Objective: To identify risk factors for seizure recurrence following anti-seizure medication (ASM) withdrawal in children with epilepsy who achieved sustained seizure freedom.
Methods: This retrospective cohort study analyzed 135 children with epilepsy from a single tertiary center (2022--2023) meeting withdrawal criteria (aged <16 years, seizure-free ≥2 years on stable ASMs, followed ≥1 year after withdrawal). Participants were grouped by postwithdrawal seizure relapse status: recurrent (n = 42) and nonrecurrent (n = 93). Thirteen risk factors were compared via chi-square tests. Variables significantly associated (P < 0.05) with recurrence in univariate analysis were entered into multivariate logistic regression to identify independent predictors (reported as ORs with 95 % CIs). The analyses were performed with SPSS 19.0.
Results: The overall recurrence rate was 31.11 % (42/135), with 80.95 % of recurrences occurring during ASM tapering or within the first year after withdrawal. Univariate analysis revealed significant differences between the recurrence and nonrecurrence groups regarding prewithdrawal EEG abnormalities (P = 0.006), ASM polytherapy (P = 0.003), time to seizure freedom > 1 year (P = 0.037), pretreatment epilepsy duration > 1 year (P = 0.011), presence of comorbidities (P < 0.001), and multiple seizure types (P = 0.020). Multivariate logistic regression confirmed three independent risk factors for recurrence: (1) abnormal EEG before withdrawal (OR=9.268, 95 % CI: 2.255-38.092, P = 0.002), (2) ASM polytherapy (OR=3.205, 95 % CI: 1.159-8.866, P = 0.025), and (3) pretreatment epilepsy duration > 1 year (OR=5.363, 95 % CI: 1.781-16.150, P = 0.003).
Conclusion: Abnormal EEG before withdrawal, polytherapy, and pretreatment duration > 1 year predicted recurrence. Enzyme-induction patterns showed exploratory associations requiring further validation.

