of historical regulatory efforts aimed at mobile sources, and on-road sources in particular, additional reductions in submicron aerosol concentrations in Los Angeles will likely require increased focus on abating emissions from non-road and area sources.</p>","PeriodicalId":100014,"journal":{"name":"ACS ES&T Air","volume":"3 2","pages":"313-325"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-02-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12973001/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147438995","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Hygroscopicity and Cloud Condensation Nuclei Activity of Fresh and Aged Biomass Burning Particles. 新鲜和老化生物质燃烧颗粒的吸湿性和云凝结核活性。
Pub Date : 2026-02-13 eCollection Date: 2026-03-13 DOI: 10.1021/acsestair.5c00331
Bin Bai, Aishwarya Singh, Tianchang Xu, Christos Stamatis, Kezhou Lu, Nara Shin, Chase K Glenn, Omar El Hajj, Kruthika V Kumar, Anita Anosike, Muhammad Isa Abdurrahman, Sachin S Gunthe, Joseph J O'Brien, Gabriel Isaacman-VanWertz, Rawad Saleh, Nga L Ng, Pengfei Liu

Biomass burning (BB) is a major source of atmospheric particles and trace gases, influencing climate change, air quality, and human health. During the Georgia Wildland-Fire Simulation Experiment, we measured the hygroscopicity (κ) and size-resolved cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) activity of BB particles from controlled burns of fuel beds representative of three ecoregions in Georgia, United States. Primary BB particles were predominantly organic, and photooxidation in an oxidation flow reactor produced secondary organic aerosol (SOA) in a new nucleation mode while transforming primary organic aerosol (POA) into oxidized POA (OPOA) in the pre-existing accumulation mode. We measured hygroscopic growth from 20% to 90% relative humidity using a quartz crystal microbalance and assessed size-resolved CCN activity for particles from 30 to 350 nm at supersaturation between 0.13% and 0.99%. We found that the hygroscopicity parameter of OPOA (κOPOA = 0.10-0.19) was higher than that of POA (0.04-0.10), reflecting the influence of heterogeneous oxidation, whereas the hygroscopicity parameter of SOA (κSOA = 0.07-0.14) fell between the two. Both fresh and aged BB particles displayed size-dependent κ values and evidence of external mixing, likely because of complex emission characteristics of fuel beds and size-dependent deposition processes. Growth factor-derived and CCN-derived κ values were consistent when accounting for such heterogeneity. A strong positive correlation was found between the mass-averaged κ and O/C ratio, described by the regression κ = 0.31 ± 0.02-(O/C) - 0.05 ± 0.02, which broadly agrees with previous findings for a wide range of laboratory SOA and ambient oxidized organic aerosols. This suggests the potential applicability of a generalized hygroscopicity parameterization across organic aerosols within acceptable uncertainty. Our results highlight the role of BB particles as significant CCN sources during atmospheric aging and emphasize the importance of heterogeneous oxidation in physicochemical evolution of BB particles.

生物质燃烧(BB)是大气颗粒和微量气体的主要来源,影响气候变化、空气质量和人类健康。在美国乔治亚州野火模拟实验中,我们测量了来自美国乔治亚州三个生态区域的燃料床控制燃烧的BB颗粒的吸湿性(κ)和尺寸分辨云凝结核(CCN)活性。初级BB颗粒以有机为主,在氧化流反应器中光氧化产生新的成核模式的二次有机气溶胶(SOA),而将初级有机气溶胶(POA)转化为原有积累模式的氧化POA (OPOA)。我们使用石英晶体微天平测量了相对湿度为20%至90%的吸湿生长,并评估了过饱和度为0.13%至0.99%的30至350 nm颗粒的尺寸分辨CCN活性。我们发现,OPOA的吸湿性参数(κOPOA = 0.10-0.19)高于POA(0.04-0.10),反映了非均相氧化的影响,而SOA的吸湿性参数(κSOA = 0.07-0.14)介于两者之间。新鲜和老化的BB颗粒都显示出尺寸依赖的κ值和外部混合的证据,可能是因为燃料床的复杂排放特征和尺寸依赖的沉积过程。当考虑到这种异质性时,生长因子衍生和ccn衍生的κ值是一致的。质量平均κ与O/C比值之间存在明显的正相关关系,其回归方程为κ = 0.31±0.02-(O/C) - 0.05±0.02,这与之前在实验室SOA和环境氧化有机气溶胶中广泛发现的结果基本一致。这表明在可接受的不确定性范围内,有机气溶胶的一般吸湿性参数化的潜在适用性。我们的研究结果强调了BB颗粒在大气老化过程中作为重要的CCN源的作用,并强调了BB颗粒的非均相氧化在物理化学演化中的重要性。
{"title":"Hygroscopicity and Cloud Condensation Nuclei Activity of Fresh and Aged Biomass Burning Particles.","authors":"Bin Bai, Aishwarya Singh, Tianchang Xu, Christos Stamatis, Kezhou Lu, Nara Shin, Chase K Glenn, Omar El Hajj, Kruthika V Kumar, Anita Anosike, Muhammad Isa Abdurrahman, Sachin S Gunthe, Joseph J O'Brien, Gabriel Isaacman-VanWertz, Rawad Saleh, Nga L Ng, Pengfei Liu","doi":"10.1021/acsestair.5c00331","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1021/acsestair.5c00331","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Biomass burning (BB) is a major source of atmospheric particles and trace gases, influencing climate change, air quality, and human health. During the Georgia Wildland-Fire Simulation Experiment, we measured the hygroscopicity (κ) and size-resolved cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) activity of BB particles from controlled burns of fuel beds representative of three ecoregions in Georgia, United States. Primary BB particles were predominantly organic, and photooxidation in an oxidation flow reactor produced secondary organic aerosol (SOA) in a new nucleation mode while transforming primary organic aerosol (POA) into oxidized POA (OPOA) in the pre-existing accumulation mode. We measured hygroscopic growth from 20% to 90% relative humidity using a quartz crystal microbalance and assessed size-resolved CCN activity for particles from 30 to 350 nm at supersaturation between 0.13% and 0.99%. We found that the hygroscopicity parameter of OPOA (κ<sub>OPOA</sub> = 0.10-0.19) was higher than that of POA (0.04-0.10), reflecting the influence of heterogeneous oxidation, whereas the hygroscopicity parameter of SOA (κ<sub>SOA</sub> = 0.07-0.14) fell between the two. Both fresh and aged BB particles displayed size-dependent κ values and evidence of external mixing, likely because of complex emission characteristics of fuel beds and size-dependent deposition processes. Growth factor-derived and CCN-derived κ values were consistent when accounting for such heterogeneity. A strong positive correlation was found between the mass-averaged κ and O/C ratio, described by the regression κ = 0.31 ± 0.02-(O/C) - 0.05 ± 0.02, which broadly agrees with previous findings for a wide range of laboratory SOA and ambient oxidized organic aerosols. This suggests the potential applicability of a generalized hygroscopicity parameterization across organic aerosols within acceptable uncertainty. Our results highlight the role of BB particles as significant CCN sources during atmospheric aging and emphasize the importance of heterogeneous oxidation in physicochemical evolution of BB particles.</p>","PeriodicalId":100014,"journal":{"name":"ACS ES&T Air","volume":"3 3","pages":"697-709"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-02-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12993806/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147483055","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Impact of Hospitality on Air Quality at a Major Sporting Event. 大型体育赛事期间的款待对空气质素的影响。
Pub Date : 2026-02-02 eCollection Date: 2026-02-13 DOI: 10.1021/acsestair.5c00142
W Joe F Acton, Vipul Lalchandani, Mao Du, Siqi Hou, Deepchandra Srivastava, Zongbo Shi, William J Bloss

Large scale sporting and cultural events attract many spectators to a single site, leading to changed emissions and potentially creating local air pollution hot spots. Here, we monitored the air quality during the Birmingham 2022 Commonwealth Games, held from July 28th to August 8th, 2022, with 323,000 spectators attending the athletics events, including during the opening and closing ceremonies at the (open air) Alexander Stadium in Birmingham, UK. Particulate (PM2.5 and PM10) concentrations in fan areas around the stadium peaked ahead of the athletics events and opening and closing ceremonies with PM2.5 concentrations up to 10 times higher than at nearby urban background monitoring stations. For a spectator attending a full day of events at Alexander Stadium, this would represent a 125% increase in their exposure to PM2.5 relative to the urban background. Nonrefractory particulate composition in these periods was dominated by organics. Four factors were identified from Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF) analysis of particle composition data recorded using a Quadrupole Aerosol Chemical Speciation Monitor (Q-ACSM): two representing cooking aerosol accounting for 71% of the total PM mass during the athletic sessions demonstrating that cooking sources were responsible for the majority of particulate pollution at the venue. The high particulate concentrations at this venue were driven by fast food production at temporary concession stands, common across many large events, leading to a large increase in particulate matter exposure for staff and visitors.

大型体育和文化活动将许多观众吸引到一个地点,导致排放变化,并可能造成当地空气污染热点。在这里,我们监测了伯明翰2022年英联邦运动会期间的空气质量,该运动会于2022年7月28日至8月8日举行,有32.3万名观众参加了田径赛事,包括在英国伯明翰亚历山大体育场(露天)举行的开幕式和闭幕式。在田径赛事和开闭幕式之前,体育场周围球迷区PM2.5和PM10浓度达到峰值,PM2.5浓度比附近城市背景监测站高出10倍。对于在亚历山大体育场观看一整天比赛的观众来说,这意味着他们暴露在PM2.5中的量相对于城市背景增加了125%。这些时期的非耐火颗粒成分以有机物为主。使用四极杆气溶胶化学形态监测仪(Q-ACSM)记录的颗粒成分数据进行正矩阵分解(PMF)分析,确定了四个因素:两个代表烹饪气溶胶占运动期间总PM质量的71%,这表明烹饪源是造成场地颗粒污染的主要原因。这个场馆的高颗粒物浓度是由于在临时小卖部生产快餐造成的,这在许多大型活动中很常见,导致工作人员和游客接触到的颗粒物大量增加。
{"title":"The Impact of Hospitality on Air Quality at a Major Sporting Event.","authors":"W Joe F Acton, Vipul Lalchandani, Mao Du, Siqi Hou, Deepchandra Srivastava, Zongbo Shi, William J Bloss","doi":"10.1021/acsestair.5c00142","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1021/acsestair.5c00142","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Large scale sporting and cultural events attract many spectators to a single site, leading to changed emissions and potentially creating local air pollution hot spots. Here, we monitored the air quality during the Birmingham 2022 Commonwealth Games, held from July 28th to August 8th, 2022, with 323,000 spectators attending the athletics events, including during the opening and closing ceremonies at the (open air) Alexander Stadium in Birmingham, UK. Particulate (PM<sub>2.5</sub> and PM<sub>10</sub>) concentrations in fan areas around the stadium peaked ahead of the athletics events and opening and closing ceremonies with PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrations up to 10 times higher than at nearby urban background monitoring stations. For a spectator attending a full day of events at Alexander Stadium, this would represent a 125% increase in their exposure to PM<sub>2.5</sub> relative to the urban background. Nonrefractory particulate composition in these periods was dominated by organics. Four factors were identified from Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF) analysis of particle composition data recorded using a Quadrupole Aerosol Chemical Speciation Monitor (Q-ACSM): two representing cooking aerosol accounting for 71% of the total PM mass during the athletic sessions demonstrating that cooking sources were responsible for the majority of particulate pollution at the venue. The high particulate concentrations at this venue were driven by fast food production at temporary concession stands, common across many large events, leading to a large increase in particulate matter exposure for staff and visitors.</p>","PeriodicalId":100014,"journal":{"name":"ACS ES&T Air","volume":"3 2","pages":"279-290"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-02-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12910594/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146222540","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Enhancing Estimation of Fine Particulate Matter Chemical Composition across North America by Including Geophysical A Priori Information in Deep Learning with Uncertainty Quantification. 在不确定量化的深度学习中包含地球物理先验信息,增强对北美细颗粒物化学成分的估计。
Pub Date : 2026-02-02 eCollection Date: 2026-02-13 DOI: 10.1021/acsestair.5c00251
Siyuan Shen, Aaron van Donkelaar, Nathan Jacobs, Chi Li, Randall V Martin

Exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) in ambient air is recognized as the leading environmental risk factor for mortality. A more comprehensive characterization of its chemical composition is needed for its management and health effects research. We improve estimates of total PM2.5 mass concentration and its chemical composition across North America by developing, optimizing, and applying convolutional neural networks (CNN) with information from satellite-, simulation-, and monitor-based sources to estimate the local bias in monthly geophysical a priori PM2.5 and component concentrations over 2000-2023. Significant long-term agreement is found with traditional 10-fold spatial cross-validation for total PM2.5 (R 2 = 0.82), sulfate (R 2 = 0.98), nitrate (R 2 = 0.93), ammonium (R 2 = 0.94), organic matter (R 2 = 0.83), black carbon (R 2 = 0.78), dust (R 2 = 0.71), and seasalt (R 2 = 0.37). We introduce Buffered Leave Isolated Sites and Clusters Out (BLISCO) spatial cross-validation to evaluate the model extrapolation ability over remote regions, and find that traditional spatial cross-validation may overestimate performance and underrepresent uncertainty due to the spatial autocorrelation of ground monitors. The use of geophysical information from a chemical transport model (GEOS-Chem) significantly increases CNN performance in BLISCO cross-validation, for example, increasing R 2 for NO3 - (0.51 to 0.81) and NH4 + (0.27 to 0.67). We represent spatial uncertainty for PM2.5 and its components based on the statistical results of BLISCO cross-validation by integrating information from both the spatial distribution of ground observations and the variability in predictors space representation, and find that distance from monitor is a key predictor of uncertainty.

暴露于环境空气中的细颗粒物(PM2.5)被认为是导致死亡的主要环境风险因素。为了对其进行管理和健康影响研究,需要对其化学成分进行更全面的表征。我们通过开发、优化和应用卷积神经网络(CNN),利用卫星、模拟和监测来源的信息来估计2000-2023年间月度地球物理先验PM2.5和成分浓度的局部偏差,改进了北美地区PM2.5总质量浓度及其化学成分的估计。对于PM2.5总量(r2 = 0.82)、硫酸盐(r2 = 0.98)、硝酸盐(r2 = 0.93)、铵态氮(r2 = 0.94)、有机物(r2 = 0.83)、黑碳(r2 = 0.78)、粉尘(r2 = 0.71)和海盐(r2 = 0.37),传统的10倍空间交叉验证结果具有显著的长期一致性。通过引入BLISCO (Buffered Leave Isolated Sites and Clusters Out)空间交叉验证来评估模型在偏远地区的外推能力,发现传统的空间交叉验证可能高估了模型的外推能力,而由于地面监测数据的空间自相关性,传统的空间交叉验证可能低估了模型的不确定性。化学输运模型(GEOS-Chem)的地球物理信息的使用显著提高了BLISCO交叉验证中的CNN性能,例如,提高了NO3 -(0.51至0.81)和NH4 +(0.27至0.67)的r2。基于BLISCO交叉验证的统计结果,结合地面观测的空间分布和预测因子空间表示的变异性,对PM2.5及其组分的空间不确定性进行了表征,发现与监测点的距离是不确定性的关键预测因子。
{"title":"Enhancing Estimation of Fine Particulate Matter Chemical Composition across North America by Including Geophysical <i>A Priori</i> Information in Deep Learning with Uncertainty Quantification.","authors":"Siyuan Shen, Aaron van Donkelaar, Nathan Jacobs, Chi Li, Randall V Martin","doi":"10.1021/acsestair.5c00251","DOIUrl":"10.1021/acsestair.5c00251","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Exposure to fine particulate matter (PM<sub>2.5</sub>) in ambient air is recognized as the leading environmental risk factor for mortality. A more comprehensive characterization of its chemical composition is needed for its management and health effects research. We improve estimates of total PM<sub>2.5</sub> mass concentration and its chemical composition across North America by developing, optimizing, and applying convolutional neural networks (CNN) with information from satellite-, simulation-, and monitor-based sources to estimate the local bias in monthly geophysical <i>a priori</i> PM<sub>2.5</sub> and component concentrations over 2000-2023. Significant long-term agreement is found with traditional 10-fold spatial cross-validation for total PM<sub>2.5</sub> (<i>R</i> <sup>2</sup> = 0.82), sulfate (<i>R</i> <sup>2</sup> = 0.98), nitrate (<i>R</i> <sup>2</sup> = 0.93), ammonium (<i>R</i> <sup>2</sup> = 0.94), organic matter (<i>R</i> <sup>2</sup> = 0.83), black carbon (<i>R</i> <sup>2</sup> = 0.78), dust (<i>R</i> <sup>2</sup> = 0.71), and seasalt (<i>R</i> <sup>2</sup> = 0.37). We introduce Buffered Leave Isolated Sites and Clusters Out (BLISCO) spatial cross-validation to evaluate the model extrapolation ability over remote regions, and find that traditional spatial cross-validation may overestimate performance and underrepresent uncertainty due to the spatial autocorrelation of ground monitors. The use of geophysical information from a chemical transport model (GEOS-Chem) significantly increases CNN performance in BLISCO cross-validation, for example, increasing <i>R</i> <sup>2</sup> for NO<sub>3</sub> <sup>-</sup> (0.51 to 0.81) and NH<sub>4</sub> <sup>+</sup> (0.27 to 0.67). We represent spatial uncertainty for PM<sub>2.5</sub> and its components based on the statistical results of BLISCO cross-validation by integrating information from both the spatial distribution of ground observations and the variability in predictors space representation, and find that distance from monitor is a key predictor of uncertainty.</p>","PeriodicalId":100014,"journal":{"name":"ACS ES&T Air","volume":"3 2","pages":"336-350"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-02-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12911949/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146222542","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evaluation of Smoke Exposure Risk from January 2025 Los Angeles Wildfires Using Crowdsourced Data. 使用众包数据评估2025年1月洛杉矶野火的烟雾暴露风险。
Pub Date : 2026-01-30 eCollection Date: 2026-02-13 DOI: 10.1021/acsestair.5c00277
Yi Ji, Christopher Devlin, Cesunica E Ivey

Wildfire smoke is an increasingly significant contributor to air pollution in the western United States, posing serious health risks and complicating efforts to assess personal exposure, particularly indoors. The January 2025 Palisades and Eaton Fires in Los Angeles County caused elevated levels of PM2.5 in the downwind cities. This study leverages a high-resolution network of crowdsourced PurpleAir sensors to evaluate indoor and outdoor PM2.5 levels before, during, and after the wildfire smoke events. We matched indoor-outdoor sensors and analyzed disparities in smoke exposure across communities with different CalEnviroScreen (CES) vulnerability scores, ventilation types, and home values. Results indicate that outdoor PM2.5 increased substantially during smoke days, with the highest CES-burdened communities experiencing the greatest ambient concentrations. Indoor PM2.5 also increased across all neighborhoods but indoor/outdoor (I/O) ratios declined during the smoke period, indicating partial indoor protection and likely occupant behavior changes. Infiltrated PM2.5 increased during the smoke period and varied across the CES groups. Building attributes showed limited predictive power. These findings highlight the interplay between behavioral actions and neighborhood factors in shaping wildfire smoke exposure and underscore the need for targeted interventions to improve indoor air quality in vulnerable communities.

野火烟雾对美国西部空气污染的影响越来越大,造成严重的健康风险,并使评估个人暴露程度的努力复杂化,尤其是在室内。2025年1月,洛杉矶县的帕利塞德斯和伊顿大火导致下风城市的PM2.5水平升高。这项研究利用众包PurpleAir传感器的高分辨率网络来评估野火烟雾事件发生之前、期间和之后的室内和室外PM2.5水平。我们匹配了室内外传感器,并分析了不同CalEnviroScreen (CES)脆弱性评分、通风类型和房屋价值的社区的烟雾暴露差异。结果表明,在烟雾日期间,室外PM2.5显著增加,ces负担最重的社区的环境浓度最高。所有社区的室内PM2.5都有所增加,但室内/室外(I/O)比值在烟雾期间有所下降,表明室内的部分保护和居住者的行为可能发生了变化。PM2.5的渗透性在烟雾期有所增加,且在不同的CES组之间存在差异。建筑属性显示出有限的预测能力。这些发现强调了行为行为和社区因素在影响野火烟雾暴露方面的相互作用,并强调了有针对性的干预措施以改善脆弱社区室内空气质量的必要性。
{"title":"Evaluation of Smoke Exposure Risk from January 2025 Los Angeles Wildfires Using Crowdsourced Data.","authors":"Yi Ji, Christopher Devlin, Cesunica E Ivey","doi":"10.1021/acsestair.5c00277","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1021/acsestair.5c00277","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Wildfire smoke is an increasingly significant contributor to air pollution in the western United States, posing serious health risks and complicating efforts to assess personal exposure, particularly indoors. The January 2025 Palisades and Eaton Fires in Los Angeles County caused elevated levels of PM<sub>2.5</sub> in the downwind cities. This study leverages a high-resolution network of crowdsourced PurpleAir sensors to evaluate indoor and outdoor PM<sub>2.5</sub> levels before, during, and after the wildfire smoke events. We matched indoor-outdoor sensors and analyzed disparities in smoke exposure across communities with different CalEnviroScreen (CES) vulnerability scores, ventilation types, and home values. Results indicate that outdoor PM<sub>2.5</sub> increased substantially during smoke days, with the highest CES-burdened communities experiencing the greatest ambient concentrations. Indoor PM<sub>2.5</sub> also increased across all neighborhoods but indoor/outdoor (I/O) ratios declined during the smoke period, indicating partial indoor protection and likely occupant behavior changes. Infiltrated PM<sub>2.5</sub> increased during the smoke period and varied across the CES groups. Building attributes showed limited predictive power. These findings highlight the interplay between behavioral actions and neighborhood factors in shaping wildfire smoke exposure and underscore the need for targeted interventions to improve indoor air quality in vulnerable communities.</p>","PeriodicalId":100014,"journal":{"name":"ACS ES&T Air","volume":"3 2","pages":"373-384"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12910550/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146222484","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Natural Ventilation Reduces Cooking-Related PM2.5 Peaks Indoors. 自然通风减少室内烹饪相关的PM2.5峰值。
Pub Date : 2026-01-29 eCollection Date: 2026-02-13 DOI: 10.1021/acsestair.5c00427
Yizhou Su, Yuqing Dai, Zongbo Shi, Yirui Jiang, Lingchen Kong, Christian Pfrang

Indoor cooking generates intense, short-duration fine particulate matter (PM2.5) peaks with acute health risks. To quantify the efficacy of natural ventilation configurations, we conducted approximately two months of continuous monitoring in a modern UK one-bedroom apartment, comparing three ventilation scenarios during cooking: fully opened (all windows and internal doors open), door-opened only (internal doors open but windows closed), and fully closed (all windows and internal doors closed). Air quality sensors were calibrated against a reference instrument (Fidas 200E) both before and after the field deployment. During the study period, outdoor PM2.5 mass concentrations ranged from 0.4 to 31.0 μg m-3, averaging 6.3 μg m-3. Indoor concentrations were substantially higher than average outdoor levels, with the fully opened scenario yielding the lowest exposure at 14.9 μg m-3 in the living room/kitchen and 15.4 μg m-3 in the bedroom. Relative to the fully opened scenario, PM2.5 concentrations increased by 58.4% (living room/kitchen) and 55.8% (bedroom) under door-opened only conditions, and under fully closed conditions by 28.9% and 27.9%, respectively. These findings demonstrate that simultaneous opening of windows and internal doors during cooking can substantially reduce acute PM2.5 exposure, offering a simple, low-energy strategy to mitigate short-term health risks in naturally ventilated apartments.

室内烹饪产生强烈的、短时间的细颗粒物(PM2.5)峰值,具有急性健康风险。为了量化自然通风配置的有效性,我们在英国一间现代一居室公寓中进行了大约两个月的连续监测,比较了烹饪期间的三种通风情况:全开(所有窗户和内门都打开),只开门(内部门打开但窗户关闭)和全关(所有窗户和内门关闭)。在现场部署之前和之后,空气质量传感器都根据参考仪器(Fidas 200E)进行校准。研究期间,室外PM2.5质量浓度在0.4 ~ 31.0 μg m-3之间,平均为6.3 μg m-3。室内浓度大大高于室外平均水平,在完全开放的情况下,客厅/厨房的暴露量最低,为14.9 μg m-3,卧室为15.4 μg m-3。相对于全开时,仅开门时PM2.5浓度(客厅/厨房)和卧室分别上升58.4%和55.8%,全关时分别上升28.9%和27.9%。这些研究结果表明,做饭时同时打开窗户和内门可以大大减少急性PM2.5暴露,为减轻自然通风公寓的短期健康风险提供了一种简单、低能耗的策略。
{"title":"Natural Ventilation Reduces Cooking-Related PM<sub>2.5</sub> Peaks Indoors.","authors":"Yizhou Su, Yuqing Dai, Zongbo Shi, Yirui Jiang, Lingchen Kong, Christian Pfrang","doi":"10.1021/acsestair.5c00427","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1021/acsestair.5c00427","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Indoor cooking generates intense, short-duration fine particulate matter (PM<sub>2.5</sub>) peaks with acute health risks. To quantify the efficacy of natural ventilation configurations, we conducted approximately two months of continuous monitoring in a modern UK one-bedroom apartment, comparing three ventilation scenarios during cooking: fully opened (all windows and internal doors open), door-opened only (internal doors open but windows closed), and fully closed (all windows and internal doors closed). Air quality sensors were calibrated against a reference instrument (Fidas 200E) both before and after the field deployment. During the study period, outdoor PM<sub>2.5</sub> mass concentrations ranged from 0.4 to 31.0 μg m<sup>-3</sup>, averaging 6.3 μg m<sup>-3</sup>. Indoor concentrations were substantially higher than average outdoor levels, with the fully opened scenario yielding the lowest exposure at 14.9 μg m<sup>-3</sup> in the living room/kitchen and 15.4 μg m<sup>-3</sup> in the bedroom. Relative to the fully opened scenario, PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrations increased by 58.4% (living room/kitchen) and 55.8% (bedroom) under door-opened only conditions, and under fully closed conditions by 28.9% and 27.9%, respectively. These findings demonstrate that simultaneous opening of windows and internal doors during cooking can substantially reduce acute PM<sub>2.5</sub> exposure, offering a simple, low-energy strategy to mitigate short-term health risks in naturally ventilated apartments.</p>","PeriodicalId":100014,"journal":{"name":"ACS ES&T Air","volume":"3 2","pages":"590-599"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12910602/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146222519","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Quantification of Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs), Nitrogen Oxides (NO x ), and Ultrafine Particles (UFPs) Emitted by Domestic Air Fryers: A Chamber Study of Indoor Air Quality Impacts. 家用空气炸锅排放的挥发性有机化合物(VOCs)、氮氧化物(NO x)和超细颗粒(ufp)的量化:室内空气质量影响的室内研究
Pub Date : 2026-01-27 eCollection Date: 2026-02-13 DOI: 10.1021/acsestair.5c00363
Ruijie Tang, Yizhou Su, William Joe F Acton, Lara K Dunn, Christian Pfrang

Air frying has emerged as a popular low-oil cooking method, yet its impact on indoor air pollutant emissions remains insufficiently understood. In our study, emissions of volatile organic compounds (VOCs), nitrogen oxides (NO x ), and ultrafine particles (UFPs) were measured during the air frying of 12 different dishes within a ca. 0.15 m3 Perspex chamber. Pollutant emissions varied significantly depending on the food type, with rates in the ranges of 17.8-184.0 μg min-1 for total cooking VOCs, 24.6-37.9 μg min-1 for NO x , and 0.1-17.4 × 1012 # min-1 for UFPs, primarily due to Maillard reactions and lipid thermal decomposition. While pollutant concentrations and ozone formation potentials were elevated within the chamber, scaling to the volume of a small kitchen indicated substantially lower levels compared to conventional frying methods. Notably, only high-fat foods produced UFP concentrations comparable to those of deep frying. No NO x emissions were found during blank (empty appliance) runs, and NO x was only detectable while cooking certain types of foods. However, residues accumulating within inaccessible areas of the air fryer following over 70 uses led to increases of 23% in VOC and 236% in UFP concentrations while not cooking food.

空气煎炸已成为一种流行的低油烹饪方法,但其对室内空气污染物排放的影响仍未得到充分了解。在我们的研究中,测量了在一个约0.15 m3的有机玻璃室内空气煎炸12种不同菜肴时挥发性有机化合物(VOCs)、氮氧化物(NO x)和超细颗粒(ufp)的排放。不同食物类型的污染物排放差异显著,烹饪总挥发性有机化合物(VOCs)排放速率为17.8 ~ 184.0 μg min-1, nox排放速率为24.6 ~ 37.9 μg min-1, ufp排放速率为0.1 ~ 17.4 × 1012 # min-1,主要由美拉德反应和脂质热分解引起。虽然室内的污染物浓度和臭氧形成潜力有所提高,但与传统的油炸方法相比,缩放到一个小厨房的体积表明水平要低得多。值得注意的是,只有高脂肪食物产生的UFP浓度与油炸食品相当。在空白(空电器)运行期间没有发现nox排放,并且只有在烹饪某些类型的食物时才可检测到nox。然而,在使用空气炸锅70多次后,在不可接近的区域内积累的残留物导致在不烹饪食物时VOC浓度增加23%,UFP浓度增加236%。
{"title":"Quantification of Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs), Nitrogen Oxides (NO <sub><i>x</i></sub> ), and Ultrafine Particles (UFPs) Emitted by Domestic Air Fryers: A Chamber Study of Indoor Air Quality Impacts.","authors":"Ruijie Tang, Yizhou Su, William Joe F Acton, Lara K Dunn, Christian Pfrang","doi":"10.1021/acsestair.5c00363","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1021/acsestair.5c00363","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Air frying has emerged as a popular low-oil cooking method, yet its impact on indoor air pollutant emissions remains insufficiently understood. In our study, emissions of volatile organic compounds (VOCs), nitrogen oxides (NO <sub><i>x</i></sub> ), and ultrafine particles (UFPs) were measured during the air frying of 12 different dishes within a ca. 0.15 m<sup>3</sup> Perspex chamber. Pollutant emissions varied significantly depending on the food type, with rates in the ranges of 17.8-184.0 μg min<sup>-1</sup> for total cooking VOCs, 24.6-37.9 μg min<sup>-1</sup> for NO <sub><i>x</i></sub> , and 0.1-17.4 × 10<sup>12</sup> # min<sup>-1</sup> for UFPs, primarily due to Maillard reactions and lipid thermal decomposition. While pollutant concentrations and ozone formation potentials were elevated within the chamber, scaling to the volume of a small kitchen indicated substantially lower levels compared to conventional frying methods. Notably, only high-fat foods produced UFP concentrations comparable to those of deep frying. No NO <sub><i>x</i></sub> emissions were found during blank (empty appliance) runs, and NO <sub><i>x</i></sub> was only detectable while cooking certain types of foods. However, residues accumulating within inaccessible areas of the air fryer following over 70 uses led to increases of 23% in VOC and 236% in UFP concentrations while not cooking food.</p>","PeriodicalId":100014,"journal":{"name":"ACS ES&T Air","volume":"3 2","pages":"473-487"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12910553/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146222531","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Comparative Impacts of Freight and Non-truck Traffic on NO x and Ozone Concentrations in the Los Angeles Basin. 洛杉矶盆地货运和非卡车交通对nox和臭氧浓度的比较影响。
Pub Date : 2026-01-21 eCollection Date: 2026-02-13 DOI: 10.1021/acsestair.5c00396
Aryiana C Moore, T Nash Skipper, Armistead G Russell, Jennifer Kaiser

The Los Angeles (LA) metropolitan region remains in nonattainment for ozone despite decades of reductions of ozone precursors, nitrogen oxides (NO x ) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs). NO x emissions from freight vehicles (ships, heavy duty trucks, trains, and airplanes) are expected to exceed emissions from passenger vehicles in southern California by 2030. Here, we use random forest machine learning to estimate the impact of freight activity on hourly NO x concentrations and determine summertime ozone production regimes across the LA basin. We find that freight activity contributes over half of weekday NO x impacts relative to non-truck traffic. During peak ozone hours, coastal areas, south LA, areas downwind (east) of downtown LA, and downtown San Bernardino are VOC-limited. Our results suggest that as of 2021, the Los Angeles urban core and nearby downwind areas have not transitioned to a NO x -limited regime on most days during the May to September ozone season. This study shows the applicability of machine learning to estimate concentration impacts from specific sources in the face of uncertain emission inventories and to analyze current ozone production regimes in areas with hourly ground observations.

尽管几十年来臭氧前体、氮氧化物(NO x)和挥发性有机化合物(VOCs)的减少,洛杉矶大都市区仍未达到臭氧标准。预计到2030年,南加州货运车辆(船舶、重型卡车、火车和飞机)的nox排放量将超过乘用车的排放量。在这里,我们使用随机森林机器学习来估计货运活动对每小时nox浓度的影响,并确定整个洛杉矶盆地的夏季臭氧生产制度。我们发现,相对于非卡车交通,货运活动贡献了工作日nox影响的一半以上。在臭氧峰值时间,沿海地区、洛杉矶南部、洛杉矶市中心的下风地区(东部)和圣贝纳迪诺市中心的voc是有限的。我们的研究结果表明,截至2021年,洛杉矶城市核心和附近的下风地区在5月至9月的臭氧季节的大多数日子里都没有过渡到nox限制制度。这项研究表明,在面对不确定的排放清单时,机器学习在估计特定来源的浓度影响方面的适用性,以及在每小时地面观测的情况下分析当前地区臭氧生产制度的适用性。
{"title":"Comparative Impacts of Freight and Non-truck Traffic on NO <sub><i>x</i></sub> and Ozone Concentrations in the Los Angeles Basin.","authors":"Aryiana C Moore, T Nash Skipper, Armistead G Russell, Jennifer Kaiser","doi":"10.1021/acsestair.5c00396","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1021/acsestair.5c00396","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The Los Angeles (LA) metropolitan region remains in nonattainment for ozone despite decades of reductions of ozone precursors, nitrogen oxides (NO <sub><i>x</i></sub> ) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs). NO <sub><i>x</i></sub> emissions from freight vehicles (ships, heavy duty trucks, trains, and airplanes) are expected to exceed emissions from passenger vehicles in southern California by 2030. Here, we use random forest machine learning to estimate the impact of freight activity on hourly NO <sub><i>x</i></sub> concentrations and determine summertime ozone production regimes across the LA basin. We find that freight activity contributes over half of weekday NO <sub><i>x</i></sub> impacts relative to non-truck traffic. During peak ozone hours, coastal areas, south LA, areas downwind (east) of downtown LA, and downtown San Bernardino are VOC-limited. Our results suggest that as of 2021, the Los Angeles urban core and nearby downwind areas have not transitioned to a NO <sub><i>x</i></sub> -limited regime on most days during the May to September ozone season. This study shows the applicability of machine learning to estimate concentration impacts from specific sources in the face of uncertain emission inventories and to analyze current ozone production regimes in areas with hourly ground observations.</p>","PeriodicalId":100014,"journal":{"name":"ACS ES&T Air","volume":"3 2","pages":"548-557"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12910605/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146222137","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Efficient Simulation of a Leak-Detection-and-Repair Program. 泄漏检测与修复程序的高效仿真。
Pub Date : 2026-01-20 eCollection Date: 2026-02-13 DOI: 10.1021/acsestair.5c00263
Christiane Lemieux, Kyle J Daun, Augustine Wigle

Monte Carlo (MC) simulations are a common way to estimate the methane emissions and cost-effectiveness of leak detection and repair (LDAR) programs in the upstream oil and gas industry. In this paper we consider a simplified version of a LDAR program and demonstrate how to simulate the underlying system in an efficient manner, resulting in estimators of the quantities of interest that have a smaller variance than is possible using contemporary techniques. The proposed method relies on two ideas: the first is to leverage the underlying stochastic models to perform an event-driven simulation rather than a daily one; and the second is to use low-discrepancy sampling rather than plain random sampling to generate samples of potential scenarios for the underlying system, which results in a more systematic and balanced exploration of the scenario space. We show that in the context of a sensitivity analysis example, the proposed approach reduces the error of the estimates by factors of about 3 to 4 for the same computation time. This increased precision can provide conclusive statistical evidence that an LDAR program significantly reduces emissions compared to another, while the naive method's error is often too large to draw any conclusion.

蒙特卡罗(MC)模拟是上游油气行业估算甲烷排放量和泄漏检测与修复(LDAR)项目成本效益的常用方法。在本文中,我们考虑了一个简化版本的LDAR程序,并演示了如何以一种有效的方式模拟底层系统,从而使感兴趣的数量的估计量具有比使用现代技术更小的方差。所提出的方法依赖于两个思想:第一是利用潜在的随机模型来执行事件驱动的模拟,而不是日常的模拟;二是使用低差异抽样而不是普通随机抽样来为底层系统生成潜在场景的样本,从而对场景空间进行更系统和平衡的探索。在一个灵敏度分析的例子中,我们表明,在相同的计算时间内,所提出的方法将估计的误差减少了大约3到4个因素。这种精度的提高可以提供确凿的统计证据,表明LDAR计划与其他计划相比显著减少了排放,而幼稚方法的误差往往太大,无法得出任何结论。
{"title":"Efficient Simulation of a Leak-Detection-and-Repair Program.","authors":"Christiane Lemieux, Kyle J Daun, Augustine Wigle","doi":"10.1021/acsestair.5c00263","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1021/acsestair.5c00263","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Monte Carlo (MC) simulations are a common way to estimate the methane emissions and cost-effectiveness of leak detection and repair (LDAR) programs in the upstream oil and gas industry. In this paper we consider a simplified version of a LDAR program and demonstrate how to simulate the underlying system in an efficient manner, resulting in estimators of the quantities of interest that have a smaller variance than is possible using contemporary techniques. The proposed method relies on two ideas: the first is to leverage the underlying stochastic models to perform an event-driven simulation rather than a daily one; and the second is to use low-discrepancy sampling rather than plain random sampling to generate samples of potential scenarios for the underlying system, which results in a more systematic and balanced exploration of the scenario space. We show that in the context of a sensitivity analysis example, the proposed approach reduces the error of the estimates by factors of about 3 to 4 for the same computation time. This increased precision can provide conclusive statistical evidence that an LDAR program significantly reduces emissions compared to another, while the naive method's error is often too large to draw any conclusion.</p>","PeriodicalId":100014,"journal":{"name":"ACS ES&T Air","volume":"3 2","pages":"364-372"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12911952/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146222568","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
ACS ES&T Air
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1