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The effect of agricultural trade openness on economic growth in the East African Community 农业贸易开放对东非共同体经济增长的影响
Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2023.2250632
Daniel Otieno Jabuya, Fredrick Odhiambo Sule, Michael Jairo Ndwiga
Abstract The study examined the effects of agricultural trade openness on economic growth in the EAC. We empirically analyzed the issue in five countries from 2000 to 2021. Panel data estimation methods were used in the study. The variables were found to be integrated of order one and zero. There was presence of cointegration, cross-sectional heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence. The CS-ARDL results revealed that agricultural trade openness and economic growth enjoyed a long-run relationship. The empirical results indicated that the effect of agricultural trade openness on economic growth was positive and significant in the long run. Bootstrap panel granger causality analysis was applied in testing the nature and direction of causal relationships between variables. The results indicated that a unidirectional causal relationship existed between agricultural trade openness and economic growth. This implies that an increase in trade openness promotes economic growth. Based on the findings of the study, we recommend that strategies aimed at promoting trade openness should be complemented with strong policies to enable EAC countries to reap more growth benefits associated with open trade.
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引用次数: 0
Regional inequality, human capital, unemployment, and economic growth in Indonesia: Panel regression approach 印度尼西亚的区域不平等、人力资本、失业和经济增长:面板回归方法
Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2023.2251803
S. Suparman, M. Muzakir
Abstract The purpose of this study is to estimate the relationship and influence between regional inequality variables, human capital, the open unemployment rate, and economic growth in Indonesia using panel data. The panel data consists of a combination of time series data from the 2010–2020 period, based on information from 32 provinces in Indonesia. The estimation model employed in this study is a panel regression model utilizing three methods: the common effect model (CEM), fixed effect model (FEM), and random effect model (REM). The findings of the study reveal a positive and significant effect of the ETI factor on the LOG (GRDP) factor. Additionally, the HDI variable exhibits a positive and significant impact on the LOG (GRDP) variable, while the UNR variable also shows a positive and significant effect on the LOG (GRDP) variable. Furthermore, the ETI variable is found to have a positive and significant influence on the UNR variable, while the HDI variable has a negative and significant impact on the UNR variable. Finally, the LOG (GRDP) variable demonstrates a positive and significant effect on the UNR variable.
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the COVID-19 impacts on the coffee industry in Laos: An input–output modelling approach 评估2019冠状病毒病对老挝咖啡业的影响:投入产出建模方法
Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2023.2250692
S. Phimmavong, R. Keenan, Viengvilay Phimmavong, J. Maroulis, T. Maraseni
Abstract This paper employs an input-output modelling approach to quantify the impact of decreases in coffee exports between 2019 and 2020 resulting from the implementation of various COVID-19 policies in Lao PDR. The analysis was undertaken at two levels in investigating the effects of these policies on (1) the regional economy in the main coffee producing region of Champasak Province in Southern Laos, and (2) the national economy of Lao PDR. Results were rather mixed at both the regional and national levels, for four reasons: (1) reduced production in other countries increased demand for green bean exports, resulting in a 1.8% (US$12 million) increase in the total value of gross outputs of the provincial economy; (2) reduced local demand and declines in processed coffee consumption and export in the food industry sector, resulted in a 1.5% decrease (US$10 million) in gross provincial production; (3) at the national level, more green bean exports increased the gross production output of the economy by 0.2% (US$24 million) while reduced processed coffee in food industry exports led to a reduction in gross production of 0.13% (US$19.6 million); and (4) the overall effects of COVID-19 restrictions are potentially positive for the coffee sector in Lao PDR in the short term but may have longer-term implications for the coffee sector due to shift away from processed coffee exports to green beans. Future policies to mitigate the impact of COVID-19 will be instrumental in stimulating investment and enhancing the benefits for the coffee sector in Laos.
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引用次数: 0
Firm performance in sub-Saharan Africa: What role do electricity shortages play? 撒哈拉以南非洲的企业绩效:电力短缺在其中扮演什么角色?
Pub Date : 2023-08-30 DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2023.2251822
Samuel Osei-Gyebi, John Bosco Dramani
Abstract Electricity outages affect the performance of firms in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) through a reduction in production capacity and over-reliance on backup generators, which raises the cost of production and render them uncompetitive. Based on this, we estimated the joint effect of electricity outage frequency and duration of outages on the performance of firms in SSA through the method of instrumental variable (IV). Employing firm-level data from the World Bank Enterprise Survey for 28 SSA countries from 2007 to 2018, the study found a unit increase in outage frequency and its duration combine to reduce yearly sales of firms in SSA by $114.9. Also, the study revealed that small-size firms in SSA incur $408.894 losses relative to large firms for every joint increase in outage frequency and outage duration largely because they cannot cope with electricity outages. Since electricity shortages persist in SSA, mitigation policies must target small firms as they are the worst affected by electricity outages.
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引用次数: 0
Six-factor plus intellectual capital in the capital asset pricing model and excess stock return: Empirical evidence in emerging stock markets 资本资产定价模型中的六因子加智力资本与股票超额收益:新兴市场的实证证据
Pub Date : 2023-08-29 DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2023.2252652
Astrid Maharani, I Made Narsa
Abstract This study expands previous research by adding intellectual capital to the capital asset pricing model and deepening the measurement of intellectual capital using more comprehensive proxies. This study is novel in that it is related to evaluation according to market developments using tests on potential factors in the asset pricing model by adding intellectual capital variables. Intangible assets have the explanatory and predictive power of size and value strategies in predicting returns. This study uses a sample of all industries from all companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during 2012–2022; the sample totals 5767 firm-years. The results show a significant relationship between the six-factor capital asset pricing model, intellectual capital, and excess stock returns. The robustness test supports these findings, suggesting that intellectual capital performs better financially as an intangible asset. This study contributes to the literature regarding the role of intellectual capital in the capital asset pricing model, which can be helpful when making investment decisions in emerging stock markets.
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引用次数: 1
The impact of mining foreign direct investment on economic growth in Ghana 矿业外国直接投资对加纳经济增长的影响
Pub Date : 2023-08-29 DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2023.2251800
Anthony Ennin, E. Wiafe
Abstract This paper investigates the impact of mining foreign direct investment on economic growth in Ghana using quarterly time series data from 1996–2015. The study employs the Autoregressive Distributed Lag bounds testing approach to cointegration and the error correction model to investigate the existence of a long-run and short-run equilibrium relationship between foreign direct investment into the mining sector and economic growth. The study established that foreign direct investment into the mining sector hurts economic growth in Ghana in the long run but a positive in the short run. The study also finds that private sector credit, capital stock, government spending, and labour participation rate have a statistically significant positive relationship with economic growth in the long run. Trade openness exhibited a statistically significant negative long-run relationship with economic growth, while inflation had a positive but insignificant impact on economic growth for the study period. The study recommends that government should encourage research and development in the mining sector and align mining and other environmental policies to ensure sustainable growth. It is further recommended that government tactfully provide investment incentives to ensure the development of other sectors to avoid the Dutch disease.
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引用次数: 0
The impact of the digital economy on the cost of living of the population: Evidence from 160 cities in China 数字经济对人口生活成本的影响:来自中国160个城市的证据
Pub Date : 2023-08-28 DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2023.2246007
Yongjun Ma, Xuepin Wu, Jin Shui
: The cost of living has shown a gradual upward trend in recent years, which has seriously impacted the quality of life and well-being of residents. This study empirically examines the impact of the digital economy on residents’ cost of living and the mechanisms behind it by measuring the digital economy and cost of living indicators in 160 cities in China from 2010 to 2020. The results show that the digital economy can significantly reduce the cost of living for the population. The “marginal effect” of the digital economy on the cost of living is found to be non-linearly decreasing as the level of the digital economy increases, and the more severe the air pollution, the weaker the impact of the digital economy on the cost of living, using a threshold variable of the digital economy and air pollution. Finally, the analysis of mechanisms shows that environmental regulation and healthcare are important ways in which the digital economy can play a role in reducing the cost of living for the population. Meanwhile, this study reveals the intrinsic link between the digital economy and the cost of living, which is important for alleviating the cost of living and enhancing people’s well-being.
近年来,生活成本呈逐渐上升的趋势,严重影响了居民的生活质量和福祉。本研究通过对2010 - 2020年中国160个城市的数字经济和生活成本指标的测量,实证检验了数字经济对居民生活成本的影响及其背后的机制。结果表明,数字经济可以显著降低人们的生活成本。利用数字经济和空气污染的阈值变量,发现数字经济对生活成本的“边际效应”随着数字经济水平的提高呈非线性递减,空气污染越严重,数字经济对生活成本的影响越弱。最后,对机制的分析表明,环境监管和医疗保健是数字经济可以在降低人口生活成本方面发挥作用的重要方式。同时,该研究揭示了数字经济与生活成本之间的内在联系,这对于缓解生活成本和提高人们的福祉具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Quantile connectedness amongst BRICS equity markets during the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia–Ukraine war 金砖国家股市在2019冠状病毒病大流行和俄乌战争期间的分位数连通性
Pub Date : 2023-08-28 DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2023.2251300
I. Anyikwa, A. Phiri
Abstract Our study uses the quantile vector autoregressive (QVAR) network approach to compare the median-based and tail connectedness in BRICS equity markets using daily time series spanning from 3rd March 2020 to 9th September 2022. The study is conducted on both returns and volatility series, and the findings from our static and dynamic analysis can be summarized as follows. From the static perspective, we observe stronger connectedness and spillover effects on the left and right (right only) tails for returns (volatility) series. For the returns series, China and South Africa (Brazil, Russia and India) are net receivers (transmitters) of shocks at the left tail and median quantiles whilst China and Russia (Brazil, India and South Africa) are net receivers (transmitters) at the right-tail, whereas for the volatility series China and India (Brazil, Russia and South Africa) are the net receivers (transmitters) at both quantile tails, whilst Brazil (Russia, India, China and South Africa) is (are) the net receiver(s) (transmitters) at the median. From a dynamic perspective, time-varying total connectedness is higher at the median (tail-end) quantile(s) during the COVID-19 pandemic (Russia–Ukraine war). Moreover, the time-varying market-specific analysis distinguishes which individual equities are most or least vulnerable to systemic tail-risk transmission effects during the COVID-19 pandemic and more recent Russia–Ukraine. Ultimately, these findings are relevant for investors in their search for better hedging opportunities in equity markets as well as for market regulators who can use systematic risk as an early warning signal for contagion and market crash.
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of regional trade agreements on international tourism demand: Empirical in Vietnam 区域贸易协定对国际旅游需求的影响:越南的实证研究
Pub Date : 2023-08-24 DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2023.2250230
Uyen Pham, Q. Trinh, H. Le, U. Vo
: This paper sheds some light on the impact of regional trade agreements (RTAs) on international tourism demand in Vietnam. They are using gravity model with data from 29 countries with the highest number of tourists to Vietnam from 2007–2019. The empirical findings indicate a relevant degree of heterogeneity in the results. While the the free trade agreement enhances the international tourism demand in Vietnam, ASEAN community it. These results emphasize the importance of solid integration in promoting Vietnam’s tourism flows.
本文揭示了区域贸易协定(RTAs)对越南国际旅游需求的影响。他们使用了重力模型,其中包含了2007-2019年赴越南旅游人数最多的29个国家的数据。实证结果表明,结果存在一定程度的异质性。虽然自由贸易协定提高了越南的国际旅游需求,东盟共同体。这些结果强调了巩固一体化对促进越南旅游流量的重要性。
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引用次数: 1
Corporate governance, financial constraints, and dividend policy: Evidence from Pakistan 公司治理、财务约束和股利政策:来自巴基斯坦的证据
Pub Date : 2023-08-24 DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2023.2243709
M. Azeem, N. Ahmad, Safyan Majid, Jamshaid Ur Rehman, B. Nafees
Abstract Information asymmetry between insiders and outsiders creates various issues for a firm, such as the agency problem where managers pursue their own interests even at the cost of the well-being of the firm’s shareholders, and probable external financial constraints where external investors discount risk by causing a surge in the cost of financing. Normally, a firm manages the issues of the agency problem and external financing constraints by omitting or initiating dividend payments. Therefore, this study investigated the impact of corporate governance on dividend policies in the presence of financial constraints using a sample of 139 non-financial firms listed on PSE, where a weak regulatory framework generates agency problems and the underdevelopment of the financial sector causes financing constraints for businesses. The results reveal that, in Pakistan, dividends are an Outcome of governance practices. As the quality of firm-level governance improves, shareholders are provided with the legal strength to ultimately force firm managers to pay dividends. Along with the agency problem, the availability of external financing is an important factor related to dividend payment decisions in Pakistan. When a company is confronted with agency problems and financial constraints simultaneously, managers try to avoid costly external financing rather than reducing the agency’s problem. The results of the study can be further refined by enhancing the study period and sample size. Furthermore, the work can be extended by classifying sample subjects to the nature of industry and group ownership.
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Cogent Economics & Finance
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