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Nomogram-based prediction model for extubation failure in preterm infants with invasive mechanical ventilation. 有创机械通气早产儿拔管失败的nomogram预测模型。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q1 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1186/s13052-025-02157-7
Chao Tan, Ying Sui, Lili Wang
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引用次数: 0
Clinical and molecular characterization of 14 Egyptian children with fructose-1,6-bisphosphatase deficiency. 14例埃及儿童果糖-1,6-双磷酸酶缺乏症的临床和分子特征分析。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q1 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1186/s13052-025-02146-w
Rofaida M Magdy, Abdelrahim A Sadek, Shimaa B Hemdan, Ahmed S Mahmoud, Nada H Abdel Fattah, Elsayed Abdelkreem, Rania G Abdelatif

Background: Fructose-1,6-bisphosphatase (FBP1) deficiency is a rare inherited disease characterized by recurrent episodes of lactic acidosis and ketotic hypoglycemia. To date, no cases have been reported in the Egyptian population. This study aimed to elucidate the phenotypic and molecular spectrum of FBP1 deficiency in Egypt.

Methods: This observational study included children with FBP1 deficiency diagnosed and managed at an Egyptian medical center between 2022 and 2024. Clinical and laboratory data of acute metabolic episodes were thoroughly reviewed. All patients underwent blood acylcarnitine assay, urinary organic acids analysis, and whole-exome sequencing. Patients' outcomes were classified into favorable, neurodevelopmental impairment, and death.

Results: This cohort included 14 Egyptian children (from 11 families) with FBP1 deficiency. The median age at disease onset was 13 months, ranging from the first week of life to 36 months. All patients exhibited acute lactic acidosis, and most (13/14) had hypoglycemia. Four FBP1 variants were identified: c.88G > T (p.Glu30Ter), c.652_661delinsTCACGAGGGCT (p.Arg218SerfsTer9), c.960delinsGG (p.Ser321ValfsTer13), and c.902_904del (Glu301del). The c.960delinsGG variant was detected in nine cases, suggesting a founder effect. The c.652_661delinsTCACGAGGGCT is a novel variant. One case had a coexisting partial biotinidase deficiency. Regarding outcome, two patients died during the neonatal period, while the remainder achieved normal neurodevelopment.

Conclusion: This is the first study of FBP1 deficiency in Egypt, which expands the demographic, clinical, and genetic spectrum of this rare disease.

背景:果糖-1,6-二磷酸酶(FBP1)缺乏症是一种罕见的遗传性疾病,以乳酸酸中毒和酮症性低血糖反复发作为特征。迄今为止,埃及人口中未报告任何病例。本研究旨在阐明埃及FBP1缺乏的表型和分子谱。方法:本观察性研究纳入了2022年至2024年间在埃及医疗中心诊断和治疗的FBP1缺乏症儿童。对急性代谢发作的临床和实验室资料进行了全面的回顾。所有患者均接受血酰基肉碱测定、尿有机酸分析和全外显子组测序。患者的预后分为良好、神经发育障碍和死亡。结果:该队列包括14名FBP1缺乏的埃及儿童(来自11个家庭)。发病的中位年龄为13个月,从出生第一周到36个月不等。所有患者均表现为急性乳酸性酸中毒,大多数(13/14)患者出现低血糖。鉴定出4个FBP1变异:c.88G > T (p.g glu30ter)、c.652_661delinsTCACGAGGGCT (p.g arg218serfster9)、c.960delinsGG (p.g ser321valfster13)和c.902_904del (Glu301del)。在9例病例中检测到c.960delinsGG变异,提示奠基者效应。c.652_661delinsTCACGAGGGCT是一种新的变种。1例同时存在部分生物素酶缺乏症。关于结果,两名患者在新生儿期死亡,其余患者实现了正常的神经发育。结论:这是埃及第一个关于FBP1缺乏症的研究,它扩大了这种罕见疾病的人口统计学、临床和遗传谱。
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引用次数: 0
Predictive value of the combined evaluation of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and lactate dehydrogenase level for coronary artery lesions in patients with acute Kawasaki disease. 中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值及乳酸脱氢酶水平联合评价对急性川崎病患者冠状动脉病变的预测价值
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q1 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2025-11-29 DOI: 10.1186/s13052-025-02165-7
Li Li, Yu Wan, Guang-An Li, Shuang-Shuang Tao
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引用次数: 0
Invasive Group A Streptococcus infections in children during the post-pandemic period: results from a multicenter study in Italy. 大流行后时期儿童侵袭性A群链球菌感染:来自意大利一项多中心研究的结果
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q1 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2025-11-28 DOI: 10.1186/s13052-025-02103-7
Elena Chiappini, Marco Renni, Maia De Luca, Samantha Bosis, Silvia Garazzino, Laura Dotta, Raffaele Badolato, Federica Zallocco, Daniele Zama, Antonella Frassanitto, Ilaria Liguoro, Danilo Buonsenso, Claudia Colomba, Lorenza Romani, Giulia Lorenzetti, Federica Ceroni, Marco Denina, Nicolò Monti, Catiuscia Lisi, Luisa Galli, Giangiacomo Nicolini, Guido Castelli Gattinara, Andrea Lo Vecchio

Background: Group A Streptococcus causes pediatric infections from mild to severe forms. Since late 2022, invasive cases have increased in Europe, possibly due to reduced post-COVID-19 immunity, more respiratory virus circulation, and emergence of virulent strains.

Methods: A retrospective, multicenter observational study was conducted in twelve Italian pediatric Hospitals, including patients under 18 years hospitalized with invasive or severe Group A Streptococcus infection. Data were anonymized and analyzed to identify factors associated with Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) admission and discharge with sequelae or death.

Results: Seventy-five children with invasive or severe Group A Streptococcus infection were included; the majority (69.3%) were aged 2-10 years. Invasive Group A Streptococcus (iGAS) infection accounted for 58.7% (n = 44) and severe GAS (sGAS) infection for 41.3% (n = 31) of cases. Pediatric Intensive Care Unit admission was required in 45.3% (n = 34) of the entire patient cohort, in this subgroup viral coinfection (OR 5.684, p = 0.003), sepsis/septic shock (OR 4.406, p = 0.003), iGAS diagnosis (OR 4.153, p = 0.005), and procalcitonin (PCT) > 0.5 ng/mL (OR 7.105, p = 0.019) were independently associated with admission; the use of corticosteroids (OR 4.641, p = 0.003) and intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) (OR 16.667, p = 0.003) was also significantly more frequent. All patients received empirical β-lactam antibiotics; anti-toxin therapy was administered in 47 patients (62.7%): clindamycin (49.3%), linezolid (16.0%), and rifampicin (1.3%). Mechanical ventilation was required in 24.0% (n = 18), and 49.3% (n = 37) underwent surgery. Post-infectious sequelae occurred in 20.0% (n = 15) and four children died, mostly due to streptococcal toxic shock syndrome.

Conclusion: Pediatric invasive group A streptococcal infection continues to pose a significant clinical challenge, with notable rates of morbidity and mortality, underscoring the need for early recognition and close monitoring of high-risk patients. A widespread use of adjunctive therapies was documented. Continued surveillance and robust clinical research are essential to optimize management strategies and improve patient outcomes.

背景:A群链球菌可引起从轻度到重度的儿科感染。自2022年底以来,欧洲的侵袭性病例有所增加,可能是由于covid -19后免疫力下降、呼吸道病毒循环增加以及毒性毒株的出现。方法:在意大利12家儿科医院进行了一项回顾性、多中心观察性研究,包括18岁以下因侵袭性或严重A群链球菌感染住院的患者。对数据进行匿名分析,以确定与儿童重症监护病房(PICU)入院和出院时出现后遗症或死亡相关的因素。结果:纳入75例侵袭性或重度A群链球菌感染患儿;以2 ~ 10岁为主(69.3%)。侵袭性A组链球菌(iGAS)感染占58.7% (n = 44),重度GAS (sGAS)感染占41.3% (n = 31)。45.3% (n = 34)的患者需要进入儿科重症监护病房,在该亚组中,病毒合并感染(OR 5.684, p = 0.003)、败血症/感染性休克(OR 4.406, p = 0.003)、iGAS诊断(OR 4.153, p = 0.005)和降钙素原(PCT) > 0.5 ng/mL (OR 7.105, p = 0.019)与入院独立相关;皮质类固醇(OR 4.641, p = 0.003)和静脉注射免疫球蛋白(OR 16.667, p = 0.003)的使用频率也明显更高。所有患者均给予经验性β-内酰胺类抗生素治疗;47例(62.7%)患者接受了抗毒素治疗:克林霉素(49.3%)、利奈唑胺(16.0%)和利福平(1.3%)。24.0% (n = 18)患者需要机械通气,49.3% (n = 37)患者接受手术治疗。感染后后遗症发生率为20.0% (n = 15), 4名儿童死亡,主要死于链球菌中毒性休克综合征。结论:儿童侵袭性A组链球菌感染继续构成重大的临床挑战,其发病率和死亡率均显著,需要对高危患者进行早期识别和密切监测。辅助治疗的广泛应用被记录在案。持续的监测和强有力的临床研究对于优化管理策略和改善患者预后至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Pediatrics advances in 2024: choices in allergy, cardiology, critical care, endocrinology, gastroenterology, immunology, infectious diseases, neonatology, nephrology, neurology, nutrition, palliative care respiratory tract illnesses, and social media. 2024年儿科进展:过敏症、心脏病学、重症监护、内分泌学、胃肠病学、免疫学、传染病、新生儿学、肾病学、神经学、营养学、姑息治疗、呼吸道疾病和社交媒体的选择。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q1 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2025-11-27 DOI: 10.1186/s13052-025-02119-z
Carlo Caffarelli, Elena Bozzola, Ettore Piro, Bertrand Tchana, Enrico Vito Buono, Daniela Cunico, Sergio Bernasconi, Giovanni Corsello

Over the past year, there have been several developments in various fields of pediatric medicine. This review features essential publications that have been published in the Italian Journal of Pediatrics in 2024. Papers have been selected in the areas of allergy, cardiology, critical care, endocrinology, gastroenterology, immunology, infectious diseases, neonatology, nephrology, neurology, nutrition, palliative care, respiratory tract illnesses, and social media. The findings have been examined to identify opportunities for improving the management of the diseases.

在过去的一年里,儿科医学的各个领域都取得了一些进展。本综述以2024年在《意大利儿科学杂志》上发表的重要出版物为特色。论文被选在过敏、心脏病学、重症监护、内分泌学、胃肠病学、免疫学、传染病、新生儿学、肾病学、神经学、营养学、姑息治疗、呼吸道疾病和社交媒体等领域。对这些发现进行了审查,以确定改善疾病管理的机会。
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引用次数: 0
Value of the neutrophil percentage-to-albumin ratio in predicting intravenous Immunoglobulin resistance in Kawasaki disease: a retrospective cohort study. 中性粒细胞百分比-白蛋白比值在预测川崎病静脉免疫球蛋白耐药中的价值:一项回顾性队列研究
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q1 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2025-11-27 DOI: 10.1186/s13052-025-02158-6
Qingxia Du, Xin Zhang, Honglin Sun, Zhenze Bi, Xinxiang Li, Xiaoling Wei, Lei Li, Weiran Zhou
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引用次数: 0
Use of digital media device in pediatric adolescents affected by anorexia nervosa. 儿童青少年神经性厌食症的数字媒体设备的使用。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q1 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2025-11-25 DOI: 10.1186/s13052-025-02153-x
Maria Rosaria Marchili, Giulia Spina, Flavia Cirillo, Marco Roversi, Mariangela Irrera, Valentina Burla, Cristina Mascolo, Italo Pretelli, Maria Chiara Castiglioni, Valeria Zanna, Umberto Raucci, Elena Bozzola, Alberto Villani

Background: In the last years the use of digital media devices (MD) among adolescents has increased exponentially, becoming a central component of daily life for many young. The aim of the present study is to explore the use of MD in adolescents affected by anorexia nervosa (AN), compared to healthy ones. Furthermore, we compared MD use between inpatient and outpatient adolescents with AN.

Methods: This single-center prospective study enrolled patients aged 9-18 years affected by AN and admitted at IRCCS Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital, Rome, Italy, between January 2024 and August 2024. Participants completed a questionnaire to explore their relationship with MD in terms of time of use, addiction, activities, parents' role, MD consequences and children perception. Results from AN patients were then compared to those of the general population cohort described in our previous paper.

Results: During the study period, 113 patients were enrolled. AN patients spent less time per day on screens compared to controls. In detail, the majority of AN adolescents (40.6%) spent between two and three hours per day on MD, while most of the control group (54%) spends more than three hours per day on screen (p < 0.001). Furthermore, both AN (69.9%) and control (56%) group primarily uses MD before going to bed. Finally, most of AN individual (43.6%) primarily uses devices for browsing social networks, showing a statistically significant difference compared to controls (24.0%, p = 0.044). Notably, children aged 9-14 years also largely use MD to access social networks (40.8%). AN outpatients statistically use MD for a prolonged time compared to AN inpatients.

Conclusion: AN patients spend less time per day on screens compared to the general population. This habit may find a possible explanation in a polarization of thinking about food. An alarming fact is the strong relationship of adolescents with MD even among the youngest - aged 9-14 years - and the difficulty in renouncing it for a limited period. In conclusion, we believe it is necessary to intensify controls in order to safeguard the mental health of children.

背景:在过去几年中,青少年使用数字媒体设备(MD)呈指数增长,成为许多年轻人日常生活的核心组成部分。本研究的目的是探讨青少年神经性厌食症(AN)的使用MD,比较健康的。此外,我们比较了住院和门诊青少年AN患者的MD使用情况。方法:这项单中心前瞻性研究纳入了2024年1月至2024年8月在意大利罗马IRCCS Bambino Gesù儿童医院就诊的9-18岁AN患者。参与者完成了一份调查问卷,以探讨他们在使用时间、成瘾程度、活动、父母角色、吸烟后果和儿童感知方面与吸烟的关系。然后将AN患者的结果与我们之前论文中描述的普通人群队列的结果进行比较。结果:在研究期间,113例患者入组。与对照组相比,AN患者每天花在屏幕上的时间更少。详细地说,大多数AN青少年(40.6%)每天花在MD上的时间在2到3小时之间,而大多数对照组(54%)每天花在屏幕上的时间超过3小时(p结论:AN患者每天花在屏幕上的时间比一般人群少。这种习惯可能在人们对食物的两极分化思维中找到一个可能的解释。一个令人震惊的事实是,青少年与MD的关系非常密切,即使是最年轻的(9-14岁),而且很难在有限的时间内戒掉它。总之,我们认为有必要加强控制,以保障儿童的心理健康。
{"title":"Use of digital media device in pediatric adolescents affected by anorexia nervosa.","authors":"Maria Rosaria Marchili, Giulia Spina, Flavia Cirillo, Marco Roversi, Mariangela Irrera, Valentina Burla, Cristina Mascolo, Italo Pretelli, Maria Chiara Castiglioni, Valeria Zanna, Umberto Raucci, Elena Bozzola, Alberto Villani","doi":"10.1186/s13052-025-02153-x","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s13052-025-02153-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>In the last years the use of digital media devices (MD) among adolescents has increased exponentially, becoming a central component of daily life for many young. The aim of the present study is to explore the use of MD in adolescents affected by anorexia nervosa (AN), compared to healthy ones. Furthermore, we compared MD use between inpatient and outpatient adolescents with AN.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This single-center prospective study enrolled patients aged 9-18 years affected by AN and admitted at IRCCS Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital, Rome, Italy, between January 2024 and August 2024. Participants completed a questionnaire to explore their relationship with MD in terms of time of use, addiction, activities, parents' role, MD consequences and children perception. Results from AN patients were then compared to those of the general population cohort described in our previous paper.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>During the study period, 113 patients were enrolled. AN patients spent less time per day on screens compared to controls. In detail, the majority of AN adolescents (40.6%) spent between two and three hours per day on MD, while most of the control group (54%) spends more than three hours per day on screen (p < 0.001). Furthermore, both AN (69.9%) and control (56%) group primarily uses MD before going to bed. Finally, most of AN individual (43.6%) primarily uses devices for browsing social networks, showing a statistically significant difference compared to controls (24.0%, p = 0.044). Notably, children aged 9-14 years also largely use MD to access social networks (40.8%). AN outpatients statistically use MD for a prolonged time compared to AN inpatients.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>AN patients spend less time per day on screens compared to the general population. This habit may find a possible explanation in a polarization of thinking about food. An alarming fact is the strong relationship of adolescents with MD even among the youngest - aged 9-14 years - and the difficulty in renouncing it for a limited period. In conclusion, we believe it is necessary to intensify controls in order to safeguard the mental health of children.</p>","PeriodicalId":14511,"journal":{"name":"Italian Journal of Pediatrics","volume":"51 1","pages":"310"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-11-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12648857/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145604072","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Recommendations for antibacterial prophylaxis in children receiving chemotherapy: a joint initiative of SITIP and infectious disease group of AIEOP. 接受化疗的儿童抗菌预防建议:SITIP和AIEOP传染病组的联合倡议。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q1 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2025-11-25 DOI: 10.1186/s13052-025-02141-1
Daniele Zama, Davide Leardini, Francesco Baccelli, Edoardo Muratore, Elio Castagnola, Margherita Del Bene, Maia De Luca, Elisa Funiciello, Federica Galaverna, Riccardo Masetti, Paola Muggeo, Rosa Maria Mura, Katia Perruccio, Erica Ricci, Manuela Spadea, Andrea Lo Vecchio, Simone Cesaro

Background: Current guidelines for managing infections in pediatric patients with cancer do not recommend routine antibiotic prophylaxis (AP). However, several aspects of AP, including the role of diagnosis, the impact of neutropenia duration, screening for resistant bacterial colonization, and antibiotic stewardship, remain a matter of debate.

Methods: To address these issues, a panel of experts from the Italian Association of Pediatric Hematology and Oncology (AIEOP) and the Italian Society of Pediatric Infectious Diseases (SITIP) conducted a Delphi consensus. A comprehensive literature review and a national survey of pediatric oncology centers identified clinically relevant topics that are not fully covered by current guidelines. Based on this, the expert panel developed and voted on 14 statements covering eight key areas: the role of diagnosis, duration of neutropenia, screening for colonization with antibiotic resistant bacteria, use of validated risk scores, implementation of antimicrobial stewardship programs, periodic monitoring of local epidemiology, choice of antibiotic for prophylaxis, and the risk of resistance following prophylaxis.

Results: The panel reached a consensus against prophylaxis in patients receiving monoclonal antibody therapy and advised against using the duration of neutropenia alone as a criterion to initiate prophylaxis, recommending it only for severe neutropenia (< 500/mm³). They also emphasized the importance of screening for multidrug resistant bacteria and implementing antimicrobial stewardship supported by specialist consultation.

Conclusions: These recommendations provide guidance for clinicians on the selective use of AP, supporting informed decision making while ensuring appropriate treatment and reducing the emergence of multidrug resistant bacterial infections.

背景:目前儿科癌症患者感染管理指南不推荐常规抗生素预防(AP)。然而,AP的几个方面,包括诊断的作用、中性粒细胞减少持续时间的影响、耐药细菌定植的筛查和抗生素管理,仍然是一个有争议的问题。方法:为了解决这些问题,意大利儿科血液学和肿瘤学协会(AIEOP)和意大利儿科传染病学会(SITIP)的专家小组进行了德尔菲共识。一项全面的文献综述和对儿科肿瘤中心的全国调查确定了当前指南未完全涵盖的临床相关主题。在此基础上,专家小组制定并投票通过了14项声明,涵盖8个关键领域:诊断的作用、中性粒细胞减少的持续时间、抗生素耐药细菌定植的筛查、使用经过验证的风险评分、抗菌素管理计划的实施、当地流行病学的定期监测、用于预防的抗生素的选择以及预防后的耐药性风险。结果:专家组达成共识,反对在接受单克隆抗体治疗的患者中进行预防,并建议不要将中性粒细胞减少的持续时间作为开始预防的标准,建议仅在严重中性粒细胞减少的情况下进行预防。(结论:这些建议为临床医生提供了选择性使用AP的指导,支持知情决策,同时确保适当的治疗,减少多药耐药细菌感染的出现。
{"title":"Recommendations for antibacterial prophylaxis in children receiving chemotherapy: a joint initiative of SITIP and infectious disease group of AIEOP.","authors":"Daniele Zama, Davide Leardini, Francesco Baccelli, Edoardo Muratore, Elio Castagnola, Margherita Del Bene, Maia De Luca, Elisa Funiciello, Federica Galaverna, Riccardo Masetti, Paola Muggeo, Rosa Maria Mura, Katia Perruccio, Erica Ricci, Manuela Spadea, Andrea Lo Vecchio, Simone Cesaro","doi":"10.1186/s13052-025-02141-1","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s13052-025-02141-1","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Current guidelines for managing infections in pediatric patients with cancer do not recommend routine antibiotic prophylaxis (AP). However, several aspects of AP, including the role of diagnosis, the impact of neutropenia duration, screening for resistant bacterial colonization, and antibiotic stewardship, remain a matter of debate.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>To address these issues, a panel of experts from the Italian Association of Pediatric Hematology and Oncology (AIEOP) and the Italian Society of Pediatric Infectious Diseases (SITIP) conducted a Delphi consensus. A comprehensive literature review and a national survey of pediatric oncology centers identified clinically relevant topics that are not fully covered by current guidelines. Based on this, the expert panel developed and voted on 14 statements covering eight key areas: the role of diagnosis, duration of neutropenia, screening for colonization with antibiotic resistant bacteria, use of validated risk scores, implementation of antimicrobial stewardship programs, periodic monitoring of local epidemiology, choice of antibiotic for prophylaxis, and the risk of resistance following prophylaxis.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The panel reached a consensus against prophylaxis in patients receiving monoclonal antibody therapy and advised against using the duration of neutropenia alone as a criterion to initiate prophylaxis, recommending it only for severe neutropenia (< 500/mm³). They also emphasized the importance of screening for multidrug resistant bacteria and implementing antimicrobial stewardship supported by specialist consultation.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>These recommendations provide guidance for clinicians on the selective use of AP, supporting informed decision making while ensuring appropriate treatment and reducing the emergence of multidrug resistant bacterial infections.</p>","PeriodicalId":14511,"journal":{"name":"Italian Journal of Pediatrics","volume":"51 1","pages":"309"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-11-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12649064/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145604151","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Machine learning model for predicting severe infection in children with idiopathic nephrotic syndrome: multicenter retrospective study. 预测特发性肾病综合征患儿严重感染的机器学习模型:多中心回顾性研究。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q1 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2025-11-25 DOI: 10.1186/s13052-025-02149-7
Sijie Yu, Wenhao Tang, De Zhang, Fuwei Shen, Anshuo Wang, Han Chen, Hongxing Chen, Fanghong Zhang, Li Xiao, Yan Li, Zongwen Chen, Li Wang, Mo Wang, Haiping Yang, Qiu Li

Background: Infection is a common complication of idiopathic nephrotic syndrome (INS), and early identification of severe infection can improve patient outcome.

Methods: This multicenter retrospective study developed and validated machine learning (ML) models that predict severe infection in children with INS. The derivation cohort (n = 2357) consisted of INS patients at one institution, and was separated into a training set and testing set. The external validation set (n = 372) consisted of INS patients from three other hospitals. Data were collected for 41 variables, and ten of them were then selected by univariate analysis and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression. Ten ML models were compared, and the best one was identified using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis and other methods.

Results: The incidence rate of severe infection was 6.8% in the derivation cohort. The Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) model had the best predictive performance (accuracy: 0.843, precision: 0.843, recall: 0.842, F1: 0.843, sensitivity: 0.842, specificity: 0.844, AUROC:0.912, AUPRC:0.915). The ten predictors were C-reactive protein, hemoglobin, white blood cells, activated partial thromboplastin time, creatinine, high-density lipoprotein, corrected serum calcium, complement 3, and number of immunosuppressants, and incidence of SRNS. This model had an AUROC of 0.979 and AUPRC of 0.842 in the external validation cohort.

Conclusion: A LightGBM model for predicting severe infection in patients with INS had excellent performance. Future applications of this model may provide an effective, convenient, and cost-effective approach for early identification of severe infection in children with INS.

背景:感染是特发性肾病综合征(INS)的常见并发症,早期发现严重感染可改善患者预后。方法:本多中心回顾性研究开发并验证了预测INS患儿严重感染的机器学习(ML)模型。衍生队列(n = 2357)由一家机构的INS患者组成,分为训练集和测试集。外部验证集(n = 372)由来自其他三家医院的INS患者组成。共收集41个变量的数据,通过单变量分析和最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)回归筛选出10个变量。比较10种ML模型,采用受试者工作特征(receiver operating characteristic, ROC)分析等方法筛选出最佳模型。结果:衍生队列重症感染发生率为6.8%。其中,光梯度增强机(Light Gradient Boosting Machine, LightGBM)模型预测效果最佳(准确率:0.843,精密度:0.843,召回率:0.842,F1: 0.843,灵敏度:0.842,特异度:0.844,AUROC:0.912, AUPRC:0.915)。10项预测指标为c反应蛋白、血红蛋白、白细胞、活化部分凝血活酶时间、肌酐、高密度脂蛋白、校正血清钙、补体3、免疫抑制剂数量和SRNS发生率。该模型在外部验证队列中的AUROC为0.979,AUPRC为0.842。结论:LightGBM模型预测INS患者严重感染具有较好的效果。该模型的未来应用可能为INS患儿重症感染的早期识别提供一种有效、便捷、经济的方法。
{"title":"Machine learning model for predicting severe infection in children with idiopathic nephrotic syndrome: multicenter retrospective study.","authors":"Sijie Yu, Wenhao Tang, De Zhang, Fuwei Shen, Anshuo Wang, Han Chen, Hongxing Chen, Fanghong Zhang, Li Xiao, Yan Li, Zongwen Chen, Li Wang, Mo Wang, Haiping Yang, Qiu Li","doi":"10.1186/s13052-025-02149-7","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s13052-025-02149-7","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Infection is a common complication of idiopathic nephrotic syndrome (INS), and early identification of severe infection can improve patient outcome.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This multicenter retrospective study developed and validated machine learning (ML) models that predict severe infection in children with INS. The derivation cohort (n = 2357) consisted of INS patients at one institution, and was separated into a training set and testing set. The external validation set (n = 372) consisted of INS patients from three other hospitals. Data were collected for 41 variables, and ten of them were then selected by univariate analysis and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression. Ten ML models were compared, and the best one was identified using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis and other methods.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The incidence rate of severe infection was 6.8% in the derivation cohort. The Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) model had the best predictive performance (accuracy: 0.843, precision: 0.843, recall: 0.842, F1: 0.843, sensitivity: 0.842, specificity: 0.844, AUROC:0.912, AUPRC:0.915). The ten predictors were C-reactive protein, hemoglobin, white blood cells, activated partial thromboplastin time, creatinine, high-density lipoprotein, corrected serum calcium, complement 3, and number of immunosuppressants, and incidence of SRNS. This model had an AUROC of 0.979 and AUPRC of 0.842 in the external validation cohort.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>A LightGBM model for predicting severe infection in patients with INS had excellent performance. Future applications of this model may provide an effective, convenient, and cost-effective approach for early identification of severe infection in children with INS.</p>","PeriodicalId":14511,"journal":{"name":"Italian Journal of Pediatrics","volume":"51 1","pages":"308"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-11-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12648841/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145604153","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Development and validation of an online nomogram for screening metabolic-associated fatty liver disease in obese children. 肥胖儿童代谢性脂肪肝疾病在线nomogram筛查方法的开发与验证
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q1 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2025-11-24 DOI: 10.1186/s13052-025-02151-z
Jiaqian Hu, Mengqin Wang, Xi Wang, Mingwei Guo, Yaqing Lu, Zixia Zhang, Miaomiao Li, Guiying Sun, Xiaocui Ma, Yaodong Zhang, Wancun Zhang, Dongxiao Li, Yongxing Chen, Shuying Luo, Haiyan Wei

Background: Metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) has emerged as a critical pediatric health concern, particularly among children with obesity. However, its diagnosis poses substantial challenges, especially in the use of non-invasive methods. Our goal was to construct an online nomogram for screening MAFLD in obese children.

Methods: We designed a retrospective cross-sectional study involving 2,512 obese children. Detailed anthropometric data and laboratory parameters were collected. The study dataset was randomly allocated into training (n = 1758) and validation (n = 754) sets at a 7:3 ratio. To identify MAFLD risk factors, we conducted logistic regression analyses, from which a web-based predictive nomogram was constructed. Using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and area under the curve (AUC), the nomogram's performance was assessed and contrasted with the triglyceride glucose (TyG) index, Zhejiang University (ZJU) index, and Korean NAFLD (K-NAFLD) score. The goodness-of-fit of the nomogram was evaluated using calibration plots, and the nomogram's clinical value was assessed using decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results: A total of 1,344 participants (53.50%) were diagnosed with MAFLD by ultrasound. Age, gender, BMI Z-score, waist circumference (WC), homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) were identified as independent factors influencing MAFLD in obese children. These six variables were selected for the construction of the nomogram. ROC analysis revealed that the nomogram had superior diagnostic performance for MAFLD detection compared to the other three models, with AUC values of 0.874 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.858-0.890) in the training set and 0.870 (95% CI: 0.845-0.895) in the validation set. Calibration plots indicated a good fit of the nomogram in both datasets. Furthermore, DCA demonstrated its strong clinical applicability.

Conclusions: This study developed an online nomogram that demonstrates robust diagnostic accuracy and clinical utility for assessing obese children's MAFLD risk.

背景:代谢性相关脂肪性肝病(MAFLD)已成为一个重要的儿科健康问题,特别是在肥胖儿童中。然而,其诊断提出了实质性的挑战,特别是在使用非侵入性方法。我们的目标是构建一个在线nomogram来筛查肥胖儿童的MAFLD。方法:我们设计了一项涉及2512名肥胖儿童的回顾性横断面研究。收集了详细的人体测量数据和实验室参数。研究数据集以7:3的比例随机分配到训练集(n = 1758)和验证集(n = 754)中。为了确定MAFLD的危险因素,我们进行了逻辑回归分析,并由此构建了基于网络的预测nomogram。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线和曲线下面积(AUC),评估nomogram的表现,并与甘油三酯葡萄糖(TyG)指数、浙江大学(ZJU)指数和韩国NAFLD (K-NAFLD)评分进行对比。采用标定图评价nomogram的拟合优度,采用决策曲线分析(decision curve analysis, DCA)评价nomogram的临床价值。结果:1344名参与者(53.50%)被超声诊断为MAFLD。年龄、性别、BMI Z-score、腰围(WC)、胰岛素抵抗稳态模型评估(HOMA-IR)和丙氨酸转氨酶(ALT)被确定为影响肥胖儿童MAFLD的独立因素。选取这6个变量构建nomogram。ROC分析显示,与其他三种模型相比,nomogram对MAFLD的诊断性能更好,训练集的AUC值为0.874(95%置信区间[CI]: 0.858-0.890),验证集的AUC值为0.870(95%置信区间[CI]: 0.845-0.895)。校正图显示两个数据集的模态图拟合良好。此外,DCA显示出较强的临床适用性。结论:本研究开发了一种在线nomogram,该nomogram显示了评估肥胖儿童mald风险的强大诊断准确性和临床实用性。
{"title":"Development and validation of an online nomogram for screening metabolic-associated fatty liver disease in obese children.","authors":"Jiaqian Hu, Mengqin Wang, Xi Wang, Mingwei Guo, Yaqing Lu, Zixia Zhang, Miaomiao Li, Guiying Sun, Xiaocui Ma, Yaodong Zhang, Wancun Zhang, Dongxiao Li, Yongxing Chen, Shuying Luo, Haiyan Wei","doi":"10.1186/s13052-025-02151-z","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s13052-025-02151-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) has emerged as a critical pediatric health concern, particularly among children with obesity. However, its diagnosis poses substantial challenges, especially in the use of non-invasive methods. Our goal was to construct an online nomogram for screening MAFLD in obese children.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We designed a retrospective cross-sectional study involving 2,512 obese children. Detailed anthropometric data and laboratory parameters were collected. The study dataset was randomly allocated into training (n = 1758) and validation (n = 754) sets at a 7:3 ratio. To identify MAFLD risk factors, we conducted logistic regression analyses, from which a web-based predictive nomogram was constructed. Using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and area under the curve (AUC), the nomogram's performance was assessed and contrasted with the triglyceride glucose (TyG) index, Zhejiang University (ZJU) index, and Korean NAFLD (K-NAFLD) score. The goodness-of-fit of the nomogram was evaluated using calibration plots, and the nomogram's clinical value was assessed using decision curve analysis (DCA).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 1,344 participants (53.50%) were diagnosed with MAFLD by ultrasound. Age, gender, BMI Z-score, waist circumference (WC), homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) were identified as independent factors influencing MAFLD in obese children. These six variables were selected for the construction of the nomogram. ROC analysis revealed that the nomogram had superior diagnostic performance for MAFLD detection compared to the other three models, with AUC values of 0.874 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.858-0.890) in the training set and 0.870 (95% CI: 0.845-0.895) in the validation set. Calibration plots indicated a good fit of the nomogram in both datasets. Furthermore, DCA demonstrated its strong clinical applicability.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This study developed an online nomogram that demonstrates robust diagnostic accuracy and clinical utility for assessing obese children's MAFLD risk.</p>","PeriodicalId":14511,"journal":{"name":"Italian Journal of Pediatrics","volume":"51 1","pages":"307"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-11-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12642214/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145596537","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Italian Journal of Pediatrics
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