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Image directed redesign of bladder cancer treatment pathways: the BladderPath RCT. 以图像为导向重新设计膀胱癌治疗路径:BladderPath RCT。
IF 3.5 2区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.3310/DEHT5407
Nicholas James, Sarah Pirrie, Wenyu Liu, James Catto, Kieran Jefferson, Prashant Patel, Ana Hughes, Ann Pope, Veronica Nanton, Harriet P Mintz, Allen Knight, Jean Gallagher, Richard T Bryan
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Transurethral resection of bladder tumour has been the mainstay of bladder cancer staging for > 60 years. Staging inaccuracies are commonplace, leading to delayed treatment of muscle-invasive bladder cancer. Multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging offers rapid, accurate and non-invasive staging of muscle-invasive bladder cancer, potentially reducing delays to radical treatment.</p><p><strong>Objectives: </strong>To assess the feasibility and efficacy of the introducing multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging ahead of transurethral resection of bladder tumour in the staging of suspected muscle-invasive bladder cancer.</p><p><strong>Design: </strong>Open-label, multistage randomised controlled study in three parts: feasibility, intermediate and final clinical stages. The COVID pandemic prevented completion of the final stage.</p><p><strong>Setting: </strong>Fifteen UK hospitals.</p><p><strong>Participants: </strong>Newly diagnosed bladder cancer patients of age ≥ 18 years.</p><p><strong>Interventions: </strong>Participants were randomised to Pathway 1 or 2 following visual assessment of the suspicion of non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer or muscle-invasive bladder cancer at the time of outpatient cystoscopy, based upon a 5-point Likert scale: Likert 1-2 tumours considered probable non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer; Likert 3-5 possible muscle-invasive bladder cancer. In Pathway 1, all participants underwent transurethral resection of bladder tumour. In Pathway 2, probable non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer participants underwent transurethral resection of bladder tumour, and possible muscle-invasive bladder cancer participants underwent initial multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging. Subsequent therapy was determined by the treating team and could include transurethral resection of bladder tumour.</p><p><strong>Main outcome measures: </strong>Feasibility stage: proportion with possible muscle-invasive bladder cancer randomised to Pathway 2 which correctly followed the protocol. Intermediate stage: time to correct treatment for muscle-invasive bladder cancer.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Between 31 May 2018 and 31 December 2021, of 638 patients approached, 143 participants were randomised; 52.1% were deemed as possible muscle-invasive bladder cancer and 47.9% probable non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer. Feasibility stage: 36/39 [92% (95% confidence interval 79 to 98%)] muscle-invasive bladder cancer participants followed the correct treatment by pathway. Intermediate stage: median time to correct treatment was 98 (95% confidence interval 72 to 125) days for Pathway 1 versus 53 (95% confidence interval 20 to 89) days for Pathway 2 [hazard ratio 2.9 (95% confidence interval 1.0 to 8.1)], <i>p</i> = 0.040. Median time to correct treatment for all participants was 37 days for Pathway 1 and 25 days for Pathway 2 [hazard ratio 1.4 (95% confidence interval 0.9 to 2.0)].</p><p><strong>Limitations: </strong>For pa
背景:60 多年来,经尿道膀胱肿瘤切除术一直是膀胱癌分期的主要方法。分期不准确是普遍现象,导致肌肉浸润性膀胱癌治疗延误。多参数磁共振成像为肌层浸润性膀胱癌提供了快速、准确和无创的分期,有可能减少根治性治疗的延误:评估在经尿道膀胱肿瘤切除术前引入多参数磁共振成像对疑似肌层浸润性膀胱癌进行分期的可行性和有效性:设计:开放标签、多阶段随机对照研究,分三部分:可行性、中期和最终临床阶段。COVID大流行阻碍了最后阶段的完成:15 家英国医院:新确诊的膀胱癌患者,年龄≥ 18 岁:干预措施:在门诊膀胱镜检查时,根据5点Likert量表对非肌层浸润性膀胱癌或肌层浸润性膀胱癌的怀疑进行目测评估后,将参与者随机分配到路径1或路径2:Likert 1-2 级为可能的非肌肉浸润性膀胱癌;Likert 3-5 级为可能的肌肉浸润性膀胱癌。在路径 1 中,所有参与者都接受了经尿道膀胱肿瘤切除术。在路径 2 中,可能为非肌肉浸润性膀胱癌的参与者接受了经尿道膀胱肿瘤切除术,可能为肌肉浸润性膀胱癌的参与者接受了初步的多参数磁共振成像。随后的治疗由治疗小组决定,可能包括经尿道膀胱肿瘤切除术:可行性阶段:可能患有肌层浸润性膀胱癌并被随机分配到路径 2 且正确遵循方案的比例。中期阶段:肌肉浸润性膀胱癌的正确治疗时间:2018年5月31日至2021年12月31日期间,在接触的638名患者中,143名参与者被随机分配;52.1%被视为可能的肌层浸润性膀胱癌,47.9%被视为可能的非肌层浸润性膀胱癌。可行性阶段:36/39 名[92%(95% 置信区间为 79% 至 98%)]肌肉浸润性膀胱癌参与者按照正确的路径进行了治疗。中期阶段:路径 1 的正确治疗中位时间为 98 天(95% 置信区间为 72 到 125 天),而路径 2 为 53 天(95% 置信区间为 20 到 89 天)[危险比为 2.9(95% 置信区间为 1.0 到 8.1)],P = 0.040。所有参与者接受正确治疗的中位时间,路径 1 为 37 天,路径 2 为 25 天[危险比 1.4(95% 置信区间 0.9 至 2.0)]:对于因多参数磁共振成像诊断为 T2 期或以上疾病而接受化疗、放疗或姑息治疗的参与者,由于缺乏组织病理学证实的肌肉侵犯,因此无法最终确定这些治疗是否正确,这些病例中的肌肉侵犯是由放射学证实的。所有患者的癌症都得到了组织学证实。由于 COVID-19 大流行,我们无法实现最后阶段的治疗:结论:多参数磁共振成像引导路径使肌肉浸润性膀胱癌的正确治疗时间大幅缩短了 45 天,而对非肌肉浸润性膀胱癌患者并无损害。应考虑将经尿道膀胱肿瘤切除术前的多参数磁共振成像纳入所有疑似肌层浸润性膀胱癌患者的标准治疗路径。尽管许多患者随后需要进行经尿道膀胱肿瘤切除术,但决策的改进加快了治疗时间。与经尿道膀胱肿瘤切除术相比,磁共振成像和活检的成本要低得多,因此一部分患者可以完全避免经尿道膀胱肿瘤切除术,从而降低成本和发病率:与最近开发的膀胱成像报告和数据系统交叉关联的进一步工作将提高准确性并有助于推广。此外,还需要进行更长时间的随访,以检查该路径对治疗效果的影响。纳入基于液体脱氧核糖核酸的生物标记物可进一步提高决策质量,也应进一步研究:本研究注册号为 ISRCTN 35296862:该奖项由美国国家健康与护理研究所(NIHR)健康技术评估项目资助(NIHR奖项编号:NIHR135775),全文发表于《健康技术评估》第28卷第42期。如需了解更多奖项信息,请访问 NIHR Funding and Awards 网站。
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引用次数: 0
Community-based complex interventions to sustain independence in older people, stratified by frailty: a systematic review and network meta-analysis. 基于社区的综合干预措施,以维持老年人的独立性,按虚弱程度分层:系统综述和网络荟萃分析。
IF 3.5 2区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.3310/HNRP2514
Thomas Frederick Crocker, Natalie Lam, Joie Ensor, Magda Jordão, Ram Bajpai, Matthew Bond, Anne Forster, Richard D Riley, Deirdre Andre, Caroline Brundle, Alison Ellwood, John Green, Matthew Hale, Jessica Morgan, Eleftheria Patetsini, Matthew Prescott, Ridha Ramiz, Oliver Todd, Rebecca Walford, John Gladman, Andrew Clegg
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Sustaining independence is important for older people, but there is insufficient guidance about which community health and care services to implement.</p><p><strong>Objectives: </strong>To synthesise evidence of the effectiveness of community services to sustain independence for older people grouped according to their intervention components, and to examine if frailty moderates the effect.</p><p><strong>Review design: </strong>Systematic review and network meta-analysis.</p><p><strong>Eligibility criteria: </strong>Studies: Randomised controlled trials or cluster-randomised controlled trials. Participants: Older people (mean age 65+) living at home. Interventions: community-based complex interventions for sustaining independence. Comparators: usual care, placebo or another complex intervention.</p><p><strong>Main outcomes: </strong>Living at home, instrumental activities of daily living, personal activities of daily living, care-home placement and service/economic outcomes at 1 year.</p><p><strong>Data sources: </strong>We searched MEDLINE (1946-), Embase (1947-), CINAHL (1972-), PsycINFO (1806-), CENTRAL and trial registries from inception to August 2021, without restrictions, and scanned reference lists.</p><p><strong>Review methods: </strong>Interventions were coded, summarised and grouped. Study populations were classified by frailty. A random-effects network meta-analysis was used. We assessed trial-result risk of bias (Cochrane RoB 2), network meta-analysis inconsistency and certainty of evidence (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation for network meta-analysis).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We included 129 studies (74,946 participants). Nineteen intervention components, including 'multifactorial-action' (multidomain assessment and management/individualised care planning), were identified in 63 combinations. The following results were of low certainty unless otherwise stated. For living at home, compared to no intervention/placebo, evidence favoured: multifactorial-action and review with medication-review (odds ratio 1.22, 95% confidence interval 0.93 to 1.59; moderate certainty) multifactorial-action with medication-review (odds ratio 2.55, 95% confidence interval 0.61 to 10.60) cognitive training, medication-review, nutrition and exercise (odds ratio 1.93, 95% confidence interval 0.79 to 4.77) and activities of daily living training, nutrition and exercise (odds ratio 1.79, 95% confidence interval 0.67 to 4.76). Four intervention combinations may reduce living at home. For instrumental activities of daily living, evidence favoured multifactorial-action and review with medication-review (standardised mean difference 0.11, 95% confidence interval 0.00 to 0.21; moderate certainty). Two interventions may reduce instrumental activities of daily living. For personal activities of daily living, evidence favoured exercise, multifactorial-action and review with medication-review and sel
背景:保持独立性对老年人来说非常重要,但在实施哪些社区医疗和护理服务方面却缺乏足够的指导:综述根据干预内容分组的社区服务在维持老年人独立性方面的有效性证据,并研究虚弱是否会影响效果:综述设计:系统综述和网络荟萃分析:研究:随机对照试验或分组随机对照试验。参与者:居住在家中的老年人(平均年龄 65 岁以上)。干预措施:基于社区的综合干预措施,以维持独立性。比较者:常规护理、安慰剂或其他综合干预措施:主要结果:居家生活、工具性日常生活活动、个人日常生活活动、护理院安置以及1年后的服务/经济结果:我们检索了 MEDLINE (1946-)、Embase (1947-)、CINAHL (1972-)、PsycINFO (1806-)、CENTRAL 和从开始到 2021 年 8 月的试验登记,没有任何限制,并扫描了参考文献列表:对干预措施进行编码、总结和分组。根据虚弱程度对研究人群进行分类。采用随机效应网络荟萃分析。我们评估了试验结果的偏倚风险(Cochrane RoB 2)、网络荟萃分析的不一致性和证据的确定性(网络荟萃分析的建议评估、发展和评价分级):我们纳入了 129 项研究(74946 名参与者)。确定了 19 项干预措施,包括 63 种组合的 "多因素行动"(多领域评估和管理/个性化护理规划)。除非另有说明,否则以下结果的确定性较低。就居家生活而言,与无干预措施/安慰剂相比,有证据表明:多因素行动和复查与药物复查(几率比 1.22,95% 置信区间 0.93 至 1.59;中等确定性)、多因素行动与药物复查(几率比 2.55,95% 置信区间为 0.61 至 10.60)认知训练、药物复查、营养和锻炼(几率比 1.93,95% 置信区间为 0.79 至 4.77)以及日常生活活动训练、营养和锻炼(几率比 1.79,95% 置信区间为 0.67 至 4.76)。四种干预组合可减少居家生活。在工具性日常生活活动方面,有证据表明,多因素行动和复查与药物复查(标准化平均差异为0.11,95%置信区间为0.00至0.21;中等确定性)更受青睐。两种干预措施可减少工具性日常生活活动。在个人日常生活活动方面,有证据表明,运动、多因素行动和药物复查以及自我管理更受青睐(标准化平均差异为0.16,95%置信区间为-0.51至0.82)。对于接受家庭护理的人,有证据表明他们更倾向于在药物审查的基础上增加多因素行动和审查(标准化平均差异为 0.60,95% 置信区间为 0.32 至 0.88)。护理院安置和服务/经济方面的研究结果尚无定论:大多数结果存在高偏倚风险,且估算不精确,这意味着大多数证据的确定性较低或非常低。每项比较的研究较少,妨碍了对不一致性和脆弱性的评估。研究内容多种多样;研究结果可能不适用于所有情况:对许多干预组合的评估结果大多较小,且不确定。然而,最有可能保持独立性的组合包括多因素行动、药物审查和对患者的持续审查。某些组合可能会降低独立性:需要开展进一步的研究,以探索作用机制以及与环境的相互作用。研究注册:本研究注册为 PROSPERO CRD42019162195:本奖项由美国国家健康与护理研究所(NIHR)健康技术评估计划资助(NIHR奖项编号:NIHR128862),全文发表于《健康技术评估》第28卷第48期。如需了解更多奖项信息,请参阅 NIHR Funding and Awards 网站。
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引用次数: 0
Development and validation of prediction models for fetal growth restriction and birthweight: an individual participant data meta-analysis. 胎儿生长受限和出生体重预测模型的开发与验证:个体参与者数据荟萃分析。
IF 3.5 2区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.3310/DABW4814
John Allotey, Lucinda Archer, Dyuti Coomar, Kym Ie Snell, Melanie Smuk, Lucy Oakey, Sadia Haqnawaz, Ana Pilar Betrán, Lucy C Chappell, Wessel Ganzevoort, Sanne Gordijn, Asma Khalil, Ben W Mol, Rachel K Morris, Jenny Myers, Aris T Papageorghiou, Basky Thilaganathan, Fabricio Da Silva Costa, Fabio Facchinetti, Arri Coomarasamy, Akihide Ohkuchi, Anne Eskild, Javier Arenas Ramírez, Alberto Galindo, Ignacio Herraiz, Federico Prefumo, Shigeru Saito, Line Sletner, Jose Guilherme Cecatti, Rinat Gabbay-Benziv, Francois Goffinet, Ahmet A Baschat, Renato T Souza, Fionnuala Mone, Diane Farrar, Seppo Heinonen, Kjell Å Salvesen, Luc Jm Smits, Sohinee Bhattacharya, Chie Nagata, Satoru Takeda, Marleen Mhj van Gelder, Dewi Anggraini, SeonAe Yeo, Jane West, Javier Zamora, Hema Mistry, Richard D Riley, Shakila Thangaratinam
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Fetal growth restriction is associated with perinatal morbidity and mortality. Early identification of women having at-risk fetuses can reduce perinatal adverse outcomes.</p><p><strong>Objectives: </strong>To assess the predictive performance of existing models predicting fetal growth restriction and birthweight, and if needed, to develop and validate new multivariable models using individual participant data.</p><p><strong>Design: </strong>Individual participant data meta-analyses of cohorts in International Prediction of Pregnancy Complications network, decision curve analysis and health economics analysis.</p><p><strong>Participants: </strong>Pregnant women at booking. External validation of existing models (9 cohorts, 441,415 pregnancies); International Prediction of Pregnancy Complications model development and validation (4 cohorts, 237,228 pregnancies).</p><p><strong>Predictors: </strong>Maternal clinical characteristics, biochemical and ultrasound markers.</p><p><strong>Primary outcomes: </strong>fetal growth restriction defined as birthweight <10th centile adjusted for gestational age and with stillbirth, neonatal death or delivery before 32 weeks' gestation birthweight.</p><p><strong>Analysis: </strong>First, we externally validated existing models using individual participant data meta-analysis. If needed, we developed and validated new International Prediction of Pregnancy Complications models using random-intercept regression models with backward elimination for variable selection and undertook internal-external cross-validation. We estimated the study-specific performance (<i>c</i>-statistic, calibration slope, calibration-in-the-large) for each model and pooled using random-effects meta-analysis. Heterogeneity was quantified using τ<sup>2</sup> and 95% prediction intervals. We assessed the clinical utility of the fetal growth restriction model using decision curve analysis, and health economics analysis based on National Institute for Health and Care Excellence 2008 model.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Of the 119 published models, one birthweight model (Poon) could be validated. None reported fetal growth restriction using our definition. Across all cohorts, the Poon model had good summary calibration slope of 0.93 (95% confidence interval 0.90 to 0.96) with slight overfitting, and underpredicted birthweight by 90.4 g on average (95% confidence interval 37.9 g to 142.9 g). The newly developed International Prediction of Pregnancy Complications-fetal growth restriction model included maternal age, height, parity, smoking status, ethnicity, and any history of hypertension, pre-eclampsia, previous stillbirth or small for gestational age baby and gestational age at delivery. This allowed predictions conditional on a range of assumed gestational ages at delivery. The pooled apparent <i>c</i>-statistic and calibration were 0.96 (95% confidence interval 0.51 to 1.0), and 0.95 (95% confidence interval 0.67
背景:胎儿生长受限与围产期发病率和死亡率有关。早期识别高危胎儿的妇女可减少围产期不良结局:评估现有胎儿生长受限和出生体重预测模型的预测性能,并在必要时利用个体参与者数据开发和验证新的多变量模型:设计:对国际妊娠并发症预测网络中的队列进行个体参与者数据荟萃分析、决策曲线分析和健康经济学分析:预约时的孕妇。现有模型的外部验证(9 个队列,441 415 例妊娠);国际妊娠并发症预测模型的开发和验证(4 个队列,237 228 例妊娠):主要结果:胎儿生长受限,定义为出生体重 分析:首先,我们利用个体参与者数据荟萃分析对现有模型进行外部验证。如有必要,我们使用随机截距回归模型和反向排除法选择变量,开发并验证了新的妊娠并发症国际预测模型,并进行了内部-外部交叉验证。我们估算了每个模型的研究特异性表现(c 统计量、校准斜率、大校准),并使用随机效应荟萃分析进行了汇总。异质性采用 τ2 和 95% 预测区间进行量化。我们使用决策曲线分析评估了胎儿生长受限模型的临床实用性,并根据美国国家健康与护理卓越研究所(National Institute for Health and Care Excellence 2008)的模型进行了健康经济学分析:在已发表的 119 个模型中,有一个出生体重模型(Poon)可以通过验证。根据我们的定义,没有一个模型报告了胎儿生长受限。在所有队列中,Poon 模型的校准斜率为 0.93(95% 置信区间为 0.90 至 0.96),具有良好的汇总校准斜率,但略有过拟合,出生体重平均低估了 90.4 克(95% 置信区间为 37.9 克至 142.9 克)。新开发的国际妊娠并发症预测-胎儿生长受限模型包括产妇年龄、身高、奇偶数、吸烟状况、种族、高血压病史、子痫前期、死胎或小于胎龄儿以及分娩时的胎龄。这样就可以根据一系列假定的分娩时胎龄进行预测。汇总的表观 c 统计量和校准值分别为 0.96(95% 置信区间为 0.51 至 1.0)和 0.95(95% 置信区间为 0.67 至 1.23)。预测概率阈值在 1%至 90%之间时,模型显示出正净效益。除了妊娠并发症国际预测-胎儿生长受限模型中的预测因素外,妊娠并发症国际预测-出生体重模型还包括产妇体重、糖尿病史和受孕方式。在内部-外部交叉验证中,各组群的平均校准斜率为 1.00(95% 置信区间为 0.78 至 1.23),没有过度拟合的迹象。出生体重平均被低估了 9.7 克(95% 置信区间为 -154.3 克至 173.8 克):局限性:由于结果定义的不同,我们无法对大部分已发表的模型进行外部验证。国际妊娠并发症预测-胎儿生长受限模型的内部-外部交叉验证受到了所纳入队列中事件较少的限制。使用国家健康与护理卓越研究所公布的 2008 年模型进行的经济评估可能无法反映当前的实践,而且由于数据匮乏,无法进行全面的经济评估:国际妊娠并发症预测模型的性能需要在日常实践中进行评估,其对决策和临床结果的影响也需要评估:结论:妊娠并发症国际预测-胎儿生长受限模型和妊娠并发症国际预测-出生体重模型能准确预测不同假定孕龄分娩时的胎儿生长受限和出生体重。这些模型可用于对预约时的风险状况进行分层、计划监测和管理:本研究注册为 PROSPERO CRD42019135045:该奖项由美国国家健康与护理研究所(NIHR)健康技术评估项目资助(NIHR奖项编号:17/148/07),全文发表于《健康技术评估》第28卷第14期。如需了解更多奖项信息,请访问 NIHR Funding and Awards 网站。
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引用次数: 0
Lenvatinib plus pembrolizumab for untreated advanced renal cell carcinoma: a systematic review and cost-effectiveness analysis. 伦伐替尼联合pembrolizumab治疗未经治疗的晚期肾细胞癌:系统综述和成本效益分析。
IF 3.5 2区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.3310/TRRM4238
Nigel Fleeman, Rachel Houten, Sarah Nevitt, James Mahon, Sophie Beale, Angela Boland, Janette Greenhalgh, Katherine Edwards, Michelle Maden, Devarshi Bhattacharyya, Marty Chaplin, Joanne McEntee, Shien Chow, Tom Waddell
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Renal cell carcinoma is the most common type of kidney cancer, comprising approximately 85% of all renal malignancies. Patients with advanced renal cell carcinoma are the focus of this National Institute for Health and Care Excellence multiple technology appraisal. A patient's risk of disease progression depends on a number of prognostic risk factors; patients are categorised as having intermediate/poor risk or favourable risk of disease progression.</p><p><strong>Objectives: </strong>The objectives of this multiple technology appraisal were to appraise the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of lenvatinib plus pembrolizumab versus relevant comparators listed in the final scope issued by the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence: sunitinib, pazopanib, tivozanib, cabozantinib and nivolumab plus ipilimumab.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The assessment group carried out clinical and economic systematic reviews and assessed the clinical and cost-effectiveness evidence submitted by Eisai, Hatfield, Hertfordshire, UK (the manufacturer of lenvatinib) and Merck Sharp & Dohme, Whitehouse Station, NJ, USA (the manufacturer of pembrolizumab). The assessment group carried out fixed-effects network meta-analyses using a Bayesian framework to generate evidence for clinical effectiveness. As convergence issues occurred due to sparse data, random-effects network meta-analysis results were unusable. The assessment group did not develop a de novo economic model, but instead modified the partitioned survival model provided by Merck Sharp & Dohme.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The assessment group clinical systematic review identified one relevant randomised controlled trial (CLEAR trial). The CLEAR trial is a good-quality, phase III, multicentre, open-label trial that provided evidence for the efficacy and safety of lenvatinib plus pembrolizumab compared with sunitinib. The assessment group progression-free survival network meta-analysis results for all three risk groups should not be used to infer any statistically significant difference (or lack of statistically significant difference) for any of the treatment comparisons owing to within-trial proportional hazards violations or uncertainty regarding the validity of the proportional hazards assumption. The assessment group overall survival network meta-analysis results for the intermediate-/poor-risk subgroup suggested that there was a numerical, but not statistically significant, improvement in the overall survival for patients treated with lenvatinib plus pembrolizumab compared with patients treated with cabozantinib or nivolumab plus ipilimumab. Because of within-trial proportional hazards violations or uncertainty regarding the validity of the proportional hazards assumption, the assessment group overall survival network meta-analysis results for the favourable-risk subgroup and the all-risk population should not be used to infer any statistically signi
研究注册:本研究注册为 PROSPERO CRD4202128587:该奖项由国家健康与护理研究所(NIHR)证据综合项目(NIHR奖项编号:NIHR134985)资助,全文发表于《健康技术评估》(Health Technology Assessment)第28卷第49期。更多奖项信息请参阅 NIHR Funding and Awards 网站。
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引用次数: 0
Reducing self-harm in adolescents: the RISA-IPD individual patient data meta-analysis and systematic review. 减少青少年自我伤害:RISA-IPD个体患者数据荟萃分析和系统回顾。
IF 3.5 2区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.3310/GTNT6331
David Cottrell, Alex Wright-Hughes, Amanda Farrin, Rebecca Walwyn, Faraz Mughal, Alex Truscott, Emma Diggins, Donna Irving, Peter Fonagy, Dennis Ougrin, Daniel Stahl, Judy Wright

Background: Self-harm is common in adolescents and a major public health concern. Evidence for effective interventions is lacking. An individual patient data meta-analysis has the potential to provide more reliable estimates of the effects of therapeutic interventions for self-harm than conventional meta-analyses, to explore which treatments are best suited to certain groups.

Method: A systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials of therapeutic interventions to reduce repeat self-harm in adolescents who had a history of self-harm and presented to clinical services. Primary outcome was repetition of self-harm. The methods employed for searches, study screening and selection, and risk of bias assessment are described, with an overview of the outputs of the searching, selection and quality assessment processes. Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidance is followed.

Results: We identified a total 39 eligible studies, from 10 countries, where we sought Individual Patient Data (IPD), of which the full sample of participants were eligible in 18 studies and a partial sample of participants were eligible in 21 studies. We obtained IPD from 26 studies of 3448 eligible participants. For our primary outcome, repetition of self-harm, only 6 studies were rated as low risk of bias with 10 rated as high risk (although 2 of these were for secondary outcomes only).

Conclusions: Obtaining individual patient data for meta-analyses is possible but very time-consuming, despite clear guidance from funding bodies that researchers should share their data appropriately. More attention needs to be paid to seeking appropriate consent from study participants for (pseudo) anonymised data-sharing and institutions need to collaborate on agreeing template data-sharing agreements. Researchers and funders need to consider issues of research design more carefully. Our next step is to analyse all the data we have collected to see if it will tell us more about how we might prevent repetition of self-harm in young people.

Funding: This article presents independent research funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme as award number 17/117/11. A plain language summary of this research article is available on the NIHR Journals Library Website https://doi.org/10.3310/GTNT6331.

背景:自残在青少年中很常见,也是一个主要的公共卫生问题。目前缺乏有效干预的证据。与传统的荟萃分析相比,个体患者数据荟萃分析有可能对自残治疗干预的效果提供更可靠的估计,从而探索哪些治疗方法最适合某些群体:方法:对减少有自残史并向临床服务机构求助的青少年重复自残的治疗干预随机对照试验进行系统回顾和个体患者数据荟萃分析。主要结果为重复自残。本文介绍了检索、研究筛选和选择以及偏倚风险评估所采用的方法,并概述了检索、选择和质量评估过程的结果。结果:我们在 10 个国家共发现了 39 项符合条件的研究,并在这些研究中寻求了患者个体数据(IPD),其中 18 项研究的全部参与者样本符合条件,21 项研究的部分参与者样本符合条件。我们从 26 项研究的 3448 名合格参与者中获得了 IPD。对于我们的主要结果--重复自残,只有 6 项研究被评为低偏倚风险,10 项被评为高风险(尽管其中 2 项仅针对次要结果):为荟萃分析获取患者个人数据是可能的,但非常耗时,尽管资助机构明确指导研究人员应适当共享数据。需要更加重视就(伪)匿名数据共享征求研究参与者的适当同意,各机构需要合作商定数据共享协议模板。研究人员和资助者需要更仔细地考虑研究设计问题。下一步,我们将对收集到的所有数据进行分析,看看这些数据是否能告诉我们更多关于如何防止青少年再次自我伤害的信息:本文介绍了由美国国家健康与护理研究所(NIHR)健康技术评估项目资助的独立研究,获奖编号为 17/117/11。该研究文章的简明摘要可在国家健康与护理研究所期刊图书馆网站 https://doi.org/10.3310/GTNT6331 上查阅。
{"title":"Reducing self-harm in adolescents: the RISA-IPD individual patient data meta-analysis and systematic review.","authors":"David Cottrell, Alex Wright-Hughes, Amanda Farrin, Rebecca Walwyn, Faraz Mughal, Alex Truscott, Emma Diggins, Donna Irving, Peter Fonagy, Dennis Ougrin, Daniel Stahl, Judy Wright","doi":"10.3310/GTNT6331","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3310/GTNT6331","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Self-harm is common in adolescents and a major public health concern. Evidence for effective interventions is lacking. An individual patient data meta-analysis has the potential to provide more reliable estimates of the effects of therapeutic interventions for self-harm than conventional meta-analyses, to explore which treatments are best suited to certain groups.</p><p><strong>Method: </strong>A systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials of therapeutic interventions to reduce repeat self-harm in adolescents who had a history of self-harm and presented to clinical services. Primary outcome was repetition of self-harm. The methods employed for searches, study screening and selection, and risk of bias assessment are described, with an overview of the outputs of the searching, selection and quality assessment processes. Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidance is followed.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We identified a total 39 eligible studies, from 10 countries, where we sought Individual Patient Data (IPD), of which the full sample of participants were eligible in 18 studies and a partial sample of participants were eligible in 21 studies. We obtained IPD from 26 studies of 3448 eligible participants. For our primary outcome, repetition of self-harm, only 6 studies were rated as low risk of bias with 10 rated as high risk (although 2 of these were for secondary outcomes only).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Obtaining individual patient data for meta-analyses is possible but very time-consuming, despite clear guidance from funding bodies that researchers should share their data appropriately. More attention needs to be paid to seeking appropriate consent from study participants for (pseudo) anonymised data-sharing and institutions need to collaborate on agreeing template data-sharing agreements. Researchers and funders need to consider issues of research design more carefully. Our next step is to analyse all the data we have collected to see if it will tell us more about how we might prevent repetition of self-harm in young people.</p><p><strong>Funding: </strong>This article presents independent research funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme as award number 17/117/11. A plain language summary of this research article is available on the NIHR Journals Library Website https://doi.org/10.3310/GTNT6331.</p>","PeriodicalId":12898,"journal":{"name":"Health technology assessment","volume":" ","pages":"1-42"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2024-07-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141723589","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Immunogenicity and seroefficacy of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines: a systematic review and network meta-analysis. 肺炎球菌结合疫苗的免疫原性和血清效价:系统综述和网络荟萃分析。
IF 3.5 2区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.3310/YWHA3079
Shuo Feng, Julie McLellan, Nicola Pidduck, Nia Roberts, Julian Pt Higgins, Yoon Choi, Alane Izu, Mark Jit, Shabir A Madhi, Kim Mulholland, Andrew J Pollard, Simon Procter, Beth Temple, Merryn Voysey
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Vaccination of infants with pneumococcal conjugate vaccines is recommended by the World Health Organization. Evidence is mixed regarding the differences in immunogenicity and efficacy of the different pneumococcal vaccines.</p><p><strong>Objectives: </strong>The primary objective was to compare the immunogenicity of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine-10 versus pneumococcal conjugate vaccine-13. The main secondary objective was to compare the seroefficacy of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine-10 versus pneumococcal conjugate vaccine-13.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We searched the Cochrane Library, EMBASE, Global Health, MEDLINE, ClinicalTrials.gov and trialsearch.who.int up to July 2022. Studies were eligible if they directly compared either pneumococcal conjugate vaccine-7, pneumococcal conjugate vaccine-10 or pneumococcal conjugate vaccine-13 in randomised trials of children under 2 years of age, and provided immunogenicity data for at least one time point. Individual participant data were requested and aggregate data used otherwise. Outcomes included the geometric mean ratio of serotype-specific immunoglobulin G and the relative risk of seroinfection. Seroinfection was defined for each individual as a rise in antibody between the post-primary vaccination series time point and the booster dose, evidence of presumed subclinical infection. Each trial was analysed to obtain the log of the ratio of geometric means and its standard error. The relative risk of seroinfection ('seroefficacy') was estimated by comparing the proportion of participants with seroinfection between vaccine groups. The log-geometric mean ratios, log-relative risks and their standard errors constituted the input data for evidence synthesis. For serotypes contained in all three vaccines, evidence could be synthesised using a network meta-analysis. For other serotypes, meta-analysis was used. Results from seroefficacy analyses were incorporated into a mathematical model of pneumococcal transmission dynamics to compare the differential impact of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine-10 and pneumococcal conjugate vaccine-13 introduction on invasive pneumococcal disease cases. The model estimated the impact of vaccine introduction over a 25-year time period and an economic evaluation was conducted.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>In total, 47 studies were eligible from 38 countries. Twenty-eight and 12 studies with data available were included in immunogenicity and seroefficacy analyses, respectively. Geometric mean ratios comparing pneumococcal conjugate vaccine-13 versus pneumococcal conjugate vaccine-10 favoured pneumococcal conjugate vaccine-13 for serotypes 4, 9V and 23F at 1 month after primary vaccination series, with 1.14- to 1.54-fold significantly higher immunoglobulin G responses with pneumococcal conjugate vaccine-13. Risk of seroinfection prior to the time of booster dose was lower for pneumococcal conjugate vaccine-13 for serotype 4, 6B, 9V, 18C an
背景:世界卫生组织建议为婴儿接种肺炎球菌结合疫苗。关于不同肺炎球菌疫苗在免疫原性和有效性方面的差异,证据不一:主要目的是比较肺炎球菌结合疫苗-10 和肺炎球菌结合疫苗-13 的免疫原性。主要次要目标是比较肺炎球菌结合疫苗-10 和肺炎球菌结合疫苗-13 的血清效价:我们检索了截至 2022 年 7 月的 Cochrane Library、EMBASE、Global Health、MEDLINE、ClinicalTrials.gov 和 trialsearch.who.int。在针对 2 岁以下儿童的随机试验中直接比较肺炎球菌结合疫苗-7、肺炎球菌结合疫苗-10 或肺炎球菌结合疫苗-13,并提供至少一个时间点免疫原性数据的研究均符合条件。要求提供单个参与者的数据,否则使用汇总数据。结果包括血清型特异性免疫球蛋白 G 的几何平均比值和血清感染的相对风险。血清感染的定义是每个人在初次接种疫苗后至加强剂量之间的抗体上升,即假定亚临床感染的证据。对每项试验进行分析,得出几何平均数比值的对数及其标准误差。血清感染的相对风险("血清效价")是通过比较不同疫苗组之间出现血清感染的参与者比例来估算的。对数几何平均比、对数相对风险及其标准误差构成了证据综合的输入数据。对于所有三种疫苗所含的血清型,可采用网络荟萃分析法进行证据综合。对于其他血清型,则采用荟萃分析法。血清效价分析结果被纳入肺炎球菌传播动态数学模型,以比较引入肺炎球菌结合疫苗-10 和肺炎球菌结合疫苗-13 对侵入性肺炎球菌疾病病例的不同影响。该模型估算了在 25 年时间内接种疫苗的影响,并进行了经济评估:共有来自 38 个国家的 47 项研究符合条件。在免疫原性和血清效价分析中,分别纳入了 28 项和 12 项有数据的研究。接种肺炎球菌结合疫苗-13 和肺炎球菌结合疫苗-10 的几何平均比值显示,在初次接种系列疫苗 1 个月后,血清型 4、9V 和 23F 的肺炎球菌结合疫苗-13 更受青睐,肺炎球菌结合疫苗-13 的免疫球蛋白 G 反应显著高出 1.14-1.54 倍。肺炎球菌结合疫苗-13 血清型 4、6B、9V、18C 和 23F 的血清感染风险低于肺炎球菌结合疫苗-10。大多数血清型和两种结果都存在显著的异质性和不一致性。初次接种后抗体提高两倍与血清感染风险降低 54% 有关(相对风险为 0.46,95% 置信区间为 0.23 至 0.96)。在模拟情景中,2006 年引入肺炎球菌结合疫苗-13 或肺炎球菌结合疫苗-10 后,肺炎球菌结合疫苗-10 的病例减少速度低于肺炎球菌结合疫苗-13。据预测,在 2006 年至 2030 年期间,与接种肺炎球菌结合疫苗-10 相比,接种肺炎球菌结合疫苗-13 可额外避免 2808 例(95% 置信区间为 2690 至 2925)侵袭性肺炎球菌疾病:分析使用了婴儿疫苗研究的数据,并在加强剂量前采集了血液样本。将加强剂量前的疗效推断到加强剂量后的时间点所产生的影响尚不清楚。网络荟萃分析模型包含显著的异质性,可能会导致偏差:肺炎球菌结合疫苗-13 和肺炎球菌结合疫苗-10 在免疫原性和血清效价方面存在血清型特异性差异。接种后抗体反应越高,后续感染风险越低。这些方法可用于比较肺炎球菌结合疫苗和优化疫苗接种策略。在未来的工作中,还可以确定其他肺炎球菌疫苗的血清效价估计值,这将有助于新肺炎球菌疫苗的许可或政策决策:本研究已注册为 PROSPERO CRD42019124580:该奖项由英国国家健康与护理研究所(NIHR)健康技术评估项目资助(NIHR奖项编号:17/148/03),全文发表于《健康技术评估》(Health Technology Assessment)第28卷第34期。欲了解更多奖项信息,请参阅 NIHR Funding and Awards 网站。
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引用次数: 0
Devices for remote continuous monitoring of people with Parkinson's disease: a systematic review and cost-effectiveness analysis. 用于对帕金森病患者进行远程连续监测的设备:系统综述和成本效益分析。
IF 3.5 2区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.3310/YDSL3294
Edward Cox, Ros Wade, Robert Hodgson, Helen Fulbright, Thai Han Phung, Nicholas Meader, Simon Walker, Claire Rothery, Mark Simmonds
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Parkinson's disease is a brain condition causing a progressive loss of co ordination and movement problems. Around 145,500 people have Parkinson's disease in the United Kingdom. Levodopa is the most prescribed treatment for managing motor symptoms in the early stages. Patients should be monitored by a specialist every 6-12 months for disease progression and treatment of adverse effects. Wearable devices may provide a novel approach to management by directly monitoring patients for bradykinesia, dyskinesia, tremor and other symptoms. They are intended to be used alongside clinical judgement.</p><p><strong>Objectives: </strong>To determine the clinical and cost-effectiveness of five devices for monitoring Parkinson's disease: Personal KinetiGraph, Kinesia 360, KinesiaU, PDMonitor and STAT-ON.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We performed systematic reviews of all evidence on the five devices, outcomes included: diagnostic accuracy, impact on decision-making, clinical outcomes, patient and clinician opinions and economic outcomes. We searched MEDLINE and 12 other databases/trial registries to February 2022. Risk of bias was assessed. Narrative synthesis was used to summarise all identified evidence, as the evidence was insufficient for meta-analysis. One included trial provided individual-level data, which was re-analysed. A de novo decision-analytic model was developed to estimate the cost-effectiveness of Personal KinetiGraph and Kinesia 360 compared to standard of care in the UK NHS over a 5-year time horizon. The base-case analysis considered two alternative monitoring strategies: one-time use and routine use of the device.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Fifty-seven studies of Personal KinetiGraph, 15 of STAT-ON, 3 of Kinesia 360, 1 of KinesiaU and 1 of PDMonitor were included. There was some evidence to suggest that Personal KinetiGraph can accurately measure bradykinesia and dyskinesia, leading to treatment modification in some patients, and a possible improvement in clinical outcomes when measured using the Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale. The evidence for STAT-ON suggested it may be of value for diagnosing symptoms, but there is currently no evidence on its clinical impact. The evidence for Kinesia 360, KinesiaU and PDMonitor is insufficient to draw any conclusions on their value in clinical practice. The base-case results for Personal KinetiGraph compared to standard of care for one-time and routine use resulted in incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of £67,856 and £57,877 per quality-adjusted life-year gained, respectively, with a beneficial impact of the Personal KinetiGraph on Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale domains III and IV. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio results for Kinesia 360 compared to standard of care for one-time and routine use were £38,828 and £67,203 per quality-adjusted life-year gained, respectively.</p><p><strong>Limitations: </strong>The evidence was limited i
背景:帕金森病是一种脑部疾病,会导致逐渐丧失协调能力和运动障碍。在英国,约有 145,500 人患有帕金森病。左旋多巴是早期控制运动症状的最常用治疗药物。患者应每 6-12 个月接受一次专科医生的监测,以了解疾病的进展和不良反应的治疗情况。可穿戴设备可直接监测患者的运动迟缓、运动障碍、震颤和其他症状,从而提供一种新的管理方法。目标:确定可穿戴设备的临床和成本效益:确定五种帕金森病监测设备的临床和成本效益:目的:确定五种帕金森病监测设备的临床和成本效益:Personal KinetiGraph、Kinesia 360、KinesiaU、PDMonitor 和 STAT-ON:我们对有关这五种设备的所有证据进行了系统性回顾,结果包括:诊断准确性、对决策的影响、临床结果、患者和临床医生的意见以及经济结果。我们检索了截至 2022 年 2 月的 MEDLINE 和其他 12 个数据库/试验登记。对偏倚风险进行了评估。由于证据不足以进行荟萃分析,我们采用了叙述性综合法来总结所有已确认的证据。一项纳入的试验提供了个体层面的数据,并对其进行了重新分析。我们建立了一个全新的决策分析模型,以估算在 5 年的时间跨度内,在英国国家医疗服务体系中,与标准护理相比,Personal KinetiGraph 和 Kinesia 360 的成本效益。基础案例分析考虑了两种可供选择的监测策略:一次性使用和常规使用该设备:结果:共纳入了 57 项关于 Personal KinetiGraph、15 项关于 STAT-ON、3 项关于 Kinesia 360、1 项关于 KinesiaU 和 1 项关于 PDMonitor 的研究。有证据表明,Personal KinetiGraph 可以准确测量运动迟缓和运动障碍,从而对某些患者的治疗进行调整,并且在使用统一帕金森病评分量表进行测量时可能会改善临床疗效。STAT-ON 的证据表明,它可能具有诊断症状的价值,但目前还没有证据表明其临床影响。Kinesia 360、KinesiaU 和 PDMonitor 的证据不足,无法就其在临床实践中的价值得出结论。Personal KinetiGraph 与标准护理相比,一次性使用和常规使用的基础案例结果显示,每获得质量调整生命年的增量成本效益比分别为 67,856 英镑和 57,877 英镑,Personal KinetiGraph 对统一帕金森病分级量表 III 和 IV 级领域具有有利影响。Kinesia 360 与标准护理相比,一次性使用和常规使用的增量成本效益比结果分别为每质量调整生命年收益 38828 英镑和 67203 英镑:局限性:证据范围有限,且通常质量较低。对于除 Personal KinetiGraph 之外的所有设备,几乎没有关于该技术临床影响的证据:结论:Personal KinetiGraph 可以在实践中合理用于监测患者症状,并在必要时修改治疗方法。关于 STAT-ON、Kinesia 360、KinesiaU 或 PDMonitor 的证据太少,因此无法确信它们在临床上是否有用。远程监测的成本效益似乎在很大程度上是不利的,在一系列替代假设中,每质量调整生命年的增量成本效益比超过 30,000 英镑。成本效益的主要驱动因素是患者症状改善的持久性:本研究注册号为 PROSPERO CRD42022308597:该奖项由英国国家健康与护理研究所(NIHR)的证据综合项目(NIHR奖项编号:NIHR135437)资助,全文发表于《健康技术评估》(Health Technology Assessment)第28卷第30期。如需了解更多奖项信息,请参阅 NIHR Funding and Awards 网站。
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引用次数: 0
Emollient application from birth to prevent eczema in high-risk children: the BEEP RCT. 从出生开始涂润肤剂预防高危儿童湿疹:BEEP RCT。
IF 3.5 2区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.3310/RHDN9613
Lucy E Bradshaw, Laura A Wyatt, Sara J Brown, Rachel H Haines, Alan A Montgomery, Michael R Perkin, Tracey H Sach, Sandra Lawton, Carsten Flohr, Matthew J Ridd, Joanne R Chalmers, Joanne Brooks, Richard Swinden, Eleanor J Mitchell, Stella Tarr, Nicola Jay, Kim S Thomas, Hilary Allen, Michael J Cork, Maeve M Kelleher, Eric L Simpson, Stella T Lartey, Susan Davies-Jones, Robert J Boyle, Hywel C Williams
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Atopic eczema is a common childhood skin problem linked with asthma, food allergy and allergic rhinitis that impairs quality of life.</p><p><strong>Objectives: </strong>To determine whether advising parents to apply daily emollients in the first year can prevent eczema and/or other atopic diseases in high-risk children.</p><p><strong>Design: </strong>A United Kingdom, multicentre, pragmatic, two-arm, parallel-group randomised controlled prevention trial with follow-up to 5 years.</p><p><strong>Setting: </strong>Twelve secondary and four primary care centres.</p><p><strong>Participants: </strong>Healthy infants (at least 37 weeks' gestation) at high risk of developing eczema, screened and consented during the third trimester or post delivery.</p><p><strong>Interventions: </strong>Infants were randomised (1 : 1) within 21 days of birth to apply emollient (Doublebase Gel®; Dermal Laboratories Ltd, Hitchin, UK or Diprobase Cream®) daily to the whole body (excluding scalp) for the first year, plus standard skin-care advice (emollient group) or standard skin-care advice only (control group). Families were not blinded to allocation.</p><p><strong>Main outcome measures: </strong>Primary outcome was eczema diagnosis in the last year at age 2 years, as defined by the UK Working Party refinement of the Hanifin and Rajka diagnostic criteria, assessed by research nurses blinded to allocation. Secondary outcomes up to age 2 years included other eczema definitions, time to onset and severity of eczema, allergic rhinitis, wheezing, allergic sensitisation, food allergy, safety (skin infections and slippages) and cost-effectiveness.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>One thousand three hundred and ninety-four newborns were randomised between November 2014 and November 2016; 693 emollient and 701 control. Adherence in the emollient group was 88% (466/532), 82% (427/519) and 74% (375/506) at 3, 6 and 12 months. At 2 years, eczema was present in 139/598 (23%) in the emollient group and 150/612 (25%) in controls (adjusted relative risk 0.95, 95% confidence interval 0.78 to 1.16; <i>p</i> = 0.61 and adjusted risk difference -1.2%, 95% confidence interval -5.9% to 3.6%). Other eczema definitions supported the primary analysis. Food allergy (milk, egg, peanut) was present in 41/547 (7.5%) in the emollient group versus 29/568 (5.1%) in controls (adjusted relative risk 1.47, 95% confidence interval 0.93 to 2.33). Mean number of skin infections per child in the first year was 0.23 (standard deviation 0.68) in the emollient group versus 0.15 (standard deviation 0.46) in controls; adjusted incidence rate ratio 1.55, 95% confidence interval 1.15 to 2.09. The adjusted incremental cost per percentage decrease in risk of eczema at 2 years was £5337 (£7281 unadjusted). No difference between the groups in eczema or other atopic diseases was observed during follow-up to age 5 years via parental questionnaires.</p><p><strong>Limitations: </strong>Two emol
背景:特应性湿疹是一种常见的儿童皮肤问题,与哮喘、食物过敏和过敏性鼻炎有关,会影响生活质量:目的:确定建议家长在婴儿出生后第一年每天使用润肤剂是否能预防高危儿童的湿疹和/或其他特应性疾病:设计:英国一项多中心、务实、双臂、平行组随机对照预防试验,随访 5 年:地点:12 个二级医疗中心和 4 个初级医疗中心:健康婴儿(妊娠至少 37 周),有患湿疹的高风险,在怀孕三个月或产后接受筛查并同意接受治疗:在婴儿出生后 21 天内随机分配(1:1)婴儿在第一年内每天全身(不包括头皮)涂抹润肤剂(Doublebase Gel®;Dermal Laboratories Ltd,Hitchin,UK 或 Diprobase Cream®),同时提供标准皮肤护理建议(润肤剂组)或仅提供标准皮肤护理建议(对照组)。主要结果指标:主要结果:主要结果是根据英国工作小组对Hanifin和Rajka诊断标准的改进,在2岁时的最后一年诊断出湿疹,由研究护士在分配盲法下进行评估。2岁前的次要结果包括其他湿疹定义、湿疹发病时间和严重程度、过敏性鼻炎、喘息、过敏致敏、食物过敏、安全性(皮肤感染和滑脱)以及成本效益:2014年11月至2016年11月期间,随机抽取了1394名新生儿,其中润肤剂693名,对照组701名。在3、6和12个月时,润肤剂组的坚持率分别为88%(466/532)、82%(427/519)和74%(375/506)。2 年后,润肤剂组 139/598 人(23%)出现湿疹,对照组 150/612 人(25%)出现湿疹(调整后相对风险为 0.95,95% 置信区间为 0.78 至 1.16;P = 0.61,调整后风险差异为-1.2%,95% 置信区间为-5.9% 至 3.6%)。其他湿疹定义支持主要分析。润肤剂组 41/547 例(7.5%)患儿对食物(牛奶、鸡蛋、花生)过敏,对照组 29/568 例(5.1%)患儿对食物(牛奶、鸡蛋、花生)过敏(调整后相对风险为 1.47,95% 置信区间为 0.93 至 2.33)。润肤剂组每名儿童第一年的平均皮肤感染次数为 0.23 次(标准差为 0.68 次),对照组为 0.15 次(标准差为 0.46 次);调整后发病率比为 1.55,95% 置信区间为 1.15 至 2.09。2年后,湿疹风险每降低一个百分点的调整后增量成本为5337英镑(未调整为7281英镑)。通过家长调查问卷随访至5岁时,未发现各组在湿疹或其他特应性疾病方面存在差异:使用了两种润肤剂,可能会产生不同的效果。开始使用润肤剂的中位时间为出生后 11 天。对照组中出现了一些污染(< 20%)。参与研究的家庭未被屏蔽,并报告了一些结果:我们没有发现任何证据表明,高危儿童在出生后第一年每天使用润肤剂可以预防湿疹。使用润肤剂与较高的皮肤感染风险和可能增加的食物过敏有关。在这种情况下,使用润肤剂不太可能具有成本效益:未来研究:将类似的研究集中起来,进行个体患者数据荟萃分析:该试验的注册号为 ISRCTN21528841:该奖项由美国国家健康与护理研究所(NIHR)健康技术评估项目资助(NIHR奖项编号:12/67/12),全文发表于《健康技术评估》(Health Technology Assessment)第28卷第29期。更多奖项信息请参阅 NIHR Funding and Awards 网站。
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引用次数: 0
Accuracy of glomerular filtration rate estimation using creatinine and cystatin C for identifying and monitoring moderate chronic kidney disease: the eGFR-C study. 使用肌酐和胱抑素 C 估算肾小球滤过率用于识别和监测中度慢性肾病的准确性:eGFR-C 研究。
IF 3.5 2区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.3310/HYHN1078
Edmund J Lamb, Jonathan Barratt, Elizabeth A Brettell, Paul Cockwell, R Nei Dalton, Jon J Deeks, Gillian Eaglestone, Tracy Pellatt-Higgins, Philip A Kalra, Kamlesh Khunti, Fiona C Loud, Ryan S Ottridge, Aisling Potter, Ceri Rowe, Katie Scandrett, Alice J Sitch, Paul E Stevens, Claire C Sharpe, Bethany Shinkins, Alison Smith, Andrew J Sutton, Maarten W Taal
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Estimation of glomerular filtration rate using equations based on creatinine is widely used to manage chronic kidney disease. In the UK, the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration creatinine equation is recommended. Other published equations using cystatin C, an alternative marker of kidney function, have not gained widespread clinical acceptance. Given higher cost of cystatin C, its clinical utility should be validated before widespread introduction into the NHS.</p><p><strong>Objectives: </strong>Primary objectives were to: (1) compare accuracy of glomerular filtration rate equations at baseline and longitudinally in people with stage 3 chronic kidney disease, and test whether accuracy is affected by ethnicity, diabetes, albuminuria and other characteristics; (2) establish the reference change value for significant glomerular filtration rate changes; (3) model disease progression; and (4) explore comparative cost-effectiveness of kidney disease monitoring strategies.</p><p><strong>Design: </strong>A longitudinal, prospective study was designed to: (1) assess accuracy of glomerular filtration rate equations at baseline (<i>n</i> = 1167) and their ability to detect change over 3 years (<i>n</i> = 875); (2) model disease progression predictors in 278 individuals who received additional measurements; (3) quantify glomerular filtration rate variability components (<i>n</i> = 20); and (4) develop a measurement model analysis to compare different monitoring strategy costs (<i>n</i> = 875).</p><p><strong>Setting: </strong>Primary, secondary and tertiary care.</p><p><strong>Participants: </strong>Adults (≥ 18 years) with stage 3 chronic kidney disease.</p><p><strong>Interventions: </strong>Estimated glomerular filtration rate using the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration and Modification of Diet in Renal Disease equations.</p><p><strong>Main outcome measures: </strong>Measured glomerular filtration rate was the reference against which estimating equations were compared with accuracy being expressed as P30 (percentage of values within 30% of reference) and progression (variously defined) studied as sensitivity/specificity. A regression model of disease progression was developed and differences for risk factors estimated. Biological variation components were measured and the reference change value calculated. Comparative costs of monitoring with different estimating equations modelled over 10 years were calculated.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Accuracy (P30) of all equations was ≥ 89.5%: the combined creatinine-cystatin equation (94.9%) was superior (<i>p</i> < 0.001) to other equations. Within each equation, no differences in P30 were seen across categories of age, gender, diabetes, albuminuria, body mass index, kidney function level and ethnicity. All equations showed poor (< 63%) sensitivity for detecting patients showing kidney function decline crossing clinically significant thresholds (e.g.
背景:使用基于肌酐的公式估算肾小球滤过率被广泛用于慢性肾病的管理。在英国,慢性肾脏病流行病学协作组推荐使用肌酐方程。其他已公布的使用胱抑素 C(肾功能的替代标志物)的方程尚未获得广泛的临床认可。鉴于胱抑素 C 的成本较高,在广泛引入国家医疗服务系统之前,应先验证其临床实用性:主要目的是(目标:主要目标是:(1)比较基线和纵向肾小球滤过率方程对 3 期慢性肾脏病患者的准确性,并检验准确性是否受种族、糖尿病、白蛋白尿和其他特征的影响;(2)确定肾小球滤过率显著变化的参考变化值;(3)建立疾病进展模型;(4)探讨肾脏病监测策略的成本效益比较:设计:一项纵向前瞻性研究旨在(设计:这项纵向前瞻性研究旨在:(1)评估基线肾小球滤过率方程的准确性(n = 1167)及其检测 3 年变化的能力(n = 875);(2)为接受额外测量的 278 人建立疾病进展预测模型;(3)量化肾小球滤过率变异成分(n = 20);以及(4)开发测量模型分析,以比较不同监测策略的成本(n = 875):环境:初级、二级和三级医疗机构:干预措施:采用慢性肾脏病流行病学协作组和肾脏病饮食调整方程估算肾小球滤过率:以测量的肾小球滤过率为参照,对估算方程进行比较,准确性以 P30(参照值 30% 以内的百分比)表示,进展情况(定义各异)以敏感性/特异性表示。建立了疾病进展回归模型,并估算了风险因素的差异。测量生物变异成分并计算参考变化值。计算了使用不同估算方程模拟 10 年的监测成本比较:所有方程的准确度(P30)均≥89.5%:肌酐-胱抑素联合方程(94.9%)更优(P 限制):南亚和非洲-加勒比背景人群的招募低于研究目标:未来工作:应对胱抑素 C 作为慢性肾脏病风险标志物的价值进行前瞻性研究:结论:在肾小球滤过率估算公式中加入胱抑素 C 可略微提高准确性,但不能提高疾病进展的检测率。我们的数据不支持将胱抑素 C 用于监测慢性肾脏病三期患者的肾小球滤过率:该试验的注册号为 ISRCTN42955626:该奖项由美国国家健康与护理研究所(NIHR)健康技术评估项目资助(NIHR奖项编号:11/103/01),全文发表于《健康技术评估》(Health Technology Assessment)第28卷第35期。更多奖项信息请参阅 NIHR Funding and Awards 网站。
{"title":"Accuracy of glomerular filtration rate estimation using creatinine and cystatin C for identifying and monitoring moderate chronic kidney disease: the eGFR-C study.","authors":"Edmund J Lamb, Jonathan Barratt, Elizabeth A Brettell, Paul Cockwell, R Nei Dalton, Jon J Deeks, Gillian Eaglestone, Tracy Pellatt-Higgins, Philip A Kalra, Kamlesh Khunti, Fiona C Loud, Ryan S Ottridge, Aisling Potter, Ceri Rowe, Katie Scandrett, Alice J Sitch, Paul E Stevens, Claire C Sharpe, Bethany Shinkins, Alison Smith, Andrew J Sutton, Maarten W Taal","doi":"10.3310/HYHN1078","DOIUrl":"10.3310/HYHN1078","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Background: &lt;/strong&gt;Estimation of glomerular filtration rate using equations based on creatinine is widely used to manage chronic kidney disease. In the UK, the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration creatinine equation is recommended. Other published equations using cystatin C, an alternative marker of kidney function, have not gained widespread clinical acceptance. Given higher cost of cystatin C, its clinical utility should be validated before widespread introduction into the NHS.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Objectives: &lt;/strong&gt;Primary objectives were to: (1) compare accuracy of glomerular filtration rate equations at baseline and longitudinally in people with stage 3 chronic kidney disease, and test whether accuracy is affected by ethnicity, diabetes, albuminuria and other characteristics; (2) establish the reference change value for significant glomerular filtration rate changes; (3) model disease progression; and (4) explore comparative cost-effectiveness of kidney disease monitoring strategies.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Design: &lt;/strong&gt;A longitudinal, prospective study was designed to: (1) assess accuracy of glomerular filtration rate equations at baseline (&lt;i&gt;n&lt;/i&gt; = 1167) and their ability to detect change over 3 years (&lt;i&gt;n&lt;/i&gt; = 875); (2) model disease progression predictors in 278 individuals who received additional measurements; (3) quantify glomerular filtration rate variability components (&lt;i&gt;n&lt;/i&gt; = 20); and (4) develop a measurement model analysis to compare different monitoring strategy costs (&lt;i&gt;n&lt;/i&gt; = 875).&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Setting: &lt;/strong&gt;Primary, secondary and tertiary care.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Participants: &lt;/strong&gt;Adults (≥ 18 years) with stage 3 chronic kidney disease.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Interventions: &lt;/strong&gt;Estimated glomerular filtration rate using the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration and Modification of Diet in Renal Disease equations.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Main outcome measures: &lt;/strong&gt;Measured glomerular filtration rate was the reference against which estimating equations were compared with accuracy being expressed as P30 (percentage of values within 30% of reference) and progression (variously defined) studied as sensitivity/specificity. A regression model of disease progression was developed and differences for risk factors estimated. Biological variation components were measured and the reference change value calculated. Comparative costs of monitoring with different estimating equations modelled over 10 years were calculated.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Results: &lt;/strong&gt;Accuracy (P30) of all equations was ≥ 89.5%: the combined creatinine-cystatin equation (94.9%) was superior (&lt;i&gt;p&lt;/i&gt; &lt; 0.001) to other equations. Within each equation, no differences in P30 were seen across categories of age, gender, diabetes, albuminuria, body mass index, kidney function level and ethnicity. All equations showed poor (&lt; 63%) sensitivity for detecting patients showing kidney function decline crossing clinically significant thresholds (e.g.","PeriodicalId":12898,"journal":{"name":"Health technology assessment","volume":"28 35","pages":"1-169"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11331378/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141758373","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A cloud-based medical device for predicting cardiac risk in suspected coronary artery disease: a rapid review and conceptual economic model. 用于预测疑似冠心病患者心脏风险的云端医疗设备:快速综述和概念经济模型。
IF 3.5 2区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.3310/WYGC4096
Marie Westwood, Nigel Armstrong, Eline Krijkamp, Mark Perry, Caro Noake, Apostolos Tsiachristas, Isaac Corro-Ramos
<p><strong>Background: </strong>The CaRi-Heart® device estimates risk of 8-year cardiac death, using a prognostic model, which includes perivascular fat attenuation index, atherosclerotic plaque burden and clinical risk factors.</p><p><strong>Objectives: </strong>To provide an Early Value Assessment of the potential of CaRi-Heart Risk to be an effective and cost-effective adjunctive investigation for assessment of cardiac risk, in people with stable chest pain/suspected coronary artery disease, undergoing computed tomography coronary angiography. This assessment includes conceptual modelling which explores the structure and evidence about parameters required for model development, but not development of a full executable cost-effectiveness model.</p><p><strong>Data sources: </strong>Twenty-four databases, including MEDLINE, MEDLINE In-Process and EMBASE, were searched from inception to October 2022.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Review methods followed published guidelines. Study quality was assessed using Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool. Results were summarised by research question: prognostic performance; prevalence of risk categories; clinical effects; costs of CaRi-Heart. Exploratory searches were conducted to inform conceptual cost-effectiveness modelling.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The only included study indicated that CaRi-Heart Risk may be predictive of 8 years cardiac death. The hazard ratio, per unit increase in CaRi-Heart Risk, adjusted for smoking, hypercholesterolaemia, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, Duke index, presence of high-risk plaque features and epicardial adipose tissue volume, was 1.04 (95% confidence interval 1.03 to 1.06) in the model validation cohort. Based on Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool, this study was rated as having high risk of bias and high concerns regarding its applicability to the decision problem specified for this Early Value Assessment. We did not identify any studies that reported information about the clinical effects or costs of using CaRi-Heart to assess cardiac risk. Exploratory searches, conducted to inform the conceptual cost-effectiveness modelling, indicated that there is a deficiency with respect to evidence about the effects of changing existing treatments or introducing new treatments, based on assessment of cardiac risk (by any method), or on measures of vascular inflammation (e.g. fat attenuation index). A de novo conceptual decision-analytic model that could be used to inform an early assessment of the cost effectiveness of CaRi-Heart is described. A combination of a short-term diagnostic model component and a long-term model component that evaluates the downstream consequences is anticipated to capture the diagnosis and the progression of coronary artery disease.</p><p><strong>Limitations: </strong>The rapid review methods and pragmatic additional searches used to inform this Early Value Assessment mean that, although areas of potential uncertainty hav
背景:CaRi-Heart® 设备使用预后模型估算 8 年心脏死亡风险,该模型包括血管周围脂肪衰减指数、动脉粥样硬化斑块负担和临床风险因素:对接受计算机断层扫描冠状动脉造影术的稳定型胸痛/疑似冠状动脉疾病患者进行早期价值评估,看 CaRi-Heart Risk 是否有可能成为评估心脏风险的有效、经济的辅助检查方法。该评估包括概念建模,旨在探索模型开发所需的参数结构和证据,但不包括开发完整的可执行成本效益模型:检索了从开始到 2022 年 10 月的 24 个数据库,包括 MEDLINE、MEDLINE In-Process 和 EMBASE:综述方法遵循已发布的指南。使用预测模型偏倚风险评估工具对研究质量进行评估。研究结果按研究问题进行总结:预后效果;风险类别的流行程度;临床效果;CaRi-Heart 的成本。进行了探索性检索,为概念性成本效益建模提供信息:结果:唯一一项纳入的研究表明,CaRi-Heart Risk 可预测 8 年的心源性死亡。在模型验证队列中,经吸烟、高胆固醇血症、高血压、糖尿病、杜克指数、高危斑块特征和心外膜脂肪组织体积调整后,CaRi-Heart Risk 每增加一个单位的危险比为 1.04(95% 置信区间为 1.03 至 1.06)。根据预测模型偏倚风险评估工具(Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool),该研究被评为偏倚风险较高,且其对本次早期价值评估所指定的决策问题的适用性存在较大问题。我们没有发现任何研究报告了使用 CaRi-Heart 评估心脏风险的临床效果或成本信息。为了给概念性成本效益建模提供信息而进行的探索性搜索表明,在根据心脏风险评估(通过任何方法)或血管炎症测量(如脂肪衰减指数)改变现有治疗方法或引入新治疗方法的效果方面,缺乏相关证据。本文介绍了一个全新的概念决策分析模型,该模型可用于对 CaRi-Heart 的成本效益进行早期评估。该模型由短期诊断模型和评估下游后果的长期模型两部分组成,可用于冠状动脉疾病的诊断和进展:本早期价值评估采用的快速审查方法和务实的额外搜索意味着,尽管描述了可能存在不确定性的领域,但我们无法明确指出哪些领域存在证据缺口:有关 CaRi-Heart Risk 临床实用性的证据尚不充分,在偏倚风险和英国临床实践的适用性方面都存在相当大的局限性。有证据表明,CaRi-Heart Risk 可预测因疑似冠状动脉疾病而接受计算机断层扫描冠状动脉造影术的患者 8 年的心脏死亡风险。然而,CaRi-Heart 是否以及在多大程度上代表了相对于现行治疗标准的改进,目前仍不确定。对 CaRi-Heart 装置的评估仍在进行中,目前可用的数据不足以为成本效益建模提供充分信息:正在进行的一项大型(n = 15,000)研究 NCT05169333(牛津风险因素和无创成像研究)预计将于 2030 年 2 月完成,该研究可能会解决本早期价值评估中发现的一些不确定因素:本研究注册为 PROSPERO CRD42022366496:该奖项由英国国家健康与护理研究所(NIHR)的证据合成计划(NIHR奖项编号:NIHR135672)资助,全文发表于《健康技术评估》(Health Technology Assessment)第28卷第31期。更多奖项信息请参阅 NIHR Funding and Awards 网站。
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