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Cash holdings in pension funds 养老基金持有的现金
Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107112
Sidita Hasa, Carolina Salva
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引用次数: 0
Rational Disposition Effects: Theory and Evidence 理性处置效应:理论与证据
Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1571534
Daniel Dornand, Günter Strobl
The disposition effect is a longstanding puzzle in financial economics. This paper demonstrates that it is not intrinsically at odds with rational behavior. In a rational expectations model with asymmetrically informed investors, trading strategies as predicted by the disposition effect can arise as an optimal response to dynamic changes in the information structure. The model generates several novel predictions: the disposition behavior of unsophisticated investors should weaken after events that reduce information asymmetries and should be concentrated in stocks with weak price momentum. The data, trading records of 30,000 clients at a German discount brokerage firm from 1995 to 2000, are consistent with these predictions.
处置效应是金融经济学中一个长期存在的难题。本文证明,它与理性行为在本质上并不矛盾。在投资者信息不对称的理性预期模型中,处置效应预测的交易策略是对信息结构动态变化的最优响应。该模型产生了几个新颖的预测:在信息不对称减少的事件发生后,不成熟的投资者的处置行为应该减弱,并且应该集中在价格势头弱的股票上。这些数据是一家德国折扣经纪公司从1995年到2000年的3万名客户的交易记录,与这些预测相符。
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引用次数: 3
FinTech adoption and financial inclusion: Evidence from household consumption in China 金融科技普及与普惠金融:来自中国家庭消费的证据
Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2022.106668
Tong Yang, Xun Zhang
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引用次数: 28
Financial liberalization and house prices: Evidence from China 金融自由化与房价:来自中国的证据
Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2022.106655
Yining Shi
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引用次数: 0
Profitability, Asset Investment, and Aggregate Stock Returns 盈利能力,资产投资和总股票收益
Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3089007
T. Chue, J. Xu
The book-to-market ratio (B/M), profitability, and asset investment exhibit robust joint predictive power for the equity premium, generating out-of-sample Rs of 7%, 20%, and 29%, respectively, in one-quarter-, one-year-, and two-year-ahead forecasts. Since profitability and investment are positively correlated with each other yet predict future returns in opposite directions, while B/M and profitability are negatively correlated with each other yet predict future returns in the same direction, the variables’ joint predictive power is much higher than the sum of their standalone counterparts. Just as Fama and French (2006, 2015, 2016) and Hou, Xue, and Zhang (2014, 2015, 2017) show that profitable firms who invest conservatively are associated with high future alphas in the cross section, we find that high aggregate profits and low asset growth precede high aggregate stock returns in the time series. We also find that short-term (long-term) asset growth predicts one-year-ahead (two-year-ahead) stock returns— consistent with firms’ investment decisions being more responsive to changes in discount rates that correspond to the investment’s time horizon. To explain this pattern from a behavioral perspective requires two types of sentiment—one that primarily influences short-term investment and another that affects long-term investment only.
账面市值比(B/M)、盈利能力和资产投资对股票溢价表现出强大的联合预测能力,在未来一个季度、一年和两年的预测中,分别产生7%、20%和29%的样本外Rs。由于盈利能力与投资呈正相关,但预测未来收益方向相反,而B/M与盈利能力呈负相关,但预测未来收益方向相同,因此这两个变量的联合预测能力要远远高于它们单独对应变量的总和。正如Fama和French(2006、2015、2016)以及Hou、Xue和Zhang(2014、2015、2017)表明,保守投资的盈利公司在横截面上与高未来阿尔法相关,我们发现,在时间序列上,高总利润和低资产增长出现在高总股票回报之前。我们还发现,短期(长期)资产增长预测了未来一年(两年)的股票回报,这与公司的投资决策对与投资时间范围相对应的贴现率变化的反应更迅速一致。从行为角度解释这种模式需要两种情绪——一种主要影响短期投资,另一种只影响长期投资。
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引用次数: 3
Social capital and the cost of bank equity: Cross-country evidence 社会资本与银行股权成本:跨国证据
Pub Date : 2022-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2022.106535
Fotios Pasiouras, Anis Samet
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引用次数: 4
Contagion and Tail Risk in Complex Financial Networks 复杂金融网络中的传染和尾部风险
Pub Date : 2022-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2022.106560
K. Abduraimova
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引用次数: 16
Off-Balance Sheet Activities and Scope Economies in U.S. Banking 美国银行业的表外活动和范围经济
Pub Date : 2022-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2022.106534
Jingfang Zhang, Emir Malikov
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引用次数: 1
Investment, payout, and cash management under risk and ambiguity 风险和模糊性下的投资、支出和现金管理
Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2022.106507
Pengfei Luo, Yuan Tian
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引用次数: 4
In memoria Giorgio and Emilia Szego
Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2022.106478
Allen N. Berger, H. Montague Osteen
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Banking & Finance
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