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Further empirical evidence on stochastic volatility models with jumps in returns 收益跳跃随机波动模型的进一步经验证据
Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.srfe.2011.12.001
Ana González-Urteaga

Using the Efficient Method of Moments we estimate a continuous time diffusion for the stochastic volatility of some international stock market indices that allows for possible jumps in returns. These jumps are needed for a sensible characterization of the dynamics of the distribution of returns, even under stochastic volatility. Although the stochastic volatility model with jumps in returns tends to exaggerate the negative skewness relative to the sample moments, the inclusion of jumps strongly improves the ability of the model to replicate sample kurtosis. This contrasts with the failure of the pure stochastic volatility model in generating high enough kurtosis. Our results extend the limited available evidence from the U.S. market to several European stock market indices.

利用有效矩量法,我们估计了一些国际股票市场指数随机波动的连续时间扩散,允许可能的回报跳跃。即使在随机波动的情况下,也需要这些跳跃来合理地描述收益分布的动态特征。尽管具有收益跳跃的随机波动模型倾向于夸大相对于样本矩的负偏度,但包含跳跃的随机波动模型强烈地提高了模型复制样本峰度的能力。这与纯随机波动模型在产生足够高的峰度方面的失败形成对比。我们的研究结果将有限的证据从美国市场扩展到几个欧洲股票市场指数。
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引用次数: 8
The regulatory loss cut-off level: Does it undervalue the operational capital at risk? 监管损失临界值:是否低估了处于风险中的运营资本?
Pub Date : 2011-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.srfe.2011.09.003
Enrique José Jiménez-Rodríguez, José Manuel Feria-Domínguez, José Luis Martín-Marin

The New Capital Accord (Basel II) proposes a minimum threshold of 10,000 Euros for operational losses when estimating regulatory capital for financial institutions. But since this recommendation is not compulsory for the bank industry, banks are allowed to apply internal thresholds discretionally. In this sense, we analyze the potential impact that the selection of a specific threshold could have on the final estimation of the capital charge for covering operational risk, adopting a critical perspective. For this purpose, by using the Internal Operational Losses Database (IOLD) provided by a Spanish Saving Bank, we apply the Loss Distribution Approach (LDA) for different modelling thresholds. The results confirm the opportunity cost in which banks can incur depending on the internal threshold selected. In addition, we consider that the regulatory threshold, established by the Committee, could result inadequate for some financial institutions due to the relative short length of the current IOLDs.

新资本协议(Basel II)在估计金融机构的监管资本时,提出了1万欧元的最低运营损失门槛。但由于这一建议对银行业不是强制性的,因此银行可以酌情适用内部门槛。在这个意义上,我们分析了选择特定阈值可能对覆盖操作风险的资本费用的最终估计产生的潜在影响,采用关键的观点。为此,通过使用西班牙储蓄银行提供的内部操作损失数据库(IOLD),我们将损失分配方法(LDA)应用于不同的建模阈值。结果证实了银行可能产生的机会成本取决于所选择的内部阈值。此外,我们认为委员会设定的监管门槛可能不足以满足一些金融机构的要求,因为目前的iold期限相对较短。
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引用次数: 5
Corporate boards in high-tech firms 高科技公司的董事会
Pub Date : 2011-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.srfe.2011.09.001
Pablo de Andrés , Juan Antonio Rodríguez

Evidence concerning the impact of boards on firms’ governance and performance remains controversial. We explore the issue of board effectiveness by examining the supervisory role boards play and their advisory function. We examine the importance of these two roles in high technology contexts and control for the endogenous nature of the representative variables in boards. Our paper uses a sample of European firms to highlight that in high-tech industries the advisory function of boards provides higher explanatory power for performance than does the monitoring function, and that larger and less independent boards may improve governance and consequently enhance performance.

关于董事会对公司治理和绩效影响的证据仍然存在争议。我们通过考察董事会所扮演的监督角色及其咨询职能来探讨董事会有效性的问题。我们研究了这两个角色在高科技背景下的重要性,并对董事会中代表性变量的内生性质进行了控制。本文以欧洲公司为样本,强调在高科技产业中,董事会的咨询职能比监督职能提供了更高的绩效解释力,更大和更少独立性的董事会可能改善治理,从而提高绩效。
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引用次数: 13
Corporate governance and executive pay in the Spanish market 西班牙市场的公司治理和高管薪酬
Pub Date : 2011-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.srfe.2011.09.004
Carlos Fernández Méndez, Rubén Arrondo García , Enrique Fernández Rodríguez

This paper evaluates the incidence of the board of directors, the nomination and remuneration committees (NRCs) and the ownership structure on the amount, composition and pay-performance sensitivity of the remuneration of executive directors. Using a panel of Spanish listed firms in the period 2005–2009, our results show that the increases in executives’ remuneration are linked to variations in shareholders’ wealth. We have also found evidence that the size of both the board and the NRC and the shareholdings of external large blockholders and executives affect the amount and structure of executive remuneration. Moreover, it is found that the existence of investment opportunities together with size and profitability all influence remuneration policy. Our results may have implications for policy makers regarding the composition of the board and NRCs as it have not be found that the presence of independent directors would restrain executives pay or increase of pay-performance sensitivity.

本文评价了董事会、提名委员会和薪酬委员会的发生率以及股权结构对执行董事薪酬数额、构成和薪酬绩效敏感性的影响。利用2005-2009年期间西班牙上市公司的面板,我们的结果表明,高管薪酬的增加与股东财富的变化有关。我们还发现,有证据表明,董事会和NRC的规模,以及外部大股东和高管的持股,都会影响高管薪酬的数量和结构。此外,我们还发现投资机会的存在以及规模和盈利能力都会影响薪酬政策。我们的研究结果可能对政策制定者关于董事会和nrc的组成有启示,因为我们没有发现独立董事的存在会限制高管薪酬或增加薪酬绩效敏感性。
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引用次数: 15
Linear and nonlinear interest rate sensitivity of Spanish banks 西班牙银行的线性和非线性利率敏感性
Pub Date : 2011-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.srfe.2011.09.002
Laura Ballester, Román Ferrer, Cristóbal González

Interest rate risk is one of the major financial risks faced by banks due to the very nature of the banking business. The most common approach in the literature has been to estimate the impact of interest rate risk on banks using a simple linear regression model. However, the relationship between interest rate changes and bank stock returns does not need to be exclusively linear. This article provides a comprehensive analysis of the interest rate exposure of the Spanish banking industry employing both parametric and non-parametric estimation methods. Its main contribution is to use, for the first time in the context of banks’ interest rate risk, a nonparametric regression technique that avoids the assumption of a specific functional form.

On the one hand, it is found that the Spanish banking sector exhibits a remarkable degree of interest rate exposure, although the impact of interest rate changes on bank, stock returns have significantly declined following the introduction of the euro. Further, a pattern of positive exposure emerges during the post-euro period. On the other hand, the results corresponding to the nonparametric model support the expansion of the conventional linear model in an attempt to gain a greater insight into the actual degree of exposure.

由于银行业务的性质,利率风险是银行面临的主要金融风险之一。文献中最常见的方法是使用简单的线性回归模型来估计利率风险对银行的影响。然而,利率变化与银行股收益之间的关系并不一定是完全线性的。本文采用参数和非参数估计方法对西班牙银行业的利率风险敞口进行了全面分析。它的主要贡献是首次在银行利率风险的背景下使用了一种非参数回归技术,该技术避免了对特定函数形式的假设。一方面,我们发现西班牙银行业表现出显著程度的利率敞口,尽管利率变化对银行、股票收益的影响在引入欧元后显著下降。此外,后欧元时期出现了一种积极敞口模式。另一方面,非参数模型对应的结果支持传统线性模型的扩展,试图更深入地了解实际暴露程度。
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引用次数: 43
Do ethical and conventional mutual fund managers show different risk-taking behavior? 道德和传统的共同基金经理表现出不同的冒险行为吗?
Pub Date : 2011-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.srfe.2010.03.001
Isabel Marco, Fernando Muñoz, María Vargas

This paper analyses the risk-taking behavior of a fund manager in response to prior performance by conducting a comparative analysis between ethical and conventional investment portfolios. We examine the influence on managerial risk taking of the compensation and employment incentives. Our analysis looks at the British and Italian markets. We find differences in behavior between the two groups, with ethical investment portfolios managers enjoying greater freedom for shifting the risk taken. We can also see a greater influence of employment incentives in risk decision taking with respect to the managers of conventional investment portfolios. The results we have obtained are very similar for both the British and Italian markets.

本文通过对道德投资组合和传统投资组合的比较分析,分析了基金经理对先前业绩的风险承担行为。我们考察了薪酬和就业激励对管理风险承担的影响。我们的分析着眼于英国和意大利市场。我们发现这两组人的行为存在差异,有道德的投资组合经理在转移所承担的风险方面享有更大的自由。我们还可以看到,对于传统投资组合的管理者来说,就业激励对风险决策的影响更大。我们在英国和意大利市场得到的结果非常相似。
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引用次数: 6
Debt refinancing and credit risk 债务再融资和信用风险
Pub Date : 2011-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.srfe.2010.10.001
Santiago Forte , Juan Ignacio Peña

Many firms choose to refinance their debt. We investigate the long run effects of this extended practice on credit ratings and credit spreads. We find that debt refinancing generates systematic rating downgrades unless a minimum firm value growth is observed. Deviations from this growth path imply asymmetric results. A lower firm value growth generates downgrades and a higher firm value growth generates upgrades, as expected. However, downgrades tend to be higher in absolute terms. We also find that the inverse relation between credit spreads and risk free rate that structural models usually predict still holds in this setting, but only in the short run. This negative relation will turn to be null in the medium run and positive in the long run.

许多公司选择对债务进行再融资。我们研究了这种扩展做法对信用评级和信用利差的长期影响。我们发现,除非企业价值增长达到最低,否则债务再融资会导致系统性评级下调。偏离这一增长路径意味着不对称的结果。正如预期的那样,较低的企业价值增长导致降级,较高的企业价值增长导致升级。然而,从绝对值来看,评级下调的幅度往往更高。我们还发现,结构模型通常预测的信贷息差和无风险利率之间的反比关系在这种情况下仍然成立,但只是在短期内。这种负相关关系在中期将变为零,而在长期将变为正相关。
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引用次数: 6
Variance swaps and intertemporal asset pricing 方差互换和跨期资产定价
Pub Date : 2011-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.srfe.2011.01.001
Belén Nieto , Alfonso Novales , Gonzalo Rubio

This paper proposes an ICAPM in which the risk premium embedded in variance swaps is the factor mimicking portfolio for hedging exposure to changes in future investment conditions. Recent empirical evidence shows that the fears by investors to deviations from Normality in the distribution of returns are able to explain time-varying financial and macroeconomic risks in addition to being a determinant of the variance risk premium. Moreover, variance swaps hedges unfavorable changes in the stochastic investment opportunity set, and is not a redundant asset because significantly expands the efficient mean-variance frontier. Thence, we should expect the variance swap risk premium to be priced in the market. We report relatively favorable evidence on the incremental pricing information associated with the variance risk premium, particularly at shorter horizons.

本文提出了一种ICAPM,其中嵌入在方差互换中的风险溢价是模仿投资组合的因素,用于对冲未来投资条件变化的风险敞口。最近的经验证据表明,投资者对收益分布偏离正态的恐惧除了是方差风险溢价的决定因素外,还能够解释时变的金融和宏观经济风险。此外,方差互换对冲了随机投资机会集的不利变化,并且由于显着扩展了有效均值-方差边界,因此不是冗余资产。因此,我们可以预期,方差掉期风险溢价将被市场定价。我们报告了与方差风险溢价相关的增量定价信息的相对有利的证据,特别是在较短的期限内。
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引用次数: 0
Internationally affine term structure models 国际仿射期限结构模型
Pub Date : 2011-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.srfe.2010.05.001
Antonio Diez de los Rios

Abstract

This note provides the conditions needed to obtain a multi-country term structure model where both bond yields for each country and the expected rate of depreciation (over any arbitrary period of time) are known affine functions of the set of state variables. In addition, two main families of dynamic term structure models are shown to satisfy these conditions.

摘要本文提供了获得多国期限结构模型所需的条件,其中每个国家的债券收益率和预期折旧率(在任意时间段内)都是状态变量集的已知仿射函数。此外,本文还介绍了满足这些条件的两大类动态期限结构模型。
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引用次数: 4
期刊
The Spanish Review of Financial Economics
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