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Integrated framework for rapid climate stress testing on a monthly timestep 按月进行快速气候压力测试的综合框架
Pub Date : 2021-12-06 DOI: 10.31223/x5vw4n
K. Fowler, Natasha Ballis, A. Horne, A. John, R. Nathan, M. Peel
“Bottom-up” methods are increasingly used to assess the vulnerability of water systems to climate change. Central to these methods is the climate “stress test”, where the system is subjected to various climatic changes to test for unacceptable outcomes. We present a framework for climate stress testing on a monthly timestep, suitable for systems whose dominant dynamic is seasonal or longer (eg. water resource systems with carry-over storage). The framework integrates multi-site stochastic climate generation with perturbation methods and in-built rainfall runoff modelling. The stochastic generation includes a low frequency component suitable for representing multi-annual fluctuations. Multiple perturbation options are provided, ranging from simple delta change through to altered seasonality and low frequency dynamics. The framework runs rapidly, supporting comprehensive multi-dimensional stress testing without recourse to supercomputing facilities. We demonstrate the framework on a large water resource system in southern Australia. The Matlab/Octave framework is freely available for download from https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5617008.
“自下而上”的方法越来越多地用于评估水系统对气候变化的脆弱性。这些方法的核心是气候“压力测试”,即系统受到各种气候变化的影响,以测试不可接受的结果。我们提出了一个以月为时间步长的气候压力测试框架,适用于主要动力是季节性或更长时间的系统。具有结转储存的水资源系统)。该框架将多站点随机气候生成与微扰方法和内置降雨径流模型相结合。随机生成包括适合表示多年波动的低频分量。提供了多种扰动选项,从简单的增量变化到改变的季节性和低频动态。该框架运行迅速,支持全面的多维压力测试,而无需借助于超级计算设施。我们在澳大利亚南部的一个大型水资源系统中演示了该框架。Matlab/Octave框架可以从https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5617008免费下载。
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引用次数: 6
Toward automating post processing of aquatic sensor data 水产传感器数据后处理自动化研究
Pub Date : 2021-07-23 DOI: 10.31223/x5z62x
A. Jones, T. Jones, J. Horsburgh
Sensors measuring environmental phenomena at high frequency commonly report anomalies related to fouling, sensor drift and calibration, and datalogging and transmission issues. Suitability of data for analyses and decision making often depends on manual review and adjustment of data. Machine learning techniques have potential to automate identification and correction of anomalies, streamlining the quality control process. We explored approaches for automating anomaly detection and correction of aquatic sensor data for implementation in a Python package (PyHydroQC). We applied both classical and deep learning time series regression models that estimate values, identify anomalies based on dynamic thresholds, and offer correction estimates. Techniques were developed and performance assessed using data reviewed, corrected, and labeled by technicians in an aquatic monitoring use case. Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) consistently performed best, and aggregating results from multiple models improved detection. PyHydroQC includes custom functions and a workflow for anomaly detection and correction.
测量高频环境现象的传感器通常会报告与污垢、传感器漂移和校准以及数据记录和传输问题相关的异常。用于分析和决策的数据的适用性通常取决于对数据的人工审查和调整。机器学习技术有可能自动识别和纠正异常,简化质量控制过程。我们探索了在Python包(PyHydroQC)中实现水生传感器数据的自动异常检测和校正的方法。我们应用经典和深度学习时间序列回归模型来估计值,识别基于动态阈值的异常,并提供校正估计。在一个水生监测用例中,技术人员使用审查、纠正和标记的数据开发了技术并对其性能进行了评估。自回归综合移动平均线(ARIMA)一直表现最好,多个模型的聚合结果改进了检测。PyHydroQC包括自定义函数和用于异常检测和纠正的工作流。
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引用次数: 5
An open-source package with interactive Jupyter Notebooks to enhance the accessibility of reservoir operations simulation and optimisation 一个带有交互式Jupyter notebook的开源软件包,可增强油藏操作模拟和优化的可及性
Pub Date : 2021-07-13 DOI: 10.31223/x58p7f
Andrés Peñuela, C. Hutton, F. Pianosi
In this paper we present the interactive Reservoir Operations Notebooks and Software (iRONS) toolbox for reservoir modelling and optimisation. The toolbox is meant to serve the research and professional community in hydrology and water resource management and contribute to bridge the gaps between them. iRONS is composed of a package of Python core functions and a set of interactive Jupyter Notebooks. Core functions implement typical reservoir modelling tasks and the interactive Jupyter Notebooks illustrate, with practical examples, the key functionalities of iRONS. We describe our development philosophy, the key features of iRONS, and report some results of evaluating the effectiveness of interactive Jupyter Notebooks for training and knowledge transfer. The paper may be of interest also beyond the water resources management field, as an example of how Jupyter Notebooks and interactive visualisation help improving the documentation and sharing of open-source code and the communication of underpinning methodologies.
在本文中,我们介绍了用于油藏建模和优化的交互式油藏操作笔记本和软件(iRONS)工具箱。该工具箱旨在为水文和水资源管理方面的研究和专业团体提供服务,并有助于弥合他们之间的差距。iRONS由Python核心函数包和一组交互式Jupyter notebook组成。核心功能实现了典型的油藏建模任务,交互式Jupyter notebook通过实际示例说明了iRONS的关键功能。我们描述了我们的开发理念,iRONS的关键特性,并报告了一些评估交互式Jupyter notebook用于培训和知识转移的有效性的结果。这篇论文可能会引起水资源管理领域以外的兴趣,作为Jupyter notebook和交互式可视化如何帮助改进开源代码的文档和共享以及基础方法的交流的一个例子。
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引用次数: 7
HydroLang: An open-source web-based programming framework for hydrological sciences HydroLang:一个开源的基于web的水文科学编程框架
Pub Date : 2021-07-03 DOI: 10.31223/x5m31d
Carlos Erazo Ramirez, Y. Sermet, F. Molkenthin, I. Demir
This paper presents HydroLang, an open-source and integrated community-driven computational web framework to support research and education in hydrology and water resources. HydroLang uses client-side web technologies and standards to perform different routines which aim towards the acquisition, management, transformation, analysis and visualization of hydrological datasets. HydroLang is comprised of four main high-cohesion low-coupling modules for: (1) retrieving, manipulating, and transforming raw hydrological data, (2) statistical operations, hydrological analysis, and creating models, (3) generating graphical and tabular data representations, and (4) mapping and geospatial data visualization. Two extensive case studies (i.e., evaluation of lumped models and development of a rainfall disaggregation model) have been presented to demonstrate the framework’s capabilities, portability, and interoperability. HydroLang’s unique modular architecture and open-source nature allow it to be easily tailored into any use case and web framework and promote iterative enhancements with community involvement to establish the comprehensive next-generation hydrological software toolkit.
本文介绍了HydroLang,一个开源和集成的社区驱动的计算网络框架,以支持水文和水资源的研究和教育。HydroLang使用客户端web技术和标准来执行不同的例程,旨在获取、管理、转换、分析和可视化水文数据集。HydroLang由四个主要的高内聚低耦合模块组成,用于:(1)检索、操作和转换原始水文数据;(2)统计操作、水文分析和创建模型;(3)生成图形和表格数据表示;(4)制图和地理空间数据可视化。提出了两个广泛的案例研究(即,集总模型的评估和降雨分解模型的开发)来演示框架的能力、可移植性和互操作性。HydroLang独特的模块化架构和开源特性使其能够轻松地针对任何用例和web框架进行定制,并促进社区参与的迭代增强,以建立全面的下一代水文软件工具包。
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引用次数: 12
Improving groundwater storage change estimates using time-lapse gravimetry with Gravi4GW 利用Gravi4GW改进时移重力法估算地下水储量变化
Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.1002/ESSOAR.10507438.1
L. J. Halloran
Time-lapse gravimetry is a powerful tool for monitoring temporal mass distribution variations, including seasonal and long-term groundwater storage changes (GWSC). This geophysical method for measu...
时移重力法是监测时间质量分布变化的有力工具,包括季节性和长期地下水储量变化(GWSC)。这种测量的地球物理方法…
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引用次数: 3
Spatial prediction of air pollution levels using a hierarchical Bayesian spatiotemporal model in Catalonia, Spain 使用分层贝叶斯时空模型对西班牙加泰罗尼亚地区空气污染水平的空间预测
Pub Date : 2021-06-07 DOI: 10.1101/2021.06.06.21258419
M. Saez, M. Barceló
Our objective in this work was to present a hierarchical Bayesian spatiotemporal model that allowed us to make spatial predictions of air pollution levels in an effective way and with very few computational costs. We specified a hierarchical spatiotemporal model, using the Stochastic Partial Differential Equations of the integrated nested Laplace approximations approximation. This approach allowed us to spatially predict, in the territory of Catalonia (Spain), the levels of the four pollutants for which there is the most evidence of an adverse health effect. Our model allowed us to make fairly accurate spatial predictions of both long-term and short-term exposure to air pollutants, with a low computational cost. The only requirements of the method we propose are the minimum number of stations distributed throughout the territory where the predictions are to be made, and that the spatial and temporal dimensions are either independent or separable.
我们在这项工作中的目标是提出一个层次贝叶斯时空模型,使我们能够以一种有效的方式和很少的计算成本对空气污染水平进行空间预测。我们指定了一个分层的时空模型,使用随机偏微分方程的积分嵌套拉普拉斯近似近似。这种方法使我们能够在空间上预测加泰罗尼亚(西班牙)境内最能证明对健康产生不利影响的四种污染物的水平。我们的模型使我们能够以较低的计算成本,对空气污染物的长期和短期暴露做出相当准确的空间预测。我们提出的方法的唯一要求是,分布在要进行预测的地区的最少台站数量,并且空间和时间维度要么是独立的,要么是可分离的。
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引用次数: 13
An open source cyberinfrastructure for collecting, processing, storing and accessing high temporal resolution residential water use data 用于收集、处理、存储和访问高时间分辨率住宅用水数据的开源网络基础设施
Pub Date : 2021-03-03 DOI: 10.5194/EGUSPHERE-EGU21-6031
Camilo J. Bastidas Pacheco, Joseph C. Brewer, J. Horsburgh, J. Caraballo

Collecting and managing high temporal resolution (< 1 minute) residential water use data is challenging due to cost and technical requirements associated with the volume and velocity of data collected. It is well known that this type of data has potential to expand our knowledge of residential water use, inform future water use predictions, and improve water conservation strategies. However, most studies collecting this type of data have been focused on the practical application of the data (e.g., developing and applying end use disaggregation algorithms) with much less focus on how the data were collected, retrieved, quality controlled, and managed to enable data visualization and analysis. We developed an open-source, modular, generalized cyberinfrastructure system to automate the process from data collection to analysis. The system has three main architectural components: first, the sensors and dataloggers for water use monitoring; second, the data communication, parsing and archival tools; and third, the analyses, visualization and presentations of data produced for different audiences. For the first component, we present a low-cost datalogging device, designed for installation on top of existing, analog, magnetically driven, positive displacement, residential water meters that can collect data at a user configurable time resolution interval. The second component consists of a system developed using existing open-source software technologies that manages the data collected, including services and databasing. The final element includes software tools for retrieving the data that can be integrated with advanced data analytics tools. The system was used in a single family residential water use data collection case study to test the scalability and performance of its functionalities within our design constraints. Testing with a base system configuration, our results show that the system requires approximately six minutes to process a single day of data collected at a four second temporal resolution for 500 properties. Thus, the system proved to be effective beyond the typical number of participants observed in similar studies of residential water use and would scale well beyond this even with the modest system resources we used for testing. All elements of the cyberinfrastructure developed are freely available in open source repositories for re-use.

收集和管理高时间分辨率(< 1分钟)的住宅用水数据具有挑战性,因为收集数据的数量和速度与成本和技术要求相关。众所周知,这种类型的数据有可能扩大我们对住宅用水的了解,为未来的用水预测提供信息,并改进节水策略。然而,大多数收集这类数据的研究都集中在数据的实际应用上(例如,开发和应用最终用途分解算法),而很少关注如何收集、检索、质量控制和管理数据以实现数据可视化和分析。我们开发了一个开源的、模块化的、通用的网络基础设施系统,使从数据收集到分析的过程自动化。该系统有三个主要的架构组成部分:第一,用于监测用水的传感器和数据采集器;二是数据通信、解析和归档工具;第三,针对不同受众的数据分析、可视化和展示。对于第一个组件,我们提出了一种低成本的数据记录设备,设计用于安装在现有的模拟,磁驱动,正位移,住宅水表上,可以在用户可配置的时间分辨率间隔内收集数据。第二个组件由一个使用现有开源软件技术开发的系统组成,该系统管理收集的数据,包括服务和数据库。最后一个元素包括用于检索可与高级数据分析工具集成的数据的软件工具。该系统被用于一个单户住宅用水数据收集案例研究,以测试其功能在我们设计约束下的可扩展性和性能。使用基本系统配置进行测试,我们的结果表明,系统需要大约6分钟来处理以4秒时间分辨率为500个属性收集的一天数据。因此,该系统被证明是有效的,超出了在类似的住宅用水研究中观察到的典型参与者数量,并且即使我们用于测试的适度系统资源也将远远超出这一范围。开发的网络基础设施的所有元素都可以在开放源代码存储库中免费获得,以供重用。
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引用次数: 7
basement v3: A modular freeware for river process modelling over multiple computational backends 一个模块化的免费软件,用于在多个计算后端上进行河流过程建模
Pub Date : 2021-02-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2021.105102
D. Vanzo, Samuel J. Peter, L. Vonwiller, Matthias Buergler, Manuel Weberndorfer, A. Siviglia, D. Conde, D. Vetsch
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引用次数: 20
Deep learning, explained: Fundamentals, explainability, and bridgeability to process-based modelling 深度学习,解释:基础,可解释性,以及基于过程的建模的桥接性
Pub Date : 2021-01-25 DOI: 10.1002/ESSOAR.10506045.1
S. Razavi
Recent breakthroughs in artificial intelligence (AI), and particularly in deep learning (DL), have created tremendous excitement and opportunities in the earth and environmental sciences communitie...
最近人工智能(AI),特别是深度学习(DL)的突破,在地球和环境科学界创造了巨大的兴奋和机会……
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引用次数: 55
Developments and applications of Shapley effects to reliability-oriented sensitivity analysis with correlated inputs Shapley效应在相关输入可靠度敏感性分析中的发展与应用
Pub Date : 2021-01-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2021.105115
Marouane Il Idrissi, V. Chabridon, B. Iooss
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引用次数: 20
期刊
Environ. Model. Softw.
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