We investigated the association of physical activity (PA) levels and changes with the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with type 2 diabetes.
Patients with type 2 diabetes who had undergone health examinations in 2009 and 2011 were enrolled. In total, 1,439,152 patients were included in the analysis. The level of PA was classified as inactive (<500 metabolic equivalent task [MET]-min/week), moderately active (500-1,500 MET-min/week), and active (≥1,500 MET-min/week). Change in PA was categorized as persistently inactive PA, newly active PA, active PA quitter, and persistently active PA according to change of PA between 2009 and 2011.
During a median of 5.2 years of follow-up, 22,686 patients developed HCC. Compared to the inactive group, the risk of HCC was significantly lower in the moderately active (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.96, 95% CI 0.93–0.99), and active (aHR 0.95, 95% CI 0.91–0.99) groups. The patients in the persistently active PA group had a significantly lower risk of HCC than those in the persistently inactive PA group (aHR 0.91, 95% CI 0.84–0.98).
Physical activity exhibited a dose-responsive preventive effect against HCC in patients with diabetes.
Our study investigated the impact of physical activity (PA) levels and changes on the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with type 2 diabetes. PA was associated with a dose-responsive preventive effect against HCC. Patients in the persistently active PA group had a significantly lower risk of HCC than those in the persistently inactive PA group, while newly active patients and PA quitters had similar risks to the persistently inactive group. Our study highlighted the importance of maintaining regular PA as a preventive strategy against HCC.
Validated prognostic tools for estimating short-term bile duct disease progression in primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) are lacking. We evaluated the predictive value of serum and biliary biochemistry for the progression of bile duct disease in PSC using repeated endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) examinations to identify surrogate markers for more personalized surveillance.
We conducted a prospective analysis including patients with PSC who underwent ERCP for confirmation of diagnosis, monitoring of disease progression, or dysplasia surveillance. ERCP findings were scored, and dilatation was performed if a dominant stricture was diagnosed or if a cytology brush could not be passed. Bile samples were aspirated for biliary IL8 and calprotectin. We analysed optimal cut-off values and AUCs for 20 laboratory markers and evaluated their association with the time to an ERCP score increase of ≥2 points or first dilatation, whichever came first. Of the 1,002 patients, 653 had ≥2 ERCP examinations and ≥3 years of follow-up. After excluding patients with PSC-overlap syndrome or initial dilatation, 398 patients were included.
Of the patients included, 62% had mild or moderate and 38% had advanced bile duct disease. During follow-up, 41% of patients demonstrated progression of disease. Biliary calprotectin (AUC 0.76; 95% CI 0.69 to 0.82) and IL8 (AUC 0.76; 95% CI 0.69 to 0.84) were the only variables that demonstrated predictive value for disease progression and/or need for dilatation.
Biliary calprotectin and IL8 are promising surrogate markers for identifying patients with PSC at risk of progression and determining the timing for subsequent imaging. Conventional liver function tests may not be sensitive or specific enough to monitor PSC progression, particularly in the short term.
Validated prognostic tools for estimating short-term bile duct disease progression in primary sclerosing cholangitis are lacking. In this prospective study, based on sequential endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography examinations, biliary calprotectin and IL8 levels turned out to be more sensitive for predicting bile duct progression than traditional liver function tests, such as alkaline phosphatase, in the short term. These findings could lead to more personalized patient surveillance and improve clinical practice by providing a more accurate method for monitoring disease progression and treatment responses. Additionally, these markers have potential as surrogate endpoints in clinical drug trials. The limitation is that measurement of biliary IL8 and calprotectin requires endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography with bile sampling.
Hepatic recompensation may be achieved in patients with decompensated cirrhosis due to chronic hepatitis B (CHB) upon effective suppression of viral replication by nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs). However, the optimal timing and predictors of recompensation and the subsequent clinical course of patients with CHB with vs. without recompensation are not well-defined.
This study was a retrospective extension of a multi-centre prospective cohort, focusing on patients with CHB and decompensated cirrhosis treated with entecavir. We followed patients beyond treatment week 120 until a second decompensation event or June 2023. We identified the optimal timing and predictors of recompensation by week 120, evaluated durability of recompensation in patients fulfilling recompensation criteria by week 120 and examined late recompensation in those who did not fulfil it by week 120.
At treatment week 24, serum albumin ≥34 g/L predicted recompensation by week 120. The Brec-PAS model offered good predictive ability for recompensation by week 120. Of the 283 patients who finished 120 weeks of therapy, 175 were followed beyond week 120 (median follow-up: 240 weeks). Among the 106 patients achieving recompensation by week 120, 92 (86.8%) maintained recompensation for another 120 (72-168) weeks. Among the 69 patients without recompensation by week 120, 40.6% attained late recompensation during the subsequent 120 (72-168) weeks. Additionally, hepatocellular carcinoma incidence was lower in the recompensated group (5.0% vs. 16.13%, p = 0.002).
A serum albumin ≥34 g/L at treatment week 24 predicted recompensation by week 120. Recompensation achieved by week 120 of NA treatment is maintained in >80% of patients in the long term. Some patients may achieve recompensation only after >120 weeks of NA treatment. The incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma was reduced but not completely abolished after recompensation.
Our research provides a meaningful contribution to understanding the long-term prognosis of recompensation in patients with chronic hepatitis B and decompensated cirrhosis, as well as to evaluating the predictive value of serum albumin levels, offering a comprehensive view of clinical outcomes after recompensation. The significance of early biomarkers in guiding therapeutic decisions is highlighted, shedding light on the continued benefits and possible risks after recompensation. This enhances the capability for more precise prognostic evaluations and informed therapeutic strategies. For healthcare providers, these insights afford a detailed perspective on patient monitoring and intervention planning, underscoring the need for ongoing assessment past the initial recompensation phase.