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Codifying the Risk Assessment–Risk Management Framework 编纂风险评估-风险管理架构
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/12248.003.0006
to different degrees. By the early 1980s, the notion of risk encapsulated a first design, according to which the agency produces decisions that are adjusted to the level of risk, determined by toxicological and statistical analysis and concurring policy assumptions about the nature of these risks. This design was embodied by cancer risk assessment methods. It was advanced by a fringe of the agency’s scientists and adopted by a couple of its programs. It materialized in guidelines and improved communication between scientists, who were calculating the risks and estimating the hazards, and the various other actors involved in writing rules and standardseconomists, policy analysts, lawyers, or office chiefs. Another design, a commensurative one, aimed at comprehensively reviewing agency activities against risk, cost, and benefit indicators, with a view to taking control over the agenda of the agency’s offices in order to produce a more controlled and integrated image of what the agency was addressing. One design responded to industry judicial challenges against the ban of its chemicals, using the uncertainty surrounding carcinogenesis; the other tried to limit controversies stemming from the application of various risk criteria by separate regulatory offices to similar chemical conditions. At the end of the 1980s, the risk assessment guidelines developed by the EPA— as well as other agencies— sparked more controversy. They displaced the legitimacy problem of the agency. It was no longer an issue of whether the agency had the authority to ban chemicals, but whether its mode of reasoning and making decisions about chemicals was right. For the chemical industry, these guidelines embodied an overly conservative and stringent regulatory philosophy of risk elimination, producing many false positives, and the action on cancer and chemicals was misguided. The chemical 4 Codifying the Risk Assessment– Risk Management Framework
程度不同。到20世纪80年代初,风险的概念包含了第一个设计,根据该设计,该机构根据毒理学和统计分析以及关于这些风险性质的一致政策假设,做出调整风险水平的决策。本设计通过癌症风险评估方法来体现。它是由该机构的一小部分科学家提出的,并被该机构的几个项目所采用。它体现在指导方针中,并改善了计算风险和估计危害的科学家与参与制定规则和标准的其他各种参与者(经济学家、政策分析师、律师或办公室主管)之间的沟通。另一种设计是比较性的,目的是根据风险、成本和效益指标全面审查机构活动,以期控制机构各办事处的议程,以便对机构正在处理的事项形成一种更有控制和更综合的形象。其中一种设计利用致癌的不确定性,回应了针对其化学品禁令的行业司法挑战;另一个则试图限制因不同监管部门对类似化学条件应用各种风险标准而产生的争议。在20世纪80年代末,美国环保署和其他机构制定的风险评估指南引发了更多的争议。他们取代了机构的合法性问题。问题不再是该机构是否有权禁止化学品,而是它对化学品的推理和决策模式是否正确。对于化工行业来说,这些指导方针体现了一种过于保守和严格的消除风险的监管理念,产生了许多误报,针对癌症和化学品的行动被误导了。化学品风险评估-风险管理框架的编纂
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引用次数: 0
Acronyms 首字母缩略词
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/12248.003.0015
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引用次数: 0
Index 指数
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/12248.003.0018
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引用次数: 0
Acknowledgments 致谢
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/12248.003.0001
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引用次数: 0
The Invention of Quantitative Risk Assessment 定量风险评估的发明
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/12248.003.0004
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引用次数: 0
The Rise and Fall of Comparative Risk Assessment 比较风险评估的兴衰
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/12248.003.0010
Bill Reilly, T. Davies
sent what the agency knows and what it does effectively. There are different ways of formalizing its generic object, the kinds of knowledge it uses to make its decisions, and how it manages to forge decisions on highly disputed issues. These designs vary according to the political configuration in which the agency is caught— the networks of supporters or adversaries that form around environmental issues and its action on these uncertain issues, and the inevitable controversies that ensue. The ambition to systematically measure the risks, costs, and benefits associated with decision projects lasted for most of the 1980s, despite some doubts as to the importance that William Ruckelshaus’s successor, Lee Thomas, would grant to this technology, particularly after the departure of Alvin Alm, the deputy administrator who championed costbenefit analysis and instilled the motivation in the agency to use that kind of information. At the end of the 1980s, in a new configuration marked by renewed controversies over the EPA’s priorities— stemming from its treatment of the discovery of supposed widespread risks from exposure to the gas radon and the pesticide alar, pressures on its budget in an aggressive Republican administration, and a changing national environmental agenda— the commensurative design assumed greater importance. During the term of Thomas (1985– 1989), and even more so during the stint of Bill Reilly (1989– 1993), efforts were made to create new knowledge representations and technologies to link risk assessors of various program or regional offices, so as to extinguish the uncertainty caused by these offices’ nebulous and variegated ways of deciding which risk matters, and closing subsequent controversies concerning the EPA’s inability to focus on the right subject. This mainly 8 The Rise and Fall of Comparative Risk Assessment
把中情局知道的和有效的信息都发了出去。有不同的方法来形式化它的一般对象,它用来做决定的知识种类,以及它如何设法在高度有争议的问题上做出决定。这些设计根据机构所处的政治格局而变化——围绕环境问题形成的支持者或对手网络,以及它在这些不确定问题上的行动,以及随之而来的不可避免的争议。系统地衡量与决策项目相关的风险、成本和收益的雄心持续了20世纪80年代的大部分时间,尽管有人怀疑威廉·拉克尔肖斯(William Ruckelshaus)的继任者李·托马斯(Lee Thomas)将赋予这项技术的重要性,特别是在支持成本效益分析并向该机构中植入使用这种信息的动机的副署长阿尔文·阿尔姆(Alvin Alm)离职后。在20世纪80年代末,在一个新的配置中,新的争论标志着环保局的优先事项——源于它对暴露于气体氡和杀虫剂的假定广泛风险的发现的处理,激进的共和党政府对其预算的压力,以及不断变化的国家环境议程——通约性设计变得更加重要。在Thomas的任期内(1985 - 1989),甚至在Bill Reilly的任期内(1989 - 1993),人们努力创造新的知识表示和技术,将各个项目或地区办公室的风险评估人员联系起来,以消除这些办公室在决定哪些风险重要方面的模糊和多样化的方式所造成的不确定性,并结束随后关于EPA无法关注正确主题的争议。这主要是比较风险评估的兴衰
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引用次数: 0
Scientization and the Reform of the Risk Assessment–Risk Management Framework 科学化与风险评估-风险管理框架的改革
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/12248.003.0011
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引用次数: 0
Risk Sciences: Expertise for Decision-Making and Dispute 风险科学:决策和争议的专业知识
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/12248.003.0003
dominant paradigm of systems analysis, alongside “costbenefit analysis, technology assessment, social forecasting and the like” (Hoos 1979, 192). From the moment it first took shape, risk assessment was considered to be a symptom of the emergence of “new forms of technology management, the most visible of which are detailed analyses of the anticipated impact of proposed developments” (Fischhoff 1977). Economic costbenefit analysis, general systems analysis, operations research, decisiontheory way of thought, and risk assessment all are “attempts at policy science” (Wynne 1975, 118). They comprise a “family of techniques ... conceived as ways of improving decisionmaking by broadening the role of logic and empirical inquiry” (Tribe 1972, 75). Rip (1986) later labeled this set of sciences “strategic” sciences, to convey the fact that they shared a similar interest in aiding decisionmaking. By shaping and embracing the quantitative assessment of health risks or the comparative economic analysis of their reduction, the EPA has placed itself in the ambit of these sciences, and of this particular way of understanding the administration of the environment and health, as a way of making rational decisions. Sociologists and philosophers, very often critical of these policy sciences, tend to argue that they are representative of an expanding technoscientific or technocratic ideology. This narrative, however, obscures the contextual and historical constitution of these sciences and of their techniques. They were born in the context of public controversies surrounding technologies and their hazards, as well as policies for managing them. Risk research, it appears, is knowledge formed to respond to public controversies about environmental and health hazards, with a view toward solving them. 1 Risk Sciences: Expertise for DecisionMaking and Dispute
与“成本效益分析、技术评估、社会预测等”并列的系统分析的主导范式(胡斯1979,192)。从它最初形成的那一刻起,风险评估就被认为是“技术管理新形式出现的征兆,其中最明显的是对拟议发展的预期影响的详细分析”(Fischhoff 1977)。经济成本效益分析、一般系统分析、运筹学、决策理论思维方式和风险评估都是“对政策科学的尝试”(Wynne 1975,118)。它们组成了一个“技术家族……被认为是通过扩大逻辑和经验调查的作用来改进决策的方法”(Tribe 1972, 75)。Rip(1986)后来将这组科学称为“战略”科学,以传达这样一个事实,即它们在帮助决策方面有着相似的兴趣。通过形成和接受健康风险的定量评估或对其减少的比较经济分析,环境保护署将自己置于这些科学的范围内,并将这种理解环境和健康管理的特殊方式作为做出理性决策的一种方式。社会学家和哲学家经常批评这些政策科学,他们倾向于认为它们代表了一种不断扩大的技术科学或技术官僚意识形态。然而,这种叙述模糊了这些科学及其技术的背景和历史构成。它们是在围绕技术及其危害以及管理技术的政策的公众争议的背景下诞生的。风险研究似乎是为了回应公众对环境和健康危害的争议而形成的知识,旨在解决这些问题。风险科学:决策和争议的专业知识
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引用次数: 0
Risk Management: The EPA as a Decision-Making System 风险管理:EPA作为决策系统
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/12248.003.0008
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引用次数: 0
Conclusion 结论
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/12248.003.0013
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引用次数: 0
期刊
The Science of Bureaucracy
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