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Demonstration of Autonomous Drilling on a Full-Scale Test Rig 自主钻井在全尺寸测试平台上的演示
Pub Date : 2022-09-26 DOI: 10.2118/210229-ms
Rodica Mihai, E. Cayeux, B. Daireaux, L. Carlsen, A. Ambrus, P. Simensen, Morten Welmer, Matthew Jackson
During recent years there has been an increased focus on automating drilling operations and several solutions are in daily use. We describe here results and lessons learned from testing on a full-scale test rig, the next step in drilling automation, namely autonomous drilling. By autonomous drilling we mean a system capable of taking its own decisions by evaluating the current conditions and adapting to them while considering multiple horizon strategies to fulfill the drilling operation goal. Autonomous drilling was demonstrated during a series of experiments at a full-scale test rig in Norway. The focus of the experiments was to reach the target depth as quickly and as safely as possible. Since the formation at the test rig is very hard, a previously drilled well was filled with weak cement of variable strengths to allow for fast drilling. As part of the experiments, it was planned to have drilling incidents to test the system capabilities in managing arising issues and recover from them. During the experiments no real-time downhole measurements were available, only surface data. In total 500 meters have been drilled in autonomous mode. The autonomous system is built as a hierarchical control system containing layers of protection for the machines, well and the commands, in addition to recovery procedures, optimization of the rate of penetration and autonomous decision-making. The system continuously evaluates the current situation and by balancing estimated risks and performance, e.g. risk of pack-off versus prognosed time to reach the target depth, decides the best action to perform next. The autonomous decision-making system is tightly connected with the control of the drilling machines and therefore it executes the necessary commands to follow up the computed decision. Drilling incidents may occur at any time and an autonomous system needs to be able to adapt to the current situation, such that it can manage drilling incidents by itself and recover from them, when possible. During the experiments, several drilling incidents occurred, and the system reacted as expected. Surface data, together with internally computed data from the autonomous decision-making algorithms, were logged during the experiments. Memory-based downhole data was available after the experiments were concluded. Based on all the data collected, an analysis of the behavior of the system was performed after the experiments. During the drilling experiments at the full-scale rig, the autonomous system adapted its decisions to the surrounding environment and tackled both smooth drilling situations and drilling incidents. To cope with possible lower situational awareness, the autonomous system manages by itself transitions from autonomous to manual mode if necessary. This feature, together with fault detection and isolation capabilities, are crucial for safe operation of an autonomous system.
近年来,人们越来越关注钻井作业的自动化,并且有几种解决方案正在日常使用中。本文介绍了在全尺寸测试平台上进行测试的结果和经验教训,这是钻井自动化的下一步,即自主钻井。通过自主钻井,我们指的是一种能够通过评估当前条件并适应它们,同时考虑多种层位策略来实现钻井作业目标的系统。自主钻井在挪威的一个全尺寸测试平台上进行了一系列实验。实验的重点是尽可能快速安全地到达目标深度。由于试验台的地层非常坚硬,因此之前钻过的一口井都填充了可变强度的弱水泥,以实现快速钻井。作为实验的一部分,计划进行钻井事故,以测试系统管理出现问题并从中恢复的能力。在实验过程中,没有实时的井下测量数据,只有地面数据。在自主模式下共钻了500米。自主系统是一个分层控制系统,除了恢复程序、渗透速度优化和自主决策外,还包含对机器、井和命令的层层保护。该系统持续评估当前情况,并通过平衡估计的风险和性能(例如,封隔风险与到达目标深度的预测时间),决定下一步执行的最佳操作。自主决策系统与钻机的控制紧密相连,因此它执行必要的命令来跟踪计算出的决策。钻井事故随时可能发生,自主系统需要能够适应当前的情况,以便能够自行管理钻井事故并在可能的情况下进行恢复。在实验过程中,发生了几次钻井事故,系统的反应与预期一致。在实验过程中,记录了地面数据以及自主决策算法的内部计算数据。实验结束后,可获得基于记忆的井下数据。根据收集到的所有数据,在实验结束后对系统的行为进行了分析。在全尺寸钻机的钻井实验中,自主系统根据周围环境做出决策,并解决了顺利钻井和钻井事故的问题。为了应对可能较低的态势感知能力,自动系统在必要时自行管理,从自动模式切换到手动模式。该功能以及故障检测和隔离功能对于自主系统的安全运行至关重要。
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引用次数: 1
Laboratory Investigation of Chemical Tracers vs. DNA Tracers 化学示踪剂与DNA示踪剂的实验室研究
Pub Date : 2022-09-26 DOI: 10.2118/209954-ms
M. Asadi, Tyler Blair, Sarah Comstock
A new and robust tracer technology is introduced based on encapsulated Nano-sized synthetic DNA. This cutting-edge technology enables bonding of synthetic DNA strands with unique sequences to a magnetic core particle and encapsulating them with silica making it possible to have unlimited number of identifiable tracers, each with a unique signature. Each manufactured batch of DNA tracer is then coated with a special chemical to make the batch water-wet or oil-wet. The presented novel technology of encapsulated Nano-sized DNA tracers is shown to be superior to the currently used water chemical tracers, fluorobenzoic acid or FBA, in many ways both in the applications of EOR and flowback analyses in hydraulic fracturing. Unlike the chemical tracers, the DNA tracers don't partition, don't chemically react with the formation minerology, don't disintegrate with time, are stable at high reservoir temperatures and don't lag flood front velocity if used in secondary recovery projects such as waterflooding. In addition, unlike the available limited number of chemical tracers, there are unlimited number of identifiable DNA tracers. In waterflooding, the DNA tracers are used to characterize fluid flow accurately and precisely in a reservoir and to identify heterogeneity of the reservoir. The technology can also be used to evaluate flowback analyses in hydraulic fracturing to fully understand fracture behavior, pipeline leakage identification, groundwater movement, contamination tracking in water streams, etc.
介绍了一种基于纳米合成DNA封装的新型示踪技术。这项尖端技术能够将具有独特序列的合成DNA链结合到磁性核心颗粒上,并用二氧化硅封装它们,从而可以拥有无限数量的可识别示踪剂,每个示踪剂都具有独特的特征。每批生产的DNA示踪剂都涂上一层特殊的化学物质,使其湿润水或湿润油。在提高采收率和水力压裂返排分析中,纳米封装DNA示踪剂的新技术在许多方面都优于目前使用的水化学示踪剂氟苯甲酸或FBA。与化学示踪剂不同,DNA示踪剂不会分裂,不会与地层矿物学发生化学反应,不会随着时间的推移而崩解,在高储层温度下保持稳定,如果用于二次开采项目(如水驱),也不会滞后于洪水前缘速度。此外,与可用的有限数量的化学示踪剂不同,有无限数量的可识别的DNA示踪剂。在水驱中,DNA示踪剂被用于准确准确地表征储层中的流体流动,并识别储层的非均质性。该技术还可用于评价水力压裂返排分析,以充分了解裂缝行为、管道泄漏识别、地下水运动、水流污染跟踪等。
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引用次数: 0
What's the Best Way to Stabilize Oil in the Permian? An Examination of Different Facilities Layouts 稳定二叠纪盆地石油的最佳方法是什么?不同设施布局的考察
Pub Date : 2022-09-26 DOI: 10.2118/210446-ms
I. Chan, S. Baaren, Anthony Sarcletti
Operators in the unconventional shale oil space are becoming increasingly focused on methods to reduce emissions, mitigate issues due to NGL production, increase sales oil production, and increase safety. Moreover, for facilities to operate unmanned facility designs are required to be simple and robust. Each facility configuration optimizes for a different utility: some allow more flexibility for the economic investment, while others offer familiarity of operation. The option that adds the most flexibility per dollar invested focuses on low-pressure separation with simultaneous heat introduction with minimum necessary storage tanks. Three different facilities are compared utilizing hydrocarbon recovery, NGL production, gas production, compression power, and Reid Vapor Pressure as key metrics. The three layouts include: a heater treater, a vapor recovery tower, and a novel elevated heated separation design that combines the utility of a heater treater and vapor recovery tower. The novel low-pressure stabilization system allows for stabilized oil to be pumped either to storage tanks or directly to the custody transfer point. Emissions stemming from tank vapor and tank vapor management systems are avoided as the oil is stabilized before entering the storage tanks or being transported directly to custody transfer. The novel system can be scaled for higher production rates seen at central processing facilities where traditional equipment such as heater treaters would require operating several parallel production trains. The novel design avoids known operational safety and maintenance issues regarding direct fired heaters and tanks; thus, improving safety and operational cost. Existing facilities designs include equipment such as direct fired heater treaters, inline heat exchangers, vapor recovery towers and tanks. The results from all process simulations and operational data is summarized in an overview comparing the performance of the various facility designs.
非常规页岩油领域的运营商越来越关注减少排放、缓解NGL生产带来的问题、增加销售石油产量和提高安全性的方法。此外,无人驾驶设施的设计要求简单而坚固。每个设施配置都针对不同的用途进行了优化:一些设施为经济投资提供了更大的灵活性,而另一些设施则提供了熟悉的操作。每投资一美元增加最大灵活性的选择侧重于低压分离,同时引入热量,所需的储罐最少。利用油气采收率、NGL产量、天然气产量、压缩功率和Reid蒸气压作为关键指标,对三种不同的设施进行了比较。这三种布局包括:加热器处理器、蒸汽回收塔和一种新型的高架加热分离设计,该设计结合了加热器处理器和蒸汽回收塔的功能。新型低压稳定系统允许将稳定的油泵入储罐或直接泵入保管转运点。由于油在进入储罐或直接运输到保管转移之前已经稳定,因此避免了油罐蒸汽和油罐蒸汽管理系统产生的排放。这种新型系统可以在中央处理设施中实现更高的生产率,而传统设备(如加热器)需要运行多个并行生产列车。新颖的设计避免了直接燃烧加热器和储罐的已知操作安全和维护问题;从而提高安全性和运营成本。现有的设施设计包括直燃式加热器、在线热交换器、蒸汽回收塔和储罐等设备。所有过程模拟和运行数据的结果总结在一个概述中,比较了各种设施设计的性能。
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引用次数: 0
Developing a Fit-For-Basin Novel Solution with the First Application of iCore Behind Cased Borehole in a Complex Heterogeneous Miocene Carbonate Reservoir: Bakr Oil Field, Central Province of Gulf of Suez 在苏伊士湾中部省份Bakr油田的复杂非均质中新世碳酸盐岩储层中,通过套管后iCore首次应用,开发了一种适合盆地的新解决方案
Pub Date : 2022-09-26 DOI: 10.2118/210230-ms
Sadek Salim, Mayada Sayed, I. Abdo, Emad Abdel Hakim, M. Farouk, A. Hegazy, Abd El Moneim El Araby, Mohamed Ghanim, K. Saleh, Omar ElZahaby, Mariam Elnahrawi, A. ElKaragi
Gulf of Suez basin is one of the most complex areas of exploration that requires a fit-for-basin solution to reveal the true potential of the carbonate reservoirs. The multi-domain integration of the interpreted lithology from high-resolution imaging tools recorded in the open hole section with electrofacies integrated with NMR and cased hole elemental spectroscopy data provides the 1st time application to derive synthetic core with high-resolution facies in the drilled wells with complex heterogeneity challenges. 3D seismic attributes, stratigraphical and structural analysis, revealed a potential three-way dip closure with an expected high-quality carbonate reservoir. An automated processing workflow converts gamma-ray yields from the energy spectrum measured behind casing into the dry weight and mineral fractions. The computed mineralogical outputs are then described based on a standardized ternary diagram approach to generate dry-weight mineralogy-based lithofacies. The synthetic high-resolution lithofacies are integrated with MDT, NMR, and spectroscopy to capture mobility, type of fluid, and saturation associated with lithofacies changes which is integrated with well integrity analysis to plan, design, and execute of innovative technique for carbonate stimulation. This paper demonstrates reviving exploration activity in one of the brownfields and the first application for borehole imaging integrated with cased hole spectroscopy on the recent discovery well to select perforation. Once a robust lithofacies classification is obtained, this is used for detailed stratigraphic analysis, well to well correlation, cross-sections, mapping or refined static reservoir modeling, and perforation zones selection which represents the first success story for this innovative technique. This multi-domain integration helped to design a customized acidizing technique to reveal the true reservoir potential that had a 3 fold increase in productivity index compared to offset fields in the same basin. The workflow can be applied to multiple cases as a cost-effective solution in multiple scenarios and different formation types especially if there is no core available in old wells. Furthermore, the innovative acidizing technique can effectively stimulate any carbonate reservoir.
苏伊士湾盆地是最复杂的勘探区域之一,需要一个适合盆地的解决方案来揭示碳酸盐岩储层的真正潜力。裸眼段记录的高分辨率成像工具所解释的岩性与电相、核磁共振和套管井元素谱数据的多域集成,首次应用于具有复杂非均质挑战的井中,获得具有高分辨率相的合成岩心。三维地震属性、地层和构造分析揭示了一个潜在的三向倾闭,预计将形成优质碳酸盐岩储层。自动化处理工作流程将套管后测量的能谱中的伽马射线产量转换为干重和矿物组分。然后根据标准化三元图方法描述计算的矿物学输出,以生成干重矿物为基础的岩相。合成的高分辨率岩相与MDT、NMR和光谱学相结合,以捕捉与岩相变化相关的流动性、流体类型和饱和度,并与井完整性分析相结合,以规划、设计和执行创新的碳酸盐岩增产技术。本文展示了在一个棕地恢复勘探活动,以及在新发现的井中首次应用井眼成像与套管井光谱相结合来选择射孔。一旦获得了可靠的岩相分类,就可以用于详细的地层分析、井间对比、横截面、作图或精细的静态油藏建模,以及射孔带选择,这是该创新技术的第一个成功案例。这种多领域整合有助于设计定制酸化技术,以揭示油藏的真实潜力,与同一盆地的邻区油田相比,该油田的产能指数提高了3倍。该工作流程可以作为一种经济有效的解决方案应用于多种情况和不同的地层类型,特别是在老井没有岩心的情况下。此外,创新的酸化技术可以有效地对任何碳酸盐岩储层进行增产。
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引用次数: 0
Design Mud Weight and Control Breakout Width Based on Angle of Intersection Analysis 基于交角分析设计泥浆比重和控制漏孔宽度
Pub Date : 2022-09-26 DOI: 10.2118/210135-ms
Jianguo Zhang, Stephen Edwards
Numerous wellbore instability problems have been reported when drilling through laminated shale formations because of anisotropic (weak) strength along bedding layers. The anisotropic strength is defined through the analysis of stress distributions around wellbore and angle of intersection (AOI) between well trajectory and weak bedding plane. This paper presents a method to calibrate a wellbore stability model, design mud weight and control breakout width based on analysis of AOI and anisotropic strength. The proposed method includes four (4) steps as follows:AOI is calculated by using bedding plane data (dip angle and dip azimuth) and well trajectory information (well inclination and azimuth).Based on single plane of weakness theory, the stress distributions around deviated wellbores in laminated shales are analyzed to show that failure can occur either along or across bedding planes depending on AOI.The profile of collapse pressure for both isotropic and anisotropic strength model are calculated along with the AOI.Drilling data (mud weight, cuttings/cavings pictures etc.) combined with azimuthal density image are used to choose and calibrate the wellbore stability model. Lab strength test results with different angle to bedding plane are used to calibrate rock strength model and field data are collected and analyzed to define acceptable breakout width. Field data demonstrates that AOI can have a significant effect on wellbore stability. It is observed that severe borehole problems occurred in hole sections with low AOI (<30°) especially when a low mud weight is used to allow a wider breakout. Minor wellbore instability still occurred in some hole sections with low AOI even when the zero breakout criteria was used for mud weight selection. The instability observed can be attributed to swab – decreased ESDs being exerted on the formation while pulling the bottom-hole-assembly out of the hole and time-dependent effect. The ‘zero breakout width’ criterion is recommended for AOI less than 30°, the ‘(90°-Inclination) breakout width’ criterion for AOI between 30° and 60°, and the ‘(90°-2/3*Inclination) breakout width’ criteria for AOI greater than 60°. If the mud weight window permits, then it would be beneficial to increase the mud weight by an extra 0.2 ppg to cover swab effects in shale formations that have an extremely low AOI (<15°). If not, mechanical means to prevent hydrostatic pressure drops such as slower pipe reciprocation or managed pressure drilling (MPD) need consideration.
由于层理层的各向异性(弱)强度,在钻穿层状页岩地层时,已经报道了许多井筒不稳定问题。通过分析井眼周围的应力分布以及井眼轨迹与弱层理平面的交角,定义了各向异性强度。本文提出了一种基于AOI和各向异性强度分析的井筒稳定性模型标定、泥浆比重设计和裂缝宽度控制方法。该方法包括以下4个步骤:利用层理面数据(倾角和倾角)和井眼轨迹信息(井眼倾角和方位)计算AOI;基于单面软弱理论,分析了层状页岩斜井周围的应力分布,结果表明,根据AOI的不同,斜井破坏既可以沿层理面发生,也可以跨层理面发生。根据AOI计算了各向同性和各向异性强度模型的崩塌压力分布图。钻井数据(泥浆比重、岩屑/崩落图等)与方位密度图像相结合,选择和标定井筒稳定性模型。利用与顺层面不同角度的室内强度试验结果,对岩石强度模型进行了标定,并对现场数据进行了收集和分析,确定了可接受的突破宽度。现场数据表明,AOI对井筒稳定性有显著影响。在AOI较低(<30°)的井段会出现严重的井眼问题,特别是当使用较低的泥浆比重以允许更大的裂缝时。在一些AOI较低的井段,即使采用零破裂标准选择泥浆比重,也会发生轻微的井筒失稳。观察到的不稳定性可归因于在将井底钻具组合拉出井底时,抽汲器施加在地层上的esd减少以及时间相关效应。对于AOI小于30°,建议采用“零漏线宽度”标准,对于AOI在30°至60°之间,建议采用“(90°-2/3*倾角)漏线宽度”标准,对于AOI大于60°,建议采用“(90°-2/3*倾角)漏线宽度”标准。如果泥浆比重窗口允许,那么在AOI极低(<15°)的页岩地层中,将泥浆比重额外增加0.2 ppg以覆盖抽汲效果将是有益的。如果不能,则需要考虑采用机械方法来防止静水压力下降,例如减缓管道往复运动或控压钻井(MPD)。
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引用次数: 0
Rapid Detection of Super-Emitters Utilizing an IoT-Enabled Continuous Methane Emissions Monitoring System 利用物联网连续甲烷排放监测系统快速检测超级排放者
Pub Date : 2022-09-26 DOI: 10.2118/210464-ms
Aditi Chakrabarti, Mathieu Dauphin, A. Andrews, Lukasz Zielinski, K. Rashid, J. Yuan, A. Speck, Adam Huynh, Justin Power, Vincent Nicolas, Raphael Gadot
Large methane emissions occur from a wide variety of sites with no discernable patterns thus requiring methodologies to frequently monitor for these releases throughout the entire production chain. To cost-effectively monitor widely dispersed well pads, we describe a continuous monitoring system based on the Internet of Things (IoT) to leverage cost-optimized methane concentration sensors permanently deployed at facilities and connected to a cloud-based interpretation platform. Testing at controlled methane release facilities enabled the validation of the sensor performance; fidelity of the atmospheric dispersion modeling underlying our interpretation; and the overall system performance in detecting, localizing, and quantifying methane releases.
大量的甲烷排放发生在各种各样的地点,没有可识别的模式,因此需要在整个生产链中经常监测这些排放的方法。为了经济有效地监测广泛分布的井台,我们描述了一种基于物联网(IoT)的连续监测系统,该系统利用永久部署在设施中的成本优化的甲烷浓度传感器,并连接到基于云的解释平台。在受控甲烷释放设施进行的测试验证了传感器的性能;大气弥散模式的保真度是我们解释的基础;以及整个系统在检测、定位和量化甲烷释放方面的性能。
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引用次数: 1
Numerical RTA Extended to Complex Fracture Systems: Part 2 数值RTA扩展到复杂断裂系统:第2部分
Pub Date : 2022-09-26 DOI: 10.2118/210420-ms
Carlsen Mathias Lia, Whitson Curtis Hays
This paper is a continuation of the work presented in URTeC 3718584 (Carlsen & Whitson, 2022), and focuses on practical usage of ‘fractional RTA’ theory when applied to both simulated data and field data from the SPE data repository. Most of the theory presented in Part 1 is kept for completeness. An inherent assumption in most industry RTA is equally spaced fractures. However, as shown in several field studies (Raterman 2017, Gale 2018), the distance between individual fractures tends to be unevenly spaced along the wellbore (e.g., "fracture swarms"). In this paper, we extend the original numerical RTA workflow proposed by Bowie and Ewert (2020) to account for uneven fracture spacing. Acuna's (2016, 2020) heterogeneity parameter, delta (δ), is introduced to generalize the linear flow parameter (LFP) to account for complex fracture systems (LFP’ = Akδϕ1-δ = 4nfhxfkδϕ1-δ). For evenly spaced fractures, δ = 0.5, simplifying LFP’ to the familiar LFP = A√k = 4nfhxf√k. For uneven fracture systems, 0 ≤ δ ≤ 0.5. With known (a) well geometry, (b) fluid initialization (PVT and water saturation), (c) relative permeability relations, and (d) bottomhole pressure (BHP) time variation (above and below saturation pressure), three fundamental relationships exist in terms of LFP' and OOIP. Numerical reservoir simulation is used to define these relationships, providing the foundation for numerical RTA, also wells with complex fracture systems. Namely, that wells: (1) with the same value of LFP', the gas, oil and water surface rates will be identical during infinite-acting (IA) behavior; (2) with the same ratio LFP'/OOIP, producing GOR and water cut behavior will be identical for all times, IA and boundary dominated (BD); and (3) with the same values of LFP' and OOIP, rate performance of gas, oil, and water will be identical for all times, IA and BD. These observations lead to an efficient, semi-automated process to perform rigorous RTA, assisted by a symmetry element numerical model. The numerical RTA workflow proposed by Bowie and Ewert solves the inherent problems associated with complex superposition and multiphase flow effects involving time and spatial changes in pressure, compositions and PVT properties, saturations, and complex phase mobilities. This paper extends the approach to complex fracture systems that can be described by the Acuna parameter δ. Numerical RTA workflow decouples multiphase flow data (PVT, initial saturations and relative permeabilities) from well geometry and petrophysical properties (L, xf, h, nf, φ, k, δ), providing a rigorous yet efficient and semi-automated approach to define production performance for many wells. Contributions include a technical framework to perform numerical RTA for unconventional wells, irrespective of fracture spacing. Semi-analytical models, time, and spatial superposition (convolution), pseudopressure and pseudotime transforms are not required.
本文是URTeC 3718584 (Carlsen & Whitson, 2022)中提出的工作的延续,重点关注“分数RTA”理论在应用于SPE数据存储库中的模拟数据和现场数据时的实际应用。第1部分中介绍的大部分理论都是为了完整而保留的。大多数工业RTA的固有假设是等间距裂缝。然而,正如几项现场研究(Raterman 2017, Gale 2018)所示,单个裂缝之间的距离往往沿井筒分布不均匀(例如“裂缝群”)。在本文中,我们扩展了Bowie和Ewert(2020)提出的原始数值RTA工作流,以考虑裂缝间距不均匀。Acuna(2016, 2020)的非均质性参数δ (δ)被引入来推广线性流动参数(LFP),以解释复杂的裂缝系统(LFP ' = Akδϕ1-δ = 4nfhxfkδϕ1-δ)。对于均匀裂缝,δ = 0.5,将LFP '简化为我们熟悉的LFP = A√k = 4nfhxf√k。对于不均匀裂缝系统,0≤δ≤0.5。已知(a)井的几何形状,(b)流体初始化(PVT和含水饱和度),(c)相对渗透率关系,(d)井底压力(BHP)时间变化(高于和低于饱和压力),LFP'和OOIP之间存在三个基本关系。数值油藏模拟用于定义这些关系,为数值RTA以及具有复杂裂缝系统的井提供了基础。即:(1)LFP′值相同的井,在无限作用(IA)过程中,气、油、水的表面速率相同;(2)在LFP′/OOIP相同的情况下,所有时间的产油比和含水行为都是相同的,IA和边界主导(BD);(3)在LFP′和OOIP值相同的情况下,气、油和水的速率性能在所有时间(IA和BD)都是相同的。这些观察结果导致了一个高效的、半自动化的过程,可以在对称元素数值模型的辅助下执行严格的RTA。Bowie和Ewert提出的数值RTA工作流解决了与复杂叠加和多相流效应相关的固有问题,涉及压力、成分和PVT特性、饱和度以及复杂相迁移率的时间和空间变化。本文将该方法扩展到可以用Acuna参数δ描述的复杂裂缝系统。数值RTA工作流将多相流数据(PVT、初始饱和度和相对渗透率)与井的几何形状和岩石物理性质(L、xf、h、nf、φ、k、δ)解耦,为许多井的生产动态提供了一种严格而高效的半自动化方法。贡献包括对非常规井进行数值RTA的技术框架,无论裂缝间距如何。不需要半解析模型、时间和空间叠加(卷积)、伪压力和伪时间变换。
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引用次数: 0
Establishing Reasonable Certainty for Reserves Estimates by Utilizing a Combination of Reliable Technologies 综合运用可靠的技术,为储量估计建立合理的确定性
Pub Date : 2022-09-26 DOI: 10.2118/210358-ms
K. Narayanan, Peter Gale, J. Blangy, E. Young
The Petroleum Resources Management System (PRMS) (PRMS, 2018) and many regulatory agencies (e.g. US Securities and Exchange Commission – US SEC) require "Reasonable Certainty" for Proved Reserves estimates. The PRMS states that Reasonable Certainty can be demonstrated by use of "definitive geoscience, engineering, or performance data", while the SEC allows the application of reliable technology which they define as a "grouping of one or more technologies (including computational methods) that has been field tested to provide reasonably certain results with consistency and repeatability" (US Code of Federal Regulations § 210.4-10). The guidance provided by the PRMS or SEC for establishing reasonable certainty is general in nature due to the difficulty in explicitly describing all possible scenarios and also allows leeway to use new technologies in the future. In this context, we see the need for more discussion on how a reasonably certain case can be developed utilizing multiple technologies. Reserves estimates are snapshots in time based on the integration of the best data, analysis and forecasts available. Proper application of reliable technologies with all available data can help to refine the uncertainty ranges of reserves. We demonstrate how an overall reasonably certain estimate can be established by utilizing multiple reliable technologies even when each technology individually may not be sufficient to establish reasonable certainty. This approach can also guide how future performance data can be integrated to refine uncertainty ranges. This paper addresses the complex challenge of establishing reasonable certainty in reserves and resource assessments. The paper discusses how multiple reliable technologies may be used in concert to establish reasonable certainty for reserves estimates through the flexibility provided by the PRMS. We share our experiences with establishing reliability based on quality of data and reservoir complexity. The practical discussions in this paper will benefit subsurface teams and reserves estimators across the industry.
石油资源管理系统(PRMS) (PRMS, 2018)和许多监管机构(如美国证券交易委员会- US SEC)要求对探明储量估算具有“合理的确定性”。PRMS指出,合理的确定性可以通过使用“明确的地球科学、工程或性能数据”来证明,而SEC允许应用可靠的技术,他们将其定义为“一种或多种技术(包括计算方法)的分组,这些技术已经过现场测试,可以提供具有一致性和可重复性的合理确定的结果”(美国联邦法规第210.4-10条)。由于难以明确描述所有可能的情况,PRMS或SEC为建立合理确定性提供的指导本质上是一般性的,并且也允许在未来使用新技术。在这种情况下,我们认为有必要更多地讨论如何利用多种技术开发合理确定的案例。储量估计是在综合最佳数据、分析和预测的基础上及时得出的结论。利用所有现有数据适当应用可靠技术可以帮助确定储量的不确定范围。我们演示了如何通过利用多种可靠的技术来建立一个整体的合理确定的估计,即使每种技术单独可能不足以建立合理的确定性。这种方法还可以指导如何整合未来的性能数据以细化不确定性范围。本文解决了在储量和资源评估中建立合理确定性的复杂挑战。本文讨论了如何通过PRMS提供的灵活性,协同使用多种可靠技术来建立储量估计的合理确定性。我们分享了基于数据质量和油藏复杂性建立可靠性的经验。本文中的实际讨论将使整个行业的地下团队和储量估算人员受益。
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引用次数: 0
An Integrated Method to Mitigate Hazards from Hydraulic Fracturing-Induced Earthquakes in the Duvernay Shale Play 减轻Duvernay页岩区水力压裂地震危害的综合方法
Pub Date : 2022-09-26 DOI: 10.2118/210287-ms
Gang Hui, F. Gu
In recent decades, a remarkable increase in induced seismicity in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin (WCSB) has been largely attributed to the hydraulic fracturing (HF) operations in unconventional plays. However, a mitigation strategy concerning geological, geomechanical, and operational susceptibilities to HF-induced seismicity has not been well understood. In this work, an integrated method is proposed to mitigate potential risks from HF-induced seismicity in the Duvernay play near Crooked Lake. The geological susceptibility to induced seismicity is evaluated first from site-specific formation pressure, a distance to the Precambrian Basement, and the existence of pre-existing faults. The regional in-situ stress and rock mechanics are then assessed to determine the geomechanical susceptibility to induced seismicity. Next, the operational susceptibility is determined by comparing induced seismicity with operational parameters such as total injection fluids and proppant mass. Finally, a multiple linear regression (MLR)-based approach is proposed by considering the feature importance of different parameters. It is found that regions with a low formation pressure (<60MPa), a great distance to the Precambrian Basement (>260m), a low minimum principal stress (<70MPa), and a low brittleness index (<0.62) tend to be seismicity-quiescent regions. Three new horizontal wells are drilled and fractured to validate the applicability of our MLR-based approach. High-resolution monitoring results indicated that 95% of the induced events had a magnitude of less than 2.0 during and after HF operations (three-month time window and five-kilometer well-event distance), among which the maximum magnitude reached M3.05 (
近几十年来,加拿大西部沉积盆地(WCSB)诱发地震活动的显著增加,主要归因于非常规油气藏的水力压裂(HF)作业。然而,关于地质、地质力学和操作对高频诱发地震活动的敏感性的缓解策略尚未得到很好的理解。在这项工作中,提出了一种综合方法来减轻克鲁克湖附近Duvernay区块高频地震活动的潜在风险。对诱发地震活动的地质敏感性首先从特定地点的地层压力、到前寒武纪基底的距离以及是否存在预先存在的断层来评估。然后评估区域地应力和岩石力学,以确定诱发地震活动的地质力学敏感性。接下来,通过将诱发地震活动性与作业参数(如总注入流体和支撑剂质量)进行比较,确定作业敏感性。最后,考虑不同参数的特征重要性,提出了一种基于多元线性回归(MLR)的方法。研究发现,地层压力较低(260m)、最小主应力较低(<70MPa)、脆性指数较低(<0.62)的区域趋向于地震静止区。为了验证基于mlr方法的适用性,我们钻了三口新的水平井并进行了压裂。高分辨率监测结果表明,HF操作期间和操作后(3个月时间窗、5公里井-事件距离)95%的诱发事件震级小于2.0,其中最大震级达到M3.05(<红光等M4.0)。因此,基于mlr的方法成功地降低了潜在的地震活动风险,可以应用于其他地区,指导非常规油气藏的无地震压裂作业。
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引用次数: 3
A Flexible Design Approach to Improve Economics of Shale Well Pads: A Case Study from the Appalachian Basin 提高页岩井台经济效益的灵活设计方法:以阿巴拉契亚盆地为例
Pub Date : 2022-09-26 DOI: 10.2118/210087-ms
H. Kumar, T. Bhinde, A. Popa, David Hopkinson, R. de Neufville
Unconventional oil and gas projects are long-term, capital-intensive investments with significant risks due to various unknowns. The main uncertainties include reserves, reservoir quality, expected production, and commodity prices. Operating companies need to make decisions at the start of the project to design wells/facilities that impact production and economics throughout the project life. The system may be severely constrained at the start of production and have excess capacity in late field life based on design decisions often taken at the beginning with limited information. A novel approach to improve economic returns from shale pads is presented here using a flexible design concept. A physics-based integrated model is coupled with an economics model to demonstrate the system via a field example from the Appalachian Basin. A typical pad in Appalachia has fixed capacity gas processing units (GPUs) installed for each well. The current design does not allow for expansion or reduction of processing capacity if the reservoir quality or commodity prices are different from expectations. A flexible design allows operators to redeploy processing capacity to other pads under favorable technical and market conditions (reservoir conditions and product prices), thus, decreasing average costs and increasing profitability. An integration platform was used to couple an economic model with a physics-based integrated production model consisting of a pad's reservoir, well and surface network. The coupled models were used to generate short-term forecasts (2-3 years). Scenarios were run on the integrated model based on defined uncertainties such as reservoir characteristics and economics. We evaluated two flexible options, rental GPU and in-house GPU augmentation which were compared with the current fixed design. The results demonstrate that flexible designs result in higher (>5%) net present values (NPVs) for the project compared to fixed designs. Also, the flexible designs reduce the economic risk if the future market and operating conditions turn out to be unfavorable.
非常规油气项目是长期的、资本密集型的投资,由于各种未知因素,风险很大。主要的不确定因素包括储量、储层质量、预期产量和商品价格。运营公司需要在项目开始时做出决定,设计影响整个项目生命周期产量和经济效益的井/设施。该系统在生产初期可能会受到严重限制,并且在后期的油田使用寿命中,由于通常在一开始就根据有限的信息做出设计决策,该系统的产能可能会过剩。本文提出了一种利用灵活设计理念提高页岩气开发经济效益的新方法。基于物理的集成模型与经济学模型相结合,通过Appalachian盆地的一个油田实例来演示该系统。在阿巴拉契亚的一个典型区块,每口井都安装了固定容量的天然气处理单元(gpu)。如果储层质量或商品价格与预期不同,目前的设计不允许扩大或减少处理能力。灵活的设计使作业者能够在有利的技术和市场条件下(油藏条件和产品价格)将处理能力重新部署到其他区块,从而降低平均成本,提高盈利能力。利用集成平台将经济模型与基于物理的综合生产模型(包括区块的油藏、井和地面网络)耦合在一起。耦合模型用于生成短期预测(2-3年)。基于定义的不确定性(如油藏特征和经济),在综合模型上运行情景。我们评估了两种灵活的选择,租用GPU和内部GPU增强,并将其与当前的固定设计进行比较。结果表明,与固定设计相比,灵活设计可为项目带来更高(>5%)的净现值(npv)。此外,灵活的设计降低了未来市场和经营条件不利时的经济风险。
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引用次数: 0
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