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Deteksi fenomena "market shock" di Indonesia dalam isu likuidasi perbankan AS 调查印尼银行清算问题中的“市场震惊”现象
Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.58784/rapi.33
Handel Benedicto Mangero, Reno Kirauhe
Investor reactions in the capital market are often triggered by several factors. One of the most dominant factors influencing the psychology of investors is information on issues related to economic events. The aim of this study is to examine the daily closing prices of market indices within a confidence interval. This study finds that most of the market indices tend to be less than the lower limit except for the IDXTRANS. These findings imply that the issue of liquidation of several banking businesses in the US tends to result in market shocks in Indonesia, especially during the observation period.
投资者对资本市场的反应通常是由几个因素引发的。影响投资者心理的最主要因素之一是与经济事件有关的问题信息。本研究的目的是在一个置信区间内检验市场指数的每日收盘价。研究发现,除IDXTRANS指数外,大多数市场指数均倾向于低于下限。这些发现表明,美国几家银行业务的清算问题往往会导致印尼的市场冲击,尤其是在观察期内。
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引用次数: 0
Hubungan pasar Indonesia dan AS dalam isu inflasi global
Pub Date : 2023-06-29 DOI: 10.58784/rapi.32
Najwa Syaqra Cahyani Bahi
The downward trend in US inflation tends to have a certain impact on market conditions in Indonesia. The purpose of this study is to examine the impact of the market index in the US on the market index in Indonesia during the phenomenon of declining inflation in the US. This study uses data from the observation period 1 December 2022 to 1 March 2023 as the sample and uses simple linear regression for hypothesis testing. This study finds that the pattern of the market index in Indonesia tends to decrease during the observation period. In addition, this study also finds that the market index in the US tends to have a positive and significant impact on the market index in Indonesia. This finding implies that the decline in inflation in the US tends to result in a positive interaction between the two markets.
美国通货膨胀的下降趋势往往会对印度尼西亚的市场状况产生一定的影响。本研究的目的是考察在美国通货膨胀率下降的情况下,美国市场指数对印尼市场指数的影响。本研究以观察期为2022年12月1日至2023年3月1日的数据为样本,采用简单线性回归进行假设检验。本研究发现,印尼市场指数在观察期内呈下降趋势。此外,本研究还发现,美国的市场指数对印尼的市场指数有正向显著的影响。这一发现意味着,美国通胀的下降往往会导致两个市场之间的积极互动。
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引用次数: 0
Hubungan inflasi, minyak dunia, dan sektor transportasi dan logistik 通胀、全球石油、运输和物流关系
Pub Date : 2023-06-29 DOI: 10.58784/rapi.30
Virginia Maria Sendow, Nansy Joan Francisca Pandey
In addition to impacting world oil prices, global inflation conditions at the beginning of 2023 also triggered changes in the national inflation rate and tended to have an impact on the transportation and logistics index. This study aims to examine the relationship between national inflation, world oil, and transportation and logistics index. This study finds that neither the rate of return of world oil prices nor the national inflation rate has an insignificant relationship with the transportation and logistics index. These results imply that increases or decreases in world oil prices tend not to be followed by fluctuations in the transportation and logistics index. At the same time, these results also imply that changes in the national inflation rate will not be accompanied by changes in the transportation and logistics index.
除了影响世界油价外,2023年初的全球通货膨胀状况也引发了各国通货膨胀率的变化,并倾向于对运输和物流指数产生影响。本研究旨在探讨国家通货膨胀、世界石油与运输物流指数之间的关系。研究发现,无论是世界石油价格收益率还是国家通货膨胀率与交通物流指数的关系都不显著。这些结果表明,世界石油价格的上涨或下跌往往不会伴随着运输和物流指数的波动。同时,这些结果也暗示了全国通货膨胀率的变化不会伴随着交通物流指数的变化。
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引用次数: 4
Fenomena “thrifting” menjelang hari raya dan return saham industri tekstil 在节日和纺织业回报率前的激动现象
Pub Date : 2023-06-29 DOI: 10.58784/rapi.31
Deswita Natalia Br Hutagalung, Glorya Agatha
The thrifting phenomenon is an issue that spread in the textile and garment industry. The objective of this study is to examine the effect of religious holidays in the thrifting phenomenon on stock returns, especially for firms engaged in the textile and garment business. The observation period of this study is November 21, 2022, to April 18, 2023, which is divided into three sub-periods, which are period leading up to Christmas and New Year 2022-2023, the non-holiday period, and the period leading up to Lebaran. This study finds that the returns of the firms in the textile and garment business are less than optimal in the three sub-periods. The findings of this study imply that religious holidays in the thrifting phenomenon contribute enough to the performance of returns even though it has an insignificant impact.
节俭现象在纺织服装行业普遍存在。本研究的目的是检验宗教节日的节俭现象对股票收益的影响,特别是对从事纺织和服装业务的公司。本研究的观察期为2022年11月21日至2023年4月18日,观察期分为三个子期,分别是2022-2023年圣诞节和新年前、非假日期和黎巴嫩节前。研究发现,纺织服装企业在三个子阶段的收益都不是最优的。本研究的结果表明,宗教节日在节俭现象中对回报的表现有足够的贡献,即使它的影响不显著。
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引用次数: 0
Portofolio saham teknologi “ekonomi baru” berbasis distribusi probabilitas
Pub Date : 2023-06-29 DOI: 10.58784/rapi.29
Ellen Pinkan Rolos, Seren Onibala
Global issues are a challenge, especially for stocks in the technology sector. Tech stocks, especially on the “new economy” trading boards, are stocks that investors tend to be interested in because they are on par with the main trading boards. This study aims to examine the probability of return and risk-return tradeoff from BELI, BUKA, and GOTO in order to determine optimal returns with measured risk. This study finds that GOTO has the highest Sharpe Ratio. The result indicates that GOTO has a better risk-return tradeoff compared to other firms. In addition, the results of the probability distribution analysis show that GOTO tends to have a small chance of obtaining a low rate of return compared to other firms.
全球问题是一个挑战,尤其是对科技股而言。科技股,尤其是在“新经济”交易板上的股票,往往是投资者感兴趣的股票,因为它们与主要交易板旗鼓相当。本研究旨在检视BELI、BUKA和GOTO的回报概率和风险回报权衡,以确定风险衡量下的最佳回报。本研究发现,GOTO的夏普比率最高。结果表明,与其他公司相比,GOTO具有更好的风险收益权衡。此外,概率分布分析的结果表明,与其他企业相比,GOTO获得低收益率的可能性较小。
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引用次数: 0
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