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An overview of cancer survival in Africa, Asia, the Caribbean and Central America: the case for investment in cancer health services. 非洲、亚洲、加勒比和中美洲癌症生存概况:投资于癌症保健服务的理由。
Pub Date : 2011-01-01
R Sankaranarayanan, R Swaminathan, K Jayant, H Brenner

Population-based cancer survival data, a key indicator for monitoring progress against cancer, are reported from 27 population-based cancer registries in 14 countries in Africa, Asia, the Caribbean and Central America. In China, Singapore, the Republic of Korea, and Turkey, the 5-year age-standardized relative survival ranged from 76-82% for breast, 63-79% for cervical, 71-78% for bladder, and 44-60% for large-bowel cancer. Survival did not exceed 22% for any cancer site in The Gambia, or 13% for any cancer site except breast (46%) in Uganda. For localized cancers of the breast, large bowel, larynx, ovary, urinary bladder and for regional diseases at all sites, higher survival rates were observed in countries with more rather than less developed health services. Inter- and intra-country variations in survival imply that the levels of development of health services and their efficiency to provide early diagnosis, treatment and clinical follow-up care have a profound impact on survival from cancer. These are reliable baseline summary estimates to evaluate improvements in cancer control and emphasise the need for urgent investment to improve awareness, population-based cancer registration, early detection programmes, health-services infrastructure, and human resources in these countries in the future.

非洲、亚洲、加勒比和中美洲14个国家的27个基于人群的癌症登记处报告了基于人群的癌症生存数据,这是监测癌症防治进展的关键指标。在中国、新加坡、韩国和土耳其,乳腺癌的5年标准化相对生存率为76-82%,宫颈癌为63-79%,膀胱癌为71-78%,大肠癌为44-60%。在冈比亚,任何癌症部位的生存率都不超过22%,在乌干达,除了乳腺癌(46%),任何癌症部位的生存率都不超过13%。对于乳腺癌、大肠癌、喉癌、卵巢癌、膀胱癌的局部癌症和所有地点的区域性疾病,在保健服务较发达而不是较不发达的国家,存活率较高。国家之间和国家内部的生存差异意味着保健服务的发展水平及其提供早期诊断、治疗和临床后续护理的效率对癌症的生存有深远的影响。这些是评估癌症控制改善情况的可靠基线概要估计,并强调需要紧急投资,以提高这些国家未来的认识、基于人群的癌症登记、早期发现规划、卫生服务基础设施和人力资源。
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引用次数: 0
Stastistical methods for cancer survival analysis. 肿瘤生存分析的统计学方法。
Pub Date : 2011-01-01
R Swaminathan, H Brenner

Adequate and complete follow-up is a prerequisite for the conduct of any survival study. Passive follow-up relies on routine availability of mortality data through unique data linkage possibilities, while active follow-up supplements mortality ascertainment, for which there are a variety of methods. Cox proportional-hazard model was employed to test whether censoring was random in presence of loss to follow-up. Absolute survival probability was estimated by the actuarial method following semi-complete approach for all registries, and the period approach was also used wherever possible. Expected survival probability for registries was estimated from the respective country-, age- and sex-specific abridged life tables. Relative survival, as the ratio of absolute to expected survival, was calculated to exclude the effect arising from different background mortalities. To account for the differences in the age structure of the cancer cases, relative survival was adjusted for age and reported as age-standardized relative survival. Estimated incident cancer cases from less-developed countries together for every classified cancer site served as the standard population. Weights were assigned to individual patients, depending on their age, and standardization was carried out using weighted individual data. Analyses were done using the publicly available macros in SAS software.

充分和完整的随访是进行任何生存研究的先决条件。被动随访依赖于通过独特的数据链接可能性获得的死亡率数据的常规可用性,而主动随访补充了死亡率的确定,其方法多种多样。采用Cox比例风险模型检验在存在随访损失的情况下审查是否随机。绝对生存概率通过精算方法按照半完全方法对所有登记进行估计,并尽可能使用期间方法。登记处的预期生存率是根据各自国家、年龄和性别的简化生命表估计的。相对生存,即绝对生存与预期生存之比,被计算以排除不同背景死亡率所产生的影响。为了解释癌症病例年龄结构的差异,相对生存率根据年龄进行调整,并报告为年龄标准化相对生存率。欠发达国家每个分类癌症部位的估计癌症发病率作为标准人群。根据患者的年龄对其进行权重分配,并使用加权的个人数据进行标准化。分析是使用SAS软件中公开可用的宏完成的。
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引用次数: 0
Cancer survival in Hong Kong SAR, China, 1996-2001. 1996-2001年中国香港特别行政区的癌症存活率。
Pub Date : 2011-01-01
S C Law, O W Mang

The Hong Kong cancer registry was established in 1963, and cancer registration is done by passive and active methods. The registry contributed data on 45 cancer sites or types registered during 1996-2001 for this survival study. Follow-up has been carried out by passive methods with median follow-up ranging from 4-60 months. The proportion of cases with histologically verified cancer diagnosis ranged from 38-100%; death certificates only (DCOs) ranged from 0-11%; 83-99% of total registered cases were included for survival analysis. The 5-year age-standardized relative survival exceeded 100% for lip and non-melanoma skin followed by thyroid (94%) and testicular (92%) cancers. The corresponding survival for common cancers were breast (90%), colon (61%), liver and Lung (22%), nasopharynx (70%), rectum (59%) and stomach (39%). The 5-year relative survival by age group showed a decreasing trend with increasing agegroups for most cancers. A decreasing survival with increasing clinical extent of disease was noted.

香港癌症登记中心于1963年成立,癌症登记分主动和被动两种方式进行。该登记处为这项生存研究提供了1996-2001年期间登记的45个癌症部位或类型的数据。采用被动式随访方法,中位随访4-60个月。经组织学证实的癌症诊断比例为38% -100%;仅死亡证明(dco)范围为0-11%;83-99%的登记病例纳入生存分析。唇癌和非黑色素瘤皮肤的5年标准化相对生存率超过100%,其次是甲状腺癌(94%)和睾丸癌(92%)。常见癌症的相应生存率为乳腺癌(90%)、结肠癌(61%)、肝癌和肺癌(22%)、鼻咽癌(70%)、直肠癌(59%)和胃癌(39%)。大多数癌症的5年相对生存率随年龄增长呈下降趋势。随着临床疾病程度的增加,生存率降低。
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引用次数: 0
Cancer survival in Tianjin, China, 1991-1999. 1991-1999年中国天津的癌症生存率。
Pub Date : 2011-01-01
H Xishan, K Chen, H Min, D Shufen, W Jifang

The Tianjin cancer registry was established in 1978, and registration of cases is done by the active method. The registry contributed data on 51 cancer sites or types registered during 1991-1999 for this survival study. Follow-up has been a mixture of both active and passive methods, with median follow-up ranging from 5-77 months. The proportion with histologically verified diagnosis for various cancers ranged from 21-95% and 97-100% of total registered cases were included for survival analysis. The top-ranking cancers by 5-year age-standardized relative survival (%) were renal pelvis (101%), lip (99%), corpus uteri (91%), penis and nonmelanoma skin (90%) and thyroid (89%). The corresponding survival for common cancers were lung (31%), stomach (41%), Liver (25%) and breast (82%). The 5-year relative survival by age group reveals an inverse relationship for a few cancers and fluctuated for most cancers. Period survival closely predicted the survival experience of cancer cases diagnosed in that period, with the 5-year relative survival in 1991-1995 by period approach being more or less similar to survival by cohort approach in 1996-1999 for most cancers.

天津市癌症登记处建立于1978年,病例登记采用主动登记方式。该登记处提供了1991年至1999年期间登记的51种癌症部位或类型的数据。随访采用主动和被动相结合的方法,中位随访时间为5-77个月。在所有登记病例中,经组织学证实诊断为各种癌症的比例为21-95%和97-100%,纳入生存分析。按5年年龄标准化相对生存率(%)排名最高的癌症是肾盂(101%)、唇(99%)、子宫(91%)、阴茎和非黑色素瘤皮肤(90%)和甲状腺(89%)。常见癌症的相应生存率为肺癌(31%)、胃癌(41%)、肝癌(25%)和乳腺癌(82%)。不同年龄组的5年相对生存率显示,少数癌症呈反比关系,而大多数癌症呈波动关系。期间生存率密切预测了该时期诊断的癌症病例的生存经历,1991-1995年期间方法的5年相对生存率与1996-1999年队列方法的5年生存率或多或少相似。
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引用次数: 0
Measurement error in biomarkers: sources, assessment, and impact on studies. 生物标记物的测量误差:来源、评估和对研究的影响。
Pub Date : 2011-01-01
Emily White

Measurement error in a biomarker refers to the error of a biomarker measure applied in a specific way to a specific population, versus the true (etiologic) exposure. In epidemiologic studies, this error includes not only laboratory error, but also errors (variations) introduced during specimen collection and storage, and due to day-to-day, month-to-month, and year-to-year within-subject variability of the biomarker. Validity and reliability studies that aim to assess the degree of biomarker error for use of a specific biomarker in epidemiologic studies must be properly designed to measure all of these sources of error. Validity studies compare the biomarker to be used in an epidemiologic study to a perfect measure in a group of subjects. The parameters used to quantify the error in a binary marker are sensitivity and specificity. For continuous biomarkers, the parameters used are bias (the mean difference between the biomarker and the true exposure) and the validity coefficient (correlation of the biomarker with the true exposure). Often a perfect measure of the exposure is not available, so reliability (repeatability) studies are conducted. These are analysed using kappa for binary biomarkers and the intraclass correlation coefficient for continuous biomarkers. Equations are given which use these parameters from validity or reliability studies to estimate the impact of nondifferential biomarker measurement error on the risk ratio in an epidemiologic study that will use the biomarker. Under nondifferential error, the attenuation of the risk ratio is towards the null and is often quite substantial, even for reasonably accurate biomarker measures. Differential biomarker error between cases and controls can bias the risk ratio in any direction and completely invalidate an epidemiologic study.

生物标志物的测量误差是指以特定方式应用于特定人群的生物标志物测量与真实(病因学)暴露的误差。在流行病学研究中,这种误差不仅包括实验室误差,还包括在标本采集和储存过程中引入的误差(变异),以及由于生物标志物的日常、逐月和逐年的受试者变异性而引起的误差(变异)。效度和信度研究旨在评估在流行病学研究中使用特定生物标志物的生物标志物误差程度,必须适当设计以测量所有这些误差来源。效度研究将流行病学研究中使用的生物标志物与一组受试者的完美测量进行比较。用于量化二元标记误差的参数是灵敏度和特异性。对于连续生物标记物,使用的参数是偏差(生物标记物与真实暴露之间的平均差值)和效度系数(生物标记物与真实暴露的相关性)。通常没有完美的暴露测量方法,因此需要进行可靠性(可重复性)研究。用kappa分析二元生物标记物,用类内相关系数分析连续生物标记物。给出了使用这些效度或信度研究参数的方程,以估计将使用生物标志物的流行病学研究中非差异生物标志物测量误差对风险比的影响。在非微分误差下,即使对于相当准确的生物标志物测量,风险比的衰减也趋于零,并且通常相当可观。病例和对照组之间的差异生物标志物误差可以使风险比向任何方向偏倚,并使流行病学研究完全无效。
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引用次数: 0
Physical/chemical/immunologic analytical methods. 物理/化学/免疫分析方法。
Pub Date : 2011-01-01
Jia-Sheng Wang, John D Groopman

Biomarkers can be used to measure the presence of a wide variety of parent compounds and metabolites in body fluids and excreta, and serve as biomarkers of internal dose. Chemical-macromolecular adducts formed in blood and tissue or excreted in urine serve as biomarkers of exposure as well, and in many instances reflect both exposure and additional relevant biological processes. An assortment of analytical techniques have been developed to identify and measure parent compounds, metabolites, chemical-DNA and protein adducts. This chapter will discuss many analytical techniques that measure biomarkers in molecular epidemiologic studies, including biological, physical, chemical and immunological methods.

生物标志物可用于测量体液和排泄物中多种母体化合物和代谢物的存在,并可作为内剂量的生物标志物。在血液和组织中形成的化学大分子加合物或在尿液中排泄的化学大分子加合物也可作为暴露的生物标志物,在许多情况下反映暴露和其他相关的生物过程。各种各样的分析技术已经发展到鉴定和测量母体化合物,代谢物,化学dna和蛋白质加合物。本章将讨论分子流行病学研究中测量生物标志物的许多分析技术,包括生物学、物理、化学和免疫学方法。
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引用次数: 0
Loss-adjusted hospital and population-based survival of cancer patients. 癌症患者损失调整后的医院和人群生存率。
Pub Date : 2011-01-01
B Ganesh, R Swaminathan, A Mathew, R Sankaranarayanan, M Hakama

This chapter presents formulae that methodologically adjust for losses, and gives examples describing magnitude of bias in survival estimates without such adjustment. Loss-adjusted survival is estimated under the assumption that survival of patients Lost to follow-up is the same as that for patients with known follow-up time and similar characteristics of different prognostic factors at first entry. The observed number of Losses to follow-up is then relocated into expected numbers of death and survivors on this basis. Standard methods, such as the actuarial one, are then applied with the sum of observed and expected outcome events. A total of 336 hospital series of treated new breast cancer cases from Mumbai with 24% lost to follow-up revealed a substantial bias of 7 per cent units for 3-year survival estimated with (54%) and without (61%) loss-adjustment. Stepwise adjustment of losses established that increasing the number of prognostic factors explained the bias better. Population-based series comprising 13 371 cases of top ranking cancers from Chennai, with loss to follow-up ranging from 7-24%, revealed negligible bias, ranging from 0-2% in 5-year survival by the loss-adjusted approach for different cancers. Data source seems to affect the need for loss-adjustment, and the loss-adjusted approach is recommended when hospital-based cancer registry data of a low- or medium-resource country are used to evaluate the outcome of cancer patients.

本章介绍了在方法上调整损失的公式,并给出了在没有这种调整的情况下描述生存估计偏差程度的例子。Loss-adjusted survival是在loss - to -随访患者与已知随访时间且初次入组时不同预后因素特征相似的患者的生存相同的假设下估计的。在此基础上,将观察到的后续行动损失数重新计算为预计的死亡和幸存者数。然后将标准方法(如精算方法)应用于观察到的和预期结果事件的总和。来自孟买的336个医院系列治疗的新乳腺癌病例中,24%的患者失去了随访,结果显示,3年生存率的显著偏差为7%,估计有(54%)和没有(61%)损失调整。逐步调整损失证实,增加预后因素的数量可以更好地解释偏倚。基于人群的系列研究包括来自金奈的13371例排名靠前的癌症,随访损失范围为7-24%,显示出可忽略不计的偏差,通过损失调整方法对不同癌症的5年生存率为0-2%。数据来源似乎会影响损失调整的需要,当使用低资源或中等资源国家的基于医院的癌症登记数据来评估癌症患者的结果时,建议采用损失调整方法。
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引用次数: 0
Cancer survival in Seoul, Republic of Korea, 1993-1997. 1993-1997年大韩民国首尔的癌症存活率。
Pub Date : 2011-01-01
Y O Ahn, M H Shin

The Seoul cancer registry was established in 1991. Cancer is a notifiable disease, and registration of cases is done by passive and active methods. The registry contributed survival data for 56 cancer sites or types registered during 1993-1997. Follow-up information has been gleaned predominantly by passive methods with median follow-up ranging between 5-82 months for various cancers. The proportion with histologically verified diagnosis for different cancers ranged between 23-99%; death certificates only (DCOs) comprised 0-67%; 33-100% of total registered cases were included for survival analysis. The top-ranking cancers on 5-year age-standardized relative survival rates were testis and placenta (95%), thyroid (93%), non-melanoma skin (93%), corpus uteri (79%), renal pelvis (77%), cervix (76%), Hodgkin lymphoma (75%), breast (74%) and prostate (74%). Five-year relative survival by age group showed a decreasing trend with increasing age groups for cancers of the small intestine, colon, gall bladder, cervix, corpus uteri, ovary, kidney, urinary bladder and thyroid, or was fluctuating for other cancers.

首尔癌症登记处成立于1991年。癌症是一种必须报告的疾病,病例登记分为被动和主动两种方法。该登记处提供了1993-1997年期间登记的56个癌症部位或类型的生存数据。随访信息主要通过被动方法收集,对各种癌症的中位随访时间为5-82个月。不同癌症经组织学证实诊断的比例在23-99%之间;仅死亡证明(DCOs)占0-67%;33-100%的登记病例纳入生存分析。5年年龄标准化相对生存率最高的癌症是睾丸和胎盘(95%)、甲状腺(93%)、非黑色素瘤皮肤(93%)、子宫(79%)、肾盂(77%)、子宫颈(76%)、霍奇金淋巴瘤(75%)、乳腺癌(74%)和前列腺(74%)。按年龄组分列的5年相对生存率随着年龄组的增加,小肠、结肠癌、胆囊癌、子宫颈癌、子宫体癌、卵巢癌、肾癌、膀胱癌和甲状腺癌呈下降趋势,其他癌症呈波动趋势。
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引用次数: 0
Neurodegenerative diseases. 神经退行性疾病。
Pub Date : 2011-01-01
Harvey Checkoway, Jessica I Lundin, Samir N Kelada

Degenerative diseases of the nervous system impose substantial medical and public health burdens on populations throughout the world. Alzheimer's disease (AD), Parkinson's disease (PD), and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) are three of the major neurodegenerative diseases. The prevalence and incidence of these diseases rise dramatically with age; thus the number of cases is expected to increase for the foreseeable future as life spans in many countries continue to increase. Causal contributions from genetic and environmental factors are, with some exceptions, poorly understood. Nonetheless, molecular epidemiology approaches have proven valuable for improving disease diagnoses, characterizing disease prognostic factors, identifying high-risk genes for familial neurodegenerative diseases, investigating common genetic variants that may predict susceptibility for the non-familial forms of these diseases, and for quantifying environmental exposures. Incorporation of molecular techniques, including genomics, proteomics, and measurements of environmental toxicant body burdens into epidemiologic research, offer considerable promise for enhancing progress on characterizing pathogenesis mechanisms and identifying specific risk factors, especially for the non-familial forms of these diseases. In this chapter, brief overviews are provided of the epidemiologic features of PD, AD, and ALS, as well as illustrative examples in which molecular epidemiologic approaches have advanced knowledge on underlying disease mechanisms and risk factors that might lead to improved medical management and ultimately disease prevention. The chapter concludes with some recommendations for future molecular epidemiology research.

神经系统退行性疾病给全世界人民带来了巨大的医疗和公共卫生负担。阿尔茨海默病(AD)、帕金森病(PD)和肌萎缩侧索硬化症(ALS)是三种主要的神经退行性疾病。这些疾病的患病率和发病率随着年龄的增长而急剧上升;因此,在可预见的将来,随着许多国家的寿命继续延长,预计病例数还会增加。除了一些例外,人们对遗传和环境因素的因果关系知之甚少。尽管如此,分子流行病学方法已被证明在改善疾病诊断、表征疾病预后因素、识别家族性神经退行性疾病的高危基因、调查可能预测这些疾病非家族性形式易感性的常见遗传变异以及量化环境暴露方面具有价值。将分子技术,包括基因组学、蛋白质组学和环境毒性体负荷测量纳入流行病学研究,为进一步确定发病机制和确定特定风险因素,特别是这些疾病的非家族性形式,提供了相当大的希望。在本章中,简要概述了PD、AD和ALS的流行病学特征,并举例说明了分子流行病学方法对潜在疾病机制和危险因素的深入了解,可能会改善医疗管理并最终预防疾病。本章最后对未来分子流行病学研究提出了一些建议。
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引用次数: 0
Infectious diseases. 传染病。
Pub Date : 2011-01-01
Betsy Foxman

Molecular tools have enhanced our understanding of the epidemiology of infectious diseases by describing the transmission system, including identifying novel transmission modes and reservoirs, identifying characteristics of the infectious agent that lead to transmission and pathogenesis, identifying potential vaccine candidates and targets for therapeutics, and recognizing new infectious agents. Applications of molecular fingerprinting to public health practice have enhanced outbreak investigation by objectively confirming epidemiologic evidence, and distinguishing between time-space clusters and sporadic cases. Clinically, moleculartools are used to rapidly detect infectious agents and predict disease course. Integration of molecular tools into etiologic studies has identified infectious causes of chronic diseases, and characteristics of the agent and host that modify disease risk. The combination of molecular tools with epidemiologic methods provides essential information to guide clinical treatment, and to design and implement programmes to prevent and control infectious diseases. However, incorporating molecular tools into epidemiologic studies of infectious diseases impacts study design, conduct, and analysis.

分子工具通过描述传播系统,包括识别新的传播模式和宿主,识别导致传播和发病机制的感染因子的特征,识别潜在的候选疫苗和治疗靶点,以及识别新的感染因子,增强了我们对传染病流行病学的理解。分子指纹技术在公共卫生实践中的应用,通过客观确认流行病学证据,区分时空聚集性病例和零星病例,加强了疫情调查。在临床上,分子工具被用于快速检测感染因子和预测疾病进程。将分子工具整合到病原学研究中,已经确定了慢性疾病的感染原因,以及改变疾病风险的病原体和宿主的特征。分子工具与流行病学方法的结合为指导临床治疗以及设计和实施预防和控制传染病的方案提供了重要信息。然而,将分子工具纳入传染病流行病学研究会影响研究的设计、实施和分析。
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引用次数: 0
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