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Determinants of capital structure for firms in an Islamic equity index: comparing developed and developing countries 伊斯兰股票指数中公司资本结构的决定因素:比较发达国家和发展中国家
Pub Date : 2020-11-09 DOI: 10.1108/jcms-07-2020-0023
Evrim Hilal Kahya, H. Y. Ersen, Cumhur Ekinci, O. Tas, K. Simsek
PurposeThe paper aims to identify the differences between developed and developing country firms with respect to firm-specific and country-level determinants of their capital structure. For this purpose, all constituent firms in one of the oldest Islamic equity indices, Dow Jones Islamic Market World Index (DJIM), are considered and the Muslim-majority status of each firm's domicile country is recognized.Design/methodology/approachThe study employs Hausman–Taylor random effects regression with endogenous covariates to explain the debt ratios of firms in DJIM by separating them into developed and developing country subsamples in an unbalanced panel data setting. Developing country subsample is further split into two based on the Muslim-majority status of each firm's domicile country.FindingsConsistent with the previous literature, this study finds that firm-specific characteristics are the main determinants of their capital structure. Additionally, the paper shows that country-level characteristics have an impact on the debt ratio, however, the types of factors vary across developed and developing countries. Debt ratios in developing country firms are lower than those in developed country firms, largely due to the significantly smaller leverage ratios of firms in Muslim-majority countries. Although the debt ratios of DJIM firms are higher in “non-Muslim” countries, the set of firm-level capital structure determinants are not statistically explained by operating in a “Muslim” country. The study also documents that, before the global financial crisis of 2008, companies in developing countries have gradually become less leveraged worldwide.Originality/valueThis paper provides a new perspective into the differences between developed and developing country firms' capital structures by focusing on a relatively homogeneous data set restricted by leverage screening rules of an Islamic equity index and recognizing the Muslim-majority status of each firm's domicile country.
目的:本文旨在确定发达国家和发展中国家公司在资本结构的公司特定和国家层面决定因素方面的差异。为此目的,考虑到最古老的伊斯兰股票指数之一道琼斯伊斯兰市场世界指数(DJIM)中的所有组成公司,并承认每个公司的注册国的穆斯林占多数地位。设计/方法/方法本研究采用Hausman-Taylor随机效应回归和内生协变量来解释DJIM公司的负债率,方法是在不平衡面板数据设置中将它们分为发达国家和发展中国家子样本。发展中国家的子样本根据每个公司所在国的穆斯林多数地位进一步分为两个。研究结果与之前的文献一致,本研究发现,企业特有的特征是其资本结构的主要决定因素。此外,本文还表明,国家层面的特征对负债率有影响,然而,发达国家和发展中国家的因素类型有所不同。发展中国家公司的负债率低于发达国家公司,这主要是由于穆斯林占多数的国家公司的杠杆率要小得多。尽管DJIM公司在“非穆斯林”国家的负债率更高,但在“穆斯林”国家经营的公司层面资本结构决定因素并不能从统计学上解释。该研究还证明,在2008年全球金融危机之前,发展中国家企业在全球范围内的杠杆率逐渐降低。原创性/价值本文通过关注受伊斯兰股权指数杠杆筛选规则限制的相对同质的数据集,并认识到每个公司的注册国的穆斯林占多数地位,为发达国家和发展中国家公司资本结构的差异提供了一个新的视角。
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引用次数: 12
Efficiency and productivity analysis for intermediary institutions: Turkish capital markets case 中介机构的效率和生产率分析:土耳其资本市场案例
Pub Date : 2020-11-09 DOI: 10.1108/jcms-08-2020-0032
G. Aras, Yasemin Karaman, Evrim Hacioglu Kazak
PurposeThe purpose of this study is to investigate efficiency and productivity of Turkey’s both brokerage sector and intermediary institutions (IIs) that have been active in Turkish capital markets.Design/methodology/approachData envelopment analysis (DEA) and Malmquist total factor productivity index (MPI) are used to analyze efficiency and productivity of Turkey’s both brokerage sector and 51 Turkish IIs constantly operated between the years 2008 and 2018. Paid-in capital, administrative expenses and trading volumes are used as input, while net trading commissions and net profit/loss are used as output in analysis. The calculations of this analysis are made with DEAP 2.2 program and Python.FindingsThe results reveal that during the analysis period, percentage of efficient institutions among 51 IIs was between 18% and 39% while the sector’s mean efficiency score ranged between 52% and 65%. While 2009 is the year with the highest number of efficient institutions, 2013 is observed to be the least. Finally, the results of productivity analysis indicate that all types of IIs are not fully productive during the related period. The striking finding obtained is that though there is a decrease in total productivity change, the technological change has a positive effect on their productivity change.Originality/valueThis study is a double-layered research paper that includes efficiency analysis by DEA in the first step and productivity analysis by using MPI in the second step.
目的本研究的目的是调查一直活跃在土耳其资本市场的土耳其经纪部门和中介机构的效率和生产力。设计/方法/方法使用数据包络分析(DEA)和Malmquist全要素生产率指数(MPI)来分析土耳其经纪行业和2008年至2018年期间持续运营的51家土耳其IIs的效率和生产率。实收资本、管理费用和交易量作为输入,而净交易佣金和净损益作为分析输出。利用DEAP 2.2程序和Python进行分析计算。研究结果显示,在分析期间,51家高等教育机构中,高效机构的比例在18%至39%之间,而该行业的平均效率得分在52%至65%之间。2009年是高效机构数量最多的一年,而2013年则是最少的一年。最后,生产率分析结果表明,在相关时期,所有类型的工业都不是完全生产的。得到的惊人发现是,虽然总生产率变化有所减少,但技术变革对其生产率变化有积极的影响。原创性/价值本研究是一篇双层研究论文,第一步采用DEA进行效率分析,第二步采用MPI进行生产率分析。
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引用次数: 0
Predictability in securities price formation: differences between developed and emerging markets 证券价格形成的可预测性:发达市场与新兴市场的差异
Pub Date : 2020-11-09 DOI: 10.1108/jcms-07-2020-0025
S. Camilleri, S. Vassallo, Y. Bai
PurposeThis paper examines whether there are differences in the nature of the price discovery process across established versus emerging stock markets using a twenty-country sample.Design/methodology/approachThe authors analyse security returns for traces of predictability or non-randomness using variance ratio tests, Granger-Causality models and runs tests.FindingsThe findings pinpoint at predictabilities which seem inconsistent with market efficiency, and they suggest that the inherent cause of predictability differs across groups.Research limitations/implicationsThe authors present empirical evidence which may be used to attain a deeper understanding of the links between predictability and market efficiency, in view of the conflicting evidence in prior literature.Practical implicationsWhilst the pricing process in emerging markets may be hindered by delayed adjustments, in case of established markets it seems that there is a higher tendency for price reversals which could be due to prior over-reactions.Originality/valueThis study presents evidence of substantial differences in predictability across developed and emerging markets which was gleaned through the rigorous application of different empirical tests.
本文使用20个国家的样本来检验在成熟和新兴股票市场中价格发现过程的性质是否存在差异。设计/方法/方法作者使用方差比测试、格兰杰因果关系模型和运行测试来分析可预测性或非随机性的安全回报痕迹。研究结果指出了与市场效率似乎不一致的可预测性,并表明可预测性的内在原因因群体而异。研究的局限性/意义鉴于先前文献中相互矛盾的证据,作者提出的经验证据可用于更深入地理解可预测性与市场效率之间的联系。虽然新兴市场的定价过程可能会受到延迟调整的阻碍,但在成熟市场,似乎有更高的价格反转趋势,这可能是由于先前的过度反应。原创性/价值本研究提出了发达市场和新兴市场在可预测性方面存在重大差异的证据,这些差异是通过严格应用不同的实证测试收集到的。
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引用次数: 1
Profitability and optimal debt ratio of the automobiles and parts sector in the Euro area 欧元区汽车及零部件行业的盈利能力和最优负债率
Pub Date : 2020-11-09 DOI: 10.1108/jcms-08-2020-0031
Charalampos Basdekis, A. Christopoulos, Ioannis Katsampoxakis, Alexandros Lyras
PurposeThe goal of this paper is twofold: to assess the influence of specific corporate and market features on automobiles and parts sector's profitability in Euro area and to identify this particular sector's optimum debt level.Design/methodology/approachFor the paper's purposes, the authors applied a panel data analysis on an annual basis for the period 2005–2017.FindingsThere is a strong statistical significance of debt ratio, growth domestic product per capita growth, E.C.'s economic sentiment index (ESI), the European Central Bank key interest rate and the Euro area crisis on sector's profitability, while weak statistical significance appears to emerge for the firm's size. Moreover, the authors find average 14.4% profitability for the entire sector of the Euro area, without significant fluctuations among firms and/or during the examined time period. Another interesting finding of this study is that results are consistent with the theory of Modigliani Miller that financial leverage at a “low” level is beneficial for the firm, but beyond a turning point, it becomes counterproductive. This turning point for the automobiles and parts sector in Euro area has been computed at 47.3%.Originality/valueThe paper focuses on issues of profitability, capital structure and optimal debt ratio of an important sector of the economy, the automotive sector. As regards the Euro area automotive sector, it is a dynamic sector with a significant multiplier effect for the European economy as it is strongly correlated with other industrial sectors as chemicals, steel, textiles, information technology and so forth, having an outstanding multiplier effect on the economy.
目的本文的目标是双重的:评估特定的企业和市场特征对汽车和零部件部门在欧元区的盈利能力的影响,并确定这一特定部门的最佳债务水平。为了本文的目的,作者对2005-2017年期间的年度面板数据进行了分析。研究发现:负债率、人均国内生产总值增长等具有较强的统计学意义经济景气指数(ESI)、欧洲央行关键利率和欧元区危机对行业盈利能力的影响,而公司规模似乎出现了微弱的统计显著性。此外,作者发现欧元区整个部门的平均盈利能力为14.4%,在公司之间和/或在所研究的时间段内没有显著波动。本研究的另一个有趣的发现是,结果与Modigliani Miller的理论一致,即“低”水平的财务杠杆对公司有利,但超过一个转折点,它就会适得其反。欧元区汽车和零部件行业的这一转折点已被计算为47.3%。本文主要研究经济中一个重要部门——汽车行业的盈利能力、资本结构和最优负债率问题。至于欧元区的汽车行业,它是一个充满活力的行业,对欧洲经济具有显著的乘数效应,因为它与化工、钢铁、纺织、信息技术等其他工业部门密切相关,对经济具有显著的乘数效应。
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引用次数: 7
Is there any effect of ESG scores on portfolio performance? Evidence from Europe and Turkey ESG分数对投资组合绩效有影响吗?来自欧洲和土耳其的证据
Pub Date : 2020-11-05 DOI: 10.1108/jcms-09-2020-0034
Emre Zehir, A. Aybars
PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to examine the performance of portfolios that are constructed based on environmental, social and governance (ESG) scores and consist of stocks located in Europe and Turkey.Design/methodology/approachIn order to form the portfolios, firstly all stocks are ranked in a descending way based on ESG-based (ESG, environmental, social and governance) scores, separately. Then, 10% of stocks with the highest scores are included in the “Top” portfolio and 10% of stocks with the lowest scores are included in “Bottom” portfolio and totally performance of eight portfolios are investigated. Finally, capital asset pricing model (CAPM) and Fama-French three-factor model are employed as performance measurement benchmarks.FindingsResults obtained from CAPM regression show that using ESG-based scores two portfolios underperform the market index. The results of the three-factor model provide that performances of Bottom ESG and Bottom GOV portfolios outperform the market excess return by 0.57% and 0.53%. The overall findings of this paper indicate that there is no relationship between socially responsible investment (SRI) and portfolio performance. These findings are in line with the efficient market hypothesis which indicates all information is reflected in prices.Originality/valueThe aim of the study is to provide insight on the question of “whether SRI has any effect on the portfolio performance”. As far as the literature review is concerned it is seen that this study provide additional insight by utilizing a longer time span together with data from numerous markets.
本文的目的是研究基于环境、社会和治理(ESG)分数构建的投资组合的绩效,这些投资组合由位于欧洲和土耳其的股票组成。为了形成投资组合,首先,根据ESG (ESG,环境,社会和治理)得分,将所有股票按降序排列。然后,将得分最高的10%的股票纳入“Top”投资组合,将得分最低的10%的股票纳入“Bottom”投资组合,考察8个投资组合的总体表现。最后,采用资本资产定价模型(CAPM)和Fama-French三因素模型作为绩效衡量基准。从CAPM回归得到的结果表明,使用基于esg的分数,两个投资组合表现低于市场指数。三因素模型的结果表明,底部ESG和底部政府投资组合的表现分别比市场超额回报率高出0.57%和0.53%。研究结果表明,社会责任投资与投资组合绩效之间不存在相关性。这些发现符合有效市场假说,即所有信息都反映在价格上。原创性/价值本研究的目的是为“SRI是否对投资组合绩效有任何影响”的问题提供见解。就文献综述而言,可以看到这项研究通过利用更长的时间跨度以及来自众多市场的数据提供了额外的见解。
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引用次数: 6
The impact of political instability driven by the Tunisian revolution on the relationship between Google search queries index and financial market dynamics 突尼斯革命导致的政治不稳定对谷歌搜索查询指数和金融市场动态之间关系的影响
Pub Date : 2020-09-11 DOI: 10.1108/JCMS-04-2020-0005
Yousra Trichilli, Mouna Boujelbène Abbes, Sabrine Zouari
PurposeThis paper examines the impact of political instability on the investors' behavior, measured by Google search queries, and on the dynamics of stock market returns.Design/methodology/approachFirst, by using the DCC-GARCH model, the authors examine the effect of investor sentiment on the Tunisian stock market return. Second, the authors employ the fully modified dynamic ordinary least square method (FMOL) to estimate the long-term relationship between investor sentiment and Tunisian stock market return. Finally, the authors use the wavelet coherence model to test the co-movement between investor sentiment measured by Google Trends and Tunisian stock market return.FindingsUsing the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC), the authors find that Google search queries index has the ability to reflect political events especially the Tunisian revolution. In addition, empirical results of fully modified ordinary least square (FMOLS) method reveal that Google search queries index has a slightly higher effect on Tunindex return after the Tunisian revolution than before this revolution. Furthermore, by employing wavelet coherence model, the authors find strong comovement between Google search queries index and return index during the period of the Tunisian revolution political instability. Moreover, in the frequency domain, strong coherence can be found in less than four months and in 16–32 months during the Tunisian revolution which show that the Google search queries measure was leading over Tunindex return. In fact, wavelet coherence analysis confirms the result of DCC that Google search queries index has the ability to detect the behavior of Tunisian investors especially during the period of political instability.Research limitations/implicationsThis study provides empirical evidence to portfolio managers that may use Google search queries index as a robust measure of investor's sentiment to select a suitable investment and to make an optimal investments decisions.Originality/valueThe important research question of how political instability affects stock market dynamics has been neglected by scholars. This paper attempts principally to fill this void by investigating the time-varying interactions between market returns, volatility and Google search based index, especially during Tunisian revolution.
本文考察了政治不稳定对投资者行为的影响,通过谷歌搜索查询来衡量,以及对股市回报动态的影响。设计/方法/方法首先,通过使用DCC-GARCH模型,作者检验了投资者情绪对突尼斯股市回报的影响。其次,采用完全修正的动态普通最小二乘法(FMOL)估计投资者情绪与突尼斯股市收益之间的长期关系。最后,作者使用小波相干模型来测试由谷歌趋势测量的投资者情绪与突尼斯股市回报之间的共同运动。使用动态条件关联(DCC),作者发现谷歌搜索查询索引有能力反映政治事件,特别是突尼斯革命。此外,完全修正普通最小二乘(FMOLS)方法的实证结果显示,突尼斯革命后,Google搜索查询索引对Tunindex回报的影响略高于革命前。此外,通过采用小波相干模型,作者发现在突尼斯革命政治不稳定时期,谷歌搜索查询指数和返回指数之间有很强的一致性。此外,在频域中,在不到4个月的时间里,在突尼斯革命期间的16-32个月里,可以发现强相干性,这表明谷歌搜索查询指标领先于Tunindex返回。事实上,小波相干性分析证实了DCC的结果,即谷歌搜索查询指数具有检测突尼斯投资者行为的能力,特别是在政治不稳定时期。本研究为投资组合管理者提供了实证证据,可以将谷歌搜索查询指数作为投资者情绪的有力衡量指标,以选择合适的投资并做出最优的投资决策。政治不稳定如何影响股市动态这一重要的研究问题一直被学者们所忽视。本文主要试图通过调查市场回报、波动性和基于谷歌搜索的指数之间的时变相互作用来填补这一空白,特别是在突尼斯革命期间。
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引用次数: 1
Fed and ECB: which is informative in determining the DCC between bitcoin and energy commodities? 美联储和欧洲央行:谁对确定比特币和能源大宗商品之间的DCC有帮助?
Pub Date : 2020-08-14 DOI: 10.1108/jcms-07-2020-0022
Abdelkader Mohamed Sghaier Derbali, Lamia Jamel, Monia Ben Ltaifa, Ahmed K. Elnagar, A. Lamouchi
PurposeThis paper provides an important perspective to the predictive capacity of Fed and European Central Bank (ECB) meeting dates and production announcements for the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) between Bitcoin and energy commodities returns and volatilities during the period from August 11, 2015 to March 31, 2018.Design/methodology/approachTo assess empirically the unanticipated component of the US and ECB monetary policy, the authors pursue the Kuttner's approach and use the federal funds futures and the ECB funds futures to assess the surprise component. The authors use the approach of DCC as introduced by Engle (2002) during the period from August 11, 2015 to March 31, 2018.FindingsThe authors’ results suggest strong significant DCCs between Bitcoin and energy commodity markets if monetary policy surprises are incorporated in variance. These results confirmed the financialization of Bitcoin and commodity energy markets. Finally, the DCC between Bitcoin and energy commodity markets appears to respond considerably more in the case of Fed surprises than ECB surprises.Originality/valueThis study is a crucial topic for policymakers and portfolio risk managers.
本文为2015年8月11日至2018年3月31日期间,美联储和欧洲央行(ECB)会议日期和生产公告对比特币与能源商品回报和波动之间的动态条件相关性(DCC)的预测能力提供了一个重要视角。设计/方法/方法为了从经验上评估美国和欧洲央行货币政策的意外成分,作者采用了库特纳的方法,并使用联邦基金期货和欧洲央行基金期货来评估意外成分。作者在2015年8月11日至2018年3月31日期间使用了Engle(2002)引入的DCC方法。作者的研究结果表明,如果将货币政策意外纳入方差中,比特币和能源商品市场之间存在显著的dcc。这些结果证实了比特币和大宗商品能源市场的金融化。最后,比特币和能源大宗商品市场之间的DCC似乎对美联储意外的反应要比对欧洲央行意外的反应大得多。原创性/价值本研究是政策制定者和投资组合风险管理者的重要课题。
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引用次数: 12
Corporate citizenship, stakeholder management and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in financial institutions and capital markets 企业公民,利益相关者管理和可持续发展目标(sdg)在金融机构和资本市场
Pub Date : 2020-08-04 DOI: 10.1108/jcms-06-2020-0021
J. Rendtorff
PurposeThe aim of this theoretical and conceptual research paper is to give a definition of the concept of corporate citizenship, which together with business ethics and stakeholder management function as foundation of a vision of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) for financial institutions and capital markets.Design/methodology/approachThis paper is based on a conceptual methodology which analyzes the main aspects of corporate citizenship with regard stakeholder management and the UN SDGs. In particular there is focus on stakeholder justice, integrity and fairness with regard to stakeholder responsibility at capital markets.FindingsThis paper suggests that concepts of corporate citizenship, business ethics, stakeholder justice, integrity and fairness, as well as stakeholder responsibility must be conceived as the basis for an acceptable vision of sustainable development at capital markets.Research limitations/implicationsThis paper is a theoretical paper so the paper is limited to the presentation of major concepts from the point of view of business ethics, stakeholder management and SDGs. This is a framework that needs to be developed in specific research and investment practice at capital markets.Practical implicationsThis paper provides the basis for developing a good vision of SDGs in financial institutions and capital markets and it demonstrates that the SDGs must be developed as the foundation of ethics of investments and capital markets.Social implicationsWith suggestions of visions of corporate citizenship, business ethics and stakeholder management this paper situates the firm in a social context as a social actor in the context of sustainable development. The business firm is therefore integrated in society and there is a close connection between business and society which needs to be developed in codes and values of ethics of financial institutions capital markets.Originality/valueThe originality and value of this paper is a conceptual formulation of the relation between the concepts of corporate citizenship, business ethics, stakeholder management and SDGs in financial markets. With this the paper refers to earlier research and summarizes concepts from this in a short synthesis.
这篇理论和概念研究论文的目的是给出企业公民概念的定义,企业公民与商业道德和利益相关者管理一起作为联合国可持续发展目标(SDGs)对金融机构和资本市场愿景的基础。设计/方法/方法本文基于一种概念方法,该方法分析了企业公民在利益相关者管理和联合国可持续发展目标方面的主要方面。在资本市场的利益相关者责任方面,特别关注利益相关者的正义、诚信和公平。本文认为,企业公民、商业道德、利益相关者正义、诚信和公平以及利益相关者责任等概念必须被视为资本市场可持续发展愿景的基础。本文是一篇理论论文,因此本文仅限于从商业道德,利益相关者管理和可持续发展目标的角度介绍主要概念。这是一个需要在资本市场的具体研究和投资实践中发展起来的框架。本文为金融机构和资本市场制定良好的可持续发展目标愿景提供了基础,并表明必须将可持续发展目标作为投资和资本市场道德的基础。社会意义通过企业公民、商业道德和利益相关者管理的观点,本文将企业置于社会背景下,作为可持续发展背景下的社会行动者。因此,商业公司是融入社会的,商业与社会之间有着密切的联系,这需要在金融机构和资本市场的道德规范和价值观中得到发展。本文的原创性和价值是对金融市场中企业公民、商业道德、利益相关者管理和可持续发展目标等概念之间关系的概念性表述。在此基础上,本文对前人的研究成果进行了回顾和总结。
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引用次数: 13
Dividend policy and market value of banks in MENA emerging markets: residual income approach 中东和北非新兴市场银行股利政策与市场价值:剩余收益方法
Pub Date : 2020-08-04 DOI: 10.1108/jcms-04-2020-0011
A. Budagaga
PurposeThis study will examine the impact of cash dividends on the market value of banks listed in Middle East and North African (MENA) emerging countries during the period 2000–2015.Design/methodology/approachThe current study adopts residual income approach based on Ohlson's (1995) valuation model. By testing different statistical techniques, fixed effect is applied on panel data for (144) banks listed on 11 MENA stock markets over the period 2000–2015. Furthermore, additional tests are applied to confirm the primary results.FindingsThe analysis reveals that current dividend payouts and dividend yield do not provide information relevant to the establishment of market values in MENA emerging markets; thus, they have no material impact on MENA banks' market values. This lack of current dividend payment effect is consistent with Miller and Modigliani (1961) dividend irrelevance assumption: there is no evidence of either an informational or real cash inflow effect of current dividend payments. The findings of this study can be attributed to the fact that MENA banks may be forced to place more emphasis on allocating money for investment instead of paying dividends given them they are subject to liquidity requirements for investment, expansion, general operations and compliance with regulations. Only after all these financial needs are covered can the remaining surplus be distributed as cash dividends. Therefore, cash dividends represent earnings residual rather than an active decision variable that impacts a firm's market value. This is consistent with the residual dividend hypothesis, which is the crux of Miller and Modigliani (1996) irrelevance theory of dividends.Research limitations/implicationsThe current study is restricted to a sample of one type of financial firms, banks, because of the problem of missing data and limited information related to other financial firms for the same period. Therefore, further research could be additional types of financial firms such as insurance firms that play a vital role in MENA emerging economies.Practical implicationsThe results of this study have some important implications for banks' dividend policymakers. Dividend policymakers in MENA emerging markets seem to follow residual dividend policy, in which they distribute dividends according to what is left over after all acceptable investment opportunities have been undertaken. This makes for inconsistent and unstable dividend policy trends, making it difficult for investors to predict future dividend decisions. Further, this practice may deliver information to shareholders about a lack of positive future investment opportunities, and this may negatively affect the share value of banks.Originality/valueThis study is the first of its kind – up to the author's knowledge – that examines a large cross-country sample of MENA banks (144) to cover a long time period in the recent past, and, more importantly, after the banking sector in the region has experienced ma
本研究将考察2000-2015年期间,现金股利对在中东和北非(MENA)新兴国家上市的银行市值的影响。设计/方法/方法本研究采用基于Ohlson(1995)估值模型的剩余收益法。通过检验不同的统计技术,对2000-2015年期间在中东和北非11个股票市场上市的144家银行的面板数据应用固定效应。此外,还进行了额外的试验来证实初步结果。分析表明,当前的股息支付和股息收益率不提供与中东和北非新兴市场建立市值相关的信息;因此,它们对中东和北非地区银行的市值没有实质性影响。当前股利支付效应的缺乏与Miller和Modigliani(1961)的股利不相关假设是一致的:没有证据表明当前股利支付具有信息性或真实的现金流入效应。本研究的结果可归因于这样一个事实,即中东和北非地区的银行可能被迫更加重视分配资金用于投资,而不是支付股息,因为它们受到投资、扩张、一般运营和遵守法规的流动性要求的约束。只有在满足了所有这些财务需求之后,剩余的盈余才能作为现金股息进行分配。因此,现金股利代表盈余剩余,而不是影响公司市场价值的主动决策变量。这与Miller and Modigliani(1996)股利不相关理论的核心——剩余股利假设是一致的。研究局限/启示目前的研究仅限于一种类型的金融公司,银行的样本,因为缺少数据的问题和有限的信息与其他金融公司在同一时期。因此,进一步的研究可以是在中东和北非新兴经济体中发挥重要作用的保险公司等其他类型的金融公司。本文的研究结果对银行股利政策制定者具有重要的启示意义。中东和北非新兴市场的股息政策制定者似乎遵循剩余股息政策,即在所有可接受的投资机会完成后,他们根据剩余的股息分配股息。这使得股息政策趋势不一致和不稳定,使投资者难以预测未来的股息决策。此外,这种做法可能会向股东传递关于缺乏积极的未来投资机会的信息,这可能会对银行的股票价值产生负面影响。原创性/价值据作者所知,本研究首次对中东和北非地区银行(144家)的大型跨国样本进行了调查,涵盖了最近很长一段时间,更重要的是,在该地区银行业在过去二十年中经历了重大变革之后。此外,本研究中包括的大多数中东和北非地区国家,即银行,在免税环境中经营(既不征收股息税,也不征收资本利得税)。这一特点增加了正在进行的股息辩论的复杂性。
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引用次数: 8
Stock market liberalization: implications on cost of capital in emerging Islamic countries 股票市场自由化:对新兴伊斯兰国家资本成本的影响
Pub Date : 2019-11-11 DOI: 10.1108/jcms-08-2019-0040
B. Ilhan
PurposeMost of the major Islamic countries’ stock exchanges have not been able to perform at the same pace with the major emerging countries’ stock exchanges since the mid of 1990s. The purpose of this paper is to examine the implications of stock market liberalization on cost of capital as one of the crucial driver to stock market development and physical investment growth in emerging Islamic countries.Design/methodology/approachThis study employs static panel data techniques on the sample of seven emerging Islamic countries over the years 1989-2008.FindingsThe findings of this study suggest that stock market liberalization significantly reduces cost of capital in the stock markets of sample Islamic countries, which carries policy-oriented implications. Reduction in the cost of capital increases the number of exchange-traded companies, profitability of projects and aggregate investment level; therefore, the study findings are highly concerned by the economic policymakers, corporations and investors alike.Research limitations/implicationsIn the literature, different proxies are employed to measure stock market liberalization and cost of capital as well. Due to data limitations, this study could not employ different proxies for both, especially for stock market liberalization, for robustness purpose. That limitation further restricted the coverage of Islamic stock markets and time period. Therefore, generalization of the study results for overall Islamic stock markets can be slightly drawn.Originality/valueThe paper provides further understanding regarding the effects of SML on cost of capital, thereby indirectly on the stock market development, in the context of EIC.
目的自20世纪90年代中期以来,大多数主要伊斯兰国家的证券交易所的表现都无法与主要新兴国家的证券交易所相提并论。本文的目的是研究股票市场自由化对资本成本的影响,资本成本是新兴伊斯兰国家股票市场发展和实物投资增长的关键驱动力之一。设计/方法/方法本研究采用静态面板数据技术,以1989-2008年七个新兴伊斯兰国家为样本。研究结果表明,股票市场自由化显著降低了样本伊斯兰国家股票市场的资本成本,这具有政策导向的意义。资金成本的降低提高了上市公司数量、项目盈利能力和总投资水平;因此,研究结果受到经济政策制定者、企业和投资者的高度关注。研究局限/启示在文献中,采用不同的代理指标来衡量股票市场自由化和资本成本。由于数据的限制,为了稳健性目的,本研究不能对两者采用不同的代理,特别是对于股票市场自由化。这一限制进一步限制了伊斯兰股票市场和时间段的报道。因此,对整个伊斯兰股票市场的研究结果可以略为概括。在EIC背景下,本文提供了关于SML对资本成本的影响,从而间接影响股票市场发展的进一步理解。
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引用次数: 2
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Journal of Capital Markets Studies
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