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On the local modeling of count data: multiscale geographically weighted Poisson regression 计数数据的局部建模:多尺度地理加权泊松回归
IF 5.7 1区 地球科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2023-09-05 DOI: 10.1080/13658816.2023.2250838
M. Sachdeva, A. Fotheringham, Ziqi Li, Hanchen Yu
Abstract A recent addition to the suite of techniques for local statistical modeling is the implementation of the multiscale geographically weighted regression (MGWR), a multiscale extension to geographically weighted regression (GWR). Using a back-fitting algorithm, MGWR relaxes the restrictive assumption in GWR that all processes being modeled operate at the same spatial scale and allows the estimation of a unique indicator of scale, the bandwidth, for each process. However, the current MGWR framework is limited to use with continuous data making it unsuitable for modeling data that do not typically exhibit a Gaussian distribution. This study expands the application of the MGWR framework to scenarios involving discrete response outcomes (count data following a Poisson’s distribution). Use of this new MGWR Poisson regression (MGWPR) model is demonstrated with a simulated data set and then with COVID-19 case counts within New York City at the zip code level. The results from the simulated data underscore the superiority of the MGWPR model in effectively capturing spatial processes that influence count data patterns, particularly those operating across diverse spatial scales. For empirical data, the results reveal significant spatial variations in relationships between socio-ecological factors and COVID-19 cases – variations often missed by traditional ‘global’ models.
摘要:局部统计建模技术套件的最新补充是多尺度地理加权回归(MGWR)的实现,这是对地理加权回归的多尺度扩展。使用反拟合算法,MGWR放宽了GWR中的限制性假设,即所有被建模的过程都在相同的空间尺度上运行,并允许为每个过程估计唯一的尺度指标,即带宽。然而,当前的MGWR框架仅限于与连续数据一起使用,这使得它不适合对通常不呈现高斯分布的数据进行建模。本研究将MGWR框架的应用扩展到涉及离散响应结果的场景(计数数据遵循泊松分布)。该新的MGWR泊松回归(MGWPR)模型的使用通过模拟数据集进行了演示,然后通过邮政编码级别的纽约市新冠肺炎病例数进行了演示。模拟数据的结果强调了MGWPR模型在有效捕捉影响计数数据模式的空间过程方面的优势,特别是那些在不同空间尺度上运行的空间过程。就实证数据而言,研究结果揭示了社会生态因素与新冠肺炎病例之间关系的显著空间变化——传统的“全球”模型往往忽略了这些变化。
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引用次数: 0
MVCV-Traffic: multiview road traffic state estimation via cross-view learning MVCV-Traffic:基于交叉视角学习的多视角道路交通状态估计
IF 5.7 1区 地球科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2023-08-28 DOI: 10.1080/13658816.2023.2249968
M. Deng, Kaiqi Chen, Kaiyuan Lei, Yuanfang Chen, Yan Shi
Abstract Fine-grained urban traffic data are often incomplete owing to limitations in sensor technology and economic cost. However, data-driven traffic analysis methods in intelligent transportation systems (ITSs) heavily rely on the quality of input data. Thus, accurately estimating missing traffic observations is an essential data engineering task in ITSs. The complexity of underlying node-wise correlation structures and various missing scenarios presents a significant challenge in achieving high-precision estimation. This study proposes a novel multiview neural network termed MVCV-Traffic, equipped with a cross-view learning mechanism, to improve traffic estimation. The contributions of this model can be summarized into two parts: multiview learning and cross-view fusing. For multiview learning, several specialized neural networks are adopted to fit diverse correlation structures from different views. For cross-view fusing, a new information fusion strategy merges multiview messages at both feature and output levels to enhance the learning of joint correlations. Experiments on two real-world datasets demonstrate that the proposed model significantly outperforms existing traffic speed estimation methods for different types and rates of missing data.
摘要由于传感器技术和经济成本的限制,细粒度的城市交通数据往往是不完整的。然而,智能交通系统中的数据驱动交通分析方法在很大程度上依赖于输入数据的质量。因此,准确估计遗漏的交通观测是信息技术系统中的一项重要数据工程任务。底层节点相关结构和各种缺失场景的复杂性对实现高精度估计提出了重大挑战。本研究提出了一种新的多视角神经网络,称为MVCV Traffic,配备了交叉视角学习机制,以改进流量估计。该模型的贡献可以概括为两部分:多视角学习和跨视角融合。对于多视角学习,采用了几种专门的神经网络来适应不同视角的不同相关结构。对于跨视图融合,一种新的信息融合策略在特征和输出级别上融合多视图消息,以增强联合相关性的学习。在两个真实世界数据集上的实验表明,对于不同类型和数据丢失率,所提出的模型显著优于现有的交通速度估计方法。
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引用次数: 0
Gradient-based optimization for multi-scale geographically weighted regression 基于梯度的多尺度地理加权回归优化
IF 5.7 1区 地球科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2023-08-24 DOI: 10.1080/13658816.2023.2246154
Xiao-liang Zhou, R. Assunção, H. Shao, Cheng-Chia Huang, Mark V. Janikas, H. Asefaw
Abstract Multi-scale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) is among the most popular methods to analyze non-stationary spatial relationships. However, the current model calibration algorithm is computationally intensive: its runtime has a cubic growth with the sample size, while its memory use grows quadratically. We propose calibrating MGWR with gradient-based optimization. This is obtained by analytically deriving the gradient vector and the Hessian matrix of the corrected Akaike information criterion (AICc) and wrapping them with a trust-region optimization algorithm. We evaluate the model quality empirically. Our method converges to the same coefficients and produces the same inference as the current method but it has a substantial computational gain when the sample size is large. It reduces the runtime to quadratic convergence and makes the memory use linear with respect to sample size. Our new algorithm outperforms the existing alternatives and makes MGWR feasible for large spatial datasets.
摘要多尺度地理加权回归(MGWR)是分析非平稳空间关系最常用的方法之一。然而,当前的模型校准算法是计算密集型的:其运行时间随着样本量的增加而呈三次增长,而其内存使用量则呈二次增长。我们建议使用基于梯度的优化来校准MGWR。这是通过解析推导校正的Akaike信息准则(AICc)的梯度向量和Hessian矩阵并用信赖域优化算法包裹它们来获得的。我们对模型质量进行了实证评估。我们的方法收敛到相同的系数,并产生与当前方法相同的推断,但当样本量较大时,它具有显著的计算增益。它将运行时间减少到二次收敛,并使内存使用相对于样本大小呈线性。我们的新算法优于现有的替代算法,使MGWR适用于大型空间数据集。
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引用次数: 0
A kriging interpolation model for geographical flows 地理流动的克里格插值模型
IF 5.7 1区 地球科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2023-08-23 DOI: 10.1080/13658816.2023.2248502
Yaqun Fang, T. Pei, Ci Song, Jie Chen, Xi Wang, Xiao Chen, Yaxi Liu
Abstract The kriging model can accommodate various spatial supports and has been extensively applied in hydrology, meteorology, soil science, and other domains. With the expansion of applications, it is essential to extend the kriging model for new spatial support of high-dimensional data. Geographical flows can depict the movements of geographical objects and imply the underlying mobility patterns in geographical phenomena. However, due to the bias, sparsity, and uneven quality of flow data in the real world, research about flows remains hindered by the lack of complete flow data and effective flow interpolation methods. In this study, we design a kriging interpolation model for flows based on several flow-related concepts and the autocorrelation of flows. We also analyze the second-order stationarity and anisotropy in the flow spatial random field. To illustrate the effectiveness and applicability of our method, we conduct two case studies. The former case study compares several experiments of flow density interpolation using Beijing mobile signaling data and illustrates the conditions of applicable areas. The latter case study extends our model to other flow attributes, such as travel time uncertainty, using Beijing taxi origin-destination flow data. The results of these cases demonstrate the effectiveness and high accuracy of our model.
摘要克里格模型可以容纳各种空间支持,在水文、气象、土壤科学等领域得到了广泛应用。随着应用程序的扩展,扩展克里格模型以获得高维数据的新空间支持是至关重要的。地理流动可以描绘地理物体的运动,并暗示地理现象中潜在的流动模式。然而,由于现实世界中流量数据的偏差、稀疏性和质量参差不齐,由于缺乏完整的流量数据和有效的流量插值方法,对流量的研究仍然受到阻碍。在这项研究中,我们基于几个与流量相关的概念和流量的自相关,设计了一个流量的克里格插值模型。我们还分析了流动空间随机场的二阶平稳性和各向异性。为了说明我们的方法的有效性和适用性,我们进行了两个案例研究。前一个案例比较了使用北京移动信号数据进行流量密度插值的几个实验,并说明了适用区域的条件。后一个案例研究使用北京出租车始发地-目的地流量数据,将我们的模型扩展到其他流量属性,如出行时间的不确定性。这些案例的结果证明了我们的模型的有效性和高精度。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial prediction of groundwater level change based on the Third Law of Geography 基于地理第三定律的地下水位变化空间预测
IF 5.7 1区 地球科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2023-08-17 DOI: 10.1080/13658816.2023.2248215
Fang-He Zhao, Jingyi Huang, A-Xing Zhu
Abstract Spatial prediction methods are an important means of predicting the spatial variation of groundwater level change. Existing methods extract spatial or statistical relationships from samples to represent the study area for inference and require a representative sample set that is usually in large quantity and is distributed across geographic or covariate space. However, samples for groundwater are usually sparsely and unevenly distributed. In this paper, an approach based on the Third Law of Geography is proposed to make predictions by comparing the similarity between each individual sample and unmeasured site. The approach requires no specific number or distribution of samples and provides individual uncertainty measures at each location. Experiments in three different watersheds across the U.S. show that the proposed methods outperform machine learning methods when available samples do not well represent the area. The provided uncertainty measures are indicative of prediction accuracy by location. The results of this study also show that the spatial prediction based on the Third Law of Geography can also be successfully applied to dynamic variables such as groundwater level change.
空间预测方法是预测地下水位空间变化的重要手段。现有的方法从样本中提取空间或统计关系来代表研究区域进行推理,并且需要一个具有代表性的样本集,通常数量很大,分布在地理或协变量空间中。然而,地下水样本通常分布稀疏且不均匀。本文提出了一种基于地理第三定律的方法,通过比较每个样本与未测量地点之间的相似性来进行预测。该方法不需要样品的特定数量或分布,并在每个位置提供单独的不确定度测量。在美国三个不同的流域进行的实验表明,当可用样本不能很好地代表该区域时,所提出的方法优于机器学习方法。所提供的不确定度测量表明了位置的预测精度。研究结果还表明,基于地理第三定律的空间预测也可以成功地应用于地下水位变化等动态变量。
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引用次数: 0
mcRPL: a general purpose parallel raster processing library on distributed heterogeneous architectures mcRPL:一个基于分布式异构体系结构的通用并行光栅处理库
IF 5.7 1区 地球科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2023-08-14 DOI: 10.1080/13658816.2023.2244550
Huan Gao, Xuantong Peng, Qingfeng Guan, Jingyi Wang, Ziqi Liu, Xue Yang, Wen Zeng
Abstract Parallel computing on distributed heterogeneous architectures (e.g. computing clusters with multiple CPUs and GPUs) can significantly improve the computational efficiency and scalability of complicated algorithms, but it is theoretically and technically complex. Parallel raster processing libraries reduce the development complexity of parallel raster algorithms by hiding parallel computing details; however, no existing library sufficiently utilizes distributed heterogeneous computing resources. A general-purpose raster processing library (mcRPL) combining multi-process parallelism and multi-thread parallelism is proposed to enable parallel raster processing on distributed heterogeneous architectures with multiple CPUs and GPUs. Additionally, an adaptive hardware assignment strategy is proposed to fully utilize available processors in various hardware environments. A series of task-processing strategies are adopted to aim toward maximizing the utilization of the computing capacity of involved processors. Experiments revealed that two raster algorithms parallelized using mcRPL for spatiotemporal data fusion and land-use change simulation were 170.7- and 143.2-fold faster than original serial algorithms using 8 and 16 GPUs, respectively. While hiding the details of mixed parallelism and reducing the development complexity, mcRPL provides user-friendly interfaces for the development of parallel raster algorithms to enhance computational performance and enable large-scale raster computing tasks with extensive data volumes.
摘要分布式异构架构(如具有多个cpu和gpu的计算集群)上的并行计算可以显著提高复杂算法的计算效率和可扩展性,但在理论上和技术上都比较复杂。并行栅格处理库通过隐藏并行计算细节降低了并行栅格算法的开发复杂度;然而,现有的库没有充分利用分布式异构计算资源。提出了一种结合多进程并行性和多线程并行性的通用栅格处理库(mcRPL),以实现多cpu、多gpu分布式异构架构下的栅格并行处理。此外,提出了一种自适应硬件分配策略,以充分利用各种硬件环境中的可用处理器。采用了一系列任务处理策略,以最大限度地利用相关处理器的计算能力。实验结果表明,采用mcRPL并行化的两种栅格算法在时空数据融合和土地利用变化模拟中分别比使用8个和16个gpu的原始串行算法快170.7倍和143.2倍。在隐藏混合并行细节和降低开发复杂性的同时,mcRPL为并行栅格算法的开发提供了用户友好的界面,以提高计算性能并支持具有大量数据量的大规模栅格计算任务。
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引用次数: 0
Qualitative spatial reasoning with uncertain evidence using Markov logic networks 利用马尔可夫逻辑网络进行不确定证据的定性空间推理
IF 5.7 1区 地球科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2023-08-06 DOI: 10.1080/13658816.2023.2231044
M. Duckham, J. Gabela, A. Kealy, R. Kyprianou, J. Legg, Bill Moran, Shakila Khan Rumi, Flora D. Salim, Yaguang Tao, M. Vasardani
Abstract Probabilistic logics combine the ability to reason about complex scenes, with a rigorous approach to uncertainty. This paper explores the construction of probabilistic spatial logics through the combination of established qualitative spatial calculi together with Markov logic networks (MLNs). Qualitative spatial calculi provide the basis for automated representation and reasoning with complex spatial scenes; MLNs provide a rigorous basis for handling uncertainty and driving probabilistic inference. Our approach focuses specifically on the combination of an uncertain knowledge base with a certain spatial reasoning rule-base. The experiments explore how uncertain knowledge propagates through certain qualitative spatial inferences, using the specific example of reasoning with cardinal directions. The results provide a template for probabilistic qualitative spatial reasoning more generally, with applications to a wide range of common scenarios for situational awareness and automated reasoning under uncertainty.
概率逻辑结合了对复杂场景的推理能力,以及对不确定性的严格方法。本文通过将已建立的定性空间演算与马尔可夫逻辑网络相结合,探讨了概率空间逻辑的构造。定性空间演算为复杂空间场景的自动表示和推理提供了基础;mln为处理不确定性和驱动概率推理提供了严格的基础。我们的方法侧重于不确定知识库与特定空间推理规则库的结合。实验探讨了不确定性知识如何通过特定的定性空间推理传播,使用了基本方向推理的具体例子。研究结果为概率定性空间推理提供了一个更广泛的模板,可应用于各种常见场景,用于不确定情况下的情景感知和自动推理。
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引用次数: 0
A mathematical programming approach for downscaling multi-layered multi-constraint land-use models 一种用于缩减多层多约束土地利用模型的数学规划方法
IF 5.7 1区 地球科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2023-07-27 DOI: 10.1080/13658816.2023.2241144
R. Ramos, M. Scarabello, Wanderson Costa, Pedro Ribeiro de Andrade Neto, A. Soterroni, F. Ramos
Abstract Land-use and land-cover change (LULCC) models are important tools for environmental policy planning. LULCC models are frequently constrained to the generation of projections at a specific resolution. However, subsequent studies or models may require finer resolutions. In this work, a downscaling method for LULCC models is proposed that uses a mathematical programming approach to disaggregate the multiple layers of the land-use change projections while respecting a series of constraints. The method is calibrated and validated with MapBiomas data for the years 2000 and 2018 converted for the GLOBIOM-Brazil model, successfully predicting land-use at a finer resolution. Also, as proof of concept, the calibrated model is also applied for GLOBIOM-Brazil projections for 2050. This paper advances the state-of-the-art by proposing and testing a downscaling method using a mathematical programming approach with spatial effects, that operates on multi-layered land-use projections with a range of constraints while allowing flexibility on the number and type of the specific layers and constraints.
土地利用和土地覆盖变化(LULCC)模型是环境政策规划的重要工具。LULCC模型经常被限制在以特定分辨率生成预测。然而,后续的研究或模型可能需要更精细的分辨率。本文提出了一种LULCC模型的降尺度方法,该方法使用数学规划方法对土地利用变化预测的多层进行分解,同时尊重一系列约束条件。该方法使用MapBiomas 2000年和2018年的数据进行校准和验证,转换为globiomo - brazil模型,成功地以更精细的分辨率预测土地利用。此外,作为概念的证明,校正后的模型也应用于2050年的globiomo - brazil预测。本文通过使用具有空间效应的数学规划方法提出并测试了一种缩小比例的方法,该方法适用于具有一系列约束的多层土地利用预测,同时允许在特定层和约束的数量和类型上具有灵活性,从而推进了最先进的技术。
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引用次数: 0
A hierarchical constraint-based graph neural network for imputing urban area data 基于层次约束的图神经网络用于城区数据的输入
IF 5.7 1区 地球科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2023-07-25 DOI: 10.1080/13658816.2023.2239307
Shengwen Li, Wanchen Yang, Suzhen Huang, Renyao Chen, Xuyang Cheng, Shunping Zhou, Junfang Gong, Haoyue Qian, Fang Fang
Abstract Urban area data are strategically important for public safety, urban management, and planning. Previous research has attempted to estimate the values of unsampled regular areas, while minimal attention has been paid to the values of irregular areas. To address this problem, this study proposes a hierarchical geospatial graph neural network model based on the spatial hierarchical constraints of areas. The model first characterizes spatial relationships between irregular areas at different spatial scales. Then, it aggregates information from neighboring areas with graph neural networks, and finally, it imputes missing values in fine-grained areas under hierarchical relationship constraints. To investigate the performance of the proposed model, we constructed a new dataset consisting of the urban statistical values of irregular areas in New York City. Experiments on the dataset show that the proposed model outperforms state-of-the-art baselines and exhibits robustness. The model is adaptable to numerous geographic applications, including traffic management, public safety, and public resource allocation.
摘要城市区域数据对公共安全、城市管理和规划具有重要的战略意义。先前的研究试图估计未采样的规则区域的值,而很少关注不规则区域的数值。针对这一问题,本研究提出了一种基于区域空间层次约束的层次地理空间图神经网络模型。该模型首先表征了不同空间尺度下不规则区域之间的空间关系。然后,它使用图神经网络聚合来自相邻区域的信息,最后,在层次关系约束下,在细粒度区域中估算缺失值。为了研究所提出的模型的性能,我们构建了一个新的数据集,该数据集由纽约市不规则区域的城市统计值组成。在数据集上的实验表明,所提出的模型优于最先进的基线,并表现出鲁棒性。该模型适用于许多地理应用,包括交通管理、公共安全和公共资源分配。
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引用次数: 0
Toward urban traffic scenarios and more: a spatio-temporal analysis empowered low-rank tensor completion method for data imputation 针对城市交通场景和更多:一种时空分析授权的低秩张量补全方法用于数据输入
IF 5.7 1区 地球科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2023-07-19 DOI: 10.1080/13658816.2023.2234434
Zilong Zhao, Luliang Tang, Mengyuan Fang, Xue Yang, Chaokui Li, Qingquan Li
Abstract Existing traffic monitoring approaches cannot completely cover all road segments in real-time, leading to massive amounts of missing traffic data, which limits the implementation of intelligent transportation systems. Most existing methods lack deep mining of the unique spatiotemporal characteristics of traffic flows, resulting in difficulty in application to urban traffic with complex topologies and variable states. In this paper, we propose a novel Spatio-Temporal constrained Low-Rank Tensor Completion (ST-LRTC) method, which adopts a manifold embedding approach to depict the local geometric structure of spatiotemporal domains. Specifically, under the low-rank assumption, the method introduces temporal constraints based on the continuity and periodicity of traffic flow and a spatial constraint matrix reflecting the traffic flow transmission mechanism. We embed low-dimensional spatiotemporal constraint matrices into the low-rank tensor completion solving process to fully utilize the global features and local spatiotemporal characteristics of the traffic tensor. Experiments were performed using traffic data from Xi’an, China, and the results indicated that ST-LRTC outperformed state-of-the-art methods under various missing rates and patterns. Thorough experiments have demonstrated that the incorporation of spatiotemporal analysis can enhance the adaptability of the tensor completion model to complex urban scenarios, which guarantees better monitoring, diagnosis, and optimization of urban traffic states.
现有的交通监控方法不能完全实时覆盖所有路段,导致大量交通数据缺失,限制了智能交通系统的实施。现有方法大多缺乏对交通流独特时空特征的深度挖掘,难以应用于拓扑复杂、状态多变的城市交通。本文提出了一种新的时空约束低秩张量补全(ST-LRTC)方法,该方法采用流形嵌入方法来描述时空域的局部几何结构。具体而言,在低秩假设下,该方法引入了基于交通流连续性和周期性的时间约束和反映交通流传输机制的空间约束矩阵。我们将低维时空约束矩阵嵌入到低秩张量补全求解过程中,充分利用交通张量的全局特征和局部时空特征。利用西安的交通数据进行了实验,结果表明ST-LRTC在不同的缺失率和模式下都优于现有的方法。实验表明,结合时空分析可以增强张量补全模型对复杂城市场景的适应性,从而更好地监测、诊断和优化城市交通状态。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
International Journal of Geographical Information Science
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