首页 > 最新文献

Climate of The Past最新文献

英文 中文
Simulation of a former ice field with Parallel Ice Sheet Model – Snežnik study case 利用平行冰原模型模拟前冰原--斯涅日尼克研究案例
IF 4.3 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.5194/cp-20-1471-2024
Matjaž Depolli, Manja Žebre, Uroš Stepišnik, Gregor Kosec
Abstract. In this paper, we present a reconstruction of climate conditions during the Last Glacial Maximum on a karst plateau Snežnik, which lies in Dinaric Mountains (southern Slovenia) and bears evidence of glaciation. The reconstruction merges geomorphological ice limits, classified as either clear or unclear, and a computer modelling approach based on the Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM). Based on extensive numerical experiments where we studied the agreements between simulated and geomorphological ice extent, we propose using a combination of a high-resolution precipitation model that accounts for orographic precipitation combined with a simple elevation-based temperature model. The geomorphological ice extent can be simulated with climate to be around 6 °C colder than the modern day and with a lower-than-modern-day amount of precipitation, which matches other state-of-the art climate reconstructions for the era. The results indicate that an orographic precipitation model is essential for the accurate simulation of the study area, with moist southern winds from the nearby Adriatic Sea having a predominant effect on the precipitation patterns. Finally, this study shows that transforming climate conditions towards wetter and warmer or drier and colder does not significantly change the conditions for glacier formation.
摘要本文介绍了末次冰川极盛时期斯内兹尼克岩溶高原气候条件的重建,该高原位于迪纳拉山脉(斯洛文尼亚南部),有冰川作用的证据。重建工作融合了地貌冰界限(分为清晰和不清晰两种)和基于平行冰盖模型(PISM)的计算机建模方法。在广泛的数值实验中,我们研究了模拟冰层范围与地貌冰层范围之间的一致性,在此基础上,我们建议将考虑到地貌降水的高分辨率降水模型与基于海拔的简单温度模型结合起来使用。在模拟地貌冰范围时,气候比现代低约 6 ℃,降水量也比现代低,这与当时其他最先进的气候重建结果相吻合。研究结果表明,要准确模拟研究地区的降水情况,必须使用风向降水模型,来自附近亚得里亚海的潮湿南风对降水模式有主要影响。最后,这项研究表明,气候条件向更湿更暖或更干更冷的方向转变并不会显著改变冰川形成的条件。
{"title":"Simulation of a former ice field with Parallel Ice Sheet Model – Snežnik study case","authors":"Matjaž Depolli, Manja Žebre, Uroš Stepišnik, Gregor Kosec","doi":"10.5194/cp-20-1471-2024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-1471-2024","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. In this paper, we present a reconstruction of climate conditions during the Last Glacial Maximum on a karst plateau Snežnik, which lies in Dinaric Mountains (southern Slovenia) and bears evidence of glaciation. The reconstruction merges geomorphological ice limits, classified as either clear or unclear, and a computer modelling approach based on the Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM). Based on extensive numerical experiments where we studied the agreements between simulated and geomorphological ice extent, we propose using a combination of a high-resolution precipitation model that accounts for orographic precipitation combined with a simple elevation-based temperature model. The geomorphological ice extent can be simulated with climate to be around 6 °C colder than the modern day and with a lower-than-modern-day amount of precipitation, which matches other state-of-the art climate reconstructions for the era. The results indicate that an orographic precipitation model is essential for the accurate simulation of the study area, with moist southern winds from the nearby Adriatic Sea having a predominant effect on the precipitation patterns. Finally, this study shows that transforming climate conditions towards wetter and warmer or drier and colder does not significantly change the conditions for glacier formation.","PeriodicalId":10332,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past","volume":"24 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2024-07-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141568385","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evaluating marine dust records as templates for optical dating of Oldest Ice 将海洋尘埃记录作为最古老冰川光学年代测定的模板进行评估
IF 4.3 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.5194/cp-20-1437-2024
Jessica Ng, Jeffrey Severinghaus, Ryan Bay, Delia Tosi
Abstract. The continuous ice core record extends 800 000 years into the past, covering the period of 100 000-year glacial cycles but not the transition from 40 000-year glacial cycles (the mid-Pleistocene transition, 1.2–0.7 million years ago). A primary goal of the International Partnerships in Ice Core Sciences is therefore to retrieve a 1.5-million-year-old continuous ice core, increasing our understanding of this major change in the climate system and thus of fundamental climate forcings and feedbacks. However, complex glacial processes, limited bedrock data, and young basal ice in previous cores necessitate careful reconnaissance studies before extracting a full core. Ice borehole optical logging reflects the ice dust content and may be used to date ice quickly and inexpensively if a reference record is known. Here we explore the relationship between ice dust records and well-dated marine dust records from sediment cores in the southern Atlantic and Pacific oceans, which lie along paths of dust sources to Antarctica. We evaluate how representative these records are of Antarctic dust both through the existing ice core record and during the older target age range, suggesting that a newly published 1.5-million-year record from Site U1537 near South America is likely the most robust predictor of the Oldest Ice dust signal. We then assess procedures for rapid dating of potential Oldest Ice sites, noting that the ability to detect dating errors is an essential feature. We emphasize that ongoing efforts to identify, recover, date, and interpret an Oldest Ice core should use care to avoid unfounded assumptions about the 40 kyr world based on the 100 kyr world.
摘要连续冰芯记录延伸至过去 80 万年,涵盖了 10 万年冰川周期,但没有涵盖 4 万年冰川周期的过渡时期(更新世中期过渡时期,120 万-070 万年前)。因此,冰芯科学国际合作项目的一个主要目标是取回 150 万年前的连续冰芯,从而加深我们对气候系统这一重大变化的了解,进而加深对基本气候作用力和反馈作用的了解。然而,复杂的冰川过程、有限的基岩数据以及以往冰芯中年轻的基底冰,都要求在提取完整冰芯之前进行仔细的勘察研究。冰钻孔光学测井反映了冰尘含量,如果已知参考记录,可用于快速、低成本地确定冰的日期。在这里,我们探讨了冰尘记录与大西洋南部和太平洋沉积岩芯中年代久远的海洋尘埃记录之间的关系,这些沉积岩芯位于尘埃源到达南极洲的路径上。我们评估了这些记录在现有冰芯记录和更早的目标年龄范围内对南极尘埃的代表性,结果表明,南美洲附近 U1537 站点最新公布的 150 万年记录可能是最古老冰尘信号的最可靠预测。然后,我们评估了对潜在的最古老冰期遗址进行快速测年的程序,指出检测测年误差的能力是一个基本特征。我们强调,目前正在进行的最古老冰岩芯的识别、恢复、年代测定和解释工作应小心谨慎,避免根据 100 千年的世界对 40 千年的世界做出毫无根据的假设。
{"title":"Evaluating marine dust records as templates for optical dating of Oldest Ice","authors":"Jessica Ng, Jeffrey Severinghaus, Ryan Bay, Delia Tosi","doi":"10.5194/cp-20-1437-2024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-1437-2024","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. The continuous ice core record extends 800 000 years into the past, covering the period of 100 000-year glacial cycles but not the transition from 40 000-year glacial cycles (the mid-Pleistocene transition, 1.2–0.7 million years ago). A primary goal of the International Partnerships in Ice Core Sciences is therefore to retrieve a 1.5-million-year-old continuous ice core, increasing our understanding of this major change in the climate system and thus of fundamental climate forcings and feedbacks. However, complex glacial processes, limited bedrock data, and young basal ice in previous cores necessitate careful reconnaissance studies before extracting a full core. Ice borehole optical logging reflects the ice dust content and may be used to date ice quickly and inexpensively if a reference record is known. Here we explore the relationship between ice dust records and well-dated marine dust records from sediment cores in the southern Atlantic and Pacific oceans, which lie along paths of dust sources to Antarctica. We evaluate how representative these records are of Antarctic dust both through the existing ice core record and during the older target age range, suggesting that a newly published 1.5-million-year record from Site U1537 near South America is likely the most robust predictor of the Oldest Ice dust signal. We then assess procedures for rapid dating of potential Oldest Ice sites, noting that the ability to detect dating errors is an essential feature. We emphasize that ongoing efforts to identify, recover, date, and interpret an Oldest Ice core should use care to avoid unfounded assumptions about the 40 kyr world based on the 100 kyr world.","PeriodicalId":10332,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past","volume":"25 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2024-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141568384","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Air temperature changes in SW Greenland in the second half of the 18th century 18 世纪下半叶格陵兰西南部的气温变化
IF 4.3 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.5194/cp-20-1451-2024
Rajmund Przybylak, Garima Singh, Przemysław Wyszyński, Andrzej Araźny, Konrad Chmist
Abstract. The thermal conditions of south-western Greenland in the second half of the 18th century were estimated using two unique series of meteorological observations. The first series (Neu-Herrnhut, 1 September 1767 to 22 July 1768, hereinafter 1767–1768) is the oldest long-term series of instrumental measurements of air temperature available for Greenland. The second (Godthaab, September 1784 to June 1792) contains the most significant and reliable data for Greenland for the study period. The quality-controlled and corrected data were used to calculate daily, monthly, seasonal and yearly means. The daily means were further used to calculate day-to-day temperature variability (DDTV), thermal seasons, growing degree days (GDDs), the air thawing index (ATI), positive degree days (PDDs) and air freezing index (AFI) degree days. Air temperature in Godthaab (now Nuuk) was, on average, warmer than the present day (1991–2020) in 1767–1768 and colder in 1784–1792. Compared to the early 20th-century Arctic warming (ETCAW) period, the data for the two sub-periods show that the late 18th century was as warm or even warmer. Except winter 1767/1768, winters and springs in the study period were longer, while summers and autumns were shorter than at present. The analysed climate indices usually did not exceed the maximum and minimum values from 1991–2020. Mean daily air temperature in the studied historical periods rarely exceed ±2 SD (standard deviation) of the long-term mean calculated for the contemporary period. Air temperature distribution was usually close to normal, in both historical and contemporary periods.
摘要利用两个独特的气象观测系列估算了 18 世纪下半叶格陵兰西南部的热状况。第一个系列(Neu-Herrnhut,1767 年 9 月 1 日至 1768 年 7 月 22 日,以下简称 1767-1768)是格陵兰最早的长期气温仪器测量系列。第二个系列(Godthaab,1784 年 9 月至 1792 年 6 月)包含研究期间格陵兰最重要、最可靠的数据。经过质量控制和校正的数据用于计算日、月、季和年平均值。日平均值还用于计算气温日变率 (DDTV)、热季、生长度日 (GDDs)、空气解冻指数 (ATI)、正度日 (PDDs) 和空气冻结指数 (AFI) 度日。戈德塔布(现努克)的平均气温在 1767-1768 年比现在(1991-2020 年)高,在 1784-1792 年比现在低。与 20 世纪早期北极变暖时期(ETCAW)相比,这两个子时期的数据显示,18 世纪晚期同样温暖,甚至更加温暖。除 1767/1768 年冬季外,研究期间的冬季和春季都比现在长,而夏季和秋季则比现在短。1991-2020 年间,分析的气候指数通常不会超过最大值和最小值。研究历史时期的日平均气温很少超过为当代计算的长期平均值的±2 SD(标准差)。无论是历史时期还是当代,气温分布通常接近正常。
{"title":"Air temperature changes in SW Greenland in the second half of the 18th century","authors":"Rajmund Przybylak, Garima Singh, Przemysław Wyszyński, Andrzej Araźny, Konrad Chmist","doi":"10.5194/cp-20-1451-2024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-1451-2024","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. The thermal conditions of south-western Greenland in the second half of the 18th century were estimated using two unique series of meteorological observations. The first series (Neu-Herrnhut, 1 September 1767 to 22 July 1768, hereinafter 1767–1768) is the oldest long-term series of instrumental measurements of air temperature available for Greenland. The second (Godthaab, September 1784 to June 1792) contains the most significant and reliable data for Greenland for the study period. The quality-controlled and corrected data were used to calculate daily, monthly, seasonal and yearly means. The daily means were further used to calculate day-to-day temperature variability (DDTV), thermal seasons, growing degree days (GDDs), the air thawing index (ATI), positive degree days (PDDs) and air freezing index (AFI) degree days. Air temperature in Godthaab (now Nuuk) was, on average, warmer than the present day (1991–2020) in 1767–1768 and colder in 1784–1792. Compared to the early 20th-century Arctic warming (ETCAW) period, the data for the two sub-periods show that the late 18th century was as warm or even warmer. Except winter 1767/1768, winters and springs in the study period were longer, while summers and autumns were shorter than at present. The analysed climate indices usually did not exceed the maximum and minimum values from 1991–2020. Mean daily air temperature in the studied historical periods rarely exceed ±2 SD (standard deviation) of the long-term mean calculated for the contemporary period. Air temperature distribution was usually close to normal, in both historical and contemporary periods.","PeriodicalId":10332,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past","volume":"41 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2024-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141568387","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Rapid communication: Distribute paleoscience information across the next IPCC reports 快速交流:在政府间气候变化专门委员会的下几份报告中传播古科学信息
IF 4.3 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-1845
Darrell Kaufman, Valérie Masson-Delmotte
Abstract. Rather than reverting to a dedicated paleoclimate chapter, knowledge about pre-industrial climate should be further integrated with other lines of evidence throughout the 7th assessment reports by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
摘要。政府间气候变化专门委员会在其第七次评估报告中,应进一步将有关工业化前气候的知识与其他证据结合起来,而不是恢复专门的古气候章节。
{"title":"Rapid communication: Distribute paleoscience information across the next IPCC reports","authors":"Darrell Kaufman, Valérie Masson-Delmotte","doi":"10.5194/egusphere-2024-1845","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1845","url":null,"abstract":"<strong>Abstract.</strong> Rather than reverting to a dedicated paleoclimate chapter, knowledge about pre-industrial climate should be further integrated with other lines of evidence throughout the 7th assessment reports by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.","PeriodicalId":10332,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past","volume":"16 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2024-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141549656","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Precise dating of deglacial Laptev Sea sediments via 14C and authigenic 10Be/9Be – assessing local 14C reservoir ages 通过 14C 和自生 10Be/9Be 对拉普捷夫海退冰期沉积物进行精确定年--评估当地 14C 储层年龄
IF 4.3 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-1992
Arnaud Nicolas, Gesine Mollenhauer, Johannes Lachner, Konstanze Stübner, Maylin Malter, Jutta Wollenburg, Hendrik Grotheer, Florian Adolphi
Abstract. Establishing accurate chronological frameworks is imperative for reliably identifying lead-lag dynamics within the climate system and enabling meaningful inter-comparisons across diverse paleoclimate proxy records over long time periods. Robust age models provide a solid temporal foundation for establishing correlations between paleoclimate records. One of the primary challenges in constructing reliable radiocarbon-based chronologies in the marine environment is to determine the regional marine radiocarbon reservoir age correction. Calculations of the local marine reservoir effect (ΔR) can be acquired using 14C-independent dating methods, such as synchronization with other well-dated archives. The cosmogenic radionuclide 10Be offers such a synchronization tool. Its atmospheric production rate is controlled by the global changes in the cosmic ray influx, caused by variations in solar activity and geomagnetic field strength. The resulting fluctuations in the meteoric deposition of 10Be are preserved in sediments and ice cores and can thus be utilized for their synchronization. In this study, for the first time, we use the authigenic 10Be/9Be record of a Laptev Sea sediment core for the period 8–14 kyr BP and synchronize it with the 10Be records from absolutely dated ice cores. Based on the resulting absolute chronology, a benthic ΔR value of +345 ± 60 14C years was estimated for the Laptev Sea, which corresponds to a marine reservoir age of 848 ± 90 14C years. The ΔR value was used to refine the age-depth model for core PS2458-4, establishing it as a potential reference chronology for the Laptev Sea. We also compare the calculated ΔR value with modern estimates from the literature and discuss its implications for the age-depth model.
摘要建立准确的年代学框架对于可靠地识别气候系统中的先导-滞后动态以及对长时段内不同的古气候代用记录进行有意义的相互比较至关重要。可靠的年龄模型为建立古气候记录之间的相关性提供了坚实的时间基础。在海洋环境中构建可靠的基于放射性碳的年代学的主要挑战之一是确定区域海洋放射性碳储层年龄校正。当地海洋储层效应(ΔR)的计算可采用与 14C 无关的年代测定方法,如与其他年代久远的档案同步。宇宙放射性核素 10Be 就是这样一种同步工具。它在大气中的产生率受太阳活动和地磁场强度变化引起的全球宇宙射线流入量变化的控制。由此产生的 10Be 陨落波动保存在沉积物和冰芯中,因此可用于同步。在这项研究中,我们首次使用了拉普捷夫海沉积岩芯在公元前 8-14 千年期间的自生 10Be/9Be 记录,并将其与绝对年代冰芯的 10Be 记录同步。根据得出的绝对年代学,估计拉普捷夫海的底栖生物ΔR值为+345 ± 60 14C年,与海洋储层年龄848 ± 90 14C年相对应。ΔR值用于完善PS2458-4岩芯的年龄-深度模型,将其确立为拉普捷夫海的潜在参考年代学。我们还将计算出的ΔR值与文献中的现代估计值进行了比较,并讨论了其对年龄深度模型的影响。
{"title":"Precise dating of deglacial Laptev Sea sediments via 14C and authigenic 10Be/9Be – assessing local 14C reservoir ages","authors":"Arnaud Nicolas, Gesine Mollenhauer, Johannes Lachner, Konstanze Stübner, Maylin Malter, Jutta Wollenburg, Hendrik Grotheer, Florian Adolphi","doi":"10.5194/egusphere-2024-1992","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1992","url":null,"abstract":"<strong>Abstract.</strong> Establishing accurate chronological frameworks is imperative for reliably identifying lead-lag dynamics within the climate system and enabling meaningful inter-comparisons across diverse paleoclimate proxy records over long time periods. Robust age models provide a solid temporal foundation for establishing correlations between paleoclimate records. One of the primary challenges in constructing reliable radiocarbon-based chronologies in the marine environment is to determine the regional marine radiocarbon reservoir age correction. Calculations of the local marine reservoir effect (ΔR) can be acquired using <sup>14</sup>C-independent dating methods, such as synchronization with other well-dated archives. The cosmogenic radionuclide <sup>10</sup>Be offers such a synchronization tool. Its atmospheric production rate is controlled by the global changes in the cosmic ray influx, caused by variations in solar activity and geomagnetic field strength. The resulting fluctuations in the meteoric deposition of <sup>10</sup>Be are preserved in sediments and ice cores and can thus be utilized for their synchronization. In this study, for the first time, we use the authigenic <sup>10</sup>Be/<sup>9</sup>Be record of a Laptev Sea sediment core for the period 8–14 kyr BP and synchronize it with the <sup>10</sup>Be records from absolutely dated ice cores. Based on the resulting absolute chronology, a benthic ΔR value of +345 ± 60 <sup>14</sup>C years was estimated for the Laptev Sea, which corresponds to a marine reservoir age of 848 ± 90 <sup>14</sup>C years. The ΔR value was used to refine the age-depth model for core PS2458-4, establishing it as a potential reference chronology for the Laptev Sea. We also compare the calculated ΔR value with modern estimates from the literature and discuss its implications for the age-depth model.","PeriodicalId":10332,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past","volume":"9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2024-07-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141552823","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Strong volcanic-induced climatic shocks on historical Moselle wine production 火山引发的强烈气候冲击对摩泽尔历史上葡萄酒生产的影响
IF 4.3 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.5194/cp-2024-41
Fredrik Charpentier Ljungqvist, Bo Christiansen, Lea Schneider, Peter Thejll
Abstract. In central and southern Europe, grapevine is a climate-sensitive agricultural product of large economic importance, both in historical times and today. We systematically investigated the climatic impact, focusing on volcanic-forced abrupt cooling, on two long annual records of wine production quantity (spanning 1444–1786) from the Moselle Valley in present-day Luxembourg, close to the northern limit of viticulture in Europe. We present a consistent picture of the impact of volcanic eruptions on wine production through climate. To this end, we applied superposed epoch analysis – an appropriate method for detecting episodic signals in non-stationary time-series – in combination with a bootstrap procedure to estimate the statistical significance. We also assessed the long-term relationship between different annual and seasonal climate parameters and wine production in the Moselle Valley. Robust and highly significant wine production declines occurred in the years immediately following major volcanic events. Warmer, and to a lesser extent drier, climate condition had a moderately strong, but persistent, positive effect on wine production. We also find a volcanic cooling signature in spring and summer in temperature reconstructions. However, the detected volcanic signature in the Moselle Valley wine production is considerably stronger than the one found for Central Europe in tree-ring data and is instead more akin to the strong volcanic signature present in Fennoscandian tree-ring series. On the basis of our findings, we encourage further compilation, publication, and analyses of additional wine production series containing unique biological and climatic information.
摘要在中欧和南欧,葡萄是一种对气候敏感的农产品,在历史上和今天都具有重要的经济意义。我们系统地研究了气候的影响,重点是火山爆发导致的突然降温,以及两份来自当今卢森堡摩泽尔山谷的葡萄酒产量长年记录(时间跨度为 1444-1786 年),该山谷靠近欧洲葡萄栽培的北部极限。我们展示了火山爆发通过气候对葡萄酒产量影响的一致画面。为此,我们采用了叠加历时分析法--这是一种在非平稳时间序列中检测偶发信号的适当方法--并结合引导程序来估计统计意义。我们还评估了摩泽尔河谷不同年度和季节气候参数与葡萄酒产量之间的长期关系。在重大火山事件发生后的几年里,葡萄酒产量出现了非常明显的下降。较暖的气候条件以及较小程度上较干的气候条件对葡萄酒产量有中等程度但持续的积极影响。我们还在温度重建中发现了春季和夏季的火山降温特征。然而,在摩泽尔河谷葡萄酒生产中发现的火山特征要比树龄数据中发现的中欧火山特征强得多,而更类似于芬诺斯坎迪亚树龄序列中的强火山特征。根据我们的研究结果,我们鼓励进一步编纂、出版和分析更多包含独特生物和气候信息的葡萄酒生产系列。
{"title":"Strong volcanic-induced climatic shocks on historical Moselle wine production","authors":"Fredrik Charpentier Ljungqvist, Bo Christiansen, Lea Schneider, Peter Thejll","doi":"10.5194/cp-2024-41","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2024-41","url":null,"abstract":"<strong>Abstract.</strong> In central and southern Europe, grapevine is a climate-sensitive agricultural product of large economic importance, both in historical times and today. We systematically investigated the climatic impact, focusing on volcanic-forced abrupt cooling, on two long annual records of wine production quantity (spanning 1444–1786) from the Moselle Valley in present-day Luxembourg, close to the northern limit of viticulture in Europe. We present a consistent picture of the impact of volcanic eruptions on wine production through climate. To this end, we applied superposed epoch analysis – an appropriate method for detecting episodic signals in non-stationary time-series – in combination with a bootstrap procedure to estimate the statistical significance. We also assessed the long-term relationship between different annual and seasonal climate parameters and wine production in the Moselle Valley. Robust and highly significant wine production declines occurred in the years immediately following major volcanic events. Warmer, and to a lesser extent drier, climate condition had a moderately strong, but persistent, positive effect on wine production. We also find a volcanic cooling signature in spring and summer in temperature reconstructions. However, the detected volcanic signature in the Moselle Valley wine production is considerably stronger than the one found for Central Europe in tree-ring data and is instead more akin to the strong volcanic signature present in Fennoscandian tree-ring series. On the basis of our findings, we encourage further compilation, publication, and analyses of additional wine production series containing unique biological and climatic information.","PeriodicalId":10332,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past","volume":"12 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2024-07-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141549657","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Stretched polar vortex increases mid-latitude climate variability during the Last Glacial Maximum 拉伸的极地涡旋增加了末次冰川极盛时期中纬度的气候多变性
IF 4.3 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.5194/cp-2024-46
Yurui Zhang, Hans Renssen, Heikki Seppä, Zhen Li, Xingrui Li
Abstract. The Arctic stratospheric polar vortex (PV) is a key driver of winter weather, and has been found playing role in winter climate variability and its predictability in Eurasia and North America on inter-annual and decadal time scales. However, to what extent this relationship also plays a role in driving climate variability on glacial-interglacial time scales is still unknown. Here, by systematically analysing PV changes in four sets of PMIP4 simulations for the last glacial maximum (LGM) and the pre-industrial (PI), we explore how the PV changed during the glacial climate and how it influenced climate variability. Our results show that under LGM conditions, the PV stretched toward the Laurentide ice sheet, which resulted in a less stable ellipse shape that increased the possibility of cold air outbreaks into mid-latitudes. During the LGM, this stretched PV pushed cold Arctic air further equatorward, increasing winter climate variability over the more (southward) southern mid-latitudes. In particular, this strengthened winter cooling over the mid-latitudes beyond the coverage of the Laurentide ice sheet (unlike summer). PV-induced temperature variability also explains the inter-model spread, as removing the PV variation from the model results reduces the inter-model spread by up to 5 °C over mid-latitude Eurasia. These results highlight the critical role of PV in connecting the polar region and mid-latitudes on glacial-interglacial time scales. These connections are reminiscent of intra-seasonal stratosphere–troposphere coupling.
摘要北极平流层极地涡旋(PV)是冬季天气的一个关键驱动因素,已被发现在欧亚大陆和北美洲的冬季气候变率及其在年际和十年时间尺度上的可预测性中发挥作用。然而,这种关系在多大程度上也对冰川-间冰期时间尺度上的气候变异起着驱动作用,目前仍是未知数。在这里,我们通过系统分析四组 PMIP4 模拟中最后一个冰川最大值(LGM)和工业化前(PI)的 PV 变化,探讨了冰川气候期间 PV 的变化及其对气候变率的影响。我们的研究结果表明,在 LGM 条件下,PV 向劳伦泰德峰冰盖方向延伸,从而形成了不太稳定的椭圆形,增加了冷空气向中纬度地区爆发的可能性。在全新世期间,这种拉伸的 PV 将北极冷空气进一步推向赤道,增加了中纬度南部(向南)的冬季气候多变性。特别是,这加强了劳伦泰德峰冰盖覆盖范围以外中纬度地区的冬季降温(与夏季不同)。太阳光照引起的温度变化也解释了模式间的差异,因为从模式结果中剔除太阳光照变化,欧亚大陆中纬度地区的模式间差异最多可减少 5 ℃。这些结果突出表明,在冰川-间冰期的时间尺度上,太阳光照在连接极地地区和中纬度地区方面起着至关重要的作用。这些联系让人联想到季节内平流层-对流层耦合。
{"title":"Stretched polar vortex increases mid-latitude climate variability during the Last Glacial Maximum","authors":"Yurui Zhang, Hans Renssen, Heikki Seppä, Zhen Li, Xingrui Li","doi":"10.5194/cp-2024-46","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2024-46","url":null,"abstract":"<strong>Abstract.</strong> The Arctic stratospheric polar vortex (PV) is a key driver of winter weather, and has been found playing role in winter climate variability and its predictability in Eurasia and North America on inter-annual and decadal time scales. However, to what extent this relationship also plays a role in driving climate variability on glacial-interglacial time scales is still unknown. Here, by systematically analysing PV changes in four sets of PMIP4 simulations for the last glacial maximum (LGM) and the pre-industrial (PI), we explore how the PV changed during the glacial climate and how it influenced climate variability. Our results show that under LGM conditions, the PV stretched toward the Laurentide ice sheet, which resulted in a less stable ellipse shape that increased the possibility of cold air outbreaks into mid-latitudes. During the LGM, this stretched PV pushed cold Arctic air further equatorward, increasing winter climate variability over the more (southward) southern mid-latitudes. In particular, this strengthened winter cooling over the mid-latitudes beyond the coverage of the Laurentide ice sheet (unlike summer). PV-induced temperature variability also explains the inter-model spread, as removing the PV variation from the model results reduces the inter-model spread by up to 5 °C over mid-latitude Eurasia. These results highlight the critical role of PV in connecting the polar region and mid-latitudes on glacial-interglacial time scales. These connections are reminiscent of intra-seasonal stratosphere–troposphere coupling.","PeriodicalId":10332,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past","volume":"52 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2024-07-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141549658","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Glacial-interglacial contrasts in the marine inorganic carbon chemistry of the Benguela Upwelling System 本格拉上升流系统海洋无机碳化学性质的冰川-冰期对比
IF 4.3 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-1915
Szabina Karancz, Lennart J. de Nooijer, Bas van der Wagt, Marcel T. J. van der Meer, Sambuddha Misra, Rick Hennekam, Zeynep Erdem, Julie Lattaud, Negar Haghipour, Stefan Schouten, Gert-Jan Reichart
Abstract. Upwelling regions are dynamic systems where relatively cold, nutrient- and CO2-rich waters reach to the surface from the deep. CO2 sink or source properties of these regions are dependent not only on the dissolved inorganic carbon content of the upwelled waters, but also on the efficiency of the biological carbon pump that provides constraint on the drawdown of pCO2 in the surface waters. The Benguela Upwelling System (BUS) is a major upwelling region with one of the most productive marine ecosystems today. However, contrasting signals reported on the variation in upwelling intensities based on, for instance, foraminiferal and radiolarian indices from this region over the last glacial cycle indicate that a complete understanding of (local) changes is currently lacking. To reconstruct changes in the CO2 history of the Northern Benguela upwelling region over the last 27 ka BP, we used a box core (64PE450-BC6) and piston core (64PE450-PC8) from the Walvis Ridge. Here, we apply various temperature and pCO2-proxies, representing both surface (U37, δ13C of alkenones) and intermediate depth (Mg/Ca, B/Ca, S/Mg, δ11B in planktonic foraminiferal shells) processes. Reconstructed pCO2 records suggest enhanced storage of carbon at depth during the last glacial maximum. The offset between δ13C of planktonic (high δ13C) and benthic foraminifera (low δ13C) suggests an evidence of a more efficient biological carbon pump, potentially fuelled by remote and local iron supply through aeolian transport and dissolution in the shelf regions, effectively preventing release of the stored glacial CO2.
摘要上升流区域是一个动态系统,在这里,相对较冷、富含营养物质和二氧化碳的海水从深海到达地表。这些区域的二氧化碳汇或源特性不仅取决于上升流水体中溶解的无机碳含量,还取决于生物碳泵的效率,而生物碳泵对表层水体中 pCO2 的缩减具有制约作用。本格拉上升流系统(BUS)是一个主要的上升流区域,拥有当今最富饶的海洋生态系统之一。然而,根据该地区上一个冰川周期的有孔虫和放射虫指数等报告,上升流强度的变化信号截然不同,这表明目前还缺乏对(局部)变化的全面了解。为了重建北本格拉上升流区域在公元前 27 ka 年的二氧化碳历史变化,我们使用了来自沃尔维斯海脊的箱形岩芯(64PE450-BC6)和活塞岩芯(64PE450-PC8)。在这里,我们应用了各种温度和 pCO2 代用指标,它们代表了地表(UKʹ 37、烯酮的 δ13C)和中间深度(Mg/Ca、B/Ca、S/Mg、浮游有孔虫贝壳中的δ11B)过程。重建的 pCO2 记录表明,在上一个冰川极盛时期,碳在深层的储存量有所增加。浮游有孔虫的δ13C(高δ13C)与底栖有孔虫的δ13C(低δ13C)之间的偏移表明,生物碳泵的效率更高,可能是通过陆架地区的风化搬运和溶解,由远程和本地的铁供应提供了燃料,从而有效地防止了冰川时期储存的二氧化碳的释放。
{"title":"Glacial-interglacial contrasts in the marine inorganic carbon chemistry of the Benguela Upwelling System","authors":"Szabina Karancz, Lennart J. de Nooijer, Bas van der Wagt, Marcel T. J. van der Meer, Sambuddha Misra, Rick Hennekam, Zeynep Erdem, Julie Lattaud, Negar Haghipour, Stefan Schouten, Gert-Jan Reichart","doi":"10.5194/egusphere-2024-1915","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1915","url":null,"abstract":"<strong>Abstract.</strong> Upwelling regions are dynamic systems where relatively cold, nutrient- and CO<sub>2</sub>-rich waters reach to the surface from the deep. CO<sub>2</sub> sink or source properties of these regions are dependent not only on the dissolved inorganic carbon content of the upwelled waters, but also on the efficiency of the biological carbon pump that provides constraint on the drawdown of <em>p</em>CO<sub>2 </sub>in the surface waters. The Benguela Upwelling System (BUS) is a major upwelling region with one of the most productive marine ecosystems today. However, contrasting signals reported on the variation in upwelling intensities based on, for instance, foraminiferal and radiolarian indices from this region over the last glacial cycle indicate that a complete understanding of (local) changes is currently lacking. To reconstruct changes in the CO<sub>2</sub> history of the Northern Benguela upwelling region over the last 27 ka BP, we used a box core (64PE450-BC6) and piston core (64PE450-PC8) from the Walvis Ridge. Here, we apply various temperature and <em>p</em>CO<sub>2</sub>-proxies, representing both surface (U<sup>Kʹ </sup><sub>37</sub>,<sub> </sub>δ<sup>13</sup>C of alkenones) and intermediate depth (Mg/Ca, B/Ca, S/Mg, δ<sup>11</sup>B in planktonic foraminiferal shells) processes. Reconstructed <em>p</em>CO<sub>2</sub> records suggest enhanced storage of carbon at depth during the last glacial maximum. The offset between δ<sup>13</sup>C of planktonic (high δ<sup>13</sup>C) and benthic foraminifera (low δ<sup>13</sup>C) suggests an evidence of a more efficient biological carbon pump, potentially fuelled by remote and local iron supply through aeolian transport and dissolution in the shelf regions, effectively preventing release of the stored glacial CO<sub>2</sub>.","PeriodicalId":10332,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past","volume":"56 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2024-07-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141552822","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Spatio-temporal dynamics of speleothem growth and glaciation in the British Isles 不列颠群岛岩浆生长和冰川作用的时空动态变化
IF 4.3 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.5194/cp-2024-48
Sina Panitz, Michael Rogerson, Jack Longman, Nick Scroxton, Tim J. Lawson, Tim C. Atkinson, Vasile Ersek, James Baldini, Lisa Baldini, Stuart Umbo, Mahjoor A. Lone, Gideon M. Henderson, Sebastian F. M. Breitenbach
Abstract. Reconstructing the spatio-temporal dynamics of glaciations and permafrost largely relies on surface deposits, and is therefore a challenge for every glacial older than the last due to erosion. Consequently, glaciations and permafrost remain poorly constrained worldwide before c. 30 ka. Since speleothems (carbonate cave deposits) form from drip water and generally indicate the absence of an ice sheet and permafrost, we evaluate how speleothem growth phases defined by U-series dates align with past glacial-interglacial cycles. Further, we make the first systematic comparison of the spatial distribution of speleothem dates with independent reconstructions of the history of the British-Irish Ice Sheet (BIIS) to test how well geomorphologic ice reconstructions are replicated in the cave record. The frequency distribution of 1,020 U-series dates based on three different dating methods between 300 and 5 ka shows statistically significant periods of speleothem growth during the last interglacial and several interstadials during the last glacial. A pronounced decline in speleothem growth coincides with the Last Glacial Maximum, before broad reactivation during deglaciation and into the Holocene. Spatio-temporal patterns in speleothem growth between 31 and 15 ka agree well with the surface-deposit-based reconstruction of the last BIIS. In data-rich regions, such as northern England, ice dynamics are well-replicated in the cave record, which provide additional evidence about the spatio-temporal distribution of permafrost dynamics. Beyond the Last Glacial Maximum, the distribution of speleothem dates across the British Isles offers the opportunity to improve chronological constraints on past ice sheet variability, with evidence for a highly dynamic Scottish ice sheet during the last glacial. The results provide independent evidence of ice distribution complementary to studies of surface geomorphology and geology, and the potential to extend reconstructions into permafrost and earlier glacial cycles. Whilst undersampling is currently the main limitation for speleothem-based ice and permafrost reconstruction even in relatively well-sampled parts of the British Isles, we show that speleothem dates obtained using modern mass spectrometry techniques reveal a higher spatio-temporal resolution of glacial-interglacial cycles and glacial extent than previously possible. Further study of leads and lags in speleothem growth compared to surface deposition may provide new insights into landscape-scale dynamics during ice sheet growth and retreat.
摘要重建冰川和永久冻土的时空动态主要依赖于地表沉积物,因此,由于侵蚀作用,每一个比上一个冰川更早的冰川都面临着挑战。因此,大约 30 ka 年之前的全球冰川和永久冻土仍然难以确定。由于岩浆(碳酸盐洞穴沉积物)是由滴水形成的,通常表明当时没有冰盖和永久冻土,因此我们评估了根据 U 系列日期确定的岩浆生长阶段与过去冰川-间冰期周期的一致性。此外,我们还首次系统地比较了岩浆化石日期的空间分布与英国-爱尔兰冰盖(BIIS)历史的独立重建,以检验冰盖地貌重建在洞穴记录中的复制情况。根据三种不同的测年方法,从 300 ka 到 5 ka 的 1020 个 U 系列日期的频率分布来看,上一个间冰期和上一个冰期的几个间冰期都出现了具有统计意义的岩浆生长期。在末次冰川极盛时期,岩浆体的增长出现了明显的下降,之后在脱冰期和全新世出现了广泛的恢复。31 ka 到 15 ka 之间岩浆生长的时空模式与基于地表沉积重建的上一个 BIIS 非常吻合。在数据丰富的地区,如英格兰北部,冰的动态在洞穴记录中得到了很好的复制,这为永冻土动态的时空分布提供了更多证据。在末次冰川极盛期之后,英伦三岛的岩浆化石日期分布为改进对过去冰盖变化的年代学限制提供了机会,有证据表明苏格兰冰盖在末次冰川期高度动态。研究结果提供了冰层分布的独立证据,补充了地表地貌和地质研究,并有可能将重建工作扩展到永久冻土和早期冰川周期。虽然目前取样不足是基于岩浆化石的冰和永久冻土重建的主要限制因素,即使在不列颠群岛取样相对较好的地区也是如此,但我们的研究表明,利用现代质谱技术获得的岩浆化石日期揭示了冰川-间冰期周期和冰川范围的更高时空分辨率,这在以前是不可能实现的。与地表沉积相比,对岩浆生长的领先和滞后的进一步研究可能会为冰盖生长和消退期间的地貌尺度动态提供新的见解。
{"title":"Spatio-temporal dynamics of speleothem growth and glaciation in the British Isles","authors":"Sina Panitz, Michael Rogerson, Jack Longman, Nick Scroxton, Tim J. Lawson, Tim C. Atkinson, Vasile Ersek, James Baldini, Lisa Baldini, Stuart Umbo, Mahjoor A. Lone, Gideon M. Henderson, Sebastian F. M. Breitenbach","doi":"10.5194/cp-2024-48","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2024-48","url":null,"abstract":"<strong>Abstract.</strong> Reconstructing the spatio-temporal dynamics of glaciations and permafrost largely relies on surface deposits, and is therefore a challenge for every glacial older than the last due to erosion. Consequently, glaciations and permafrost remain poorly constrained worldwide before c. 30 ka. Since speleothems (carbonate cave deposits) form from drip water and generally indicate the absence of an ice sheet and permafrost, we evaluate how speleothem growth phases defined by U-series dates align with past glacial-interglacial cycles. Further, we make the first systematic comparison of the spatial distribution of speleothem dates with independent reconstructions of the history of the British-Irish Ice Sheet (BIIS) to test how well geomorphologic ice reconstructions are replicated in the cave record. The frequency distribution of 1,020 U-series dates based on three different dating methods between 300 and 5 ka shows statistically significant periods of speleothem growth during the last interglacial and several interstadials during the last glacial. A pronounced decline in speleothem growth coincides with the Last Glacial Maximum, before broad reactivation during deglaciation and into the Holocene. Spatio-temporal patterns in speleothem growth between 31 and 15 ka agree well with the surface-deposit-based reconstruction of the last BIIS. In data-rich regions, such as northern England, ice dynamics are well-replicated in the cave record, which provide additional evidence about the spatio-temporal distribution of permafrost dynamics. Beyond the Last Glacial Maximum, the distribution of speleothem dates across the British Isles offers the opportunity to improve chronological constraints on past ice sheet variability, with evidence for a highly dynamic Scottish ice sheet during the last glacial. The results provide independent evidence of ice distribution complementary to studies of surface geomorphology and geology, and the potential to extend reconstructions into permafrost and earlier glacial cycles. Whilst undersampling is currently the main limitation for speleothem-based ice and permafrost reconstruction even in relatively well-sampled parts of the British Isles, we show that speleothem dates obtained using modern mass spectrometry techniques reveal a higher spatio-temporal resolution of glacial-interglacial cycles and glacial extent than previously possible. Further study of leads and lags in speleothem growth compared to surface deposition may provide new insights into landscape-scale dynamics during ice sheet growth and retreat.","PeriodicalId":10332,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past","volume":"24 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141508141","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Global biome changes over the last 21,000 years inferred from model-data comparisons 通过模型与数据比较推断过去 21,000 年全球生物群落的变化
IF 4.3 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-1862
Chenzhi Li, Anne Dallmeyer, Jian Ni, Manuel Chevalier, Matteo Willeit, Andrei A. Andreev, Xianyong Cao, Laura Schild, Birgit Heim, Ulrike Herzschuh
Abstract. We present a global megabiome reconstruction for 43 timeslices at 500-year intervals throughout the last 21,000 years based on an updated and thus currently most extensive global taxonomically and temporally standardized fossil pollen dataset of 3,691 records. The evaluation with modern potential natural vegetation distributions yields an agreement of ~80 %, suggesting a high degree of reliability of the pollen-based megabiome reconstruction. With its high temporal and spatial resolution, this reconstruction is ideally suited for the evaluation of paleo-simulations from Earth System Models (ESMs). As an example, we compare the reconstruction with an ensemble of six different biomized simulations based on transient vegetation simulations performed by ESMs. The global spatiotemporal patterns of megabiomes estimated by the simulation ensemble and reconstructions are generally consistent, i.e., from glacial non-forest megabiomes to Holocene forest megabiomes, in line with the general climate warming trend and continental ice-sheet retreat. The shift to a global spatial megabiome distribution similar to today’s took place during the early Holocene. At a global scale over the last 21,000 years, the deviations between the reconstruction and the simulation ensemble are (a) largest during the Last Glacial Maximum and early deglaciation periods, mainly due to different estimates of tundra in the circum-Arctic areas and the Tibetan Plateau; and (b) moderate during the Holocene, mainly due to different estimates of non-forest megabiomes in relatively semi-arid zones such as North Africa and the Mediterranean that increases over time. To some extent, these mismatches could be attributed to systematic model biases in the simulated climate, as well as to the different plant representations and low taxonomic resolution of pollen in the reconstructions.
摘要。我们基于最新的、因而也是目前最广泛的全球分类学和时间标准化花粉化石数据集(共 3,691 条记录),对过去 21,000 年中每隔 500 年的 43 个时间片进行了全球大生物群重建。评估结果与现代潜在自然植被分布的吻合度约为 80%,表明基于花粉的巨型生物群重建具有高度可靠性。这种重建方法具有很高的时间和空间分辨率,非常适合对地球系统模型(ESM)的古模拟进行评估。举例来说,我们将重建结果与基于 ESMs 瞬态植被模拟的六种不同生物模拟进行了比较。模拟集合和重建估计的全球巨型生物群时空模式基本一致,即从冰川期非森林巨型生物群到全新世森林巨型生物群,这与气候变暖和大陆冰盖退缩的总体趋势一致。在全新世早期,全球巨型生物群落的空间分布发生了与今天相似的转变。在过去 21,000 年的全球范围内,重建与模拟集合之间的偏差(a)在末次冰川极盛期和早期冰川消融期最大,这主要是由于对环北极地区和青藏高原冻原的估计不同;(b)在全新世适中,这主要是由于对北非和地中海等相对半干旱地区的非森林巨生物群估计不同,而且随着时间的推移而增加。在某种程度上,这些不匹配可归因于模拟气候的系统模型偏差,以及重建中不同的植物代表和花粉分类分辨率低。
{"title":"Global biome changes over the last 21,000 years inferred from model-data comparisons","authors":"Chenzhi Li, Anne Dallmeyer, Jian Ni, Manuel Chevalier, Matteo Willeit, Andrei A. Andreev, Xianyong Cao, Laura Schild, Birgit Heim, Ulrike Herzschuh","doi":"10.5194/egusphere-2024-1862","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1862","url":null,"abstract":"<strong>Abstract.</strong> We present a global megabiome reconstruction for 43 timeslices at 500-year intervals throughout the last 21,000 years based on an updated and thus currently most extensive global taxonomically and temporally standardized fossil pollen dataset of 3,691 records. The evaluation with modern potential natural vegetation distributions yields an agreement of ~80 %, suggesting a high degree of reliability of the pollen-based megabiome reconstruction. With its high temporal and spatial resolution, this reconstruction is ideally suited for the evaluation of paleo-simulations from Earth System Models (ESMs). As an example, we compare the reconstruction with an ensemble of six different biomized simulations based on transient vegetation simulations performed by ESMs. The global spatiotemporal patterns of megabiomes estimated by the simulation ensemble and reconstructions are generally consistent, i.e., from glacial non-forest megabiomes to Holocene forest megabiomes, in line with the general climate warming trend and continental ice-sheet retreat. The shift to a global spatial megabiome distribution similar to today’s took place during the early Holocene. At a global scale over the last 21,000 years, the deviations between the reconstruction and the simulation ensemble are (a) largest during the Last Glacial Maximum and early deglaciation periods, mainly due to different estimates of tundra in the circum-Arctic areas and the Tibetan Plateau; and (b) moderate during the Holocene, mainly due to different estimates of non-forest megabiomes in relatively semi-arid zones such as North Africa and the Mediterranean that increases over time. To some extent, these mismatches could be attributed to systematic model biases in the simulated climate, as well as to the different plant representations and low taxonomic resolution of pollen in the reconstructions.","PeriodicalId":10332,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past","volume":"8 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141513623","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Climate of The Past
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1