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Herald of Omsk University. Series: Economics最新文献

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Financial policy regarding the categorization of individual investors in Russia and the area of protecting their interests 关于俄罗斯个人投资者分类和保护其利益领域的金融政策
Pub Date : 2020-12-28 DOI: 10.24147/1812-3988.2020.18(4).19-35
I. Gorlovskaya
Development of modern economy and financial market is impossible without involving the mass investor in investment processes. This is the goal of the state's financial market policy. The need to preserve savings in the face of a reduction in the key rate, and therefore a decrease in interest, encourages individuals to invest more actively in securities. New investors come to the securities market, but they are not always able to adequately assess the risk of investing in securities. To reduce the risks of individual investors, there is used a categorization mechanism, which divides them into qualified and unqualified investors, but requires improvement. Based on the analysis, it is proved that the categorization of investors cannot be limited by the regulation of the criteria for their differentiation and requires specifying the areas of protection of the interests and rights of investors. The study is based on the pragmatic Solow-Williamson methodology and a systematic approach. The indicators of investor activity and indicators characterizing the degree of investor protection in the Russian securities market are analyzed. As a result, the problems of modern categorization of individual investors in the Russian Federation are identified and analyzed. The main areas of protection of investors' interests and rights are identified, including: the choice of a financial instrument; ensuring ownership of financial instruments; transactions with financial instruments; protection from misseling; disclosure of information by issuers and professional subjects of financial markets; illegal actions of professional subjects of financial markets in relation to financial risks and protection tools. Areas of protection of investors' interests and rights are correlated with risks and protection tools. There were defined basic principles of categorization of investors-individuals.
现代经济和金融市场的发展离不开广大投资者对投资过程的参与。这是国家金融市场政策的目标。面对关键利率的降低和利率的下降,储蓄的需要鼓励个人更积极地投资于证券。新投资者进入证券市场,但他们并不总是能够充分评估投资证券的风险。为了降低个人投资者的风险,使用了分类机制,将其分为合格投资者和不合格投资者,但需要改进。在分析的基础上,证明了投资者的分类不能囿于对其区分标准的规定,而需要明确投资者权益的保护领域。本研究以实用主义的索洛-威廉姆森方法论为基础,采用系统的研究方法。分析了俄罗斯证券市场的投资者活动指标和投资者保护程度指标。因此,确定和分析了俄罗斯联邦个人投资者现代分类的问题。确定了保护投资者权益的主要领域,包括:金融工具的选择;确保金融工具的所有权;金融工具交易;保护免遭误伤;发行人和金融市场专业主体的信息披露;金融市场专业主体在金融风险和保护工具方面的违法行为。保护投资者权益的领域与风险和保护工具相关。有明确的投资者-个人分类的基本原则。
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引用次数: 1
Research on the organization of remote workplaces in Russian enterprises 俄罗斯企业远程工作场所组织研究
Pub Date : 2020-12-28 DOI: 10.24147/1812-3988.2020.18(4).59-66
S. Apenko, Artem Malyshev
The article examines the contradiction between the sharp increase in the number of remote workplaces and the difficulties in their organization experienced by both employers and their employees. This problem is enhanced by the fact that in scientific publications the issues of organization of remote workplaces with the modern digital environment, mass transition to the remote work in a pandemic are poorly understood. The authors present a review of currently available scientific research and publications, which confirmed the conclusion that, along with a deep study of the essence of remote work and remote jobs, their advantages and disadvantages, the reasons for their appearance, there is a shortage of research on the organization of remote jobs. The purpose of the research presented in the article was to study the state of the organization of remote workplaces in Russian enterprises. The research hypothesis is formulated as follows: despite the intensive development of the practice of remote workplaces, there are many difficulties and problems in their organization. The study uses methods of analyzing secondary data presented on the websites of various agencies, job search services and analytical centers; questionnaire survey at Omsk enterprises. There were interviewed remote employees (481 people) and their managers (253 people) at 206 enterprises of Omsk. As a result, the growth in the number of remote jobs at Russian enterprises was confirmed. This is evidenced by research presented on the websites of the Headhunter job search service, the NAFI analytical center, and the Hays international recruitment agency. A study at the Omsk enterprises have demonstrated the existence of problems in organization of remote workplaces, for example, in equipping remote workplaces, in irregular work schedules and blurring the boundaries between work and personal life, in the lack of effective communication and social isolation of employees, in the lack of understanding of employees' career prospects. The study was conducted in the period from November 2019 to February 2020. With the onset of the pandemic and the massive forced transfer of employees to remote work, the processes of organizing remote workplaces have become even more relevant. As a result, there is planned the second stage of the study, which will further study the features of the organization of remote workplaces in the context of the pandemic. It is planned to develop a mechanism for organizing remote workplaces of specialists, taking into account the timely conditions for the functioning and development of enterprises.
本文探讨了远程工作场所数量急剧增加与雇主和雇员在其组织中遇到的困难之间的矛盾。科学出版物对现代数字环境下远程工作场所的组织、流行病期间大规模向远程工作过渡等问题了解甚少,这加剧了这一问题。作者对现有的科学研究和出版物进行了回顾,证实了这样的结论:随着对远程工作和远程工作的本质、优缺点和产生原因的深入研究,对远程工作组织的研究还很缺乏。本文提出的研究目的是研究俄罗斯企业远程工作场所的组织状况。研究假设如下:尽管远程工作场所的实践得到了广泛的发展,但在其组织中存在许多困难和问题。本研究采用分析各种机构、求职服务和分析中心网站上提供的二手数据的方法;问卷调查在鄂木斯克企业。对鄂木斯克206家企业的远程员工(481人)和管理者(253人)进行了调查。结果,俄罗斯企业远程工作岗位数量的增长得到了证实。Headhunter求职服务网站、NAFI分析中心和Hays国际招聘机构网站上的研究证明了这一点。在鄂木斯克企业进行的一项研究表明,远程工作场所的组织存在一些问题,例如,远程工作场所设备不完善、工作时间表不规律、工作与个人生活界限模糊、员工缺乏有效沟通和社会孤立、对员工的职业前景缺乏了解。该研究于2019年11月至2020年2月期间进行。随着大流行病的爆发和大量雇员被迫转移到远程工作,组织远程工作场所的进程变得更加重要。因此,计划开展第二阶段的研究,进一步研究在大流行病背景下远程工作场所的组织特点。考虑到企业运作和发展的及时条件,计划建立一个机制,组织专家的远程工作场所。
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引用次数: 0
On the scientific heritage of E.I. Lavrov 关于E.I.拉夫罗夫的科学遗产
Pub Date : 2020-12-28 DOI: 10.24147/1812-3988.2020.18(4).5-8
E. Kapoguzov, S. V. Degtyareva, S. Khobotova
The article reveals the scientific achievements and contribution to the development of economic science in the region of the OmSU Honored Professor Evgeny Ivanovich Lavrov. The interrelation of scientific publications of Professor E.I. Lavrov with actual scientific problems of his time is shown.
本文揭示了俄国立大学名誉教授叶夫根尼·伊万诺维奇·拉夫罗夫在该地区经济科学发展方面的科学成就和贡献。显示了E.I. Lavrov教授的科学出版物与他那个时代的实际科学问题的相互关系。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of the flexibility of human resources in enterprise’s innovative projects 企业创新项目中人力资源灵活性的评价
Pub Date : 2020-12-28 DOI: 10.24147/1812-3988.2020.18(4).82-91
M. A. Romanenko
The article examines the actual problem associated, on the one hand, with increasing requirements for the flexibility of human resources and management systems in conditions of increased dynamism and uncertainty of environmental factors, and, on the other hand, with the lack of scientifically based and practical approaches to assessing the flexibility of human resources with its subsequent formation. The relevance of flexibility is enhanced in relation to the human resources of innovative project teams, which are characterized by an even higher level of uncertainty, unpredictability and variability of project environment factors. This determined the purpose of the study, which is formulated as the development of a methodological approach to assessing the flexibility of human resources of innovative projects. To achieve this goal, there were set tasks of defining the concept of flexibility of human resources of projects, flexibility criteria and principles of their evaluation. The author used methods of analyzing the provisions set out in scientific publications, as well as the method of expert survey, which helped to formulate the hypotheses of the study, and then test them in practice. Using this method, 155 project managers and specialists from 36 enterprises in Russian cities were involved in the study. All enterprises implement innovative projects. The main conclusions of the expert survey were the following: innovative projects require flexible staff, flexibility is reduced to the ability to quickly and efficiently update their competencies, enterprises need methods for evaluating and developing the flexibility of human resources in projects, staff flexibility can be provided with a flexible management system. These findings became the basis for the development of a methodological approach to the assessment of flexibility, which provides for the assessment of the flexibility of people in projects and the assessment of the flexibility of project human resource management. There were proposed criteria for assessing flexibility, which are related to the assessment of the speed, depth and scale of updating the competencies of human resources of projects. The proposed developments can be useful to project managers for their activities to ensure the flexibility of innovative projects and people in these projects.
本文一方面考察了在环境因素的动态性和不确定性增加的情况下对人力资源和管理制度的灵活性的要求日益增加的实际问题,另一方面考察了缺乏科学的和实际的方法来评估人力资源的灵活性及其随后形成的问题。与创新项目团队的人力资源相比,灵活性的相关性得到加强,因为创新项目团队的特点是项目环境因素具有更高的不确定性、不可预测性和可变性。这就决定了这项研究的目的,即制订一种评估创新项目人力资源灵活性的方法学方法。为实现这一目标,制定了确定项目人力资源灵活性概念、灵活性标准及其评价原则的任务。作者采用了分析科学出版物中规定的方法,以及专家调查的方法,这些方法有助于提出研究的假设,然后在实践中进行验证。使用这种方法,来自俄罗斯城市36家企业的155名项目经理和专家参与了研究。所有企业都实施创新项目。专家调查的主要结论是:创新项目需要灵活的员工,灵活性被简化为快速有效地更新其能力的能力,企业需要评估和开发项目中人力资源灵活性的方法,员工灵活性可以提供灵活的管理系统。这些调查结果成为发展评估灵活性的方法方法的基础,该方法规定了评估项目中人员的灵活性和评估项目人力资源管理的灵活性。提出了评价灵活性的标准,这些标准与评价更新项目人力资源能力的速度、深度和规模有关。建议的发展可能对项目经理的活动有用,以确保创新项目和这些项目中的人员的灵活性。
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引用次数: 0
High-tech business in crisis conditions: development trends of large, medium and small enterprises 危机条件下的高科技企业:大、中、小企业的发展趋势
Pub Date : 2020-12-28 DOI: 10.24147/1812-3988.2020.18(4).48-58
V. V. Spitsyn, A. Mikhalchuk, A. Bulykina, S. Popova, I. Nikulina
Leading world countries view innovative development and high-tech business as an opportunity to overcome economic stagnation and decline in economic growth. One of the modern trends in the analysis of high-tech development is the study of high-tech knowledge-intensive service industries and their development in times of crisis. The purpose of the paper is to identify patterns of development of large, medium and small enterprises in high-tech service industries in Russia during periods of crisis. Economic and economic-mathematical methods of analysis are applied to the formed samples of enterprises. The research period is 2013-2017. The financial indicators of enterprises were adjusted for the level of accumulated inflation in relation to 2013. According to results, large and medium-sized enterprises showed insignificant or weak significant positive dynamics of revenue during all years of the crisis period. The crisis period did not lead to a decrease in the revenue of these groups of enterprises. The acute phase of the crisis (2014-2015) had a pronounced negative impact on the group of small enterprises in all studied industries, but they successfully recovered in 2016-2017 and reached the pre-crisis level of revenue. The total revenue by industries and groups of enterprises in 2017 became higher than in 2013, and its growth rates were significant for many groups of enterprises, which indicates a successful overcoming of the crisis period and signs of growth in high-tech service industries. Our study shows the need for state support for small businesses in high-tech service industries in crisis conditions, and identifies the possibilities of adaptation of enterprises in these industries to an unfavorable external environment. Our results may be useful for the purposes of government stimulation of economic development in the current environment.
世界主要国家将创新发展和高科技产业视为克服经济停滞和经济增长下降的机会。研究高技术知识密集型服务业及其在危机时期的发展是现代高技术发展分析的趋势之一。本文的目的是找出危机时期俄罗斯高科技服务业的大、中、小企业的发展模式。运用经济学和经济数学分析方法对企业形成的样本进行分析。研究时间为2013-2017年。企业财务指标根据2013年累计通货膨胀水平进行调整。结果表明,在危机时期的所有年份,大中型企业的收入呈现不显著或弱显著的正动态。危机时期并没有导致这些企业集团的收入减少。危机的急性阶段(2014-2015年)对所有研究行业的小企业群体产生了明显的负面影响,但它们在2016-2017年成功复苏,并达到了危机前的收入水平。2017年各行业、企业集团总收入均高于2013年,且多家企业集团收入增速显著,表明高技术服务业成功度过了危机时期,呈现增长迹象。我们的研究表明,在危机条件下,国家需要支持高科技服务行业的小企业,并确定了这些行业的企业适应不利的外部环境的可能性。我们的研究结果可能对当前环境下政府刺激经济发展的目的有所帮助。
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引用次数: 0
Non-standard employment of scientific and pedagogical workers of Russian universities 俄罗斯高校科教工作者就业不规范
Pub Date : 2020-12-28 DOI: 10.24147/1812-3988.2020.18(4).75-81
T. Lapina
The article discusses the reasons for non-standard employment of scientific and pedagogical workers (SPW) of Russian universities, the inclusion of SPW in non-standard employment and its consequences both for individual SPW and for society as a whole. Various options for non-standard employment have already become firmly established in the realities of the labor market, and are analyzed in a number of studies. At the same time, for certain professional qualification groups of employees or for certain industries, such an analysis is absent both at the level of theory and at the level of empirical material. This statement applies, among other things, to the employment of SPW. Based on the analysis of the literature, the author offers a classification of types of non-standard employment of SPW of Russian universities based on the number of hours of their work and the presence of additional employment - there are identified 11 groups of non-standard employees. The article also describes three groups of factors: external factors relative to universities, intra-university factors and individual characteristics of the SPW, which affect the involvement of the SPW in non-standard employment. These factors currently chaotically affect the nature and content of the work of the SPW. At the same time, having an assessment of the impact of these factors, it is possible to formulate a clear employment management policy. Based on the results of the study, it was concluded that there is a need for empirical research in the field of non-standard employment of SPW. This need is due to the current lack of full-fledged empirical studies on this problem, the prevalence of non-standard employment practices among SPW in universities, as well as the presence of negative consequences of non-standard employment of SPW in Russian universities. It is noted that non-standard employment contributes to the formation of labor precarization.
本文讨论了俄罗斯高校科技工作者就业不规范的原因,将科技工作者纳入不规范就业的问题,以及对科技工作者个人和整个社会的影响。非标准就业的各种选择已经在劳动力市场的现实中牢固地建立起来,并在一些研究中进行了分析。同时,对于某些从业人员的专业资格群体或某些行业,无论是在理论层面还是在经验材料层面,都缺乏这样的分析。除其他事项外,这一声明适用于SPW的使用。在文献分析的基础上,作者根据工作时数和额外就业的存在,对俄罗斯大学SPW的非标准就业类型进行了分类-确定了11组非标准雇员。文章还描述了影响大学生参与非标准就业的三组因素:高校外部因素、高校内部因素和大学生个体特征。这些因素目前正混乱地影响着SPW工作的性质和内容。同时,对这些因素的影响进行评估,才有可能制定明确的就业管理政策。基于研究结果,本文认为在SPW的非规范使用方面还需要进行实证研究。这一需求是由于目前缺乏对这一问题的成熟的实证研究,大学SPW中普遍存在不规范的就业做法,以及俄罗斯大学SPW不规范就业的负面后果。报告指出,非标准就业有助于劳动不稳定的形成。
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引用次数: 0
Technological partnership of industrial enterprises with higher education organizations 工业企业与高等教育机构的技术伙伴关系
Pub Date : 2020-12-28 DOI: 10.24147/1812-3988.2020.18(4).67-74
Yu. A. Deryabin
The article presents a study of technological partnership with the participation of industrial enterprises. Special attention is paid to the partnership in the technical and technological sphere between industrial entities and higher education organizations. To conduct the research there were used scientific methods of constructing concepts, analyzing regulatory documents and statistical materials. The main results of the study are to clarify the concept of technological partnership and its relationship with other related concepts, including "technological exchange", "technological cooperation" and "technological clustering". The principles of implementing technological partnership, including the principles of openness, partnership relations, and mutual benefit, are summarized. As part of the analytical part of the study, the main normative and legal documents describing the conditions and incentives for the formation of cooperative relations between industry and subjects of science and education are highlighted. Data on the current performance of economic entities within the framework of the considered documents are presented. The analysis of statistical information showed the interest of industrial enterprises and universities in the "project" format of interaction, which is more active at a higher technological level of both subjects. It is noted that since 2011, the share of industrial enterprises participating in joint projects with higher education organizations has increased. Using the example of Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University, it is shown that the multidirectional nature of the university's research and its clear focus on modern global trends in technological development is a key factor in building close cooperation "organization of higher education - industrial enterprise".
本文对工业企业参与的技术伙伴关系进行了研究。特别注意工业实体和高等教育组织之间在技术和技术领域的伙伴关系。采用科学的方法,构建概念,分析规范性文件和统计资料进行研究。研究的主要成果是澄清了技术伙伴关系的概念及其与其他相关概念的关系,包括“技术交流”、“技术合作”和“技术集群”。总结了实施技术伙伴关系的原则,包括开放原则、伙伴关系原则和互利原则。作为研究分析部分的一部分,重点介绍了描述工业与科教主体之间形成合作关系的条件和动机的主要规范性和法律文件。在审议的文件框架内提出了有关经济实体当前业绩的数据。统计资料分析显示,工业企业与高校对“项目”形式的互动感兴趣,在两学科较高的技术水平上更为活跃。值得注意的是,自2011年以来,工业企业与高等教育机构参与联合项目的比例有所增加。以彼得大帝圣彼得堡理工大学为例,表明该大学研究的多向性及其对现代全球技术发展趋势的明确关注是建立密切合作的“高等教育组织-工业企业”的关键因素。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of the economic security of regions taking into account the indicators of innovative development 考虑创新发展指标的区域经济安全分析
Pub Date : 2020-12-28 DOI: 10.24147/1812-3988.2020.18(4).104-121
Vladimir I. Byvshev, Irina A. Panteleeva, Anastasia E. Kashirina, K. V. Parfentieva, D. I. Uskov
The article considers some current scientific approaches to assessing regional economic security and notes the lack of an innovative component in them. However, innovative factors are necessary, since one of the main directions in the field of economic security is innovative development. The purpose of the research is to develop and test a modified methodological approach to the formation of indicators for assessing regional economic security, taking into account innovative factors. The authors generated extremely modified approach to assessing the economic security of the region, taking into account such principles as: task orientation, comprehensiveness, comparability, sufficiency, information security, applicability in practice. The authors developed an algorithm for studying the economic security of the region, formed a system for assessing the economic security of the region taking into account innovative factors, and calculated threshold values and evaluated a sample of regions according to the described methodology. As a result, it is concluded that the regions are diverse in terms of economic security and actually correspond to the conditional division in terms of socio-economic and innovative development. The most vulnerable for the majority of the subjects of the Russian Federation considered was the innovation component, the threshold value of which should have been determined in the stability zone, but most of the regions did not pass. Thus, it is necessary to study this topic in detail, namely, to assess the functioning of the regional innovation infrastructure and its impact on the economic security of the region due to the fact that the creation of conditions provided by its activities is one of the main strategic directions for strengthening the economic security not only of the region, but also of the Russian Federation as a whole.
本文考虑了目前评估区域经济安全的一些科学方法,并指出其中缺乏创新成分。然而,创新因素是必要的,因为创新发展是经济安全领域的主要方向之一。这项研究的目的是发展和试验一种改进的方法,以形成评估区域经济安全的指标,同时考虑到创新因素。作者对评估该区域经济安全的方法进行了极大的修改,考虑到以下原则:任务导向、全面性、可比性、充分性、信息安全、实践中的适用性。提出了研究区域经济安全的算法,形成了考虑创新因素的区域经济安全评价体系,并根据该方法计算了阈值并对样本区域进行了评价。结果表明,各区域在经济安全方面存在差异,在社会经济发展和创新发展方面实际上符合条件划分。俄罗斯联邦审议的大多数主题中最脆弱的是创新部分,其阈值本应在稳定区内确定,但大多数区域都没有通过。因此,有必要详细研究这一主题,即评估区域创新基础设施的功能及其对该地区经济安全的影响,因为其活动所提供的条件的创造是加强该地区乃至整个俄罗斯联邦经济安全的主要战略方向之一。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling the co-evolution of economic institutions and the economy of resource producing regions 经济制度与资源区经济协同演化建模
Pub Date : 2020-12-28 DOI: 10.24147/1812-3988.2020.18(4).122-131
V. Islamutdinov, S. Semenov
The purpose of the study is to develop a model for the co-evolution of the regional economy and economic institutions. The research methods used: abstract-logical for the study of theoretical aspects and the experience of modeling co-evolution; and economic-mathematical for the development of own model of coevolution. The results of the study: approaches to modeling the evolution of economic institutions, as well as the co-evolution of the regional economy and economic institutions are considered, strengths and weaknesses of existing approaches to modeling co-evolution are identified, on the basis of the logistic model and Lotka-Volterra equations, an own co-evolution model has been developed, which includes three entities: regional economy, “good” institution and “bad” institution. Three versions of the model have been developed: the co-evolution of the regional economy and the “good” institution, the co-evolution of the regional economy and the “bad institution,” and a variant of the co-evolution of all three entities simultaneously, in which the “good” and “bad” institutions interact according to the “predator-prey” model, and their the cumulative effect determines the development of the regional economy. Numerical experiments have been carried out in the MathLab, which have shown the capabilities of the model to reflect the results of the co-evolution of the economy of a resource-producing region and economic institutions. In the first variant, a “good” institution promotes economic growth in excess of the level determined by resource availability. In the second variant, the “bad” institution has a disincentive effect on the GRP, as a result of which the GRP falls below the level determined by the resource endowment. In the third variant, the interaction of “good” and “bad” institutions still contributes to economic growth above the level determined by resource availability, but causes cyclical fluctuations in the GRP.
本研究旨在建立区域经济与经济制度共同演化的模型。采用的研究方法:抽象-逻辑为理论方面的研究和经验建模的共同进化;并以经济数学为发展对象,建立了自己的协同进化模型。研究结果表明:考虑了经济制度演化的建模方法,以及区域经济与经济制度的协同演化,识别了现有协同演化建模方法的优势和不足,并在logistic模型和Lotka-Volterra方程的基础上,构建了包含区域经济、“好”制度和“坏”制度三个实体的协同演化模型。该模型有三个版本:区域经济与“好”制度的共同演化、区域经济与“坏”制度的共同演化,以及三者同时共同演化的变体,其中“好”制度与“坏”制度按照“捕食者-猎物”模式相互作用,它们的累积效应决定了区域经济的发展。在MathLab中进行的数值实验表明,该模型能够反映资源生产区经济和经济制度共同演化的结果。在第一种变体中,“良好”制度促进的经济增长超过了可获得资源所决定的水平。在第二种变体中,“坏”制度对GRP产生抑制作用,导致GRP低于由资源禀赋决定的水平。在第三种变体中,“好”和“坏”制度的相互作用仍然有助于经济增长超过由资源可得性决定的水平,但会导致国内生产总值的周期性波动。
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引用次数: 0
Improving the value added tax forecasting tools 完善增值税预测工具
Pub Date : 2020-12-28 DOI: 10.24147/1812-3988.2020.18(4).9-18
E. S. Volna, Elena B. Mishina, N. Savchenko
The value added tax (VAT) prediction is one of the essential tools to form the Russian Federation federal budget. Presently, there are various methods and tools to forecast taxes, including VAT. This research proposes to enhance the estimation of VAT inflow into the federal budget singling out certain formation factors in the GDP structure. The dynamics of the federal budget income in the period 2010-2019 has been examined. It has been stated that VAT refers to non-oil and gas revenues, while the structural analysis of this tax enables to single out domestic production VAT and import related VAT. This tax sum division has become a basis for building federal budget VAT income forecasting models. The primary model takes into account the GDP dynamics in the given period, as well as the GDP to federal budget incomes ratio and their main elements. To develop a more accurate VAT forecasting model the above mentioned tax has been divided into two components - imports VAT and domestic consumption VAT. The imports VAT evaluation is done via the share of projected imports, which in its turn is calculated by the marginal propensity to imports. The domestic consumption VAT is done via the GDP share previously stripped off the import value. During research the excellences and faults of each model have been highlighted. The conclusion about the expediency of models based on separating imports VAT and domestic consumption VAT application for VAT forecasting has been made.
增值税预测是编制俄罗斯联邦预算的重要工具之一。目前,有各种各样的方法和工具来预测税收,包括增值税。本研究提出了提高增值税流入联邦预算的估计,挑出GDP结构中的某些形成因素。研究了2010-2019年期间联邦预算收入的动态。增值税是指非石油和天然气收入,而对这种税收的结构分析可以区分出国内生产增值税和进口相关增值税。这种税额划分已成为建立联邦预算增值税收入预测模型的基础。主要模型考虑了给定时期的GDP动态,以及GDP与联邦预算收入的比率及其主要因素。为了建立一个更准确的增值税预测模型,上述税收被分为两个部分-进口增值税和国内消费增值税。进口增值税的评估是通过预计进口的份额来完成的,而预计进口的份额又由边际进口倾向来计算。国内消费增值税是通过之前扣除进口价值的GDP份额来计算的。在研究过程中,各模型的优点和缺点都得到了突出。得出了进口增值税与国内消费增值税分离模型应用于增值税预测的方便性结论。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Herald of Omsk University. Series: Economics
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