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Long-term budgeting: A cautionary tale from U.S. experience 长期预算:美国经验的警示
Pub Date : 2018-09-04 DOI: 10.1787/BUDGET-17-5J8MXQLPL98N
Joseph White
There is a growing tendency, among central budget-makers and commentators, to argue budgets should be made for the long-term, rather than the traditional annual budget. This tendency is especially strong in the United States, where it has become virtually a conventional wisdom. This article explains, first, why that approach fits very poorly with most of the goals of budgeting. It then evaluates U.S. experience with approximations of long-term budgeting of three types: i) medium-term limits on discretionary spending, ii) the Social Security programme, and the iii) Medicare programme. That experience illustrates the reasons why long-term budgeting would not be a positive reform. They include the fantastical nature of many long-term forecasts, strong incentives for both deception and self-deception about the effects of planned budget totals, and ignoring the basic task of budgeting, which is to reconcile preferences about policy details to preferences about budget totals in a way that considers each.
在中央预算制定者和评论员中,越来越多的人认为,预算应该是长期的,而不是传统的年度预算。这种趋势在美国尤其强烈,在那里它实际上已经成为一种传统智慧。本文首先解释了为什么这种方法不适合大多数预算目标。然后,它用三种类型的长期预算来评估美国的经验:i)可自由支配支出的中期限制,ii)社会保障计划,以及iii)医疗保险计划。这一经验说明了为什么长期预算不会是一项积极的改革。它们包括许多长期预测的幻想本质,对计划预算总额的影响进行欺骗和自我欺骗的强烈动机,以及忽视预算编制的基本任务,即以一种考虑两者的方式协调对政策细节的偏好和对预算总额的偏好。
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引用次数: 1
Rationalising government fiscal reporting: Lessons learned from Australia, Canada, France and the United Kingdom on how to better address users' needs 合理化政府财政报告:从澳大利亚、加拿大、法国和联合王国获得的关于如何更好地满足用户需求的经验教训
Pub Date : 2018-04-19 DOI: 10.1787/budget-17-5j8z25lsphq8
Delphine Moretti
In OECD countries, fiscal reports are increasingly sophisticated, highlighting governments’ commitment to fiscal transparency and accountability towards parliaments and citizens. However, users regularly express concerns with these documents, revealing a fundamental “paradox” with government fiscal reporting: desire for detail and sophistication may come at the expense of clarity. Against this background, this paper looks at four countries (Australia, Canada, France and the United Kingdom) that have endeavoured to resolve this paradox by rationalising their fiscal reporting with the aim of making it more legible for users and draws a short set of implications for other countries looking to strengthen and rationalise their fiscal reporting practices.JEL Codes: H50, H60, H83Keywords: fiscal reporting, accountability, transparency
在经合组织国家,财政报告越来越复杂,突出了政府对财政透明度和对议会和公民问责制的承诺。然而,用户经常对这些文件表示担忧,这揭示了政府财政报告的一个根本“悖论”:对细节和复杂性的渴望可能以牺牲清晰度为代价。在此背景下,本文着眼于四个国家(澳大利亚、加拿大、法国和英国),这些国家努力通过合理化其财务报告来解决这一悖论,目的是使其更易于用户理解,并为其他希望加强和合理化其财务报告实践的国家提供了一套简短的启示。JEL代码:H50, H60, h83关键词:财务报告,问责制,透明度
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引用次数: 4
Financing and budgeting practices for health in Peru 秘鲁卫生筹资和预算编制做法
Pub Date : 2018-04-19 DOI: 10.1787/budget-17-5j8v16g3czth
Camila Vammalle, A. Rivadeneira, C. James, Lorena Prieto, Vilma Montañez
Peru has made substantial progress towards achieving UHC. Increases in access to healthcare and financial protection had a positive impact in health outcomes. Despite this progress, major efforts are needed to reduce fragmentation and increase efficiency in the health system as a whole. Creating formal coordination mechanisms and improving capacity at the subnational level are key elements to ensure that any additional resource spent has a great positive impact in Peru’s health care system. The well-developed and highly institutionalised PPR methodology in Peru can inspire other countries in the LAC region. However, other budgetary practices could be better aligned with OECD recommendations of good budgetary governance. In particular, making the approved budget closer to what is expected to be executed would greatly increase the usefulness of the budget, showing how resources are prioritised and how annual policy objectives are to be achieved.JEL codes: H5, H60, I11, I18Keywords: Universal health coverage UHC, Peru, health expenditures, budget formulation, budget execution, budget monitoring, fiscal sustainability of health systems
秘鲁在实现全民健康覆盖方面取得了实质性进展。增加获得医疗保健和财务保护的机会对健康结果产生了积极影响。尽管取得了这一进展,但仍需作出重大努力,以减少卫生系统的碎片化,提高整个卫生系统的效率。建立正式的协调机制和提高国家以下一级的能力是确保任何额外资源支出对秘鲁卫生保健系统产生重大积极影响的关键因素。秘鲁完善和高度制度化的小反刍兽疫方法可以激励拉丁美洲和加勒比地区的其他国家。但是,其他预算做法可以更好地符合经合组织关于良好预算管理的建议。特别是,使核定的预算更接近预期执行的预算将大大增加预算的有用性,显示如何确定资源的优先次序以及如何实现年度政策目标。JEL代码:H5, H60, I11, i18关键词:全民健康覆盖UHC,秘鲁,卫生支出,预算制定,预算执行,预算监测,卫生系统财政可持续性
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引用次数: 4
The European Union budget and the European refugee and migration crises 欧盟预算和欧洲难民和移民危机
Pub Date : 2018-04-19 DOI: 10.1787/budget-17-5j8wgm2qnsvg
J. Savage, Johannes Siter
This article examines how the European Union has addressed the dramatic influx of refugees through programmes funded by the EU budget. This migratory surge has placed significant and unexpected fiscal demands on the EU’s current multi-year budgetary framework. As a result, the EU has been forced to employ a variety of budgetary procedures and new fiscal instruments to give it the fiscal flexibility it needs to fund programmes administered inside and outside the EU. Some of these very new fiscal instruments add an additional layer of complexity to the current funding architecture, and it is too early to determine how well these spending practices stand up to Parliamentarian oversight, monitoring, auditing, and regular reporting.
本文考察了欧盟如何通过欧盟预算资助的方案解决难民的大量涌入问题。这股移民潮对欧盟当前的多年预算框架提出了重大且意想不到的财政需求。因此,欧盟被迫采用各种预算程序和新的财政工具,以获得所需的财政灵活性,为欧盟内外管理的项目提供资金。其中一些非常新的财政工具为当前的融资架构增加了额外的复杂性,现在确定这些支出做法在多大程度上经得起议会的监督、监督、审计和定期报告还为时过早。
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引用次数: 3
A theoretical framework for spending review policies at a time of widespread recession 大范围衰退时期支出审查政策的理论框架
Pub Date : 2018-04-19 DOI: 10.1787/BUDGET-17-5J8Z25K1LTJC
G. Catalano, Angelo Erbacci
The aim of this paper is to propose a first theoretical framework for medium term spending reviews that determines the main factors affecting the use of these spending reviews and their impact, at a time of widespread recession. As result, it identifies four dimensions (political, social, organisational and operational) and one dynamic element (time) that influence the performance of spending reviews and should be considered in approaching this tool. Finally this paper introduces some theoretical and policy considerations, concerning both how to effectively address the five elements that influence the spending review and how a government should design this tool.JEL codes: H50, H61, H83 Keywords: Spending reviews, recession, performance budgeting, cutback management
本文的目的是为中期支出审查提出第一个理论框架,该框架确定了在广泛衰退时期影响这些支出审查使用及其影响的主要因素。因此,它确定了影响支出审查绩效的四个方面(政治、社会、组织和业务)和一个动态因素(时间),在使用这一工具时应予以考虑。最后,本文介绍了一些理论和政策考虑,包括如何有效地解决影响支出审查的五个因素以及政府应该如何设计这一工具。关键词:支出审查,衰退,绩效预算,削减管理
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引用次数: 5
Budgeting in Oaxaca 瓦哈卡州的预算
Pub Date : 2017-12-20 DOI: 10.1787/BUDGET-17-5JFJB4LCSGZW
Camila Vammalle, Ana María Ruiz, Ronnie Downes
Oaxaca recently experienced a period of rapid growth of public expenditure, in response to social and economic priorities. These increases in expenditure were not accompanied with corresponding increases in actual revenues, thus leading to the build-up of deficits. In 2013, the state embraced a consolidation plan, increasing revenue collections and cutting public expenditure and investment, aiming to restore budgetary balance by 2016. The Secretariat of Finance of Oaxaca has recently introduced a more robust legal framework to ensure fiscal sustainability, and avoid such policy fluctuations in the future. Despite recent improvements, there is still space to improve budget practices towards a more planned, accountable, participative and transparent budget process, as well as having an institutional and legal framework in place to ensure these practices have continuity between administrations.
瓦哈卡最近经历了一个公共支出快速增长的时期,以响应社会和经济优先事项。这些支出的增加并没有伴随着实际收入的相应增加,从而导致赤字的积累。2013年,该州实施了一项整顿计划,增加税收,削减公共支出和投资,旨在到2016年恢复预算平衡。瓦哈卡州财政秘书处最近推出了一个更强有力的法律框架,以确保财政可持续性,并避免今后出现此类政策波动。尽管最近有所改善,但仍有改进预算做法的空间,以实现更有计划、更负责、更有参与性和更透明的预算进程,并建立体制和法律框架,以确保这些做法在各行政部门之间具有连续性。
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引用次数: 0
Budgeting and performance in the European Union: A review by the OECD in the context of EU budget focused on results 欧盟的预算编制和执行情况:经合组织在欧盟预算背景下着重于结果的审查
Pub Date : 2017-12-20 DOI: 10.1787/BUDGET-17-5JFNX7FJ38R2
Ronnie Downes, Delphine Moretti, Scherie Nicol
The European Union has a unique system of institutions and relationships between different levels of government resulting in a close attention to the performance aspects of budgeting. The EU system of budgeting for performance and results is advanced and highly specified, scoring higher than any OECD country in the standard index of performance budgeting frameworks. Aimed at improving the effectiveness of the EU budget in contributing to the achievement of EU objectives for growth, the EU Budget Focused on Results initiative is one that is gaining more focus and importance since it was launched in 2015. This report is the OECD’s independent assessment of how the EU model of budgeting for performance and results compares with good practice around the world, in line with the long-established practice of OECD Budget Reviews; and offers suggestions for how the current reform agenda might be advanced.JEl Codes: H50, H61, H83Keywords: Europe 2020, Multiannual Financial Framework, Annual Management and Performance Report, European Court of Audit, EU Budget Focused on Results
欧洲联盟拥有独特的机构制度和各级政府之间的关系,因此密切关注预算编制的绩效方面。欧盟的绩效和成果预算制度是先进和高度具体的,在绩效预算框架的标准指数中得分高于任何经合组织国家。欧盟预算注重实效倡议自2015年启动以来,日益受到关注和重视,旨在提高欧盟预算在促进实现欧盟增长目标方面的有效性。本报告是经合组织根据经合组织预算审查的长期惯例,对欧盟的绩效和结果预算模式与世界各地的良好做法进行的独立评估;并就如何推进当前的改革议程提出了建议。关键词:欧洲2020,多年度财务框架,年度管理和绩效报告,欧洲审计法院,注重结果的欧盟预算
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引用次数: 21
Long-term fiscal sustainability analysis: Benchmarks for Independent Fiscal Institutions 长期财政可持续性分析:独立财政机构的基准
Pub Date : 2017-12-20 DOI: 10.1787/budget-17-5jfjb4lcpkhh
T. Shaw
External evaluation is one of the key principles recommended by the OECD for an Independent Fiscal Institution to function well. External evaluations could take the form of periodic reviews of selected pieces of work, regular annual evaluations of the quality of analysis, permanent installations such as an advisory panel or board, or peer reviews by an IFI in another country.
外部评估是经合组织建议的独立财政机构良好运作的关键原则之一。外部评价可以采取以下形式:对选定的工作进行定期审查、对分析质量进行定期年度评估、设立常设机构,如咨询小组或委员会,或由国际金融机构在另一个国家进行同行审查。
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引用次数: 3
Public sector productivity: Measurement challenges, performance information and prospects for improvement 公共部门生产力:测量挑战、绩效信息和改进前景
Pub Date : 2017-12-20 DOI: 10.1787/budget-17-5jfj7vb36p5c
Patrick Dunleavy
Improving productivity at the organisational level offers the greatest immediate dividends and could successfully cover the largest departments and agencies at the central or national level. For many decades the measurement of government outputs in national statistics and economic accounts used inputs, which assumes that government productivity neither grows nor falls. Modern solutions exist however, that can generate empirically useful metrics of total outputs from which stakeholders could learn key lessons about the productivity of their agencies over time. This article outlines the tools needed to apply these modern solutions and offers recommendations for improving cross-national productivity data for government. JEL Codes: H10, H11, H30 Keywords: Productivity measurement, core inputs, quality weighting, labour, regression analysis
提高组织层面的生产力可以带来最大的直接红利,并可以成功地覆盖中央或国家层面上最大的部门和机构。几十年来,在国家统计数据和经济账户中,政府产出的衡量都使用投入,这假设政府生产率既不增长也不下降。然而,现代解决方案是存在的,它可以产生经验上有用的总产出指标,利益相关者可以从中学到有关其机构长期生产力的关键教训。本文概述了应用这些现代解决方案所需的工具,并为政府提供了改进跨国生产率数据的建议。关键词:生产率测量,核心投入,质量加权,劳动力,回归分析
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引用次数: 11
Gender budgeting in OECD countries 经合组织国家的性别预算
Pub Date : 2017-09-05 DOI: 10.1787/BUDGET-16-5JFQ80DQ1ZBN
Ronnie Downes, Lisa von Trapp, Scherie Nicol
Gender gaps persist in education, employment, entrepreneurship and public life opportunities and outcomes. Gender budgeting involves using the tools, techniques and procedures of the budget cycle in a systematic way to promote equality. Responses to the 2016 OECD Survey of Gender Budgeting Practices show that almost half of OECD countries have introduced, plan to introduce or are actively considering the introduction of gender budgeting. The OECD analysis demonstrates that a wide variety of gender budgeting approaches are practised. Only half of OECD countries can currently point to specific examples of impact, however a wider range of impacts may become more evident in the future since the introduction of gender budgeting is relatively recent in many countries. Useful areas for further study and policy action include: the routine availability of gender-disaggregated data; embedding of genderspecific approaches within the normal annual routines of budgeting; and complementing executive-led approaches with external quality assurance. JEL codes:H54, H60, H61 Keywords: Gender budgeting, gender equality, budgetary process, budgeting practices
在教育、就业、创业和公共生活的机会和成果方面,性别差距依然存在。性别预算涉及以系统的方式使用预算周期的工具、技术和程序来促进平等。对2016年经合组织性别预算实践调查的回应显示,几乎一半的经合组织国家已经引入、计划引入或正在积极考虑引入性别预算。经合发组织的分析表明,实行了各种各样的性别预算编制办法。目前只有一半的经合发组织国家能够指出具体的影响实例,但是,由于许多国家最近才开始实行性别预算编制,今后可能会有更广泛的影响。进一步研究和采取政策行动的有用领域包括:定期提供按性别分列的数据;在正常的年度预算编制程序中纳入针对性别的办法;并通过外部质量保证来补充行政领导的方法。关键词:性别预算,性别平等,预算流程,预算实践
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引用次数: 61
期刊
Oecd Journal on Budgeting
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