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Proceedings of the Second ACM SIGSPATIALInternational Workshop on the Use of GIS in Emergency Management最新文献

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CPS model based online opinion governance modeling and evaluation of emergency accidents 基于CPS模型的突发事件在线舆情治理建模与评价
Xiaolong Deng, Yingtong Dou, Yihua Huang
In the last decades, there have been much more public health crises in the world such as H1N1, H7N9 and Ebola out-break. In the same time, it has been proved that our world has come into the time when public crisis accidents number was growing fast. Sometimes, crisis response to these public emergency accidents is involved in a complex system consisting of cyber, physics and society domains (CPS Model). In order to collect and analyze these accidents with higher efficiency, we need to design and adopt some new tools and models. In this paper, we used CPS Model based Online Opinion Governance system which constructed on cellphone APP for data collection and decision making in the back end. Based on the online opinion data we collected, we also proposed the graded risk classification. By the risk classification method, we have built an efficient CPS Model based simulated emergency accident replying and handling system. It has been proved useful in some real accidents in China in recent years.
在过去的几十年里,世界上发生了更多的公共卫生危机,如H1N1、H7N9和埃博拉疫情。与此同时,事实证明,我们的世界已经进入了公共危机事故数量快速增长的时代。有时,这些突发公共事件的危机应对涉及一个由网络、物理和社会领域组成的复杂系统(CPS模型)。为了更高效地收集和分析这些事故,我们需要设计和采用一些新的工具和模型。本文采用基于CPS模型的在线意见治理系统,在后端构建在手机APP上进行数据收集和决策。基于收集到的网络舆情数据,我们还提出了分级风险分类。采用风险分类的方法,建立了基于CPS模型的高效应急响应处理系统。近年来,它在中国的一些实际事故中被证明是有用的。
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引用次数: 1
Emergency online attention and psychological distance under risk 紧急在线关注和心理距离下的风险
Qing Deng, Yi Liu, Lihua Li, Xiaolong Deng, Hui Zhang
Risk communication is an effective means of emergency management. Online information plays an important role in risk communication, especially in the Big Data Era. Citizens' psychology to send and receive information determines their online behavior when they face risk. Using the Tianjin Port Explosions as an example, multiple linear regression analysis is used to untangle the relationship between online attention and psychology behavior under risk. Citizens' online attention is estimated by social media data collection from the Sina Weibo. Psychology behavior is quantified by psychological distance which consists of four dimensions: spatial distance, temporal distance, social distance and probability. The regression model is built via SPSS 20.0 and the obtained result is matched with actual situation. It indicates that online attention is negatively correlated to spatial distance, temporal distance and social distance while positively correlated to probability of the event. It also shows that citizens' online attention under risk is positively correlated to their online attention under normal circumstance. Based on the regression model, citizens' attention and response to emergency are easy to be assessed.
风险沟通是应急管理的有效手段。网络信息在风险沟通中发挥着重要作用,尤其是在大数据时代。公民发送和接收信息的心理决定了他们在面临风险时的上网行为。以天津港爆炸事件为例,运用多元线性回归分析,理清网络关注与风险下心理行为之间的关系。公民的在线关注是通过收集新浪微博的社交媒体数据来估计的。心理距离由空间距离、时间距离、社会距离和概率四个维度构成。通过SPSS 20.0建立回归模型,所得结果与实际情况吻合。网络注意与空间距离、时间距离和社会距离呈负相关,与事件发生概率呈正相关。结果还表明,风险下公民的网络注意与正常情况下公民的网络注意呈正相关。基于回归模型的市民对突发事件的关注和响应情况易于评估。
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引用次数: 1
The phenomenon of geolocation aggregation of city nodes community partition in network of WeChat b微信网络中城市节点社区分区的地理位置聚集现象
Chuan Ai, Bin Chen, Lingnan He, Yichong Bai, Xingbing Li, Zhichao Song
WeChat is a widely used online social media application in China for its popularity. Based on the analysis of big HTML5 data from WeChat, the Geography Interaction Activity Network (GIAN) is acquired first in this paper. Then we analyze the geographical characteristics of WeChat network through the community detection in GIAN. It is concluded that the cities in the same community stay close geographically usually, and the WeChat networks can be partitioned into communities in which there are five communities that are stable and contains the majority of cities in China.
微信是中国广泛使用的在线社交媒体应用程序。本文在分析微信HTML5大数据的基础上,首先获得地理互动活动网络(GIAN)。然后通过GIAN的社区检测分析微信网络的地理特征。结果表明,同一社区内的城市在地理上通常保持紧密,微信网络可以划分为社区,其中有五个社区是稳定的,并且包含了中国大多数城市。
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引用次数: 1
Assessment for spatial driving forces of HFMD prevalence in Beijing, China 北京市手足口病流行空间驱动力评价
Jiaojiao Wang, Zhidong Cao, D. Zeng, Quanyi Wang, Xiaoli Wang
Hand-foot-mouth disease (HFMD) outbreak greatly threatened Beijing city, the capital city of China, in 2008. The control prevention of HFMD has become an urgent mission for Beijing Center for Disease Control and Prevention and a focus problem for the citizens. Medical, social and environmental situations account for much of HFMD morbidity. The spatial driving forces of HFMD occurrence vary across geographical regions, whereas the factors that play a significant role in HFMD prevalence may be concealed by global statistics analysis. This study aims at the identification of the association between the spatial driving forces and HFMD morbidity across the study area and the epidemiological explanation of the results. HFMD spatial driving forces are represented by 6 factors which was obtained by Pearson Correlation analysis and Stepwise Regression method. Compared to Classical Linear Regression Model (CLRM), Geographically weighted regression (GWR) techniques were implemented to predict HFMD morbidity and examine the nonstationary of HFMD spatial driving forces. Informative maps of estimated HFMD morbidity and statistically significant spatial driving forces were generated and rigorously evaluated in quantitative terms. Prediction accuracy by GWR was higher than that by CLRM. The residual led to by CLRM suggested a significant degree of spatial dependence, while that by GWR indicated no significant spatial dependence. In the three regions plotted by Beijing city Ring Roads, HFMD morbidity was found to have significantly positive or negative association with the 6 kinds of spatial driving forces. GWR model can effectively represent the spatial heterogeneity of HFMD driving forces, significantly improve the prediction accuracy and greatly decrease the spatial dependence. The results improve current explanation of HFMD spread in the study area and provide valuable information for adequate disease intervention measures.
2008年手足口病(手足口病)的爆发严重威胁着中国的首都北京市。手足口病的控制和预防已成为北京市疾病预防控制中心的一项紧迫任务和市民关注的焦点问题。医疗、社会和环境状况是手足口病发病的主要原因。手足口病发生的空间驱动力在不同地理区域存在差异,而在手足口病流行中发挥重要作用的因素可能被全球统计分析所掩盖。本研究旨在确定空间驱动力与手足口病发病率之间的关系,并对结果进行流行病学解释。通过Pearson相关分析和逐步回归分析得到手足口病空间驱动力的6个因子。与经典线性回归模型(CLRM)相比,采用地理加权回归(GWR)技术预测手足口病发病率,并检验手足口病空间驱动力的非平稳性。估算手足口病发病率和统计上显著的空间驱动力的信息地图生成和严格的定量评估。GWR的预测精度高于CLRM。CLRM导致的残差具有显著的空间依赖性,而GWR导致的残差没有显著的空间依赖性。在北京城市环线绘制的3个区域,手足口病发病率与6种空间驱动力呈显著正相关或负相关。GWR模型能有效表征手足口病驱动力的空间异质性,显著提高预测精度,大大降低空间依赖性。研究结果改善了目前对研究地区手足口病传播的解释,并为采取适当的疾病干预措施提供了有价值的信息。
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引用次数: 2
Calibrating car-following model with trajectory data by cell phone 利用手机轨迹数据标定汽车跟随模型
Jiang Zeyu, Wang Gangqiao, Xing Han, Wang Yong, Zhang Xiangpeng, Liu Yi
This paper discussed the possibility of using trajectory data by cell phone in calibration of car-following model. Experimental study of car following behaviors is performed with both GNSS devices and cell phones used for trajectory data collection. GM model is applied in model calibration. The results of this paper indicate possibility of rapid modeling using cell phone data and proved the feasibility of "real-time modeling".
讨论了利用手机轨迹数据标定汽车跟随模型的可能性。利用GNSS设备和用于轨迹数据采集的手机对汽车跟随行为进行了实验研究。采用GM模型进行模型标定。本文的研究结果表明了利用手机数据快速建模的可能性,证明了“实时建模”的可行性。
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引用次数: 1
Research of spatial distribution rules of mass incidents based on GIS 基于GIS的群体性事件空间分布规律研究
Hu Jun, Shu Xueming, Shen Shifei, Tang Shiyang
The research of hot-spots is an important subject in public safety field as well as GIS system application, it reveals the spatial distribution law of crime and help develop targeted security preventive strategy, providing safeguards for the whole society. The mass incident is a special kind of public safety incident, but there are little research on its spatial distribution rules from the perspective of geography. This article analyzes the spatial distribution rules of mass incidents in China from the macro point of view and based on the spatial autocorrelation and Kernel density estimation, then finds hot-spots and calculates the degree of spatial agglomeration to express the spatial distribution law of crime.
热点研究是公共安全领域的重要课题,也是GIS系统应用的重要课题,它揭示了犯罪的空间分布规律,有助于制定有针对性的安全防范策略,为全社会提供保障。群体性事件是一类特殊的公共安全事件,但从地理学角度对其空间分布规律的研究较少。本文从宏观角度分析中国群体性事件的空间分布规律,基于空间自相关和核密度估计,找到热点,计算空间集聚程度,表达犯罪的空间分布规律。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Proceedings of the Second ACM SIGSPATIALInternational Workshop on the Use of GIS in Emergency Management
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