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Surface water quality evaluation, apportionment of pollution sources and aptness testing for drinking using water quality indices and multivariate modelling in Baitarani River basin, Odisha 基于水质指标和多元模型的奥里萨邦白塔拉尼河流域地表水水质评价、污染源划分及饮用适宜性检测
Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.hydres.2024.12.002
Abhijeet Das
<div><div>Baitarani River, Odisha, faces serious deterioration due to massive human intervention. It is particularly susceptible to degradation because it receives industrial and waste water emissions from surrounding organizations and municipal bodies. The current condition of the river is deplorable, leaving behind only minimal economic and ecological values. In this Baitarani Watershed, Odisha, this study emphasizes on analysing the seasonal variation (post-monsoon) of the water quality rating of the river in terms of the Water Quality Index (WQI). Study assessed the hydro-chemical variables, collected from thirteen sampling sites, during 2021–2024; and the whole river was investigated for 15 physicochemical parameters. Again, environ-metrics techniques, such as principal component analysis (PCA), and hierarchical (H) cluster analysis (CA), were used to assess the hydro-chemical variables. In all sites, the indicator Turbidity did not meet the drinking water quality limits (< 5NTU). During the post-monsoon season, the obtained WA-WQI value scored as 21.7 to 191, signifying excellent to unsuitable water quality. In this context, the WAWQI (Weighed Arithmetic Water Quality Index) values show that almost 61.54 % sampling sites have poor to unsuitable quality of water. On the contrary, the computed CCMEWQI (Canadian Council of Ministers of Environment Water Quality Index) value of the present research, varied between 23 and 97. These values indicate that water quality ranges from excellent to very poor water quality. Spanning a spectrum, the values of Integrated Weight (I)-WQI oscillated between 14 and 97. About 23.08 % remained within the excellent-good category, suggesting low pollution. These values also indicate 76.92 % of samples renders poor water and thus, significant contamination of the research zone by elements like turbidity, EC, and TDS indicates that the water quality in these areas is below drinkable limits and requires purification before use. The method, CA grouped four zones into three clusters, i.e., relatively low-polluted, medium-polluted, and high polluted. During post-monsoon season, most of the water quality characteristics were lower owing to dilution by monsoon rainfall, while pollutants were relatively higher in at some places, which might be due to reduced river flow and concentrated pollutants. The PCA resulted into 4 components namely PC-1 (51.31 %), PC-2 (16.044 %), PC-3 (11.799 %) and PC-4 (9.04 %) and indicated that particularly PC-1 contributes parameters such as turbidity, EC, TDS, Na<sup>+</sup>, K<sup>+</sup>, Ca<sup>2+</sup>, and Mg<sup>2+</sup>, were mostly influenced by mineralization, ions dissolution, and rock weathering. Ultimately, this innovative study from both indexing techniques, concludes that out of the 13 sampling sites, around 61.54 % (WA), 76.92 % (IWQI) and 53.85 % (CCME) is observed to be the most polluted site. CA and PCA identified that natural phenomena, along with agricultural, municipal
由于大规模的人为干预,奥里萨邦的拜塔拉尼河面临严重恶化。它特别容易退化,因为它接收来自周围组织和市政机构的工业和废水排放。这条河目前的状况令人遗憾,只留下很少的经济和生态价值。在Odisha的Baitarani流域,本研究着重分析了根据水质指数(WQI)的河流水质等级的季节变化(季风后)。研究评估了2021-2024年间从13个采样点收集的水化学变量;并对整条河流进行了15项理化参数的测定。同样,环境计量技术,如主成分分析(PCA)和层次(H)聚类分析(CA),被用于评估水化学变量。所有站点浊度指标均未达到饮用水水质限值(<;5南大)。在季风后季节,WA-WQI值为21.7 ~ 191,从优良到不适宜。在这种情况下,加权算术水质指数(WAWQI)值显示,近61.54%的采样点水质较差或不适宜。相反,本研究计算的CCMEWQI(加拿大环境部长理事会水质指数)值在23和97之间变化。这些数值表明水质从优良到极差不等。综合权重(I)-WQI的值在14和97之间振荡。约23.08%的空气质量处于“优良”类别,即低污染。这些数值还表明76.92%的样品水质较差,因此,研究区域受到浊度,EC和TDS等元素的严重污染表明这些地区的水质低于饮用限值,需要在使用前进行净化。该方法将四个区域划分为相对低污染、中污染和高污染三个集群。后季风季节,由于季风降雨的稀释作用,大部分水质特征较低,而部分地区的污染物相对较高,这可能是由于河流流量减少和污染物集中所致。主成分分析得到4个组分PC-1(51.31%)、PC-2(16.044%)、PC-3(11.799 %)和PC-4(9.04%),其中PC-1对浊度、EC、TDS、Na+、K+、Ca2+、Mg2+等参数贡献较大,主要受矿化、离子溶解和岩石风化的影响。最终,这项创新的研究从两种索引技术中得出结论,在13个采样点中,约61.54% (WA), 76.92% (IWQI)和53.85% (CCME)被观察到污染最严重的地点。CA和PCA发现,自然现象以及农业、城市和工业排放是流域的主要污染源。减少污水排放、阻断雨水直接排放、避免邻近居民连续处置固体垃圾是改善河流水质的方法。该研究提供了基线信息,可作为流域管理的有效计划。
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引用次数: 0
A mini-review on clinical and epidemiological assessment of PAHs toxicity: Process of policy-making on a global scale 多环芳烃毒性的临床和流行病学评估综述:全球范围内的决策过程
Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.hydres.2024.11.007
V.C. Deivayanai, P. Thamarai, P.R. Yaashikaa, A. Saravanan, A.S. Vickram
Growing anthropological inhabitants and unorganized cleaning and disposal leads to the widespread garbage and usable residues witnessed every here and there in the ecosystem, especially Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons (PAHs). This waste of PAHs and its various forms is a great disaster that is been mixed in right from the air all respirate into the water organisms drink plus food intake is also contaminated. The pollution made by this bio-cumulative pollutant not only cause damage to land and water but directly alter the metabolisms of living beings and causes life-threatening disease and sometimes takes the life of immune defective groups. Whereas short communication sharply and crisply explains the PAHs in society and their worsening body impacts other than it this brief about the degradation techniques with latest techno advancements. Differently, this paper concentrates on the cleaning up or removal methods, policy discussion and making by governmental organizations.
越来越多的人类居民和无组织的清洁和处理导致了生态系统中到处可见的垃圾和可用残留物,特别是多环芳烃(PAHs)。多环芳烃及其各种形式的浪费是一场巨大的灾难,它们从空气中混合到水里,所有的生物都呼吸到水里,喝的和摄入的食物也被污染了。这种生物累积性污染物的污染不仅对土地和水造成破坏,而且直接改变生物的代谢,引起危及生命的疾病,有时甚至夺去免疫缺陷群体的生命。而简短的交流则尖锐而清晰地解释了社会上的多环芳烃及其对身体日益恶化的影响,而不是简单地介绍最新技术进步的降解技术。不同的是,本文侧重于政府组织的清理或清除方法,政策讨论和制定。
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引用次数: 0
Model parameterization scheme for a distributed hydrological model, BTOPMC 分布式水文模型BTOPMC模型参数化方案
Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.hydres.2025.06.001
Satish Bastola
A distributed hydrological model (BTOPMC) provides a distributed estimation of water balance components imperative for sustainable water resource management. The model employs numerous calibration parameters to represent the complex river system. The model uses a transfer function relating the basin scale parameters to estimate grid scale parameters. However, in large and heterogeneous river basin systems, more hydrological response units and subsequently more calibration parameters are required. The study developed the functional relationship between model parameters and catchment attributes at multiple scales to reduce the calibration parameters. The functional relationship developed from one of the test basins from Nepal with extant observations is analyzed by endogenizing the relationship and calibrating its coefficient rather than directly calibrating parameters. The results show that calibration of the regional relationship coefficient rather than the model parameters resulted in comparable model performance to direct calibration, but with more identifiable model parameters.
分布式水文模型(BTOPMC)提供了可持续水资源管理所需的水平衡成分的分布式估计。该模型采用大量的标定参数来表征复杂的河流水系。该模型利用流域尺度参数的传递函数来估计网格尺度参数。然而,在大而非均匀的流域系统中,需要更多的水文响应单元,从而需要更多的校准参数。研究建立了多尺度下模型参数与流域属性的函数关系,减少了定标参数。利用尼泊尔某试验盆地与现有观测资料建立的函数关系进行分析,采用内因化方法校正其系数,而不是直接校正参数。结果表明,与直接定标模型参数相比,采用区域关系系数定标模型性能相当,但模型参数可识别性更强。
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引用次数: 0
Prediction of runoff at ungauged areas employing interpolation techniques and deep learning algorithm 利用插值技术和深度学习算法预测未测量区域的径流
Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.hydres.2024.12.001
Vinay Mahakur , Vijay Kumar Mahakur , Sandeep Samantaray , Dillip K. Ghose
Most river basins across the world are ungauged, and just a handful are gauged. As a result, predicting runoff in an unmeasured watershed is a difficult problem for the researchers. This research takes into account the tropical monsoon region, which is primarily covered by mountains and has a changing climate. This research is also carried out by creating a model with a machine learning technique that comprises Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). The hybrid model considerably improves runoff forecast accuracy, with the CNN-LSTM model reaching an overall accuracy of 99.29 % across many datasets. The study uses 25 years of meteorological data from gauged stations to calculate runoff predictions for four ungauged sites: Katigora, Subhang, Sonai, and Morang. The findings highlight the necessity of combining machine learning and classical approaches to improve flood forecasting skills, which are critical for successful water resource management in flood-prone areas. This novel technique not only fills a vital vacuum in hydrological research, but it also has practical implications for catastrophe risk mitigation initiatives worldwide.
世界上大多数河流流域都没有测量过,只有少数几个被测量过。因此,对研究人员来说,预测未测量流域的径流是一个难题。这项研究考虑了热带季风区,该地区主要被山脉覆盖,气候不断变化。该研究还利用卷积神经网络(CNN)和长短期记忆(LSTM)相结合的机器学习技术创建了模型。混合模型大大提高了径流预测的精度,CNN-LSTM模型在许多数据集上的总体精度达到99.29%。这项研究使用了测量站25年的气象数据来计算四个未测量站点的径流预测:卡蒂戈拉、素杭、索奈和莫朗。这些发现强调了将机器学习和经典方法结合起来提高洪水预报技能的必要性,这对于洪水易发地区成功的水资源管理至关重要。这项新技术不仅填补了水文研究的重要真空,而且对世界范围内减轻巨灾风险的举措具有实际意义。
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引用次数: 0
Resource to risk: Inter-decadal and sub-seasonal rainfall modulation over Saurashtra region in Western India 资源到风险:印度西部索拉斯特拉地区的年代际和次季节性降雨调制
Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.hydres.2025.01.002
Bhanu Parmar , Suvarna Shah , Hiteshri Shastri , Indra Mani Tripathi
Climate change, recognized as the long-term change in atmospheric conditions is one of the most evident feature of 21st century. Limited studies on Saurashtra's rainfall variability underscore the need to explore temporal and spatial patterns, vital for sustainable water resource management and agricultural planning in the region. This study examines seasonal and sub-seasonal rainfall trends (1981–2020) using high-resolution IMD data, applying Z-score, Mann-Kendall test, Sen's slope estimator, and Rainfall Anomaly Index for analysis. The region has experienced increased variability in rainfall, particularly at the upper extremes. Statistical analysis shows a significant increase in mean rainfall during 2001–2020, with distinct trends compared to earlier decades. Notably, September exhibits the largest upward trend in rainfall at +1.53 mm/year. Seasonal RAI highlights a shift from predominantly negative rainfall anomalies (1981–2000) to positive anomalies in the later period (2001−2020). These findings emphasize studying atmospheric dynamics to understand future rainfall changes.
气候变化被认为是大气条件的长期变化,是21世纪最明显的特征之一。对索拉什特拉邦降雨变化的有限研究强调了探索时空模式的必要性,这对该地区的可持续水资源管理和农业规划至关重要。本研究利用高分辨率IMD数据,运用Z-score、Mann-Kendall检验、Sen’s slope estimator和rainfall Anomaly Index对1981-2020年的季节和次季节降水趋势进行了分析。该地区的降雨变异性增加,特别是在极端地区。统计分析表明,2001-2020年平均降雨量显著增加,与前几十年相比有明显的趋势。值得注意的是,9月份降雨量上升趋势最大,为+1.53 mm/年。季节RAI突出了从主要的负降水异常(1981-2000)到后期(2001 - 2020)的正降水异常的转变。这些发现强调通过研究大气动力学来了解未来的降雨变化。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of stationary and non-stationary hydrological extremes under a changing environment: A systematic review 变化环境下平稳和非平稳极端水文分析:系统综述
Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.hydres.2024.12.007
Maximo Basheija Twinomuhangi , Yazidhi Bamutaze , Isa Kabenge , Joshua Wanyama , Michael Kizza , Geoffrey Gabiri , Pascal Emanuel Egli
Research on hydrological extremes has increased due to their increasing frequency and destructive power, with their non-stationarity attributed to human activities and climate change. To understand current advances in analyzing extremes, a systematic review of online literature was conducted using PRISMA framework. The review covered several aspects of analysis considered in literature like time series types, non-stationarity detection techniques, frequency analysis (FA) category, probability distribution types, covariates used, parameter estimation and model selection techniques. Results indicate that AMS (71.7 %), Mann-Kendall non-stationarity detection test (70.8 %), GEV distribution (41.4 %), ML parameter estimation (34.6 %) and model selection AIC (30.0 %) were mostly applied. Non-stationary alongside stationary FA was carried out most (82 %) and non-stationary models outperformed the stationary ones. Time was used as a covariate in most studies (50.5 %) compared to anthropogenic (7.1 %), local-scale (11.4 %) and large-scale (31.0 %) climate covariates. Effective hydrological extremes management requires an understanding of their non-stationarity in a changing environment.
由于极端水文事件的频率和破坏力不断增加,以及人类活动和气候变化导致的极端水文事件的非平稳性,对极端水文事件的研究有所增加。为了了解极端分析的最新进展,我们使用PRISMA框架对网络文献进行了系统回顾。这篇综述涵盖了文献中分析的几个方面,如时间序列类型、非平稳性检测技术、频率分析(FA)类别、概率分布类型、使用的协变量、参数估计和模型选择技术。结果表明,最常用的是AMS(71.7%)、Mann-Kendall非平稳性检测检验(70.8%)、GEV分布(41.4%)、ML参数估计(34.6%)和模型选择AIC(30.0%)。非平稳与平稳混合进行的FA最多(82%),非平稳模型的表现优于平稳模型。与人为(7.1%)、局地尺度(11.4%)和大尺度(31.0%)气候协变量相比,时间在大多数研究中被用作协变量(50.5%)。有效的水文极端管理需要了解它们在不断变化的环境中的非平稳性。
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引用次数: 0
Construction of nitrogen and phosphorus flux of land-based pond mariculture: Taking the Xiangshan Bay as an example 陆基池塘海水养殖氮磷通量的构建——以象山湾为例
Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.hydres.2024.12.005
Yiwei Du , Xiaoguang Li , Siru Liu , Tian Lin
The construction of nutrient flux can provide a scientific basis for understanding the fate in the aquaculture systems to facilitate sustainable coastal environment management. In this study, the tailwater of the mariculture pond from 65 sampling points in the Xiangshan Bay were measured. The average concentrations of total nitrogen and total phosphorus of the samples were 2.16 mg/L and 0.11 mg/L, which were lower than Category I of Mariculture Tailwater Discharge Standards of Zhejiang Province. Two methods were applied to estimate the discharge flux of the total nitrogen and total phosphorus from mariculture ponds in the Xiangshan Bay. The application of chemical analysis method was technically optimized by means of area data obtained by high-density sampling campaign and GIS method. It was estimated that the annual discharge flux of total nitrogen and total phosphorus via chemical analysis method were 271.2–338.9 tones and 7.6–9.5 tones, respectively. Potential environmental effects were further assessed according to monthly discharge flux combined with seasonal variations of hydrodynamic environment. In comparison, the estimated annual fluxes of chemical analysis method were much lower than the ones of pollution discharging coefficient method which were 357.56 tones/year and 22.00 tones/year, respectively. It is considered that part of nitrogen and phosphorus nutrients deposited into the bottom sediment of the ponds or coastal environment. The continuous loading of nitrogen and phosphorus nutrients into sediment can increase the risk of secondary release, especially in such semi-enclosed bay.
养分通量的构建可以为了解水产养殖系统的命运提供科学依据,促进沿海环境的可持续管理。本研究对象山湾65个样点的海水养殖池尾水进行了测量。样品中总氮和总磷的平均浓度分别为2.16 mg/L和0.11 mg/L,均低于浙江省海水养殖尾水排放第一类标准。采用两种方法对象山湾海水养殖池塘的总氮和总磷排放通量进行了估算。利用高密度采样和GIS方法获得的面积数据,对化学分析法的应用进行了技术优化。通过化学分析方法估算出全氮和全磷年排放通量分别为271.2 ~ 338.9 t和7.6 ~ 9.5 t。根据月流量结合水动力环境的季节变化,进一步评价潜在的环境影响。化学分析法的年通量预测值分别为357.56 t /年和22.00 t /年,明显低于排放系数法的年通量预测值。认为部分氮磷营养物沉积在池塘底泥或海岸环境中。氮磷营养物持续向沉积物中加载会增加二次释放的风险,尤其是在这种半封闭的海湾中。
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引用次数: 0
A review of the data used to validate groundwater recharge maps created with GIS techniques over the past two decades 对过去二十年来用地理信息系统技术制作的地下水补给图进行验证的数据回顾
Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.hydres.2024.12.003
George Bennett
Groundwater recharge maps developed using GIS techniques are important tools that aid the identification of recharge zones. This map must be validated with field data. This study reviewed 63 articles published between 2007 and 2024 to examine the data used to validate these maps and identify the appropriate data for validation. About 50 % of articles reviewed contain non-validated maps, suggesting that many researchers did not do map validation. A total of 12 types of data have been identified to validate groundwater recharge maps, including electrical conductivity, total dissolved solids, stable isotope, and the magnitude of groundwater level fluctuations. Moreover, this review shows that 50 % (n = 6) of the identified data have high uncertainty and are therefore inappropriate for validation, including groundwater level, nitrate concentration, well yield, and aquifer transmissivity. Data reflecting groundwater residence time are more appropriate for validation.
利用地理信息系统技术开发的地下水补给图是帮助确定补给区的重要工具。这张地图必须用实地数据进行验证。本研究回顾了2007年至2024年间发表的63篇文章,以检查用于验证这些地图的数据,并确定用于验证的适当数据。大约50%的被审查的文章包含未经验证的地图,这表明许多研究人员没有进行地图验证。总共确定了12种类型的数据来验证地下水补给图,包括电导率、总溶解固体、稳定同位素和地下水位波动幅度。此外,这篇综述表明,50% (n = 6)的识别数据具有很高的不确定性,因此不适合进行验证,包括地下水位、硝酸盐浓度、井产量和含水层透射率。反映地下水停留时间的数据更适合于验证。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the cooling benefits of Urban Lakes: A multi-year analysis of Dhaka, Bangladesh 探索城市湖泊的降温效益:对孟加拉国达卡的多年分析
Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.hydres.2025.01.001
Md. Imran Hosen , Md. Mahmudul Hasan , Md. Talha , Most. Mitu Akter , N.M. Refat Nasher
The historical and contemporary development of Dhaka city is predominantly unplanned, resulting in significant environmental deterioration. The lack of green and blue spaces and the built areas make it hard for people to stay in comfortable living conditions. The impacts of urban water bodies on the local thermal environment are examined in this study. Landsat 5, 7, and 8 images of 1991, 1996, 2001, 2006, 2011, 2016, and 2021 years were analyzed using ArcGIS (V.10.8) to look at the seasonal changes of normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and land surface temperature (LST) of the surrounding lake area. The LST was obtained at a spatial resolution of 30 m using Landsat TM and TIRS imagery, particularly in cloud-free conditions within the study area. The lake water controls the temperature of the adjacent area within 100 to 150 m. The presence of the lake mitigated the disparity between the maximum and minimum temperatures in the hinterland thermal conditions. With time, there was a gradual but consistent rise in temperatures across the board, encompassing the monthly peaks, lows, and averages. Notably, the highest temperatures increased at a faster rate compared to lower and average temperature ranges. It's important to highlight that the rate of temperature rise was more pronounced at 200 m from the lake compared to the increase observed at 100 m. The rise in global temperature due to climate change has made cooling effects less effective for blue bodies in cities. This study's outcomes will help urban planners understand the blue and green space planning in cities to create a comfortable living environment.
达卡城市的历史和当代发展主要是无计划的,导致严重的环境恶化。缺乏绿色和蓝色的空间和建筑区域,使人们很难保持舒适的生活条件。本文探讨了城市水体对局部热环境的影响。利用ArcGIS (V.10.8)软件对1991年、1996年、2001年、2006年、2011年、2016年和2021年的Landsat 5号、7号和8号影像进行分析,研究了湖泊周边地区归一化植被指数(NDVI)和地表温度(LST)的季节变化。利用Landsat TM和TIRS图像以30 m的空间分辨率获得地表温度,特别是在研究区内无云的条件下。湖水控制着周边100 ~ 150米范围内的温度。湖泊的存在缓解了内陆热条件下最高和最低温度之间的差异。随着时间的推移,气温逐渐而持续地上升,包括每月的峰值、低点和平均值。值得注意的是,与较低温度和平均温度范围相比,最高温度的上升速度更快。值得强调的是,距离湖泊200米的温度上升速度比距离湖泊100米的温度上升速度更明显。由于气候变化导致的全球气温上升,使得城市中的蓝体降温效果不那么有效。本研究的结果将有助于城市规划者了解城市中的蓝色和绿色空间规划,以创造舒适的生活环境。
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引用次数: 0
Trends and periodicities in Krishna Basin rainfall/extremes found via hierarchical analysis 克里希纳盆地降雨/极端事件的趋势和周期性
Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.hydres.2024.12.004
Gaurav Pakhale, Rakesh Khosa, A.K. Gosain
Analysing the spatiotemporal changes in long-term rainfall and extreme events at a river basin scale is crucial for optimal water resource management. This study examines trends in long-term rainfall and extreme event indices in the Krishna River Basin (KRB) using Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) 0.25° resolution daily precipitation data from 1951 to 2019. Methods include the Mann–Kendall trend test, Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA), Hurst's Rescaled Range (He) Analysis, and Wavelets.
The results show variations in rainfall and extreme event patterns across KRB subsystems. Overall, Annual Rainfall (AR) is decreasing, with significant trends in Ghatprabha (K3), Lower Bhima (K6), and Vedavati (K9). Seasonal and monthly rainfall trends are not significant. Extreme event indices (Daily rainfall greater than 10 mm [R10], Daily rainfall greater than 20 mm [R20], and Daily rainfall greater than 40 mm [R40], the annual maximum for 1 to 7 days and starting days of such events showed the non-significant trend in some of the subsystems when analysed with statistical methods; however, graphical analysis using ITA indicates clear trends. He construed a sustainable decreasing trend and predicted a future rainfall reduction. The wavelet power spectra for different indices infer periods between 2 and 16, predominantly concentrated around 2–4 year bands. Decreasing annual rainfall in most headwater catchments, captured by most methods, suggests that KRB will experience less rainfall and fewer rainy days in the future.
By discerning long-term rainfall trends and periodic patterns in the KRB, future water availability can be predicted, and extreme events can be better analysed. This analysis will be the basis for devising robust flood control measures, mitigating flood risks, and optimizing water resource allocation across sectors, thereby enhancing resilience to climate variability in future.
在流域尺度上分析长期降雨和极端事件的时空变化对优化水资源管理具有重要意义。本研究利用1951年至2019年印度气象局(IMD) 0.25°分辨率日降水数据,研究了克里希纳河流域(KRB)长期降雨和极端事件指数的趋势。方法包括Mann-Kendall趋势检验、创新趋势分析(ITA)、Hurst's rescaledrange (He)分析和小波分析。结果表明,降水和极端事件模式在KRB子系统之间存在差异。总体而言,年降雨量(AR)正在减少,其中Ghatprabha (K3)、下Bhima (K6)和Vedavati (K9)的趋势显著。季节和月降雨量趋势不显著。极端事件指数(日降雨量大于10 mm [R10]、日降雨量大于20 mm [R20]、日降雨量大于40 mm [R40])、极端事件1 ~ 7天的年最大值和事件发生日在部分子系统中呈不显著趋势;然而,使用ITA的图形分析显示了清晰的趋势。他解释了一个持续减少的趋势,并预测了未来的降雨量减少。不同指数的小波功率谱推断周期在2 ~ 16年之间,主要集中在2 ~ 4年的波段。通过大多数方法捕获的大多数水源集水区的年降雨量减少表明,KRB未来将经历更少的降雨量和更少的雨天。通过识别KRB的长期降雨趋势和周期性模式,可以预测未来的水可用性,并可以更好地分析极端事件。这一分析将成为制定强有力的洪水控制措施、减轻洪水风险和优化各部门水资源分配的基础,从而增强未来应对气候变化的能力。
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引用次数: 0
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HydroResearch
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