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Proceedings: Rangahau Horonuku Hou – New Research Landscapes, Unitec/MIT Research Symposium 2021, December 6 and 7最新文献

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New Zealand Public-Housing Project Tender Price Forecast: Preliminary Findings 新西兰公共住房项目投标价格预测:初步结果
Aurora Chen, N. Domingo, J. Rotimi
To make house prices affordable to first-home buyers on low-to-medium incomes, one of the solutions is the capped cost of public-housing projects. The accepted tender price forms the major portion of final project cost, and the level of the accuracy of the project’s tender price determines the possibility of achieving the cost cap. Hence, exploring and developing effective tender price forecasting tools is worth researching. To achieve this goal, the literature suggests that an understanding of the tools and factors affecting the accuracy of public-housing tender price is crucial. There is little to no research into tender price forecasting tools and the factors affecting the accuracy and efficiency of public-housing tender prices in the context of Tāmaki Makaurau Auckland, Aotearoa New Zealand. This research aims to fill some of this gap. It is a first step in an ongoing programme of research that aims to develop a public-housing project tender-forecast tool. The research aims to identify the possible tender price forecasting tools and the factors significantly affecting the accuracy of public-housing project tender prices in the context of Tāmaki Makaurau Auckland, Aotearoa New Zealand. Preliminary interviews were carried out. The sample was limited to experts with at least five years’ public-housing tender experience in the Aotearoa New Zealand context. The frequency method was adopted to carry out data analysis. All preliminary interview participants agreed that material cost, labour cost and quality of design information were the top three factors significantly affecting the accuracy of the tender price. The research identifies loopholes in the current public-housing project tender practices in the context of the Tāmaki Makaurau Auckland public-housing sector. The main contribution of this research is providing insights for public-housing project cost estimators who aim to balance the accuracy of tender price and the efficiency of tender process, by using the research findings to select the appropriate tendering forecast tools. The research also provides a base for future research to develop tender forecasting tools by using information gaps and current industry practice findings. The data collected from this preliminary research are subjective; participants measured the importance of factors based on their own subjective opinions. There is no guarantee that the data collected fully reflect the opinions of the whole public-housing sector in the context of Tāmaki Makaurau Auckland. To overcome this limitation, the researchers will develop a questionnaire, and invite more eligible experts to complete questionnaire as the next research step.
为了让中低收入的首次购房者能够负担得起房价,解决方案之一是限制公共住房项目的成本。中标价格构成了最终项目成本的主要部分,项目中标价格的准确性决定了实现成本上限的可能性。因此,探索和开发有效的投标价格预测工具是值得研究的。为了实现这一目标,文献表明,了解影响公共住房招标价格准确性的工具和因素至关重要。对于投标价格预测工具以及影响公共住房投标价格准确性和效率的因素,在Tāmaki新西兰奥克兰Makaurau, Aotearoa的背景下几乎没有研究。这项研究旨在填补这一空白。这是一项正在进行的研究计划的第一步,该计划旨在开发一种公共住房项目招标预测工具。本研究旨在以Tāmaki新西兰奥克兰Makaurau为背景,找出可能的投标价格预测工具,以及显著影响公共住房项目投标价格准确性的因素。进行了初步访谈。样本仅限于在新西兰奥特罗阿地区至少有五年公共住房招标经验的专家。采用频率法进行数据分析。所有初步访谈的参与者都同意,材料成本、人工成本和设计资料的质量是影响投标价格准确性的三个主要因素。本研究以Tāmaki Makaurau Auckland公共住房部门为背景,找出了目前公共住房项目招标实践中的漏洞。本研究的主要贡献是通过使用研究结果来选择适当的投标预测工具,为旨在平衡投标价格准确性和投标过程效率的公共住房项目成本估算者提供见解。该研究还为未来的研究提供了基础,通过利用信息差距和当前的行业实践发现来开发投标预测工具。从这项初步研究中收集的数据是主观的;参与者根据自己的主观意见来衡量因素的重要性。不能保证所收集的数据完全反映了Tāmaki Makaurau Auckland背景下整个公共住房部门的意见。为了克服这一限制,研究人员将开发一份调查问卷,并邀请更多符合条件的专家完成调查问卷,作为下一步的研究。
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Proceedings: Rangahau Horonuku Hou – New Research Landscapes, Unitec/MIT Research Symposium 2021, December 6 and 7
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