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Towards an artificial intelligence model for the automated prediction of building value 建立自动预测建筑物价值的人工智能模型
Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1088/1755-1315/1389/1/012015
Simon Rubinstein, Emlyn Witt, Kaleem Ullah
Property markets are volatile, necessitating the constant recalculation of property values for a variety of reasons including for the efficient design and construction of buildings. This research is aimed at the automation of the property valuation process using Artificial Intelligence. In a three-part research effort, a Multiple Criteria Decision Method (MCDM) approach using Complex Proportional Assessment (COPRAS) is first applied to predict the property value of new residential units on the basis of a comprehensive list of building characteristic variables identified as relevant for describing a particular property type (in the test case, terraced houses). For initial testing and validation of the valuation prediction calculations, the weights and values of criteria are determined through experts’ opinions and the estimated value of a test property is derived. This first part of the research is described in this report. The second phase of the research involves the automatic acquisition of the variables’ values for any building from the recently digitalised Estonian Building Register. The third part of the research focuses on replacing the need for experts’ opinions of the relative importance weightings of variables through the use of an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model which is to be trained on existing and continuously refined on new property transaction price data and property characteristics from building permit applications and existing building registers. Parts two and three of this research are still to be carried out and they are outlined in this research paper. It is anticipated that this research will lead to greater efficiency and sustainability through better alignment between building design, construction and market-based property values.
房地产市场变化无常,出于各种原因,包括为了有效设计和建造建筑物,需要不断重新计算房地产价值。这项研究旨在利用人工智能实现物业估值过程的自动化。在三部分的研究工作中,首先采用了一种使用复杂比例评估(COPRAS)的多重标准决策方法(MCDM),根据与描述特定物业类型(在测试案例中为排屋)相关的建筑特征变量综合清单,预测新建住宅单元的物业价值。为了对估价预测计算进行初步测试和验证,通过专家意见确定标准的权重和价值,并得出测试物业的估价。本报告介绍了研究的第一部分。研究的第二阶段涉及从最近数字化的爱沙尼亚建筑登记册中自动获取任何建筑的变量值。第三部分研究的重点是通过使用人工神经网络(ANN)模型,取代专家对变量相对重要性权重的意见,该模型将在现有的基础上进行训练,并根据建筑许可申请和现有建筑登记册中的新房产交易价格数据和房产特征不断完善。这项研究的第二部分和第三部分仍有待进行,本研究论文将对其进行概述。预计这项研究将通过更好地协调建筑设计、施工和基于市场的物业价值,提高效率和可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
Peer Review Statement 同行评审声明
Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1088/1755-1315/1389/1/011002
All papers published in this volume have been reviewed through processes administered by the Editors. Reviews were conducted by expert referees to the professional and scientific standards expected of a proceedings journal published by IOP Publishing.• Type of peer review: Double Anonymous• Conference submission management system: Morressier• Number of submissions received: 93• Number of submissions sent for review: 92• Number of submissions accepted: 47• Acceptance Rate (Submissions Accepted / Submissions Received × 100): 50.5• Average number of reviews per paper: 2• Total number of reviewers involved: 40• Contact person for queries:Name: Olav TorpEmail: olav.torp@ntnu.noAffiliation: Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Engineering, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
本卷中发表的所有论文均已通过编辑部的审核。专家审稿人按照 IOP 出版社出版的论文集期刊应有的专业和科学标准进行审稿:双重匿名- 会议投稿管理系统:Morressier- 收到的投稿数量:93- 送审稿件数量:92- 接受的投稿数量:47- 接受率(接受的提交材料/收到的提交材料 × 100):50.5- 每篇论文的平均审阅次数:2- 参与审稿的总人数:40- 询问联系人:姓名:Olav Torp电子邮件:Olav TorpEmail: olav.torp@ntnu.noAffiliation:挪威科技大学工程学院土木与环境工程系
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引用次数: 0
Which attributes define a megaproject? 超大型项目具有哪些特征?
Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1088/1755-1315/1389/1/012029
Christian Bakke, Agnar Johansen
Megaprojects are highly complex undertakings that significantly impact the world. Flyvbjerg states megaprojects require significant resources: “Over Budget, Over Time, Over and Over Again.” Megaprojects impact society decades after they are delivered, and a higher success rate is crucial, especially in light of sustainability. The number of megaprojects is increasing, the complexity of the projects is unique, and ownership is becoming increasingly complex. This research discusses how megaprojects are defined according to existing literature. What do we consider a megaproject? Furthermore, which attributes (complexity, stakeholder management, project ownership, and so on) can be used as an Early Signal to identify which delivery model is needed? With a premise that a megaproject needs to be handled differently than a conventional project. This paper is based on a literature review examining the definition of megaproject. The literature review shows that megaprojects are typically defined as a delivery model to deliver large-scale, complex, and one-off capital investments in the public and private sectors. Or a project system greater than 0.01% of the national gross domestic product (GDP). Our results show that there are no common definitions of what a megaproject is in the literature. Our research shows that a higher focus on complexity, technology, novelty, duration, stakeholder management, project governance, and political ramifications is more critical in defining a megaproject than the project’s capital cost or size (tonn, m2, or length).
大型项目是高度复杂的工程,对世界产生重大影响。Flyvbjerg 指出,巨型项目需要大量资源:"超预算、超时限、反复进行"。超大型项目在交付几十年后仍会对社会产生影响,因此提高成功率至关重要,尤其是在可持续发展方面。巨型项目的数量在不断增加,项目的复杂性也独具特色,所有权也变得越来越复杂。本研究讨论了如何根据现有文献定义超大项目。我们如何看待巨型项目?此外,哪些属性(复杂性、利益相关者管理、项目所有权等)可作为早期信号来确定需要哪种交付模式?前提是巨型项目的处理方式与传统项目不同。本文基于对巨型项目定义的文献综述。文献综述显示,巨型项目通常被定义为一种交付模式,用于在公共和私营部门交付大规模、复杂的一次性资本投资。或项目系统超过全国国内生产总值(GDP)的 0.01%。我们的研究结果表明,对于什么是巨型项目,文献中并没有统一的定义。我们的研究表明,与项目的资本成本或规模(吨、平方米或长度)相比,对复杂性、技术、新颖性、持续时间、利益相关者管理、项目治理和政治影响的更高关注度,对巨型项目的定义更为关键。
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引用次数: 0
Opportunism in the management of opportunities: client’s perspective 机会管理中的机会主义:客户视角
Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1088/1755-1315/1389/1/012020
A Marsov, N O E Olsson
Opportunity management offers the possibility of increasing the chances of achieving the project objectives. In construction projects, some opportunities may be associated with quality improvement, whereas others may lead to time and cost savings. Opportunities leading to savings may be beneficial for one contracting party and disadvantageous for other project stakeholders. An unbalanced distribution of benefits from opportunities, sometimes coupled with negative effects, can arise from opportunistic behaviours. Much is known about opportunism in the context of project management. Although the link between opportunism in projects and opportunity management is evident, extant literature does not explicitly bridge these two aspects of project management practice. This paper is conceptual, and its purpose is to broaden the view on opportunity management in construction projects by emphasising that the implementation of some opportunities may be associated with opportunism. This paper summarises realistic examples of certain opportunities arising from opportunism. These examples show that some opportunities favouring one party can trigger negative effects that compromise the needs of various project stakeholders such as clients, end users, and project owners of current and future expansion projects. The perspective on opportunity management from the lens of opportunism helps clients recognise possible hidden agendas of contractors striving to optimise design solutions and ease project execution. Understanding the opportunistic nature of certain opportunities proposed by internal project team members can prevent clients from exploiting such opportunities. Since it is impossible to eradicate opportunism in construction projects, clients need to be prepared to deal with opportunism before it becomes a matter of concern. Thus, the early involvement of knowledgeable project members capable of flagging the presence of antecedents of opportunism is beneficial for clients.
机会管理为增加实现项目目标的机会提供了可能。在建筑项目中,一些机会可能与质量改进有关,而另一些机会则可能导致时间和成本的节约。能够节省成本的机会可能对合同一方有利,而对其他项目利益相关者不利。机会主义行为可能导致机会带来的利益分配不平衡,有时还会产生负面影响。人们对项目管理中的机会主义了解甚多。虽然项目中的机会主义与机会管理之间的联系显而易见,但现有文献并没有明确地将项目管理实践的这两个方面联系起来。本文是概念性的,其目的是通过强调某些机会的实施可能与机会主义有关,来拓宽对建筑项目机会管理的看法。本文总结了由机会主义产生的某些机会的现实例子。这些例子表明,一些有利于某一方的机会可能会引发负面效应,损害项目各利益相关方的需求,如客户、最终用户以及当前和未来扩建项目的业主。从机会主义的角度来看待机会管理,有助于客户识别承包商为优化设计方案和简化项目执行而可能隐藏的目的。了解项目团队内部成员提出的某些机会的机会主义性质,可以防止客户利用这些机会。由于不可能根除建筑项目中的机会主义,客户需要在机会主义成为问题之前做好应对准备。因此,有能力识别机会主义先兆的知识渊博的项目成员的早期参与对客户是有益的。
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引用次数: 0
Towards Industry 5.0 Skills - Off-site Construction Settings in Denmark 迈向工业 5.0 技能 - 丹麦的非现场施工环境
Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1088/1755-1315/1389/1/012017
L. Jørsfeldt, A. Klitgaard, A. Selman, R. Jeppesen
Industry 5.0 has recently gained attention in scientific and industrial circles, as the European Union urges industries to look at the human-centric approach in the era of rapid acceleration of technology adoption under the umbrella of the Industry 4.0 concept. The existing studies on Industry 5.0 in the construction sector focus mainly on health and safety issues, waste management, construction materials production, and measurement of environmental features. However, research on how the manufacturing settings and the required change of skills of manufacturing workers have changed in off-site production is scarce. Hence, this investigation aims to investigate contemporary manufacturing settings in the off-site construction industry and how the transition towards a cyber-physical system might affect the skill set of a manufacturing worker. The data was collected through observations. Data were captured as images of production processes, supported by field notes and unstructured interviews. The analysis of the data collected during two visits to off-site construction industry factories in Denmark shows that off-site production operates primarily using traditional tools from on-site production, namely by hand. Only a limited number of processes have been automated or supported by new technology. Furthermore, it was found that the present focus on the production method on the shopfloor means the shopfloor workforce must have traditional skills and use traditional tools to complete tasks such as setting up concrete casts or cutting timber. We argue furthermore that further research is required, and uncovering the barriers to new technology implementation and new job design in the off-site construction industry is recommended. Once revealed, this knowledge will allow us to propose multiple solutions to shift towards Industry 4.0 and 5.0. This shift will mean that the construction industry can experience and harvest the advantages of new technologies.
最近,工业 5.0 在科学界和工业界备受关注,因为欧盟敦促各行业在工业 4.0 概念的统领下,在技术应用迅速加速的时代,研究以人为本的方法。现有关于建筑行业工业 5.0 的研究主要集中在健康与安全问题、废物管理、建筑材料生产和环境特征测量方面。然而,有关场外生产中制造环境和制造工人所需技能变化的研究却很少。因此,本调查旨在研究非现场建筑行业的当代制造环境,以及向网络-物理系统的过渡如何影响制造工人的技能组合。数据是通过观察收集的。数据以生产流程图像的形式采集,并辅以现场笔记和非结构化访谈。对两次访问丹麦非现场建筑业工厂所收集数据的分析表明,非现场生产主要使用现场生产的传统工具,即手工操作。只有少数工序实现了自动化或得到了新技术的支持。此外,我们还发现,目前对车间生产方式的关注意味着车间工人必须掌握传统技能并使用传统工具来完成任务,例如浇注混凝土或切割木材。此外,我们还认为需要开展进一步的研究,并建议揭示场外建筑行业在实施新技术和设计新工作时遇到的障碍。一旦发现这些障碍,我们就能提出多种解决方案,向工业 4.0 和 5.0 转型。这种转变将意味着建筑业可以体验和收获新技术的优势。
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引用次数: 0
Contract strategy discussions in the front-end of major public investment projects in Norway 挪威重大公共投资项目前端的合同战略讨论
Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1088/1755-1315/1389/1/012018
Ola Lædre, Parinaz Farid, Atle Engebø
Since 2000, the Norwegian Ministry of Finance has implemented a state project model for large public investment projects, primarily consisting of two stages: Quality Assurance 1 (QA1) and Quality Assurance 2 (QA2). In QA1, consultants review the conceptual appraisal, including the contract strategy; in QA2, they assess the steering base. This study examines how contract strategies are addressed in the early phases of major projects under this state model, analyzing procurement approaches, contract structures, and compensation formats. The database we used contains data from 313 projects of which 229 projects had a QA2 report at the time of the study. The findings suggest that although contract structures and compensation formats are frequently discussed, procurement approaches are less scrutinized. Analysis of QA reports indicates a recurring deficiency in the depth of discussions regarding project-specific influences on contract strategy, which results in overly generic recommendations. The study underscores the need for more tailored discussions on contract strategy and the potential benefits of project-specific market surveys to enhance these strategies.
自 2000 年起,挪威财政部对大型公共投资项目实施国家项目模式,主要包括两个阶段:质量保证 1 (QA1) 和质量保证 2 (QA2)。在质量保证 1 阶段,顾问对包括合同战略在内的概念评估进行审查;在质量保证 2 阶段,顾问对指导基础进行评估。本研究探讨了在这种国家模式下,如何在重大项目的早期阶段处理合同策略,分析了采购方式、合同结构和补偿形式。我们使用的数据库包含来自 313 个项目的数据,其中 229 个项目在研究期间提交了 QA2 报告。研究结果表明,虽然合同结构和补偿方式经常被讨论,但采购方式却较少受到审查。对质量保证报告的分析表明,关于具体项目对合同策略影响的讨论深度不足,导致建议过于笼统。这项研究强调,有必要对合同战略进行更有针对性的讨论,并强调针对具体项目的市场调查对加强这些战略的潜在益处。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of test results of the P-20 multi-rotor UAV when spraying pesticides in precision agriculture P-20 多旋翼无人机在精准农业中喷洒农药的测试结果分析
Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1088/1755-1315/1390/1/012024
I V Kovalev, D I Kovalev, V A Podoplelova, D V Borovinsky
The article provides an overview of the current results of using multi-rotor UAVs when spraying pesticides in precision agriculture. It is noted that, as part of improving the technology for using UAVs, it is necessary to continue work on optimizing and testing the parameters of UAV transport and technological cycles together with a reasonable choice of special reagents and their combinations to improve the spraying effect and increase the level of use of pesticides. This will directly affect the improvement of the quality and efficiency of precision farming systems. The analysis presented in the work is based on testing the parameters of the transport and technological cycle of a multi-rotor UAV of the P-20 type, which was used to spray pesticides on cotton fields to combat aphids and spider mites on cotton at the flowering and boll setting stages. The results are considered that make it possible to analyze and compare the laws of uniform and penetrating deposition and drift of droplets in cotton canopies at different UAV flight altitudes. It has been shown that spraying small volumes of agrochemicals using UAVs at low altitudes differs from operations performed using modern manned aircraft or boom sprayers. The flight altitude of the UAV has a significant impact on the deposition and drift of droplets. The results of studies related to elucidating the effect of defoliant adsorption on cotton leaves are also noted. The adsorption of acetamiprid and spirodiclofen was studied. Methods for statistical processing of the obtained experimental data are presented, in particular, to test the significance of the influence of flight altitude on the experimental results.
文章概述了目前在精准农业中使用多旋翼无人机喷洒农药的成果。文章指出,作为改进无人机使用技术的一部分,有必要继续努力优化和测试无人机运输参数和技术周期,同时合理选择特殊试剂及其组合,以改善喷洒效果,提高农药使用水平。这将直接影响精准农业系统质量和效率的提高。工作中提出的分析基于对 P-20 型多旋翼无人机运输和技术周期参数的测试,该无人机用于在棉田喷洒农药,以防治棉花开花和结铃阶段的蚜虫和蜘蛛螨。考虑到这些结果,可以分析和比较不同无人机飞行高度下棉花树冠上液滴的均匀和穿透沉积及漂移规律。结果表明,使用无人机在低空喷洒少量农用化学品与使用现代载人飞机或臂式喷雾器进行的操作不同。无人机的飞行高度对液滴的沉积和漂移有很大影响。此外,还提到了有关阐明棉叶对脱叶剂吸附效果的研究结果。对啶虫脒和螺螨酯的吸附进行了研究。介绍了对获得的实验数据进行统计处理的方法,特别是测试飞行高度对实验结果影响的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
The Impacts of the Tampere Tramway Project 坦佩雷有轨电车项目的影响
Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1088/1755-1315/1389/1/012033
Terttu Vainio, Eero Nippala
Light Rail transport within the city has become an interesting form of public transport in many cities in Europe as well as in other parts of the world. According to the experience of the reference cities, light rail or tramway is primarily an urban development project, not only a public transport project. This case study focuses on the indirect impacts of a tramway project. Do they really happen or is their valuation just a means to achieve political will. The city of Tampere is one of a few growing cities in Finland. The growth of the city caused congestion in the city centre, where the bus lines either ended or whose pendulum lines passed. Project planning for the Tampere tramway started in the early 2000s, construction began in 2017, traffic on the first lines started in 2021. In the tramway, the decisions are based on future expectations. In our research, we assess how well these expectations have been realised in the Tampere tramway project by means of a literature survey and statistical comparisons. The developments to be considered are the direct and indirect investments in the construction of the tramway, the demographic changes, and the housing markets. The evaluation material consists of official regional statistics. According to evaluation, the land use of Tampere has become more efficient than expected in the area affected by the tramway. Not only on empty plots, but also old low commercial buildings have been replaced by high new residential buildings. The tramway has supported urban development by attracting investors to build on previously for abandoned plots. The main street of Tampere is dedicated to the tram, a limited number of buses and light traffic, so congestion has been reduced.
在欧洲和世界其他地区的许多城市,市内轻轨交通已成为一种令人关注的公共交通形式。根据参考城市的经验,轻轨或有轨电车主要是一个城市发展项目,而不仅仅是一个公共交通项目。本案例研究的重点是有轨电车项目的间接影响。这些影响是否真的会发生,抑或对它们的评估只是实现政治意愿的一种手段。坦佩雷市是芬兰少数几个不断发展的城市之一。城市的发展造成了市中心的拥堵,公交线路要么在市中心终止,要么其摆式线路在市中心经过。坦佩雷有轨电车的项目规划始于 2000 年代初,建设始于 2017 年,首批线路于 2021 年开始通车。有轨电车的决策是基于对未来的预期。在研究中,我们通过文献调查和统计比较来评估这些预期在坦佩雷有轨电车项目中的实现程度。需要考虑的发展情况包括对有轨电车建设的直接和间接投资、人口变化和住房市场。评估材料包括地区官方统计数据。根据评估结果,坦佩雷市受有轨电车影响地区的土地使用效率比预期的要高。不仅是空地,旧的低矮商业建筑也被新的高层住宅所取代。有轨电车通过吸引投资者在以前废弃的地块上进行建设,支持了城市发展。坦佩雷的主要街道专门用于电车、数量有限的公共汽车和轻型交通,因此减少了拥堵。
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引用次数: 0
Lean Construction Principles in Practice: Continuous Improvement in the Norwegian Construction Industry 精益建造原则在实践中的应用:挪威建筑业的持续改进
Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1088/1755-1315/1389/1/012036
Håkon Amdal, Frode Drevland
This paper examines the role of continuous improvement in the Norwegian construction industry, focusing on the strategies, methods, and challenges faced by the country’s largest contractors. The study uses a qualitative survey methodology, including semi-structured interviews with key personnel. The findings show that all surveyed contractors engage in continuous improvement, with strategies stemming from self-developed business systems, training for skill development, and a culture of improvement. However, there are significant gaps between strategic intentions and practical implementation, influenced by cultural, organizational, and resource-related factors. The paper concludes that a more integrated and systematic approach to continuous improvement is needed to effectively address the industry’s enduring challenges.
本文探讨了持续改进在挪威建筑业中的作用,重点是挪威最大承包商的战略、方法和面临的挑战。研究采用了定性调查方法,包括对主要人员进行半结构化访谈。调查结果显示,所有接受调查的承包商都参与了持续改进工作,其战略源于自主开发的业务系统、技能发展培训和改进文化。然而,受文化、组织和资源相关因素的影响,战略意图与实际执行之间存在巨大差距。本文的结论是,需要采取更加综合和系统的持续改进方法,以有效应对该行业的持久挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Investigation and Mathematical Modelling of Anaerobic Biofermentation of Dairy Cattle Manure: Influence of Addition of Citrus Peel Waste and Lycoperdon Perlatum Spores 奶牛粪便厌氧生物发酵的研究与数学模型:添加柑橘皮废弃物和枸杞孢子的影响
Pub Date : 2024-07-31 DOI: 10.1088/1755-1315/1380/1/012005
Anelia I. Tzanova, Kiril A. Koparanov, Elena V. Antonova, Daniela V. Minkovska, Svetlin Antonov and Bozhidar I. Stefanov
The production of biogas from organic and carbon-neutral sources through biomethanization is essential for achieving the goals of the circular economy and reducing carbon emissions. Crucial for the optimal efficiency of anaerobic biofermentation processes is the influence of organic substrate and the application of methanogenesis enhancement additives. This study explores the possibilities of using a substrate of citrus biomass (waste peelings) for methane production from dairy cattle manure, as well as the influence of an addition of puffball mushroom (Lycoperdon perlatum) spores on the process. Experimental data obtained over a period of 31 days were mathematically modelled using a Verhulst logistic growth model to forecast their future development. The results indicate an inhibitory effect of citrus biomass on methanogenesis processes with a 20% lower yield, but a positive effect of Lycoperdon perlatum spores with nearly double the amount of biogas produced and higher methane content.
通过生物甲烷化利用有机和碳中性资源生产沼气,对于实现循环经济目标和减少碳排放至关重要。要使厌氧生物发酵过程达到最佳效率,关键在于有机基质的影响和甲烷生成强化添加剂的应用。本研究探讨了使用柑橘生物质(废果皮)基质从奶牛粪便中产生甲烷的可能性,以及添加浮球菌(Lycoperdon perlatum)孢子对该过程的影响。使用 Verhulst logistic 生长模型对 31 天内获得的实验数据进行了数学建模,以预测其未来的发展。结果表明,柑橘类生物质对甲烷生成过程有抑制作用,产量降低了 20%,而球盖菇孢子则有积极作用,产生的沼气量增加了近一倍,甲烷含量也更高。
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引用次数: 0
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IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science
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