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Adult Education Need vs. Capacity 成人教育需求与能力
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-1147-3.ch007
The 2004-2014 findings from the District of Columbia Comprehensive Assessment System (DC CAS) and the National Assessment of Educational Progress showed that the District's 4th and 9th graders scored 49th out of 51 states and territories in 2016. The District had switched to the federal PAARC test, and in 2017 it began to implement the Integrated Basic Education and Skills Training (I-BEST) model. Implementing this model means that students will work with two teachers in the classroom: one provides job-training and another who teaches basic skills in reading, math, or English language. The students' historically-low test scores and the implementation of the I-BEST model suggest that CSOSA clients referred to the District's public and charter schools or nonprofit adult education contractors would have been unlikely to have been able to obtain a high school degree or GED credential.
2004-2014年哥伦比亚特区综合评估系统(DC CAS)和国家教育进步评估的结果显示,2016年,哥伦比亚特区的四年级和九年级学生在51个州和地区中排名第49位。该地区已转向联邦PAARC测试,并于2017年开始实施综合基础教育和技能培训(I-BEST)模式。实施这种模式意味着学生将在课堂上与两位老师一起工作:一位提供职业培训,另一位教授阅读、数学或英语的基本技能。这些学生的考试成绩创历史新低,加上I-BEST模式的实施,表明CSOSA的客户指的是该地区的公立和特许学校或非营利性成人教育承包商,他们不太可能获得高中学位或GED证书。
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引用次数: 0
Shelter and Affordable Housing Need vs. Capacity 住房和经济适用房需求与容量
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-1147-3.ch005
The District's Homeward DC strategic housing plan projected that, by 2020, homeless people would remain in shelter care for less than 60 days and that the number of shelter care families would drop from 1,200 families in 2014 to 435 in 2020 (a 65% reduction in five years). The strategic plan also involved closing a massive building complex that was the city's largest and oldest family homeless shelter. Closing the building required securing contracts and permits for the development of smaller homeless shelters in nearly every ward. Numerous delays in shelter development prevented the successful implementation of the District's strategic housing plan, and a local audit determined that the there was no oversight of the hotels housing the homeless. The delays and the local auditor's report suggested that CSOSA clients referred to the District's housing programs would have been unlikely to have received housing.
特区的“家园”战略住房计划预计,到2020年,无家可归者在收容所的停留时间将少于60天,收容所照顾家庭的数量将从2014年的1200个减少到2020年的435个(五年内减少65%)。该战略计划还包括关闭一个大型建筑群,该建筑群是该市最大、最古老的家庭无家可归者收容所。关闭这幢建筑需要获得合同和许可证,以便在几乎每个区开发更小的无家可归者收容所。住房开发的多次延误阻碍了该地区战略住房计划的成功实施,当地的一项审计确定,对为无家可归者提供住宿的酒店没有监督。这些延误和当地审计员的报告表明,提交给特区住房项目的CSOSA客户不太可能得到住房。
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引用次数: 0
Meta-Analysis and Social Services Interventions 荟萃分析与社会服务干预
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-1147-3.ch002
The percentage of recidivism reduction projected to reduce recidivism by each social service or intervention is presented. Meta-analysis is used to determine these projections. However, in the last few years meta-analysis methods have been questioned. The most formidable criticism of meta-analysis is found in a master study of the statistical power of studies in criminology. This master study (of over 8,000 studies) found that about 25% of studies in criminology exhibited high statistical power (in the 0.99 to 1.00 range). However, the study also found about 25% of studies had power between 0.01 and 0.24. These findings suggested that roughly a fourth of all studies in criminology have levels of statistical power that make it nearly impossible to identify the effects they are estimating. In other words, this chapter questions whether we should be confident in the recidivism reduction projections for various interventions.
提出了每项社会服务或干预措施预计减少累犯的百分比。荟萃分析用于确定这些预测。然而,在过去的几年里,元分析方法受到了质疑。对元分析最令人生畏的批评出现在一项关于犯罪学研究的统计能力的研究中。这项主要研究(超过8000项研究)发现,大约25%的犯罪学研究显示出很高的统计力(在0.99到1.00之间)。然而,该研究还发现,约25%的研究的功率在0.01到0.24之间。这些发现表明,大约四分之一的犯罪学研究具有一定的统计能力,几乎不可能确定他们所估计的影响。换句话说,本章质疑我们是否应该对各种干预措施减少累犯的预测有信心。
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引用次数: 0
Employment Need vs. Capacity 就业需求与就业能力
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-1147-3.ch006
The objectives of a local audit were to assess whether the local employment services agency had developed and implemented sufficient internal controls to provide efficient and effective management of the District's 12 employment programs. The audit found that the employment agency did not establish written performance criteria for its employment programs or provide adequate oversight of its programs and that, without performance criteria, the agency could not accurately measure the quality and effectiveness of training services or gauge whether programs were effective or whether program objectives had been met. Further, from 2009-2017, the employment agency experienced sustained performance issues resulting in an “at-risk” designation by Department of Labor. Negative audit reports from both local and federal auditors suggested that CSOSA clients referred to the District's employment programs would have been unlikely to have received employment services.
地方审计的目的是评估当地就业服务机构是否制定和实施了足够的内部控制,以对该区的12个就业方案提供高效和有效的管理。审计发现,职业介绍所没有为其就业项目制定书面绩效标准,也没有对其项目进行充分的监督,没有绩效标准,该机构就无法准确衡量培训服务的质量和有效性,也无法衡量项目是否有效或项目目标是否已经实现。此外,从2009年到2017年,该职业介绍所经历了持续的绩效问题,导致劳工部将其列为“有风险”。来自地方和联邦审计员的负面审计报告表明,提交给该地区就业计划的CSOSA客户不太可能得到就业服务。
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引用次数: 0
Recidivism Reduction Research 减少累犯研究
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-1147-3.ch003
Since 2009, more than 840 Second Chance Act grant awards have been made to government and nonprofit agencies, and taxpayers have paid nearly 700 million dollars in Second Chance grants. Additionally, $154 million has been spent on probation and parole supervision agencies and staff through the Justice Reinvestment Initiative. Yet, our probation and parole population continue growing! Given the amount of money taxpayers have invested in programs, it seems nothing works. In the 20th century, it was assumed that the use of randomized and control-group research designs and complex statistical analysis and state-of-the-art computer software would be sufficient to find what “works.” But, we have not yet found what “works.” This chapter asks two questions: 1) Is it the case that “nothing works”? or 2) Is it the case that our research methods can't measure what “works”?
自2009年以来,政府和非营利机构获得了840多项“第二次机会法案”拨款,纳税人为“第二次机会”拨款支付了近7亿美元。此外,通过司法再投资倡议,1.54亿美元已用于缓刑和假释监督机构和工作人员。然而,我们的缓刑和假释人数继续增长!考虑到纳税人在这些项目上投入的资金,似乎什么都不起作用。在20世纪,人们认为使用随机和对照组研究设计、复杂的统计分析和最先进的计算机软件就足以找到“有效”的方法。但是,我们还没有发现什么是“有效的”。这一章提出了两个问题:1)“什么都不管用”是真的吗?还是2)我们的研究方法无法衡量什么是“有效的”?
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引用次数: 0
Job Training Need vs. Capacity 职业培训需求与能力
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-1147-3.ch008
The Workforce Innovation and Opportunity Act (WIOA) establishes performance accountability indicators and performance reporting requirements to assess the effectiveness of local workforce development programs. The WIOA State Porta provides the number of clients served per state. In 2017, the District served roughly 15,000 under the WIOA, 8,000 through a state apprenticeship program and 3,000 through University of the District of Columbia Community College's Division of Workforce Development. From 2009-2017, the District was designated as an “at risk” employment agency by the federal Department of Labor. Such a designation indicated that the Department questioned the capability of the District's workforce programs to employ local residents. And, the Department of Labor's “at risk” designation also suggested CSOSA clients referred to the District's employment programs would have been unlikely to have received WIOA, TANF, or SNAP training in a timely fashion to meet CSOSA's client accountability contracts.
《劳动力创新与机会法》(WIOA)规定了绩效问责指标和绩效报告要求,以评估当地劳动力发展计划的有效性。WIOA状态门户提供每个状态所服务的客户机数量。2017年,该地区通过WIOA服务了大约15,000人,通过州学徒计划服务了8,000人,通过哥伦比亚特区大学社区学院的劳动力发展部门服务了3,000人。从2009年到2017年,该地区被联邦劳工部指定为“有风险”的职业介绍所。这样的指定表明,该部门质疑该地区的劳动力计划雇用当地居民的能力。而且,劳工部的“风险”指定还表明,提交给该地区就业计划的CSOSA客户不太可能及时接受WIOA, TANF或SNAP培训,以满足CSOSA的客户责任合同。
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引用次数: 0
Probation and Parole Protective Factors 缓刑和假释保护因素
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-1147-3.ch011
We now have a $4 trillion federal budget. We can spend this budget to expand our prison complex consisting of 1,719 state prisons, 109 federal prisons, 1,772 juvenile correctional facilities, 3,163 local jails, 80 Indian country jails and military prisons and immigration detention facilities. Or, we can build-up our military-industrial complex (i.e., our $600 billion for national defense and an additional $255 billion for out foreign affairs), Department of Homeland Security, and State Department. Or, we can increase our $750.7 billion budget to implement social service grants to state and local governments, which combined are a set of “protective” factors for probation and parole clients.
我们现在有4万亿美元的联邦预算。我们可以用这笔预算来扩大我们的监狱设施,包括1719所州立监狱、109所联邦监狱、1772所少年惩教所、3163所地方监狱、80所印度国家监狱、军事监狱和移民拘留设施。或者,我们可以建立我们的军事工业联合体(例如,我们的6000亿美元用于国防和额外的2550亿美元用于外交事务),国土安全部和国务院。或者,我们可以增加7707亿美元的预算,用于向州和地方政府提供社会服务补助金,这是对缓刑和假释客户的一系列“保护”因素。
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引用次数: 0
The Court Services and Offender Supervision Agency (CSOSA) 法庭事务及罪犯监察署
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-1147-3.ch004
CSOSA is the agency that supervises residents on probation and parole in the District of Columbia. In 2017, it supervised 16,407 District residents. In that year, 90% of CSOSA's clients' technical violations came from drug use and drug testing violations, and these technical violations caused 10% of the agency's revocation to incarceration in 2017. CSOSA sanctions its clients by sending them to day reporting center and CSOSA performs home visits (an astounding 45,124 in 2017). Yet, to date, there is scant evidence showing any relationship between sanctions, or day reporting centers, or home visits and recidivism and public safety. It's true, there is no agreement among social scientists as to the number of studies needed to confirm that an intervention “works.” However, to date, none of the methods used by CSOSA have been shown to “work.”
CSOSA是哥伦比亚特区监督缓刑和假释居民的机构。2017年,它监管了16407名区居民。那一年,CSOSA客户90%的技术违规来自吸毒和药检违规,这些技术违规导致该机构在2017年被撤销至监禁的比例为10%。CSOSA通过将客户送到日间报告中心进行制裁,并进行家访(2017年达到惊人的45124人)。然而,迄今为止,几乎没有证据表明制裁、日间报告中心、家访、再犯和公共安全之间存在任何关系。的确,社会科学家对于需要多少研究才能确认干预“有效”的问题没有达成一致意见。然而,到目前为止,CSOSA使用的方法都没有显示出“有效”。
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引用次数: 0
Mental Health and Drug Treatment Need vs. Capacity 心理健康和药物治疗需求与能力
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-1147-3.ch009
In 2018, the local District of Columbia auditor found that a section of the Department of Behavioral Health that performed psychiatric evaluations had significant staff turnover and long-standing position vacancies and that there had been a several-week period when approximately one-fourth of the Division's full-time positions were vacant. As a result, the Department's psychiatric evaluation waitlist grew, delaying many defendants' evaluations beyond the statutorily permissible timeframe. When the problem persisted, DC Superior Court judges threatened contempt citations. Moreover, the Department relied on a network of small to mid-sized nonprofit agencies to provide the vast majority of public behavioral health services. However, many of these nonprofits had experienced lengthy delays in reimbursement stemming from the Department of Behavioral Health's billing software, and some were forced to close. These circumstances suggested the CSOSA clients would have been unlikely to have received mental health treatment.
2018年,哥伦比亚特区当地审计员发现,行为健康部门一个负责进行精神病学评估的部门存在严重的人员流失率和长期职位空缺,该部门约有四分之一的全职职位空缺了几周。结果,司法部的精神病评估等候名单越来越长,许多被告的评估被推迟到法定允许的时间范围之外。当问题仍然存在时,华盛顿高等法院的法官威胁要藐视法庭。此外,卫生部依靠一个由中小型非营利机构组成的网络来提供绝大多数的公共行为健康服务。然而,由于行为健康部门的计费软件,这些非营利组织中的许多都经历了长时间的报销延迟,有些被迫关闭。这些情况表明,CSOSA的客户不太可能接受心理健康治疗。
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引用次数: 0
Missing “Get Tough” Risk Factors 缺少“坚强”的风险因素
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-1147-3.ch010
Burnham and Anderson observed that while a model can never be “truth,” a model might be ranked on a continuum from very useful, to useful, to somewhat useful, to essentially useless. The prevailing Risk-Needs-Responsivity (RNR) model is essentially useless for two reasons: 1) there is no difference in recidivism between Second Chance Grant recipients and non-Second Chance recipients, and 2) our probation and parole numbers have been increasing not decreasing as jurisdictions, unquestioningly, adhere to the RNR model's principles and tenets. The fundamental attribution bias of overestimating the role of person-factors while underestimating the role of each jurisdictional environment is a key aspect of RNR risk assessment algorithms. Thus, the RNR model and its associated risk assessment instruments have no ecological validity. More specifically, neither attends to variations in “Get Tough” jurisdictions policy. Yet, “Get Tough” variables are unacknowledged moderator variables.
伯纳姆和安德森观察到,虽然一个模型永远不可能是“真理”,但一个模型可能在一个连续体上被排序,从非常有用,到有用,到有点有用,到基本上没用。流行的风险-需求-反应(RNR)模型本质上是无用的,原因有两个:1)第二次机会资助接受者和非第二次机会接受者在再犯方面没有区别;2)我们的缓刑和假释人数一直在增加,而不是减少,因为司法管辖区毫无疑问地坚持RNR模型的原则和原则。高估人因素作用而低估各管辖环境作用的基本归因偏差是RNR风险评估算法的一个关键方面。因此,RNR模型及其相关的风险评估工具没有生态有效性。更具体地说,两者都不关注“强硬”司法管辖区政策的变化。然而,“Get Tough”变量是未被承认的调节变量。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Community Risk and Protective Factors for Probation and Parole Risk Assessment Tools
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